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Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District election, 2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 3
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Steve Womack (R) | 64.7 | 148,717 |
![]() | Joshua Mahony (D) | 32.6 | 74,952 | |
![]() | Michael Kalagias (L) | 2.6 | 5,899 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 140 |
Total votes: 229,708 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Josh Moody (Independent)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9
- Early voting: Oct. 22 - Nov. 5
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 5
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: Photo ID required (preliminary injunction issued on April 26, 2018)
- Poll times: 7:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
|
Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District |
---|
Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 1, 2018 |
Primary: May 22, 2018 Primary runoff: June 19, 2018 (if needed) General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Steve Womack (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. Voting in Arkansas |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th Arkansas elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
All U.S. congressional districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of Arkansas, held elections in 2018.
Heading into the election the incumbent was Steve Womack (R), who was first elected in 2010.
The 3rd Congressional District is located in northwestern Arkansas. Benton, Boone, Carroll, Marion, Pope, and Washington counties as well as portions of Crawford, Newton, Searcy, and Sebastian counties are included in the boundaries of the district.[1]
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 3
Incumbent Steve Womack defeated Joshua Mahony and Michael Kalagias in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 3 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Steve Womack (R) | 64.7 | 148,717 |
![]() | Joshua Mahony (D) | 32.6 | 74,952 | |
![]() | Michael Kalagias (L) | 2.6 | 5,899 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 140 |
Total votes: 229,708 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Josh Moody (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 3
Joshua Mahony advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 3 on May 22, 2018.
Candidate | ||
✔ | ![]() | Joshua Mahony |
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 3
Incumbent Steve Womack defeated Robb Ryerse in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 3 on May 22, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Steve Womack | 84.2 | 47,757 |
![]() | Robb Ryerse | 15.8 | 8,988 |
Total votes: 56,745 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+19, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 19 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District the 46th most Republican nationally.[2]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.00. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.00 points toward that party.[3]
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Steve Womack | Republican Party | $1,211,827 | $1,218,424 | $1,159,219 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Joshua Mahony | Democratic Party | $266,234 | $265,214 | $186 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Michael Kalagias | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
District history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Steve Womack (R) ran unopposed in the Republican primary on March 1, 2016. Womack defeated Libertarian party candidate Steve Isaacson in the general election on November 8, 2016. No Democratic candidates filed to run for the seat.[4][5]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
77.3% | 217,192 | |
Libertarian | Steve Isaacson | 22.7% | 63,715 | |
Total Votes | 280,907 | |||
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State |
2014
The 3rd Congressional District of Arkansas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Steve Womack (R) defeated Grant Brand (L) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
79.4% | 151,630 | |
Libertarian | Grant Brand | 20.6% | 39,305 | |
Total Votes | 190,935 | |||
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State |
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
One of 75 Arkansas counties—1.33 percent—is a Pivot County. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Woodruff County, Arkansas | 8.91% | 4.21% | 7.46% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Arkansas with 60.6 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 33.7 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Arkansas voted Democratic 66.67 percent of the time and Republican 30 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Arkansas voted Republican all five times.
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Arkansas heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Republicans held both U.S. Senate seats in Arkansas.
- Republicans held all four U.S. House seats in Arkansas.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Republicans held six of 12 state executive positions. The remaining positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Arkansas was Republican Asa Hutchinson. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Arkansas General Assembly. They had a 75-24 majority in the state House and a 25-9 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Arkansas was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the office of the governor, the state House, and the state Senate.
2018 elections
- See also: Arkansas elections, 2018
Arkansas held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- Four U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Five lower state executive positions
- 18 of 35 state Senate seats
- 100 state House seats
Demographics
Demographic data for Arkansas | ||
---|---|---|
Arkansas | U.S. | |
Total population: | 2,977,853 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 52,035 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 78% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 15.5% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 1.4% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.6% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.1% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 6.9% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 84.8% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 21.1% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $41,371 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 22.9% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Arkansas. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, Arkansas' three largest cities were Little Rock (pop. est. 198,606), Ft. Smith (pop. est. 88,037), and Fayetteville (pop. est. 85,257).[6][7]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Arkansas from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Arkansas Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Arkansas every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Arkansas 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
60.6% | ![]() |
33.7% | 26.9% |
2012 | ![]() |
60.6% | ![]() |
36.9% | 23.7% |
2008 | ![]() |
58.7% | ![]() |
38.9% | 19.8% |
2004 | ![]() |
54.3% | ![]() |
44.6% | 9.7% |
2000 | ![]() |
51.3% | ![]() |
45.9% | 5.4% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Arkansas from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Arkansas 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
59.8% | ![]() |
36.2% | 23.6% |
2014 | ![]() |
56.5% | ![]() |
39.4% | 22.9% |
2010 | ![]() |
57.9% | ![]() |
37.0% | 1.6% |
2008 | ![]() |
79.5% | ![]() |
20.5% | 59.0% |
2004 | ![]() |
55.9% | ![]() |
44.1% | 11.8% |
2002 | ![]() |
53.9% | ![]() |
46.1% | 7.8% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Arkansas.
Election results (Governor), Arkansas 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
55.4% | ![]() |
46.3% | 9.1% |
2010 | ![]() |
64.4% | ![]() |
33.6% | 30.8% |
2006 | ![]() |
55.6% | ![]() |
40.7% | 14.9% |
2002 | ![]() |
53.0% | ![]() |
46.9% | 6.1% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Arkansas in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Arkansas Party Control: 1992-2025
Eleven years of Democratic trifectas • Eleven years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
- Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District election (May 22, 2018 Democratic primary)
- Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District election (May 22, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Arkansas Secretary of State, "Candidate Information," accessed November 10, 2015
- ↑ CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016
- ↑ Arkansas Demographics, "Arkansas Cities by Population," accessed August 30, 2018
- ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts Arkansas," accessed August 30, 2018