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Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2024

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2026
2022
Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: November 14, 2023
Primary: March 5, 2024
Primary runoff: April 2, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 7:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Voting in Arkansas
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District
1st2nd3rd4th
Arkansas elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Arkansas, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was March 5, 2024, and a primary runoff was April 2, 2024. The filing deadline was November 14, 2023.

The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 60.0%-35.3%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 55.2%-42.1%.[3]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Incumbent French Hill defeated Marcus Jones in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of French Hill
French Hill (R)
 
58.9
 
180,509
Image of Marcus Jones
Marcus Jones (D)
 
41.1
 
125,777

Total votes: 306,286
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Marcus Jones advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2.

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent French Hill advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Candidate profiles

There were no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles would have appeared here as candidates completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Arkansas

Election information in Arkansas: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 7, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 7, 2024
  • Online: N/A

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

No

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 1, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 29, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 29, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 21, 2024 to Nov. 4, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:30 a.m. - 7:30 p.m. (CST)

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.

Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
French Hill Republican Party $3,802,051 $3,306,363 $1,376,352 As of December 31, 2024
Marcus Jones Democratic Party $476,872 $473,323 $3,550 As of December 31, 2024

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]

Race ratings: Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2024
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2024October 29, 2024October 22, 2024October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Decision Desk HQ and The HillSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Arkansas in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arkansas, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Arkansas U.S. House Ballot-qualified party N/A Fixed by party 11/14/2023 Source
Arkansas U.S. House Unaffiliated 3% of qualified voters in the district, or 2,000, whichever is less N/A 11/14/2023 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_ar_congressional_district_02.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Arkansas.

Arkansas U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 4 4 0 9 8 0 1 12.5% 1 25.0%
2022 4 4 0 12 8 0 3 37.5% 3 75.0%
2020 4 4 0 7 8 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
2018 4 4 0 13 8 1 2 37.5% 2 50.0%
2016 4 4 0 6 8 0 1 12.5% 1 25.0%
2014 4 4 2 10 8 0 2 25.0% 0 0.0%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Arkansas in 2024. Information below was calculated on 1/22/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Nine candidates filed to run for Arkansas' four U.S. House districts—four Democrats and five Republicans. That's 2.25 candidates per district, fewer than the three candidates per district in 2022, but more than the 1.75 candidates in 2020. In 2018, 3.25 candidates ran per district, the most this decade.

Incumbents filed to run in every district. The last year there was an open seat in Arkansas was 2014, when two incumbents didn’t run.

The Republican primary in the 3rd district was 2024's only contested primary. Three primaries—all Republican—were contested in 2022, tying 2018 as the most this decade. No primaries were contested in 2020.

Rep. Steve Womack (R), the incumbent in the 3rd district, was the only incumbent facing a primary challenger this cycle.

Democratic and Republican candidates ran in all four districts, meaning no districts were guaranteed to either party.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+9. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arkansas' 2nd the 154th most Republican district nationally.[8]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Arkansas' 2nd based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
42.1% 55.2%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[9] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
39.5 57.9 R+18.4

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Arkansas, 2020

Arkansas presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 20 Democratic wins
  • 10 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D AI[10] R D R R R D D R R R R R R
See also: Party control of Arkansas state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Arkansas' congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arkansas
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 0 0
Republican 2 4 6
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 4 6

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Arkansas' top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Arkansas, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Leslie Rutledge
Secretary of State Republican Party John Thurston
Attorney General Republican Party Tim Griffin

State legislature

Arkansas State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 6
     Republican Party 29
     Independent 0
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 35

Arkansas House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 18
     Republican Party 82
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 100

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Arkansas Party Control: 1992-2024
Eleven years of Democratic trifectas  •  Ten years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.

2022

See also: Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Incumbent French Hill defeated Quintessa Hathaway and Michael White in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of French Hill
French Hill (R)
 
60.0
 
147,975
Image of Quintessa Hathaway
Quintessa Hathaway (D)
 
35.3
 
86,887
Image of Michael White
Michael White (L)
 
4.7
 
11,584

Total votes: 246,446
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Quintessa Hathaway advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Incumbent French Hill defeated Conrad Reynolds in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on May 24, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of French Hill
French Hill
 
58.5
 
49,488
Image of Conrad Reynolds
Conrad Reynolds Candidate Connection
 
41.5
 
35,078

Total votes: 84,566
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Michael White advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on February 20, 2022.

Candidate
Image of Michael White
Michael White (L)

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2020

See also: Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Incumbent French Hill defeated Joyce Elliott in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of French Hill
French Hill (R)
 
55.4
 
184,093
Image of Joyce Elliott
Joyce Elliott (D) Candidate Connection
 
44.6
 
148,410

Total votes: 332,503
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Joyce Elliott advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2.

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent French Hill advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2.

2018

See also: Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Incumbent French Hill defeated Clarke Tucker and Joe Swafford in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of French Hill
French Hill (R)
 
52.1
 
132,125
Image of Clarke Tucker
Clarke Tucker (D)
 
45.8
 
116,135
Image of Joe Swafford
Joe Swafford (L) Candidate Connection
 
2.0
 
5,193

Total votes: 253,453
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Clarke Tucker defeated Gwen Combs, Paul Spencer, and Jonathan Dunkley in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Clarke Tucker
Clarke Tucker
 
57.8
 
23,325
Image of Gwen Combs
Gwen Combs
 
20.3
 
8,188
Image of Paul Spencer
Paul Spencer
 
12.5
 
5,063
Image of Jonathan Dunkley
Jonathan Dunkley
 
9.3
 
3,768

Total votes: 40,344
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Incumbent French Hill advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
Image of French Hill
French Hill

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Independent primary election

No Independent candidates ran in the primary.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates



See also

Arkansas 2024 primaries 2024 U.S. Congress elections
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Arkansas congressional delegation
Voting in Arkansas
Arkansas elections:
2024202320222021202020192018
Democratic primary battlegrounds
Republican primary battlegrounds
U.S. Senate Democratic primaries
U.S. Senate Republican primaries
U.S. House Democratic primaries
U.S. House Republican primaries
U.S. Congress elections
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House elections
Special elections
Ballot access

External links

Footnotes

  1. A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
  2. These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
  3. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  4. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  8. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  9. Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
  10. American Independent Party


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
Republican Party (6)