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Ballotpedia's Daily Presidential News Briefing - May 3, 2016

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2016 Presidential Election
Date: November 8, 2016

Candidates
Winner: Donald Trump (R)
Hillary Clinton (D) • Jill Stein (G) • Gary Johnson (L) • Vice presidential candidates

Election coverage
Important datesNominating processBallotpedia's 2016 Battleground PollPollsDebatesPresidential election by stateRatings and scorecards

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Tuesday's Leading Stories


  • Indiana holds its primary on Tuesday. Donald Trump, who is leading in the polls by double-digit margins, is hoping to fortify his position as the Republican frontrunner and stay on track to secure the 1,237 delegates necessary to win his party’s nomination. There are 57 delegates at stake in the Republican contest. On the Democratic side, there are 83 pledged delegates available. Recent polls show Hillary Clinton with a narrow lead over Bernie Sanders. (Ballotpedia, The New York Times)

Polls

  • According to a CNN/ORC poll released on Monday, Donald Trump is the choice of nearly half of likely Republican voters with 49 percent. Ted Cruz is a distant second with 25 percent. On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders, 51 percent to 43 percent. (CNN)
  • A Gravis Marketing poll released on Monday found Trump with a double-digit lead in Indiana, leading Cruz by 17 points with 44 percent support. (Gravis Marketing)
  • Public Policy Polling released a survey of Ohio voters featuring several general election match-ups:
    • Clinton (44 percent) vs. Cruz (35 percent);
    • Clinton (45 percent) vs. Trump (42 percent);
    • Kasich (43 percent) vs. Clinton (41 percent);
    • Kasich (47 percent) vs. Sanders (37 percent);
    • Sanders (44 percent) vs. Cruz (35 percent);
    • Sanders (45 percent) vs. Trump (41 percent). (Public Policy Polling)
  • In a general election match-up released by Rasmussen Reports, Trump leads Clinton by two points with 41 percent support. (Rasmussen Reports)
  • According to a SurveyUSA poll of likely Republican voters in California, Trump has a dominating lead with 54 percent support to Cruz’s 20 percent. Clinton also holds a sizeable lead over Sanders, 57 percent to 38 percent. (KABC)

Democrats

Hillary Clinton

  • Minyon Moore, who worked in former President Bill Clinton’s White House, has joined Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign as a senior adviser. (The New York Times)
  • Hillary Clinton suggested on Monday that Bill Clinton might become involved in reviving American manufacturing if she were elected president. "I’ve told my husband he’s got to come out of retirement and be in charge of this, because you know, he’s got more ideas a minute than anybody I know. Gotta put people back to work and make it happen. So we’re going to give it all we’ve got, absolute full-in 100 percent effort, because I worry we won’t recognize our country if we don’t do this,” she said. (Politico)
  • Clinton’s campaign raised $26.4 million in April, fundraising slightly more than Bernie Sanders for the first time in months by less than $1 million. (CNN)
  • In the week since Donald Trump accused Clinton of playing “the woman’s card,” Clinton’s campaign has raised $2.4 million through fundraising emails and merchandise related to the jab. (The New York Times)
  • On Monday, while campaigning in West Virginia, Clinton was confronted by a man who lost his job in the coal industry and wanted to know why his community should trust her when she said in March, “We're going to put a lot of coal miners and coal companies out of business.” Clinton responded, "What I said was totally out of context from what I meant because I have been talking about helping coal country for a very long time. What I was saying is that the way things are going now, we will continue to lose jobs. That's what I meant to say." (NBC News)

Bernie Sanders

  • According to The Washington Post, if Bernie Sanders were allocated the superdelegates from every state he has won so far and California and Indiana, he would still trail Hillary Clinton by approximately 100 superdelegates. (The Washington Post)
  • The Portland Mercury, a weekly alternative newspaper in Oregon, endorsed Sanders on Monday. “Sanders, as everyone on the planet now knows, bludgeons away at one issue: economic inequality. That's because economic inequality is every issue, and fundamentally affects everything else: housing and homelessness. Health and longevity. Education and employment. Crime and violence. Industry and commerce. Political and civic involvement. When Sanders speaks, passionately and knowledgeably, about how we can change a system rigged in favor of the rich (and make no mistake—we can), he's not just talking about one thing. He's talking about all of those things,” the editors wrote. (The Portland Mercury)
  • On Monday, Re/code highlighted the development of Hustle, an app used by Sanders’ campaign which enables it to efficiently reach out to hundreds of volunteers with personalized text messages. “[Staffers] land in a city and use Hustle to reach out to every potential volunteer leader within a certain radius to get them to a huge organizing rally. Once there, they ask everyone in person to commit to hosting a volunteer contact meeting in their community, and train them on the spot,” explained Perry Rosenstein, one of the app’s creators. (Re/code)

