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Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District election, 2018

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General election

General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 3

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Steve Womack
Steve Womack (R)
 
64.7
 
148,717
Image of Joshua Mahony
Joshua Mahony (D)
 
32.6
 
74,952
Image of Michael Kalagias
Michael Kalagias (L)
 
2.6
 
5,899
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
140

Total votes: 229,708
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates


2020
2016
Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 1, 2018
Primary: May 22, 2018
Primary runoff: June 19, 2018 (if needed)
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent:
Steve Womack (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Voting in Arkansas
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): R+19
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District
1st2nd3rd4th
Arkansas elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of Arkansas, held elections in 2018.

Heading into the election the incumbent was Steve Womack (R), who was first elected in 2010.

The 3rd Congressional District is located in northwestern Arkansas. Benton, Boone, Carroll, Marion, Pope, and Washington counties as well as portions of Crawford, Newton, Searcy, and Sebastian counties are included in the boundaries of the district.[1]




Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 3

Incumbent Steve Womack defeated Joshua Mahony and Michael Kalagias in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 3 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Steve Womack
Steve Womack (R)
 
64.7
 
148,717
Image of Joshua Mahony
Joshua Mahony (D)
 
32.6
 
74,952
Image of Michael Kalagias
Michael Kalagias (L)
 
2.6
 
5,899
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
140

Total votes: 229,708
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 3

Joshua Mahony advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 3 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Joshua Mahony
Joshua Mahony

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 3

Incumbent Steve Womack defeated Robb Ryerse in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 3 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Steve Womack
Steve Womack
 
84.2
 
47,757
Image of Robb Ryerse
Robb Ryerse
 
15.8
 
8,988

Total votes: 56,745
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+19, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 19 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District the 46th most Republican nationally.[2]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.00. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.00 points toward that party.[3]

Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Steve Womack Republican Party $1,211,827 $1,218,424 $1,159,219 As of December 31, 2018
Joshua Mahony Democratic Party $266,234 $265,214 $186 As of December 31, 2018
Michael Kalagias Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


District history

2016

See also: Arkansas' 1st Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Steve Womack (R) ran unopposed in the Republican primary on March 1, 2016. Womack defeated Libertarian party candidate Steve Isaacson in the general election on November 8, 2016. No Democratic candidates filed to run for the seat.[4][5]

U.S. House, Arkansas District 3 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngSteve Womack Incumbent 77.3% 217,192
     Libertarian Steve Isaacson 22.7% 63,715
Total Votes 280,907
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State

2014

See also: Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 3rd Congressional District of Arkansas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Steve Womack (R) defeated Grant Brand (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, Arkansas District 3 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngSteve Womack Incumbent 79.4% 151,630
     Libertarian Grant Brand 20.6% 39,305
Total Votes 190,935
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

One of 75 Arkansas counties—1.33 percent—is a Pivot County. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Woodruff County, Arkansas 8.91% 4.21% 7.46%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Arkansas with 60.6 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 33.7 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Arkansas voted Democratic 66.67 percent of the time and Republican 30 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Arkansas voted Republican all five times.

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Arkansas heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

State legislature

  • Republicans controlled both chambers of the Arkansas General Assembly. They had a 75-24 majority in the state House and a 25-9 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

  • Arkansas was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the office of the governor, the state House, and the state Senate.

2018 elections

See also: Arkansas elections, 2018

Arkansas held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for Arkansas
 ArkansasU.S.
Total population:2,977,853316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):52,0353,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:78%73.6%
Black/African American:15.5%12.6%
Asian:1.4%5.1%
Native American:0.6%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0.2%0.2%
Two or more:2.1%3%
Hispanic/Latino:6.9%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:84.8%86.7%
College graduation rate:21.1%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$41,371$53,889
Persons below poverty level:22.9%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Arkansas.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, Arkansas' three largest cities were Little Rock (pop. est. 198,606), Ft. Smith (pop. est. 88,037), and Fayetteville (pop. est. 85,257).[6][7]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Arkansas from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Arkansas Secretary of State.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Arkansas every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Arkansas 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Donald Trump 60.6% Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 33.7% 26.9%
2012 Republican Party Mitt Romney 60.6% Democratic Party Barack Obama 36.9% 23.7%
2008 Republican Party John McCain 58.7% Democratic Party Barack Obama 38.9% 19.8%
2004 Republican Party George W. Bush 54.3% Democratic Party John Kerry 44.6% 9.7%
2000 Republican Party George W. Bush 51.3% Democratic Party Al Gore 45.9% 5.4%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Arkansas from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Arkansas 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party John Boozman 59.8% Democratic Party Conner Eldridge 36.2% 23.6%
2014 Republican Party Tom Cotton 56.5% Democratic Party Mark Pryor 39.4% 22.9%
2010 Republican Party John Boozman 57.9% Democratic Party Blanche Lincoln 37.0% 1.6%
2008 Democratic Party Mark Pryor 79.5% Green Party Rebekah Kennedy(Green Party) 20.5% 59.0%
2004 Democratic Party Blanche Lincoln 55.9% Republican Party Jim Holt 44.1% 11.8%
2002 Democratic Party Mark Pryor 53.9% Republican Party Tim Hutchinson 46.1% 7.8%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Arkansas.

Election results (Governor), Arkansas 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Republican Party Asa Hutchinson 55.4% Democratic Party Mike Ross 46.3% 9.1%
2010 Democratic Party Mike Beebe 64.4% Republican Party Jim Keet 33.6% 30.8%
2006 Democratic Party Mike Beebe 55.6% Republican Party Asa Hutchinson 40.7% 14.9%
2002 Republican Party Mike Huckabee 53.0% Democratic Party Jimmie Lou Fisher 46.9% 6.1%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Arkansas in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Arkansas 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 4 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+4
2014 Republican Party 4 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+4
2012 Republican Party 4 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+4
2010 Republican Party 3 75% Democratic Party 1 25% R+3
2008 Republican Party 1 25% Democratic Party 3 75% D+3
2006 Republican Party 1 25% Democratic Party 3 75% D+3
2004 Republican Party 1 25% Democratic Party 3 75% D+3
2002 Republican Party 1 25% Democratic Party 3 75% D+3
2000 Republican Party 1 25% Democratic Party 3 75% D+3

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Arkansas Party Control: 1992-2025
Eleven years of Democratic trifectas  •  Eleven years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Governor D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R


See also

Footnotes



Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
Republican Party (6)