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Arizona gubernatorial election, 2022 (August 2 Democratic primary)
- Primary date: Aug. 2
- Mail-in registration deadline: July 5
- Online reg. deadline: July 5
- In-person reg. deadline: July 5
- Early voting starts: July 6
- Early voting ends: July 29
- Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
- Absentee/mail-in deadline: Aug. 2
2026 →
← 2018
|
| Governor of Arizona |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: April 4, 2022 |
| Primary: August 2, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 Pre-election incumbent(s): Doug Ducey (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Arizona |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| Federal and state primary competitiveness State executive elections in 2022 Impact of term limits in 2022 State government trifectas State government triplexes Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
| Arizona executive elections |
| Governor Attorney General |
A Democratic Party primary took place on August 2, 2022, in Arizona to determine which candidate would earn the right to run as the party's nominee in the state's gubernatorial election on November 8, 2022.
Katie Hobbs advanced from the Democratic primary for Governor of Arizona.
This page focuses on Arizona's Democratic Party gubernatorial primary. For more in-depth information on Arizona's Republican gubernatorial primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- Arizona gubernatorial election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary)
- Arizona gubernatorial election, 2022
Candidates and election results
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for Governor of Arizona
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Katie Hobbs | 72.3 | 431,059 |
 | Marco Lopez  | 22.8 | 136,090 | |
 | Aaron Lieberman (Unofficially withdrew) | 4.8 | 28,878 | |
| Total votes: 596,027 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Election competitiveness
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
| Race ratings: Arizona gubernatorial election, 2022 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Campaign data
Campaign finance
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates in Arizona in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arizona, click here.
| Filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates, 2022 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source | Notes |
| Arizona | Governor | Ballot-qualified party | 0.25% of qualified signers in the state | N/A | 4/4/2022 | Source | |
| Arizona | Governor | Unaffiliated | 3% of total registered voters in the state who are not members of a ballot-qualified political party | N/A | 4/4/2022 | Source | |
State profile
| Demographic data for Arizona | ||
|---|---|---|
| Arizona | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 6,817,565 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 113,594 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 78.4% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 4.2% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 3% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 3.2% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 30.3% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 86% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 27.5% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $50,255 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 21.2% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Arizona. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
Presidential voting pattern
- See also: Presidential voting trends in Arizona
Arizona voted Republican in six out of the seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.
More Arizona coverage on Ballotpedia
- Elections in Arizona
- United States congressional delegations from Arizona
- Public policy in Arizona
- Endorsers in Arizona
- Arizona fact checks
- More...
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Presidential elections
Cook PVI by congressional district
| Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Arizona, 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
| Arizona's 1st | David Schweikert |  Republican |
R+2 |
| Arizona's 2nd | Tom O'Halleran |  Democratic |
R+6 |
| Arizona's 3rd | Ruben Gallego | Democratic |
D+24 |
| Arizona's 4th | Greg Stanton | Democratic |
D+2 |
| Arizona's 5th | Andy Biggs | Republican |
R+11 |
| Arizona's 6th | Open | Democratic |
R+3 |
| Arizona's 7th | Raul Grijalva | Democratic |
D+15 |
| Arizona's 8th | Debbie Lesko | Republican |
R+10 |
| Arizona's 9th | Paul Gosar | Republican |
R+16 |
2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines
| 2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Arizona[5] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Joe Biden 
|
Donald Trump 
| ||
| Arizona's 1st | 50.1% | 48.6% | ||
| Arizona's 2nd | 45.3% | 53.2% | ||
| Arizona's 3rd | 74.5% | 23.9% | ||
| Arizona's 4th | 54.2% | 43.9% | ||
| Arizona's 5th | 41.0% | 57.4% | ||
| Arizona's 6th | 49.3% | 49.2% | ||
| Arizona's 7th | 65.6% | 32.9% | ||
| Arizona's 8th | 42.5% | 56.1% | ||
| Arizona's 9th | 36.4% | 62.2% | ||
2012-2020
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
| County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
| Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
| Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
| New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
| Republican | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
| Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
| Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
| New Republican | D | D | R | ||||
Following the 2020 presidential election, 61.8% of Arizonans lived in Maricopa County, the state's one New Democratic county, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate for the first time in 2020 after voting for the Republican in the preceding two cycles, and 20.0% lived in one of 10 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Arizona was New Democratic, having voted for Mitt Romney (R) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Arizona following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
| Arizona county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Democratic | 1 | 61.8% | |||||
| Solid Republican | 10 | 20.0% | |||||
| Solid Democratic | 4 | 18.2% | |||||
| Total voted Democratic | 5 | 80.0% | |||||
| Total voted Republican | 10 | 20.0% | |||||
Historical voting trends
Arizona presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 9 Democratic wins
- 19 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | N/A | N/A | N/A | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | D |
Statewide elections
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Arizona.
| U.S. Senate election results in Arizona | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2020 | 51.2% |
48.8%
|
| 2018 | 50.0% |
47.6%
|
| 2016 | 53.7% |
40.8%
|
| 2012 | 49.2% |
46.1%
|
| 2010 | 59.2% |
34.7%
|
| Average | 52.7 | 43.6 |
Gubernatorial elections
- See also: Governor of Arizona
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Arizona.
| Gubernatorial election results in Arizona | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2018 | 56.0% |
41.8%
|
| 2014 | 53.4% |
41.6%
|
| 2010 | 54.3% |
42.4%
|
| 2006 | 62.6% |
35.4%
|
| 2002 | 46.2% |
45.2%
|
| Average | 54.5 | 41.3 |
State partisanship
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Arizona's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arizona, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Republican | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 9 | 11 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Arizona's top three state executive offices as of November 2022.
| State executive officials in Arizona, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Doug Ducey
|
| Secretary of State | Katie Hobbs
|
| Attorney General | Mark Brnovich
|
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Arizona State Legislature as of November 2022.
Arizona State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 14 | |
| Republican Party | 16 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 30 | |
Arizona House of Representatives
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 29 | |
| Republican Party | 31 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 60 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Arizona was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Arizona Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas • Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Arizona and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
| Demographic Data for Arizona | ||
|---|---|---|
| Arizona | United States | |
| Population | 7,151,502 | 331,449,281 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 113,654 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 73.8% | 70.4% |
| Black/African American | 4.5% | 12.6% |
| Asian | 3.3% | 5.6% |
| Native American | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Other (single race) | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Multiple | 7% | 5.2% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 31.5% | 18.2% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 87.9% | 88.5% |
| College graduation rate | 30.3% | 32.9% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $61,529 | $64,994 |
| Persons below poverty level | 14.1% | 12.8% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
See also
| Arizona | State Executive Elections | News and Analysis |
|---|---|---|
 |
 |
 |
|
|
|
|
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022
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