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Arkansas gubernatorial election, 2022 (May 24 Republican primary)

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2026
2018
Governor of Arkansas
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 1, 2022
Primary: May 24, 2022
Primary runoff: June 21, 2022
General: November 8, 2022

Pre-election incumbent(s):
Asa Hutchinson (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Voting in Arkansas
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
Federal and state primary competitiveness
State executive elections in 2022
Impact of term limits in 2022
State government trifectas
State government triplexes
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
Arkansas
executive elections
Governor

Lieutenant Governor
Attorney General
Secretary of State
Treasurer
Auditor
Public Lands Commissioner

A Republican Party primary took place on May 24, 2022, in Arkansas to determine which candidate would earn the right to run as the party's nominee in the state's gubernatorial election on November 8, 2022.

Sarah Huckabee Sanders advanced from the Republican primary for Governor of Arkansas.

This page focuses on Arkansas' Republican Party gubernatorial primary. For more in-depth information on Arkansas' Democratic gubernatorial primary and the general election, see the following pages:

HOTP-GOP-Ad-1-Small.png

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for Governor of Arkansas

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
 
83.1
 
289,249
Image of Doc Washburn
Doc Washburn
 
16.9
 
58,638

Total votes: 347,887
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Election competitiveness

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]

Race ratings: Arkansas gubernatorial election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates in Arkansas in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arkansas, click here.

Filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source Notes
Arkansas Governor Ballot-qualified party N/A Fixed by party 3/1/2022 Source
Arkansas Governor Unaffiliated 3% of total votes cast for governor in 2018 or 10,000, whichever is less N/A 5/1/2022 Source

State profile

Demographic data for Arkansas
 ArkansasU.S.
Total population:2,977,853316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):52,0353,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:78%73.6%
Black/African American:15.5%12.6%
Asian:1.4%5.1%
Native American:0.6%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0.2%0.2%
Two or more:2.1%3%
Hispanic/Latino:6.9%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:84.8%86.7%
College graduation rate:21.1%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$41,371$53,889
Persons below poverty level:22.9%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Arkansas.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

Presidential voting pattern

See also: Presidential voting trends in Arkansas

Arkansas voted Republican in all seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.

Pivot Counties (2016)

Ballotpedia identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012. Collectively, Trump won these Pivot Counties by more than 580,000 votes. Of these 206 counties, one is located in Arkansas, accounting for 0.5 percent of the total pivot counties.[5]

Pivot Counties (2020)

In 2020, Ballotpedia re-examined the 206 Pivot Counties to view their voting patterns following that year's presidential election. Ballotpedia defined those won by Trump won as Retained Pivot Counties and those won by Joe Biden (D) as Boomerang Pivot Counties. Nationwide, there were 181 Retained Pivot Counties and 25 Boomerang Pivot Counties. Arkansas had one Retained Pivot County, 0.55 percent of all Retained Pivot Counties.

More Arkansas coverage on Ballotpedia

Election analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
  • Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
  • State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.

Presidential elections

See also: Presidential voting trends in Arkansas and The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Cook PVI by congressional district

Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Arkansas, 2022
District Incumbent Party PVI
Arkansas' 1st Rick Crawford Ends.png Republican R+22
Arkansas' 2nd French Hill Ends.png Republican R+9
Arkansas' 3rd Steve Womack Ends.png Republican R+15
Arkansas' 4th Bruce Westerman Ends.png Republican R+20


2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines

2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Arkansas[6]
District Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Arkansas' 1st 28.1% 69.0%
Arkansas' 2nd 42.1% 55.2%
Arkansas' 3rd 36.8% 60.2%
Arkansas' 4th 31.0% 66.2%


2012-2020

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:


Following the 2020 presidential election, 80.4% of Arkansans lived in one of the state's 66 Solid Republican counties, which voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 19.4% lived in one of eight Solid Democratic counties. Overall, Arkansas was Solid Republican, having voted for Mitt Romney (R) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Donald Trump (R) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Arkansas following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Historical voting trends

Arkansas presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 20 Democratic wins
  • 10 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D AI[7] R D R R R D D R R R R R R

Statewide elections

This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

U.S. Senate elections

See also: List of United States Senators from Arkansas

The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Arkansas.

U.S. Senate election results in Arkansas
Race Winner Runner up
2020 66.5%Republican Party 33.5%Libertarian Party
2016 59.7%Republican Party 36.3%Democratic Party
2014 56.5%Republican Party 39.4%Democratic Party
2010 58.0%Republican Party 36.9%Democratic Party
2008 79.5%Democratic Party 20.5%Green Party
Average 64.0 33.3

Gubernatorial elections

See also: Governor of Arkansas

The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Arkansas.

Gubernatorial election results in Arkansas
Race Winner Runner up
2018 65.3%Republican Party 31.8%Democratic Party
2014 55.4%Republican Party 41.5%Democratic Party
2010 64.4%Democratic Party 33.6%Republican Party
2006 55.6%Democratic Party 40.7%Republican Party
2002 52.0%Republican Party 47.0%Democratic Party
Average 58.5 38.9

State partisanship

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Arkansas' congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arkansas, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 0 0
Republican 2 4 6
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 4 6

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Arkansas' top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Arkansas, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Asa Hutchinson
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Tim Griffin
Secretary of State Republican Party John Thurston
Attorney General Republican Party Leslie Rutledge

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Arkansas State Legislature as of November 2022.

Arkansas State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 7
     Republican Party 27
     Independent 1
     Vacancies 0
Total 35

Arkansas House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 22
     Republican Party 78
     Vacancies 0
Total 100

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Arkansas was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Arkansas Party Control: 1992-2022
Eleven years of Democratic trifectas  •  Eight years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R

Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Arkansas and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Arkansas
Arkansas United States
Population 3,011,524 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 51,992 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 75.4% 70.4%
Black/African American 15.2% 12.6%
Asian 1.5% 5.6%
Native American 0.6% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.3% 0.2%
Other (single race) 2.9% 5.1%
Multiple 4% 5.2%
Hispanic/Latino 7.6% 18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate 87.2% 88.5%
College graduation rate 23.8% 32.9%
Income
Median household income $49,475 $64,994
Persons below poverty level 16.1% 12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


See also

Arkansas State Executive Elections News and Analysis
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Arkansas State Executive Offices
Arkansas State Legislature
Arkansas Courts
2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Arkansas elections: 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Party control of state government
State government trifectas
State of the state addresses
Partisan composition of governors

External links

Footnotes

  1. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  2. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  3. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  4. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  5. The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
  6. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022
  7. American Independent Party