Republicans

  • Politico reported on Monday that Marco Rubio has not endorsed Ted Cruz because he wants to conserve political capital with his delegates and for a potential second presidential run. “Marco wants Donald to lose. If he thought his endorsement would help in California or in Indiana, which it won’t, then he would probably do it. But what Marco isn’t going to do is just endorse Ted, watch Trump win anyway and then, in four years, watch Cruz use Marco’s endorsement against him if they both run for president again,” a Rubio insider told Politico. (Politico)
  • California’s delegation to the Republican National Convention are assigned to stay at a hotel 60 miles away from the event’s venue in downtown Cleveland, CNN reported on Monday. “We're pretty bitter about that. It sucks to be California, we're like the ugly stepchild. They need us for our cash and our donors, they don't need us for anything else,” said the vice chair of the California Republican Party, Harmeet Dhillon. (CNN)
  • According to ABC News, Trump has secured support from 41 of the unbound district delegates from Pennsylvania. Only three have indicated they will support Cruz. Overall, Trump is leading Cruz with support from unbound delegates, 43 to 22. (ABC News)

Ted Cruz

  • While campaigning in Indiana on Monday, Ted Cruz spoke with a Donald Trump supporter protesting outside of a small event at a restaurant. He called on the man to explain why he liked Trump and then highlighted Trump’s business dealings and rhetoric around violence at his campaign events as negatives. The man called him a liar and said, “You’ll find out tomorrow. Indiana don’t want you.” Cruz pushed back, "Sir, with all respect, Trump is deceiving you. He is playing you for a chump. Ask yourself two questions: Why is it that the mainstream media wants Donald Trump to be the nominee? And why is that John Boehner supports Donald Trump?" (The New York Times, CNN)
  • Cruz said on Monday that he would remain in the race even if he lost the Indiana primary. “As long as we have a viable path to victory, I am competing until the end,” he said. (NBC News)

Donald Trump

  • Connor Eldridge, a former U.S. attorney running for a U.S. Senate seat in Arkansas as a Democrat, released an ad on Monday connecting his opponent, sitting U.S. Sen. John Boozman (R-Ark.), to Donald Trump. The ad presents audio and video clips of Trump making derogatory and critical statements about women before featuring Boozman saying, “I’ll support the candidate regardless of who we pick … whether Donald Trump … it certainly would be a lot better presidency.” (Talking Points Memo)
  • Along with campaign manager Corey Lewandowski and adviser Dan Scavino, Trump had lunch with author Edward Klein on Monday who, according to The Washington Post, is “best known for his series of bombshell books spreading rumors and innuendo, much of it discredited, about the Clintons.” (The Washington Post)
  • Trump received criticism on Monday after saying at a rally on Sunday, “We can’t continue to allow China to rape our country, and that’s what they’re doing.” U.S. Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-Calif.) and U.S. Rep. Jan Schakowsky (D-Ill.) condemned his use of the word “rape” in this context as “vulgar” and something that “trivializes the experience of survivors.” (The Huffington Post)
  • Pakistani Interior Minister Chaudry Nisar Ali Khan said in a statement on Monday that Trump “should learn to treat sovereign nations with respect” after he said in an interview last week that he would get Shakeel Afridi released “in two minutes” if he were president. Afridi has been in prison for five years since assisting the CIA in locating Osama bin Laden. “Pakistan is not a colony of the United States of America,” Khan said. (The Washington Post)
  • According to a poll conducted by Florida International University professor Dario Moreno, 10 percent of Cuban-American voters in Florida would not vote in the general election if Trump were the Republican nominee. “Thirty-seven percent of respondents supported Trump, a number that is still higher than the 31 percent who backed Clinton — but also ‘the lowest in history that any potential Republican candidate polls among this traditionally loyal demographic,’ according to Moreno. He added that the results put likely Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton within ‘striking distance’ of winning over the influential voting demographic,” The Miami Herald reported. (The Miami Herald)
  • Trump’s campaign reserved $200,000 in ad buys in Nebraska ahead of the state’s primary on May 10, making it the first campaign to air ads in the state. (The New York Times)


See also