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California's 12th Congressional District election, 2024

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2026
2022
California's 12th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Top-two primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 8, 2023
Primary: March 5, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in California
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
California's 12th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th19th20th21st22nd23rd24th25th26th27th28th29th30th31st32nd33rd34th35th36th37th38th39th40th41st42nd43rd44th45th46th47th48th49th50th51st52nd
California elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

All U.S. House districts, including the 12th Congressional District of California, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was March 5, 2024. The filing deadline was December 8, 2023.

This race was one of 75 races in 2024 that was a rematch of the 2022 election. In 2024, Democrats won 39 of these matches, while Republicans won 36 of them. Democrats won 38 of those districts in 2022, and Republicans won 37.

The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 90.5%-9.5%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 89.3%-8.6%.[3]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House California District 12

Lateefah Simon defeated Jennifer Tran in the general election for U.S. House California District 12 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Lateefah Simon
Lateefah Simon (D) Candidate Connection
 
65.4
 
185,176
Image of Jennifer Tran
Jennifer Tran (D) Candidate Connection
 
34.6
 
97,849

Total votes: 283,025
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 12

The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 12 on March 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Lateefah Simon
Lateefah Simon (D) Candidate Connection
 
55.9
 
86,031
Image of Jennifer Tran
Jennifer Tran (D) Candidate Connection
 
14.9
 
22,999
Image of Tony Daysog
Tony Daysog (D) Candidate Connection
 
11.2
 
17,222
Stephen Slauson (R)
 
6.3
 
9,710
Image of Glenn Kaplan
Glenn Kaplan (D) Candidate Connection
 
4.4
 
6,799
Image of Eric Wilson
Eric Wilson (D)
 
2.8
 
4,252
Image of Abdur Sikder
Abdur Sikder (D) Candidate Connection
 
1.9
 
2,857
Ned Nuerge (R)
 
1.6
 
2,535
Image of Andre Todd
Andre Todd (D)
 
1.1
 
1,632

Total votes: 154,037
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Lateefah Simon

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I have spent my career fighting for justice — fighting for folks without a voice. Now, as a 25-year veteran organizer and nationally recognized advocate for civil rights and social justice, I am running to take this fight to congress. I began my career in advocacy at age 16 as an outreach coordinator for the Young Women’s Freedom Center. At age 18, I gave birth to my eldest daughter, Aminah, and quickly learned as a young single mother that the government wasn’t working for people like myself. A year later, I became Executive Director of the YWFC and spent the next decade earning national acclaim for my advocacy on behalf of marginalized young women. In recognition of that work, I won a MacArthur “Genius” Fellowship, and at age 26, I became the youngest woman to receive this prestigious award. I was tapped by then-San Francisco District Attorney Kamala Harris to lead the creation of Back on Track — a highly effective, first-of-its-kind anti-recidivism initiative for young adults charged with low-level offenses. In 2016, galvanized by the death of Oscar Grant, I ran and was elected to the Bay Area Rapid Transit Board of Directors. Born legally blind, I relied solely on public transportation to go about my day and sought to make BART more affordable for working families and transit-dependent people like herself. I’ve spent my life fighting for folks without a voice. I will take the shared stories and experiences of this community to the halls of Congress."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


For over 30 years, I have been an advocate for public safety. I started the nationally recognized Back-on-Track program in then-DA Harris’ office to prevent recidivism. As a BART Director I created a new ambassador program of uniformed, unarmed, personnel trained in de-escalation to promote community safety on BART trains. In Congress, I will support comprehensive policing reform to ensure that policing reflects community values and upholds civil rights and reinvests resources in communities. I will champion legislation that addresses the housing crisis and funds affordable housing, closes loopholes in federal gun laws, and provides resources for mental health, addiction treatment, and programs geared towards preventing recidivism.


A lifelong resident of the Bay, I have dedicated myself to fighting for racial and social justice in Oakland and my community. As a Black woman and a single mother of two, I have seen firsthand how the most marginalized and disadvantaged communities, often immigrant communities and communities of color, are the first to have their civil and social rights be put on the chopping block by conservative legislators. I will champion comprehensive policing reform, expand voting rights, codify protections for reproductive care, and work to create a fair and humane immigration system that would disentangle the criminal system from the immigration system and expand legal pathways to work authorization and citizenship.


