Battleground Friday: New York's 1st Congressional District
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November 4, 2014 |
June 24, 2014 |
Lee Zeldin  |
Tim Bishop  |
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Cook Political Report: Lean D[1] FairVote's Monopoly Politics: Toss Up[2] |
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By Kristen Smith and the Congress team
In the next profile of our 2014 battleground districts, the Congress team is taking an in-depth look at New York's 1st Congressional District's 2014 election.
Current incumbent: Democratic incumbent Tim Bishop was first elected to the United States House of Representatives in 2002. Before his congressional career, he was the provost of Southampton College.[4]
2012 MOV: Bishop won re-election in 2012 with a margin of victory of 4.6% over Republican challenger Randy Altschuler.[5]
2014 candidates: Bishop is running unopposed for the Democratic, Working Families and Independence Party nominations in the primary election on June 24, 2014. Candidates George Demos and Lee Zeldin will compete in the Republican primary for a chance to take on Bishop in the general election. Zeldin is also running on the Conservative Party ticket. Jason Strom is running as a Libertarian.[6]
What made it a Ballotpedia battleground district?: FairVote and the Cook Political Report both rate New York's 1st Congressional District as highly competitive, but even these two sources predict different outcomes. FairVote predicts that the Democratic candidate will have a slight advantage in this election, rating the district as 51.3% Democratic.[7] In contrast, the Cook Political Reports Partisan Voter Index (PVI) rates New York's 1st as R+2, or a moderately Republican district.[8] Democratic incumbent Tim Bishop has been in office for ten years, but he won re-election in 2012 by a mere 4.6% margin of victory. The 2012 presidential elections leaned Democratic as well, but President Barack Obama won the district by only 0.5%.
FEC: In contrast to the majority of elections, the incumbent does not have the monetary advantage in New York's 1st District. As of the April Quarterly Federal Election Commission (FEC) report, Bishop was leading Zeldin $722,062.86 to $410,746.08 in terms of cash on hand.[9][10] Demos had a significant lead over the other candidates, with $1,271,946.98 cash on hand.[11] It is important to note, however, that Demos contributed $2 million in loans to his own campaign, whereas Zeldin has been receiving more campaign donations from individuals in the District.[12]
- The information above was compiled following the New York candidate filing deadline. Please find all further updates on the 1st District's election page.
| New York's 1st Congressional District | |
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Population: 720,071 | |
See also
- U.S. House battleground districts, 2014
- New York's 1st Congressional District
- New York's 1st Congressional District elections, 2014
- Tim Bishop
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2014 House Race Ratings for August 8, 2014," accessed August 25, 2014
- ↑ FairVote's Monopoly Politics, "2014 House Projections," accessed August 25, 2014
- ↑ Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed August 25, 2014
- ↑ Biographical Directory of the United States Congress, "BISHOP, Timothy H., (1950 - )," accessed June 12, 2014
- ↑ New York State Board of Elections, "U.S. House of Representatives Results," accessed June 12, 2014
- ↑ New York State Board of Elections, "Candidate Petition List," accessed June 12, 2014
- ↑ FairVote, "2014 Elections in New York," accessed May 24, 2014
- ↑ The Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index, Districts of the 113th Congress," accessed May 24, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Tim Bishop April Quarterly," accessed April 24, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Lee Zeldin April Quarterly," accessed April 24, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "George Demos April Quarterly," accessed April 24, 2014
- ↑ 27 east, "Despite Limited Donations, Demos Outpaces Zeldin, Bishop In Campaign Spending," accessed June 12, 2014
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