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California's 51st Congressional District election, 2026
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California's 51st Congressional District |
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General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 6, 2026 |
Primary: June 2, 2026 General: November 3, 2026 |
How to vote |
Poll times:
7 a.m. to 8 p.m. |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Pending Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2026 |
See also |
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All U.S. House districts, including the 51st Congressional District of California, are holding elections in 2026. The general election is November 3, 2026. To learn more about other elections on the ballot, click here.
Candidates and election results
Note: The following list includes official candidates only. Ballotpedia defines official candidates as people who:
- Register with a federal or state campaign finance agency before the candidate filing deadline
- Appear on candidate lists released by government election agencies
General election
The general election will occur on November 3, 2026.
General election for U.S. House California District 51
Incumbent Sara Jacobs, John-Samuel Etheridge Williams, and Mike Bucy are running in the general election for U.S. House California District 51 on November 3, 2026.
Candidate | ||
![]() | Sara Jacobs (D) | |
![]() | John-Samuel Etheridge Williams (R) ![]() | |
Mike Bucy (Independent) |
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If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I’m a proud San Diego native of Mexican and African-American descent, a devoted husband, and a father of three amazing kids. I’m running for Congress, but not as a typical candidate. I’m committed to a grassroots campaign, just the people. I work at the airport, earning $18 an hour, a single income household in San Diego with three children so I understand the struggles of everyday families because I have been living it. With a BA in African American Studies and a Master’s in Public Administration I understand two things well, people and how good policy is made. Sadly these days policy is made without regard to the people it will affect. So I’m ready to fight for real change. This campaign isn’t driven by money—it’s driven by people. We don’t need wealth to make a difference but thats what I have been told you cant run a campaign without a big bank. We have made that the norm but this campaign will fight for the people because their voice matters more than money. Its NOT I the politician its WE the people so I am willing to take on the political establishment in order to protect the constitutional rights of my constituents."
Voting information
- See also: Voting in California
Ballotpedia will publish the dates and deadlines related to this election as they are made available.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
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|San Diego has for far too long been the untenable dream for many. For natives like my family you are forced to struggle amidst this coastal paradise or leave the place your family has called home for generations. Housing costs have far exceeded wages. Job growth has not exceeded grocery prices and the cost of health care casts a looming shadow every month for working class Americans. San Diegans deserve better. Working class families deserve better at-least the fight chance to make their own way in the city they've called home. I intend to make it my personal mission to make San Diego affordable again for my constituents and city. That is a tall order I know but it we work together on creative solutions we can work hard to grasp it.
How many of us have faith in our Congress? How many of us trust our Congress? It is not uncommon for many to even balk at the thought of trusting their representative body. That is because I believe they realize money and popularity has been prioritized over money.
I am FOR the people because I am FROM the people and I know its not I the politician its WE the people.
I will be unrelenting in the halls of Congress to see my community thrive again and to bring integrity back to politics.
You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
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Sara Jacobs | Democratic Party | $447,651 | $305,787 | $219,236 | As of June 30, 2025 |
John-Samuel Etheridge Williams | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Mike Bucy | Independent | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2026. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
Race ratings: California's 51st Congressional District election, 2026 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
9/23/2025 | 9/16/2025 | 9/9/2025 | 9/2/2025 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
This section will contain information on ballot access related to this state's elections when it is available.
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2020.
2024
See also: California's 51st Congressional District election, 2024
California's 51st Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 top-two primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 51
Incumbent Sara Jacobs defeated Bill Wells in the general election for U.S. House California District 51 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Sara Jacobs (D) | 60.7 | 198,835 |
![]() | Bill Wells (R) | 39.3 | 128,749 |
Total votes: 327,584 | ||||
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If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 51
Incumbent Sara Jacobs and Bill Wells defeated Stan Caplan and Hilaire Shioura in the primary for U.S. House California District 51 on March 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Sara Jacobs (D) | 57.4 | 90,901 |
✔ | ![]() | Bill Wells (R) | 39.1 | 61,923 |
Stan Caplan (No party preference) ![]() | 2.0 | 3,164 | ||
Hilaire Shioura (No party preference) ![]() | 1.6 | 2,496 |
Total votes: 158,484 | ||||
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If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Saul Rodriguez (D)
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 51
Incumbent Sara Jacobs defeated Stan Caplan in the general election for U.S. House California District 51 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Sara Jacobs (D) | 61.9 | 144,186 |
Stan Caplan (R) | 38.1 | 88,886 |
Total votes: 233,072 | ||||
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If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 51
Incumbent Sara Jacobs and Stan Caplan defeated Jose Cortes and Barrett Holman Leak in the primary for U.S. House California District 51 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Sara Jacobs (D) | 60.5 | 91,329 |
✔ | Stan Caplan (R) | 37.2 | 56,183 | |
Jose Cortes (Peace and Freedom Party of California) ![]() | 2.2 | 3,343 | ||
![]() | Barrett Holman Leak (D) (Write-in) ![]() | 0.0 | 55 |
Total votes: 150,910 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 51
Incumbent Juan Vargas defeated Juan Hidalgo in the general election for U.S. House California District 51 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Juan Vargas (D) | 68.3 | 165,596 |
![]() | Juan Hidalgo (R) | 31.7 | 76,841 |
Total votes: 242,437 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 51
Incumbent Juan Vargas and Juan Hidalgo advanced from the primary for U.S. House California District 51 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Juan Vargas (D) | 71.4 | 77,744 |
✔ | ![]() | Juan Hidalgo (R) | 28.6 | 31,209 |
Total votes: 108,953 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
District analysis
This section will contain facts and figures related to this district's elections when those are available.
See also
California | 2026 primaries | 2026 U.S. Congress elections |
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Voting in California California elections: 2026 • 2025 • 2024 • 2023 • 2022 • 2021 • 2020 • 2019 • 2018 |
Republican primary battlegrounds U.S. Senate Democratic primaries U.S. Senate Republican primaries U.S. House Democratic primaries U.S. House Republican primaries |
U.S. Senate elections U.S. House elections Special elections Ballot access |
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018