Arizona state legislative election results, 2024

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2024 Election Results
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The sections below contain analysis of election results in the state legislative elections for Arizona in 2024.

General election results

Senate

See also: Arizona State Senate elections, 2024
Candidate list
officecandidatepartystatus
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Shawnna Bolick
Shawnna Bolick Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Green
Lost General
John Kavanagh
John Kavanagh Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Won General
Christine Marsh
Christine Marsh Incumbent
Democratic
Lost General
Lela Alston
Lela Alston Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Democratic
Won General
Wendy Rogers
Wendy Rogers Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Eva Burch
Eva Burch Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Denise Epstein
Denise Epstein Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Warren Petersen
Warren Petersen Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Jake Hoffman
Jake Hoffman Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Independent
Lost General
Thomas Shope
Thomas Shope Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Won General
David Gowan
David Gowan Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Won General
Eva Diaz
Eva Diaz Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Brian Fernandez
Brian FernandezCandidate Connection Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Won General
Flavio Bravo
Flavio Bravo Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Frank Carroll
Frank Carroll Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost (Write-in) General
Janae Shamp
Janae Shamp Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.

House

See also: Arizona House of Representatives elections, 2024
Candidate list
officecandidatepartystatus
Selina Bliss
Selina BlissCandidate Connection Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Quang Nguyen
Quang Nguyen Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Lost General
Justin Wilmeth
Justin Wilmeth Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Independent
Lost General
Joseph Chaplik
Joseph Chaplik Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Matt Gress
Matt Gress Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Lost General
Sarah Liguori
Sarah Liguori Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost (Write-in) General
Republican
Lost General
Mae Peshlakai
Mae Peshlakai Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Myron Tsosie
Myron Tsosie Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Republican
Lost General
Republican
Won General
David Marshall
David MarshallCandidate Connection Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Green
Lost General
Lorena Austin
Lorena AustinCandidate Connection Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Seth Blattman
Seth BlattmanCandidate Connection Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Republican
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Lost General
Junelle Cavero
Junelle Cavero Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Republican
Lost General
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Independent
Lost (Write-in) General
Libertarian
Lost (Write-in) General
Republican
Won General
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Lost General
Green
Lost General
Laurin Hendrix
Laurin Hendrix Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Won General
Green
Lost General
Neal Carter
Neal Carter Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Teresa Martinez Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Keith Seaman
Keith Seaman Incumbent
Democratic
Lost General
Rachel Keshel
Rachel Keshel Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Won General
Cory McGarr
Cory McGarrCandidate Connection Incumbent
Republican
Lost General
Nancy Gutierrez
Nancy Gutierrez Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Lupe Diaz
Lupe Diaz Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Gail Griffin
Gail Griffin Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Alma Hernandez
Alma Hernandez Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Betty Villegas
Betty Villegas Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Lupe Contreras
Lupe Contreras Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Republican
Lost General
Michele Pena
Michele Pena Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Won General
Lydia Hernandez
Lydia Hernandez Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Michael Carbone
Michael Carbone Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Cesar Aguilar
Cesar Aguilar Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Quantá Crews
Quantá Crews Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Republican
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Lost General
Leo Biasiucci
Leo Biasiucci Incumbent
Republican
Won General
John Gillette
John Gillette Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.

Retiring incumbents

See also: Impact of term limits on state legislative elections in 2024

Senate

Five incumbents did not file for re-election in 2024.[1] The average number of retirements each election cycle from 2010 to 2022 was 10. Those incumbents were:

Name Party Office
Juan Mendez Electiondot.png Democratic Senate District 8
Anna Hernandez Electiondot.png Democratic Senate District 24
Sine Kerr Ends.png Republican Senate District 25
Anthony Kern Ends.png Republican Senate District 27
Sonny Borrelli Ends.png Republican Senate District 30

House

Fifteen incumbents did not file for re-election in 2024.[2] The average number of retirements each election cycle from 2010 to 2022 was 19.9. Those incumbents were:

Name Party Office
Judy Schwiebert Electiondot.png Democratic House District 2
Laura Terech Electiondot.png Democratic House District 4
David Cook Ends.png Republican House District 7
Deborah Nardozzi Electiondot.png Democratic House District 8
Melody Hernandez Electiondot.png Democratic House District 8
Justin Heap Ends.png Republican House District 10
Barbara Parker Ends.png Republican House District 10
Jennifer Pawlik Electiondot.png Democratic House District 13
Travis Grantham Ends.png Republican House District 14
Jacqueline Parker Ends.png Republican House District 15
Analise Ortiz Electiondot.png Democratic House District 24
Tim Dunn Ends.png Republican House District 25
Kevin Payne Ends.png Republican House District 27
Ben Toma Ends.png Republican House District 27
Austin Smith Ends.png Republican House District 29

Primary election competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on state legislative primary election competitiveness in Arizona. These totals include data from all regularly-scheduled House and Senate elections. For more information about Ballotpedia's competitiveness analysis of state legislative elections, please click here.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all state legislative districts up for election in Arizona in 2024. Information below was calculated on May 31, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Arizona had 29 contested state legislative primaries in 2024, down 24% from 2022.