As a Congresswoman, I will always prioritize protecting housing as a human right. I will seek tenant protections, lift up tenant unions, and create an equitable playing field for renters. I know the impact that Rent Relief legislation will have by creating a refundable tax credit for renters paying over 30% of their income in rent. In CA-12, I encouraged collaboration between BART and the Oakland African American Chamber of Commerce (OAACC), supported SB 567, the Homelessness Prevention Act, and advocated for the revitalization of public housing. Having been a part of the public housing system, I’ve seen how this vital piece of infrastructure has been overlooked and underfunded for far too long.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House California District 12 in 2024.

Image of Jennifer Tran

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "Dr. Jennifer Tran is a CSU professor of Ethnic Studies, community organizer, and President of the Vietnamese Chamber of Commerce. Born and raised in Oakland as a daughter of war refugees, she earned her PhD from USC and has spent her entire professional career serving East Bay communities. The career politicians and party politics are failing and our cities are in decline. Both Washington and local governments are broken and we need to change the game. Our current crises around public safety, homelessness, and economic decay require a federal response with federal resources. Dr. Tran will propose a key legislation, the Modern Cities Act, that offers actionable, sensible solutions that will actually solve these urgent problems while creating opportunities for hard working families. Dr. Tran has a unique ability to find common ground that unites diverse communities across various sectors including business leaders, educators, social workers, firefighters, police, healthcare workers, government agencies, immigrants, victims of violence and other marginalized communities. Dr. Tran understands systems dysfunction and has the vision to restore and revive the East Bay and other similar promising regions across the country. You can learn more about Dr. Tran’s plan to transform and modernize our federal approach to these and other issues like universal healthcare, tuition-free education, Green New Deal, immigration and human rights at www.drtranforcongress.com"


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


This election is a battle for the future of what it means to be progressive. Do we want a political system where a millionaire puppet candidate is bought and controlled by a single billionaire? Do we want someone who spent the past decade forcing the dangerous ideology of defunding the police making it to congress to continue spreading that destructive policy experiment? Or do we want a candidate who will bring sensible solutions, bold vision, and real progress? Congress is broken because politicians have forgotten how to make compromises and lead together as Americans. We need to find the ideas that both parties can agree on and make federal laws that benefit working Americans. We can't allow the billionaire class to buy congress.


American city and municipal governments are bastions of corruption and ineptitude. These local governments have determined the outcomes of the foundations of our society - public safety, homelessness and economic decay. Have you ever traveled outside the US and seen a clean and safe city? Did you wonder like I did, why the richest nation in the world doesn't have cities like that? In my first 100 days in Congress, I will introduce a bill to the House floor called the Modern Cities Act (MCA). The MCA will create the cities of the future that we all deserve. This law will transform policing, end homelessness within two years, incentivize massive small business development, and usher in a new era of government fiscal transparency.


The advanced stages of climate collapse are on the horizon. Most scientists agree that we have passed the critical tipping points for hyper-destructive temperature increases. Large swaths of the planet will become uninhabitable with lost capacity to grow food. We need solutions now. My climate position is that we need to invest heavily as a nation in innovative technologies that can capture greenhouse gases at scale to reverse the temperature increases humans have caused. That is literally our only hope of reversing this trajectory we’re on. Any politician who tells you that they want to transition to clean power sources over time by incrementally changing human behavior simply doesn’t understand how dire the situation already is.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House California District 12 in 2024.

Voting information

See also: Voting in California

Election information in California: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 21, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 21, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: N/A
  • By mail: N/A by N/A
  • Online: N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Varies to Nov. 4, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 8:00 p.m. (PST)

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

For over 30 years, I have been an advocate for public safety. I started the nationally recognized Back-on-Track program in then-DA Harris’ office to prevent recidivism. As a BART Director I created a new ambassador program of uniformed, unarmed, personnel trained in de-escalation to promote community safety on BART trains. In Congress, I will support comprehensive policing reform to ensure that policing reflects community values and upholds civil rights and reinvests resources in communities. I will champion legislation that addresses the housing crisis and funds affordable housing, closes loopholes in federal gun laws, and provides resources for mental health, addiction treatment, and programs geared towards preventing recidivism.

