Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2024
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Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: November 14, 2023 |
Primary: March 5, 2024 Primary runoff: April 2, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. Voting in Arkansas |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th Arkansas elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Arkansas, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was March 5, 2024, and a primary runoff was April 2, 2024. The filing deadline was November 14, 2023.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 60.0%-35.3%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 55.2%-42.1%.[3]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 Democratic primary)
- Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2
Incumbent French Hill defeated Marcus Jones in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | French Hill (R) | 58.9 | 180,509 |
![]() | Marcus Jones (D) | 41.1 | 125,777 |
Total votes: 306,286 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Marcus Jones advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2.
Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent French Hill advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Kellie Tempest (R)
Candidate profiles
There were no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles would have appeared here as candidates completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Arkansas
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
French Hill | Republican Party | $3,802,051 | $3,306,363 | $1,376,352 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Marcus Jones | Democratic Party | $476,872 | $473,323 | $3,550 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
Race ratings: Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Arkansas in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arkansas, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Arkansas | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | Fixed by party | 11/14/2023 | Source |
Arkansas | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 3% of qualified voters in the district, or 2,000, whichever is less | N/A | 11/14/2023 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Arkansas.
Arkansas U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 25.0% | ||||
2022 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 | 75.0% | ||||
2020 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2018 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 37.5% | 2 | 50.0% | ||||
2016 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 25.0% | ||||
2014 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25.0% | 0 | 0.0% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Arkansas in 2024. Information below was calculated on 1/22/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Nine candidates filed to run for Arkansas' four U.S. House districts—four Democrats and five Republicans. That's 2.25 candidates per district, fewer than the three candidates per district in 2022, but more than the 1.75 candidates in 2020. In 2018, 3.25 candidates ran per district, the most this decade.
Incumbents filed to run in every district. The last year there was an open seat in Arkansas was 2014, when two incumbents didn’t run.
The Republican primary in the 3rd district was 2024's only contested primary. Three primaries—all Republican—were contested in 2022, tying 2018 as the most this decade. No primaries were contested in 2020.
Rep. Steve Womack (R), the incumbent in the 3rd district, was the only incumbent facing a primary challenger this cycle.
Democratic and Republican candidates ran in all four districts, meaning no districts were guaranteed to either party.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+9. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arkansas' 2nd the 154th most Republican district nationally.[8]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Arkansas' 2nd based on 2024 district lines | ||||
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Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
42.1% | 55.2% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[9] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
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Democratic Baseline ![]() |
Republican Baseline ![]() |
Difference | ||
39.5 | 57.9 | R+18.4 |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Arkansas, 2020
Arkansas presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 20 Democratic wins
- 10 Republican wins
- 1 other win
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | AI[10] | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Arkansas' congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arkansas | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Republican | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 4 | 6 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Arkansas' top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Arkansas, May 2024 | |
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Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
Arkansas State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 6 | |
Republican Party | 29 | |
Independent | 0 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 35 |
Arkansas House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 18 | |
Republican Party | 82 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 100 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Arkansas Party Control: 1992-2024
Eleven years of Democratic trifectas • Ten years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2
Incumbent French Hill defeated Quintessa Hathaway and Michael White in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | French Hill (R) | 60.0 | 147,975 |
![]() | Quintessa Hathaway (D) | 35.3 | 86,887 | |
![]() | Michael White (L) | 4.7 | 11,584 |
Total votes: 246,446 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Quintessa Hathaway advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2
Incumbent French Hill defeated Conrad Reynolds in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on May 24, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | French Hill | 58.5 | 49,488 |
![]() | Conrad Reynolds ![]() | 41.5 | 35,078 |
Total votes: 84,566 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Libertarian convention
Libertarian convention for U.S. House Arkansas District 2
Michael White advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on February 20, 2022.
Candidate | ||
✔ | ![]() | Michael White (L) |
![]() | ||||
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2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2
Incumbent French Hill defeated Joyce Elliott in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | French Hill (R) | 55.4 | 184,093 |
![]() | Joyce Elliott (D) ![]() | 44.6 | 148,410 |
Total votes: 332,503 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- J. Glenn Smith (Independent)
Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Joyce Elliott advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2.
Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent French Hill advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2.
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2
Incumbent French Hill defeated Clarke Tucker and Joe Swafford in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | French Hill (R) | 52.1 | 132,125 |
![]() | Clarke Tucker (D) | 45.8 | 116,135 | |
![]() | Joe Swafford (L) ![]() | 2.0 | 5,193 |
Total votes: 253,453 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2
Clarke Tucker defeated Gwen Combs, Paul Spencer, and Jonathan Dunkley in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on May 22, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Clarke Tucker | 57.8 | 23,325 |
![]() | Gwen Combs | 20.3 | 8,188 | |
![]() | Paul Spencer | 12.5 | 5,063 | |
![]() | Jonathan Dunkley | 9.3 | 3,768 |
Total votes: 40,344 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2
Incumbent French Hill advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on May 22, 2018.
Candidate | ||
✔ | ![]() | French Hill |
![]() | ||||
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Independent primary election
No Independent candidates ran in the primary.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Natashia Burch Hulsey (Independent)
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
- ↑ American Independent Party