California's 12th Congressional District election, 2024
All U.S. House districts, including the 12th Congressional District of California, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was March 5, 2024. The filing deadline was December 8, 2023.
This race was one of 75 races in 2024 that was a rematch of the 2022 election. In 2024, Democrats won 39 of these matches, while Republicans won 36 of them. Democrats won 38 of those districts in 2022, and Republicans won 37.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 90.5%-9.5%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 89.3%-8.6%.[3]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 12
Lateefah Simon defeated Jennifer Tran in the general election for U.S. House California District 12 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Lateefah Simon (D) ![]() | 65.4 | 185,176 |
![]() | Jennifer Tran (D) ![]() | 34.6 | 97,849 |
Total votes: 283,025 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 12
The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 12 on March 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Lateefah Simon (D) ![]() | 55.9 | 86,031 |
✔ | ![]() | Jennifer Tran (D) ![]() | 14.9 | 22,999 |
![]() | Tony Daysog (D) ![]() | 11.2 | 17,222 | |
Stephen Slauson (R) | 6.3 | 9,710 | ||
![]() | Glenn Kaplan (D) ![]() | 4.4 | 6,799 | |
![]() | Eric Wilson (D) | 2.8 | 4,252 | |
![]() | Abdur Sikder (D) ![]() | 1.9 | 2,857 | |
Ned Nuerge (R) | 1.6 | 2,535 | ||
![]() | Andre Todd (D) | 1.1 | 1,632 |
Total votes: 154,037 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jason Woody (D)
- Denard Ingram (D)
- Tim Sanchez (D)
- John Marks (D)
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I have spent my career fighting for justice — fighting for folks without a voice. Now, as a 25-year veteran organizer and nationally recognized advocate for civil rights and social justice, I am running to take this fight to congress. I began my career in advocacy at age 16 as an outreach coordinator for the Young Women’s Freedom Center. At age 18, I gave birth to my eldest daughter, Aminah, and quickly learned as a young single mother that the government wasn’t working for people like myself. A year later, I became Executive Director of the YWFC and spent the next decade earning national acclaim for my advocacy on behalf of marginalized young women. In recognition of that work, I won a MacArthur “Genius” Fellowship, and at age 26, I became the youngest woman to receive this prestigious award. I was tapped by then-San Francisco District Attorney Kamala Harris to lead the creation of Back on Track — a highly effective, first-of-its-kind anti-recidivism initiative for young adults charged with low-level offenses. In 2016, galvanized by the death of Oscar Grant, I ran and was elected to the Bay Area Rapid Transit Board of Directors. Born legally blind, I relied solely on public transportation to go about my day and sought to make BART more affordable for working families and transit-dependent people like herself. I’ve spent my life fighting for folks without a voice. I will take the shared stories and experiences of this community to the halls of Congress."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House California District 12 in 2024.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Dr. Jennifer Tran is a CSU professor of Ethnic Studies, community organizer, and President of the Vietnamese Chamber of Commerce. Born and raised in Oakland as a daughter of war refugees, she earned her PhD from USC and has spent her entire professional career serving East Bay communities. The career politicians and party politics are failing and our cities are in decline. Both Washington and local governments are broken and we need to change the game. Our current crises around public safety, homelessness, and economic decay require a federal response with federal resources. Dr. Tran will propose a key legislation, the Modern Cities Act, that offers actionable, sensible solutions that will actually solve these urgent problems while creating opportunities for hard working families. Dr. Tran has a unique ability to find common ground that unites diverse communities across various sectors including business leaders, educators, social workers, firefighters, police, healthcare workers, government agencies, immigrants, victims of violence and other marginalized communities. Dr. Tran understands systems dysfunction and has the vision to restore and revive the East Bay and other similar promising regions across the country. You can learn more about Dr. Tran’s plan to transform and modernize our federal approach to these and other issues like universal healthcare, tuition-free education, Green New Deal, immigration and human rights at www.drtranforcongress.com"
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House California District 12 in 2024.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in California
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
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Lateefah Simon (D)
A lifelong resident of the Bay, I have dedicated myself to fighting for racial and social justice in Oakland and my community. As a Black woman and a single mother of two, I have seen firsthand how the most marginalized and disadvantaged communities, often immigrant communities and communities of color, are the first to have their civil and social rights be put on the chopping block by conservative legislators. I will champion comprehensive policing reform, expand voting rights, codify protections for reproductive care, and work to create a fair and humane immigration system that would disentangle the criminal system from the immigration system and expand legal pathways to work authorization and citizenship.
As a Congresswoman, I will always prioritize protecting housing as a human right. I will seek tenant protections, lift up tenant unions, and create an equitable playing field for renters. I know the impact that Rent Relief legislation will have by creating a refundable tax credit for renters paying over 30% of their income in rent. In CA-12, I encouraged collaboration between BART and the Oakland African American Chamber of Commerce (OAACC), supported SB 567, the Homelessness Prevention Act, and advocated for the revitalization of public housing. Having been a part of the public housing system, I’ve seen how this vital piece of infrastructure has been overlooked and underfunded for far too long.