A lifelong resident of the Bay, I have dedicated myself to fighting for racial and social justice in Oakland and my community. As a Black woman and a single mother of two, I have seen firsthand how the most marginalized and disadvantaged communities, often immigrant communities and communities of color, are the first to have their civil and social rights be put on the chopping block by conservative legislators. I will champion comprehensive policing reform, expand voting rights, codify protections for reproductive care, and work to create a fair and humane immigration system that would disentangle the criminal system from the immigration system and expand legal pathways to work authorization and citizenship.

As a Congresswoman, I will always prioritize protecting housing as a human right. I will seek tenant protections, lift up tenant unions, and create an equitable playing field for renters. I know the impact that Rent Relief legislation will have by creating a refundable tax credit for renters paying over 30% of their income in rent. In CA-12, I encouraged collaboration between BART and the Oakland African American Chamber of Commerce (OAACC), supported SB 567, the Homelessness Prevention Act, and advocated for the revitalization of public housing. Having been a part of the public housing system, I’ve seen how this vital piece of infrastructure has been overlooked and underfunded for far too long.
This election is a battle for the future of what it means to be progressive. Do we want a political system where a millionaire puppet candidate is bought and controlled by a single billionaire? Do we want someone who spent the past decade forcing the dangerous ideology of defunding the police making it to congress to continue spreading that destructive policy experiment? Or do we want a candidate who will bring sensible solutions, bold vision, and real progress? Congress is broken because politicians have forgotten how to make compromises and lead together as Americans. We need to find the ideas that both parties can agree on and make federal laws that benefit working Americans. We can't allow the billionaire class to buy congress.

American city and municipal governments are bastions of corruption and ineptitude. These local governments have determined the outcomes of the foundations of our society - public safety, homelessness and economic decay. Have you ever traveled outside the US and seen a clean and safe city? Did you wonder like I did, why the richest nation in the world doesn't have cities like that?

In my first 100 days in Congress, I will introduce a bill to the House floor called the Modern Cities Act (MCA). The MCA will create the cities of the future that we all deserve. This law will transform policing, end homelessness within two years, incentivize massive small business development, and usher in a new era of government fiscal transparency.

The advanced stages of climate collapse are on the horizon. Most scientists agree that we have passed the critical tipping points for hyper-destructive temperature increases. Large swaths of the planet will become uninhabitable with lost capacity to grow food. We need solutions now.

