Arizona gubernatorial election, 2026 (July 21 Republican primary)
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| Governor of Arizona |
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| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 23, 2026 |
| Primary: July 21, 2026 General: November 3, 2026 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times:
6 a.m. to 7 p.m. |
| Race ratings |
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up Inside Elections: Toss-up |
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A Republican Party primary takes place on July 21, 2026, in Arizona to determine which candidate will earn the right to run as the party's nominee in the state's gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026.
In Arizona, the gubernatorial nominee is selected in the primary. The gubernatorial nominee then chooses a lieutenant gubernatorial running mate, and they run together on a single ticket in the general election.
This page focuses on Arizona's Republican Party gubernatorial primary. For more in-depth information on Arizona's Democratic gubernatorial primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- Arizona gubernatorial election, 2026 (July 21 Democratic primary)
- Arizona gubernatorial election, 2026
Candidates and election results
Note: The following list includes official candidates only. Ballotpedia defines official candidates as people who:
- Register with a federal or state campaign finance agency before the candidate filing deadline
- Appear on candidate lists released by government election agencies
Republican primary election
Republican primary for Governor of Arizona
Andy Biggs, Scott Neely, and David Schweikert are running in the Republican primary for Governor of Arizona on July 21, 2026.
Candidate | ||
 | Andy Biggs | |
 | Scott Neely  | |
 | David Schweikert | |
| ||||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Submitted Biography: "Scott Neely is the voice that Arizona has been waiting for — the voice that refuses to be ignored, pushed aside, or talked over. He speaks with the fire and conviction of someone who knows exactly what everyday Arizonans are going through, because he’s lived it too. While career politicians argue, Scott stands up and says what the people have been shouting for years: Enough. It’s time for real leadership. Scott is a true conservative with the backbone to fight for what matters. He doesn’t just list Arizona’s problems; he confronts them head-on with bold, clear solutions rooted in common sense and real-world experience. But what sets Neely apart is this: he isn’t just speaking to the people — he’s speaking for them. His message breaks past party lines and resonates with Republicans, Independents, and Democrats who feel unheard, overlooked, and tired of politicians who don’t deliver. Scott Neely is the people’s voice. The voice of the fed up. The voice of the forgotten. The voice ready to fight for a stronger, safer, freer Arizona. And he’s just getting started."
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Arizona
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[1] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[2] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
Below we provide results for polls from a wide variety of sources, including media outlets, social media, campaigns, and aggregation websites, when available. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval. Know of something we're missing? Click here to let us know.
| Poll | Dates | Biggs | Schweikert | Undecided | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
– | 40 | 19 | 41 | 384 LV | ± 5.0% | |
| Note: LV is likely voters, RV is registered voters, and EV is eligible voters. | ||||||
Campaign finance
The section and tables below contain data from financial reports submitted to state agencies. The data is gathered and made available by Transparency USA.
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Cook PVI by congressional district
| District | Incumbent | PVI |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona's 1st | David Schweikert | R+1 |
| Arizona's 2nd | Eli Crane | R+7 |
| Arizona's 3rd | Yassamin Ansari | D+22 |
| Arizona's 4th | Greg Stanton | D+4 |
| Arizona's 5th | Andy Biggs | R+10 |
| Arizona's 6th | Juan Ciscomani | EVEN |
| Arizona's 7th | Raúl Grijalva | D+13 |
| Arizona's 8th | Abe Hamadeh | R+8 |
| Arizona's 9th | Paul Gosar | R+15 |
2024 presidential results by 2026 congressional district lines
| District | Kamala Harris  | Donald Trump  |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona's 1st | 48.0% | 51.0% |
| Arizona's 2nd | 42.0% | 57.0% |
| Arizona's 3rd | 69.0% | 29.0% |
| Arizona's 4th | 53.0% | 46.0% |
| Arizona's 5th | 39.0% | 59.0% |
| Arizona's 6th | 49.0% | 50.0% |
| Arizona's 7th | 60.0% | 38.0% |
| Arizona's 8th | 41.0% | 58.0% |
| Arizona's 9th | 34.0% | 65.0% |
| Source: The Downballot | ||
2016-2024
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2016, 2020, and 2024 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
| County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | |||||||
| Status | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 | ||||
| Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
| Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
| Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
| New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
| Republican | |||||||
| Status | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 | ||||
| Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
| Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
| Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
| New Republican | D | D | R | ||||
Following the 2024 presidential election, 61.7% of Arizonans lived in one of the state's 1 Battleground Republican counties, which voted for the Republican presidential candidate in 2016 and 2024 and the Democrat in 2020, and 20.5% lived in one of 10 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Arizona was Battleground Republican, having voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016, Joe Biden (D) in 2020, and Donald Trump (R) in 2024. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Arizona following the 2024 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
| Arizona county-level statistics, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Battleground Republican | 1 | 61.7% | |||||
| Solid Republican | 10 | 20.5% | |||||
| Solid Democratic | 4 | 17.8% | |||||
| Total voted Democratic | 4 | 17.8% | |||||
| Total voted Republican | 11 | 82.2% | |||||
Historical voting trends
Arizona presidential election results (1900-2024)
- 9 Democratic wins
- 20 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | N/A | N/A | N/A | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | D | R |
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Arizona.
Gubernatorial elections
- See also: Governor of Arizona
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Arizona.
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Arizona's congressional delegation as of January 2026.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arizona | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Republican | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 9 | 11 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Arizona's top three state executive offices as of October 2025.
| Office | Officeholder |
|---|---|
| Governor | Katie Hobbs |
| Secretary of State | Adrian Fontes |
| Attorney General | Kris Mayes |
State legislature
Arizona State Senate
| Party | As of October 2025 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 13 | |
| Republican Party | 17 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 30 | |
Arizona House of Representatives
| Party | As of October 2025 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 27 | |
| Republican Party | 33 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 60 | |
Trifecta control
Arizona Party Control: 1992-2025
No Democratic trifectas • Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D |
| Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
The table below details demographic data in Arizona and compares it to the broader United States as of 2023.
| Demographic Data for Arizona | ||
|---|---|---|
| Arizona | United States | |
| Population | 7,151,502 | 331,449,281 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 113,654 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 63.2% | 63.4% |
| Black/African American | 4.6% | 12.4% |
| Asian | 3.4% | 5.8% |
| Native American | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Pacific Islander | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Other (single race) | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Multiple | 16.2% | 10.7% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 31% | 19% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 89.1% | 89.4% |
| College graduation rate | 32.6% | 35% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $76,872 | $78,538 |
| Persons below poverty level | 12.8% | 12.4% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2018-2023). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
State profile
| Demographic data for Arizona | ||
|---|---|---|
| Arizona | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 6,817,565 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 113,594 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 78.4% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 4.2% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 3% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 3.2% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 30.3% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 86% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 27.5% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $50,255 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 21.2% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Arizona. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
Presidential voting pattern
- See also: Presidential voting trends in Arizona
Arizona voted Republican in six out of the seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.
More Arizona coverage on Ballotpedia
- Elections in Arizona
- United States congressional delegations from Arizona
- Public policy in Arizona
- Endorsers in Arizona
- Arizona fact checks
- More...
See also
| Arizona | State Executive Elections | News and Analysis |
|---|---|---|
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External links
Footnotes
- ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
- ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