Jennifer Tran (D)
American city and municipal governments are bastions of corruption and ineptitude. These local governments have determined the outcomes of the foundations of our society - public safety, homelessness and economic decay. Have you ever traveled outside the US and seen a clean and safe city? Did you wonder like I did, why the richest nation in the world doesn't have cities like that?
In my first 100 days in Congress, I will introduce a bill to the House floor called the Modern Cities Act (MCA). The MCA will create the cities of the future that we all deserve. This law will transform policing, end homelessness within two years, incentivize massive small business development, and usher in a new era of government fiscal transparency.
The advanced stages of climate collapse are on the horizon. Most scientists agree that we have passed the critical tipping points for hyper-destructive temperature increases. Large swaths of the planet will become uninhabitable with lost capacity to grow food. We need solutions now.

Lateefah Simon (D)

Jennifer Tran (D)

Lateefah Simon (D)

Jennifer Tran (D)

Lateefah Simon (D)

Jennifer Tran (D)

Lateefah Simon (D)

Jennifer Tran (D)

Jennifer Tran (D)

Jennifer Tran (D)

Jennifer Tran (D)

Jennifer Tran (D)

Lateefah Simon (D)

Jennifer Tran (D)

Lateefah Simon (D)

Jennifer Tran (D)

Lateefah Simon (D)

Jennifer Tran (D)

Lateefah Simon (D)

Lateefah Simon (D)

