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Ballotpedia's 2012 General Election Preview Articles: North Carolina Congressional Seats

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October 30, 2012

By Ballotpedia's Congressional team

North Carolina's Congressional Elections in 2012
U.S. Senate Election? U.S. House seats Possible competitive races?
No 13 3 (7th, 8th, 11th)

RALEIGH: North Carolina: North Carolina has 13 U.S. House seats on the ballot in 2012. Eleven incumbents are running for re-election and face at least one challenger in the general election (100%). The Washington Post listed the House of Representatives elections in North Carolina in 2012 as one of the 10 states that could determine whether Democrats would retake the House or Republicans would hold their majority in 2013.[1] North Carolina was rated 8th on the list.[1]

After taking control of the state legislature in 2010, state Republicans redrew the districts to heavily favor Republicans.

The Democratic Party currently holds six of the 13 Congressional seats from North Carolina. Three of the most competitive races this year are the 7th, 8th, and 11th (where an incumbent is retiring), districts.[2][3]

In North Carolina's 7th Democratic incumbent Mike McIntyre is challenged by David Rouzer (R), in a Republican leaning district. The 7th is between a toss-up and leaning Democratic. McIntyre is hoping to survive by distancing himself from his fellow Democrats.[3] The Cook Political Report rates this race a tossup.[4]

In the 8th District, Democratic incumbent Larry Kissell is challenged by Richard Hudson (R) in one of the most vulnerable Democratic districts. After redistricting, his district strongly favors Republicans.[5] Kissell has not received monetary assistance from the Democratic Party, while the Republican Party has been pouring money into Hudson's campaign.[6] Despite the fact that the majority of voters in this district are registered Democrats, the district has a history of voting Republican, and after redistricting the ratio of democrats to Republicans has decreased.[6] The disparity of funds and the new political demographic have analysts favoring Hudson in this race, but Kissell has won against long odds in the past: in 2006, he won the primary for the Democratic nomination without the support of the party.[7] Kissell's conservative voting record and his opposition to Barack Obama has caused some rifts in a local chapter of the Democratic Party.[8]

North Carolina's 11th is considered to be Leaning Republican. After Democratic incumbent Heath Shuler's retirement, his former chief of staff, Hayden Rogers, is struggling to keep the district in Democratic hands. He is challenged by Mark Meadows (R) in a redrawn district that is more conservative than before.[9] The Cook Political Report rates this race as "likely Republican."[10] North Carolina's 11th District has been included in the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's "Red to Blue List," which identifies districts that the organization has specifically targeted to flip from Republican to Democratic control.[11]

The organization Fairvote, which studies the US House elections, projects that Democrats will win three districts with Republicans taking the remaining 10.[12]

In North Carolina, the polling places will be open from 6:30 AM to 7:30 PM Eastern Time.[13]

See also: State Poll Opening and Closing Times (2012)

Here is a complete list of U.S. House candidates appearing on the general election ballot in North Carolina:

Candidates running by District

District General Election Candidates Incumbent 2012 Winner Partisan Switch?
1st Democratic Party G.K. Butterfield
Republican Party Pete DiLauro
Libertarian Party Darryl Holloman		 G.K. Butterfield Pending Pending
2nd Democratic Party Steve Wilkins
Republican Party Renee Ellmers
Libertarian Party Brian Irving		 Renee Ellmers Pending Pending
3rd Democratic Party Erik Anderson
Republican Party Walter B. Jones		 Walter B. Jones Pending Pending
4th Democratic Party David E. Price
Republican Party Tim D'Annunzio		 David Price Pending Pending
5th Democratic Party Elisabeth Motsinger
Republican Party Virginia Foxx		 Virginia Foxx Pending Pending
6th Democratic Party Tony Foriest
Republican Party Howard Coble		 Howard Coble Pending Pending
7th Democratic Party Mike McIntyre
Republican Party David Rouzer		 Mike McIntyre Pending Pending
8th Democratic Party Larry Kissell
Republican Party Richard Hudson		 Larry Kissell Pending Pending
9th Democratic Party Jennifer Roberts
Republican Party Robert Pittenger
Libertarian Party Curtis Campbell		 Sue Wilkins Myrick Pending Pending
10th Democratic Party Patricia Keever
Republican Party Patrick McHenry		 Patrick T. McHenry Pending Pending
11th Democratic Party Hayden Rogers
Republican Party Mark Meadows		 Heath Shuler Pending Pending
12th Democratic Party Melvin L. Watt
Republican Party Jack Brosch		 Melvin L. Watt Pending Pending
13th Democratic Party Charles Malone
Republican Party George E.B. Holding		 Brad Miller Pending Pending

Partisan breakdown by district

Members of the U.S. House from North Carolina -- Partisan Breakdown
Party As of November 2012 After the 2012 Election
     Democratic Party 7 4
     Republican Party 6 9
Total 13 13

Comparison of new and old district maps

 Congressional Redistricting Map, approved July 2011 

For more information, view Redistricting in North Carolina.

  • This is the approved congressional map using the 2010 Census.

    This is the approved congressional map using the 2010 Census.

  • This is the approved congressional map using the 2000 Census.

    This is the approved congressional map using the 2000 Census.



See also

North Carolina

Footnotes

  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 Washington Post, "The 10 states that will determine control of the House in 2012," accessed April 25, 2012
  2. ↑ The Cook Political Report, "House: Race Ratings," October 18, 2012
  3. ↑ 3.0 3.1 New York Times, "2012 House Race Ratings," accessed October 28, 2012
  4. ↑ Cook Political Report, "House Race Ratings" October 25, 2012
  5. ↑ New York Times, "House Race Ratings," accessed August 10, 2012
  6. ↑ 6.0 6.1 Fay Observer, "Rep. Larry Kissell faces fight from Richard Hudson in Congressional District 8" accessed October 17, 2012 (dead link)
  7. ↑ Charlotte Observer, "Robert Pittenger's $3 million dwarfs rival war chests" accessed October 17, 2012 (dead link)
  8. ↑ Independent Tribune, "Cabarrus Democratic leaders move to oust party chair" accessed October 17, 2012
  9. ↑ New York Times, "House Race Ratings," accessed August 10, 2012
  10. ↑ Cook Political Report, "House Race Ratings" October 25, 2012
  11. ↑ DCCC, "Red to Blue 2012"
  12. ↑ Fairvote, "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in North Carolina," accessed October 30, 2012
  13. ↑ North Carolina Elections, "Voting"
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