Of these, there were 12 for Democrats and 17 for Republicans. For Democrats, this was down from 15 in 2022, a 20% decrease. Contested Republican primaries were down 26% from 23 in 2022.

Twenty-nine incumbents—14 Democrats and 15 Republicans—faced primary challenges, representing 41% of all incumbents who ran for re-election. This was the most since Ballotpedia began tracking these figures in 2010. The previous high was 28 incumbents in 2014.

Two Arizona state senators and four Arizona state representatives were term-limited in 2024.

In total, 187 major party candidates filed to run. Eighty-seven were Democrats and 100 were Republicans. All 60 House seats and all 30 Senate seats were up for election.

Twenty seats were open, meaning no incumbents filed. This meant newcomers would make up at least 22% of the legislature the next year, the second smallest percentage since 2010. The smallest occurred in 2020, when 19% of seats were guaranteed to newcomers.

Senate

The table below shows the number and percentage of open seats in the Arizona State Senate from 2010 to 2024.[3]

Open Seats in Arizona State Senate elections: 2010 - 2024
Year Total seats Open seats Seats with incumbents running for re-election
2024 30 5 (17%) 25 (83%)
2022 30 14 (47%) 16 (53%)
2020 30 5 (17%) 25 (83%)
2018 30 14 (47%) 16 (53%)
2016 30 8 (27%) 22 (73%)
2014 30 8 (27%) 22 (73%)
2012 30 8 (27%) 22 (73%)
2010 30 5 (17%) 25 (83%)

House

The table below shows the number and percentage of open seats in the Arizona House of Representatives from 2010 to 2024.[4]

Open Seats in Arizona House of Representatives elections: 2010 - 2024
Year Total seats Open seats Seats with incumbents running for re-election
2024 60 15 (25 percent) 45 (75 percent)
2022 60 29 (48 percent) 31 (52 percent)
2020 60 12 (20 percent) 48 (80 percent)
2018 60 19 (32 percent) 41 (68 percent)
2016 60 18 (30 percent) 42 (70 percent)
2014 60 18 (30 percent) 42 (70 percent)
2012 60 23 (38 percent) 37 (62 percent)
2010 60 24 (40 percent) 36 (60 percent)

See also

Footnotes

  1. Ballotpedia defines an incumbent as retiring if the incumbent did not file for office or filed for office but withdrew, was disqualified, or otherwise left a race in a manner other than losing the primary, primary runoff, or convention. If an incumbent runs as a write-in candidate, Ballotpedia does not consider them to be retiring. If an incumbent runs in the same chamber for a different seat, Ballotpedia does not consider them to be retiring.
  2. Ballotpedia defines an incumbent as retiring if the incumbent did not file for office or filed for office but withdrew, was disqualified, or otherwise left a race in a manner other than losing the primary, primary runoff, or convention. If an incumbent runs as a write-in candidate, Ballotpedia does not consider them to be retiring. If an incumbent runs in the same chamber for a different seat, Ballotpedia does not consider them to be retiring.
  3. Ballotpedia defines a seat as open if the incumbent did not file to run for re-election or filed but withdrew and did not appear on any ballot for his or her seat. If the incumbent withdrew from or did not participate in the primary but later chose to seek re-election to his or her seat as a third party or independent candidate, the seat would not be counted as open. If the incumbent retired or ran for a different seat in the same chamber, his or her original seat would be counted as open unless another incumbent from the same chamber filed to run for that seat, in which case it would not be counted as open due to the presence of an incumbent.
  4. Ballotpedia defines a seat as open if the incumbent did not file to run for re-election or filed but withdrew and did not appear on any ballot for his or her seat. If the incumbent withdrew from or did not participate in the primary but later chose to seek re-election to his or her seat as a third party or independent candidate, the seat would not be counted as open. If the incumbent retired or ran for a different seat in the same chamber, his or her original seat would be counted as open unless another incumbent from the same chamber filed to run for that seat, in which case it would not be counted as open due to the presence of an incumbent.