Jennifer Tran (D)
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tony Daysog | Democratic Party | $18,760 | $18,299 | $462 | As of December 31, 2023 |
Glenn Kaplan | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Abdur Sikder | Democratic Party | $21,938 | $21,946 | $-8 | As of April 16, 2024 |
Lateefah Simon | Democratic Party | $2,231,456 | $1,945,801 | $285,655 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Andre Todd | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Jennifer Tran | Democratic Party | $344,452 | $333,359 | $11,093 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Eric Wilson | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Ned Nuerge | Republican Party | $3,397 | $4,720 | $0 | As of March 31, 2024 |
Stephen Slauson | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
Race ratings: California's 12th Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in California in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in California, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
California | U.S. House | All candidates | 40-60 | $1,740.00[8] | 12/8/2023 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in California.
California U.S. House primary competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested top-two primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | |||||
2024 | 52 | 52 | 7 | 241 | 52 | 42 | 80.8% | 36 | 80.0% | |||||
2022 | 52 | 52 | 5 | 272 | 52 | 52 | 100.0% | 47 | 100.0% | |||||
2020 | 53 | 53 | 4 | 262 | 53 | 47 | 88.7% | 32 | 64.0% | |||||
2018 | 53 | 53 | 2 | 244 | 53 | 41 | 77.4% | 39 | 76.5% | |||||
2016 | 53 | 53 | 4 | 202 | 53 | 40 | 75.5% | 36 | 73.5% | |||||
2014 | 53 | 53 | 6 | 209 | 53 | 38 | 71.7% | 32 | 68.1% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in California in 2024. Information below was calculated on 1/16/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Two-hundred forty-one candidates filed to run for California's 52 U.S. House districts in 2024, including 125 Democrats, 88 Republicans, and 28 independent or minor party candidates. That’s 4.63 candidates per district. In 2022, the first election after the number of congressional districts in California decreased from 53 to 52 following the 2020 census, 5.2 candidates filed per district. In 2020, when the state still had 53 Congressional districts, 4.94 candidates filed per district. In 2018, 4.6 candidates filed.
The 241 candidates who ran in California in 2024 were the fewest total number of candidates since 2016, when 202 candidates ran. Forty-five incumbents—34 Democrats and 11 Republicans—ran for re-election. That was fewer than in 2022, when 47 incumbents ran. Six districts were open, one more than in 2022, and the most since 2014, when six districts were also open.
Incumbents Barbara Lee (D-12th), Adam Schiff (D-30th), and Katie Porter (D-47th) ran for the state’s open U.S. Senate seat. Incumbent Sen. Laphonza Butler (D) didn't run for re-election. Incumbents Grace Napolitano (D-31st), Tony Cárdenas (D-29th), and Anna Eshoo (D-16th) retired from public office. One incumbent—Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-20th)—left Congress before the end of his term. A special election was held to fill his seat before the general election.
Fifteen candidates—12 Democrats, two Republicans, and one nonpartisan—ran in the open 30th district, the most candidates running for a seat in 2024.
Forty-two primaries were contested, the fewest since 2018, when 41 were contested. All 52 primaries were contested in 2022, and 47 were in 2020. In California, which uses a top-two primary system, a primary is contested if more than two candidates file to run.
Incumbents ran in 35 of the 42 contested primaries. That’s lower than 2022, when 47 incumbents ran in contested primaries, but higher than every other year since 2014. In 2020, 32 incumbents faced contested primaries. Thirty-nine incumbents did so in 2018, 36 in 2016, and 32 in 2014.
Democratic candidates ran in every district. Republican candidates ran in every district except one—the 37th. Two Democrats, including incumbent Sydney Kamlage-Dove, one nonpartisan candidate, and one Peace and Freedom Party member ran in that district.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+40. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 40 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 12th the most Democratic district nationally.[9]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in California's 12th based on 2024 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
89.3% | 8.6% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[10] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Baseline ![]() |
Republican Baseline ![]() |
Difference | ||
90.0 | 9.6 | D+80.4 |
Presidential voting history
California presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 15 Democratic wins
- 15 Republican wins
- 1 other win
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | P[11] | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of California's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from California | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 2 | 43 | 45 |
Republican | 0 | 9 | 9 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 52 | 54 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in California's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in California, May 2024 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
California State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 32 | |
Republican Party | 8 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 40 |
California State Assembly
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 62 | |
Republican Party | 18 | |
Independent | 1 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 80 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
California Party Control: 1992-2024
Nineteen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Assembly | D | D | D | S | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 12
Incumbent Barbara Lee defeated Stephen Slauson in the general election for U.S. House California District 12 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Barbara Lee (D) | 90.5 | 217,110 | |
Stephen Slauson (R) | 9.5 | 22,859 |
Total votes: 239,969 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 12
Incumbent Barbara Lee and Stephen Slauson defeated Glenn Kaplan, Eric Wilson, and Ned Nuerge in the primary for U.S. House California District 12 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Barbara Lee (D) | 87.7 | 135,892 | |
✔ | Stephen Slauson (R) | 5.3 | 8,274 | |
![]() | Glenn Kaplan (No Party Affiliation) ![]() | 3.3 | 5,141 | |
![]() | Eric Wilson (D) | 2.4 | 3,753 | |
Ned Nuerge (R) | 1.2 | 1,902 |
Total votes: 154,962 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Greg Lentz (R)
- Eric Curry (D)
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 12
Incumbent Nancy Pelosi defeated Shahid Buttar in the general election for U.S. House California District 12 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Nancy Pelosi (D) | 77.6 | 281,776 | |
![]() | Shahid Buttar (D) ![]() | 22.4 | 81,174 |
Total votes: 362,950 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 12
The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 12 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Nancy Pelosi (D) | 74.0 | 190,590 | |
✔ | ![]() | Shahid Buttar (D) ![]() | 13.0 | 33,344 |
![]() | John Dennis (R) | 7.7 | 19,883 | |
![]() | Tom Gallagher (D) ![]() | 2.0 | 5,094 | |
![]() | DeAnna Lorraine (R) | 1.8 | 4,635 | |
Agatha Bacelar (D) ![]() | 1.5 | 3,890 |
Total votes: 257,436 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2018
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 12
Incumbent Nancy Pelosi defeated Lisa Remmer in the general election for U.S. House California District 12 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Nancy Pelosi (D) | 86.8 | 275,292 | |
![]() | Lisa Remmer (R) | 13.2 | 41,780 |
Total votes: 317,072 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 12
The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 12 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Nancy Pelosi (D) | 68.5 | 141,365 | |
✔ | ![]() | Lisa Remmer (R) | 9.1 | 18,771 |
![]() | Shahid Buttar (D) | 8.5 | 17,597 | |
Stephen Jaffe (D) | 5.9 | 12,114 | ||
![]() | Ryan Khojasteh (D) | 4.6 | 9,498 | |
![]() | Barry Hermanson (G) | 2.0 | 4,217 | |
Michael Goldstein (Independent) | 1.4 | 2,820 |
Total votes: 206,382 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Chase Demasi (R)
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ 2,000 signatures can be provided in lieu of the filing fee
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
- ↑ Progressive Party