My climate position is that we need to invest heavily as a nation in innovative technologies that can capture greenhouse gases at scale to reverse the temperature increases humans have caused. That is literally our only hope of reversing this trajectory we’re on. Any politician who tells you that they want to transition to clean power sources over time by incrementally changing human behavior simply doesn’t understand how dire the situation already is.
Public transportation has always been one of my top priorities. Through my experience on the BART Board of Directors, my daily commutes on public transportation, and being born legally blind, I know first hand how transportation touches every person’s life. Economic Justice, Public Safety, and Access to affordable, high-quality healthcare as a fundamental human right are also public policy areas where I have worked my whole life to make more accessible and equitable. These policies all go hand in hand, and success of one has a profound effect on the success of another - especially in CA-12. That is why I will take them head on, equipped with an arsenal of cross culture, cross faith, and cross industry collective of experts and partners.
The federal government should stop funding empirical geopolitical wars and reinvest in our own infrastructure. The Modern Cities Act focuses on federally-funded solutions to establish public safety, eliminate homelessness, and reverse economic decay in every American city. We will pay for the MCA by taxing billionaires and eliminating wasteful redundancies in federal spending. Beyond the MCA, my priorities are climate change, immigration, human rights, education, and fiscal transparency for all levels of government.
I believe elected officials should be held to the highest standards and held accountable by everyone - supporters who casted their vote for them, voters who voted a different way, organizations or unions who have endorsed them - everyone. That means being available, open, and proactive in building relationships with stakeholders and thought leaders who represent every aspect of their district. I believe this characteristic of being a true coalition builder and organizer is the most important characteristic for an elected official. Once in office, we are not only beholden to our supporters - We are responsible for and represent everyone. Throughout my campaign, I've been intentional about meeting folks where they are at - where they live, where they do business, and where they raise their families - to understand how I can best represent them and bring home the necessary funding to improve their lives. As the next Congresswoman for CA-12, I will continue this coalition building and be a true representative for my entire district. In line with being a representative for the entire district, I think another important characteristic for an elected official is lifting up the voices of their constituents. Everyone has a story to tell about how their lives could be improved, where the government is missing in action, or where an inadequate public service could be better equipped to serve the needs of the people. It's the job of an elected official to take those stories and experiences with them to Congress and give the voices of their constituents a national platform.
Honesty, Integrity, Vision, Ability to Compromise
The core responsibilities for someone elected to Congress are to bring home federal resources to improve their district, take positions and votes that reflect the priorities of the constituency, and be a leading voice in Congress to not only advocate for the policy priorities of the district, but to lead and develop new and sensible legislation that continuously pushes the envelope on how the government can better provide for folks who need the most help.
Congressional Representatives need to represent ALL their constituents, not just one community.
My very first job was at age 16 as an outreach coordinator for the Young Women’s Freedom Center (YWFC). 3 years later, I became Executive Director of YWFC and spent the next decade advocating on behalf of marginalized young women. In recognition of that work, I was honored with the MacArthur “Genius” Fellowship, and became the youngest woman to receive this prestigious award at 26.
It has been a struggle in my life to be an agent of truth. It is often a very lonely path because people can be so adverse to accepting difficult truths.
US House of Representatives has the capacity to fund the federal government and determine the legislative future of the nation.
No, I believe that we need more people from outside the political apparatus to run for office and modernize a very dysfunctional political system.
We need to redefine American exceptionalism. We should not be exporting geopolitical global war for empire building. We should be developing the most advanced skills in the world at mediation and diplomacy. The last anti-war president in the White House was Jimmy Carter. If we became the great mediators of geopolitical conflict instead of the purveyors of perpetual global war, we could resume the mantle of world leaders that has been lost over the past decade. We also need to reinvest in small business in a large way in order to keep up with other world economies.
I support term limits. As we’ve seen with the United States Supreme Court, offices that do not have term limits allow for an extended and uninterrupted abuse of power without a process of checks and balances through democratic methods. It is not the duty of elected and appointed officials to hold office power for as long as they can - their duty is to serve and represent the people. And as time progresses, the democratic process should continue to function to allow new and fresh voices into positions of power.
Term limits are very necessary for all elected officials and especially Supreme Court Justices.
After spending the last 30 years as an organizer and coalition builder, I’ve learned first hand how integral compromise is to successful and productive relationships. In Washington, I won’t always agree with every single member of Congress on their policies or decision making, but I will always be open to working with proactive individuals if it means pushing through equitable and effective legislation based in sensible policy that will benefit my folks in CA-12 and families across the country.
Compromise is essential for policymaking, yet compromise is precisely what's missing from Congress at this point in time.
Since announcing my campaign I have been endorsed by several statewide and nationally elected Democratic leaders including Governor Gavin Newsom, Representative Barbara Lee, Attorney General Rob Bonta, and Senators Alex Padilla and Laphonza Butler. I have also received endorsements from a variety of organizations including EMILY's List, Giffords PAC, Congressional Progressive Caucus, and the East Bay Young Democrats.
ASPIRE PAC and LPAC
From day one I’ve known that I would join the Transportation and Infrastructure committee. I understand how crucial safe, comfortable, and reliable public transportation is, not only in my district but for the rest of the country too. As someone who is legally blind and has never driven a car, public transportation has always been an incredibly important part of my life and my advocacy. It’s why I joined the BART board and led the board as president through the pandemic, securing the funding necessary to keep the service alive for our essential workers, despite the sudden drop in ridership.
As a member of Congress, I will aim to reduce the influence of big money interest in politics by eliminating secret corporate spending in elections, promoting transparency and accountability in government, and supporting a ban on stock trading and ownership for members of Congress and the Federal Judiciary. In an age of partisan judiciaries, politicization of judicial interpretation of laws, and a Supreme Court that has exposed itself to be vulnerable to external lobbying and gift-giving, I will work to provide sorely needed reform to the Supreme Court and the lower courts. I will support expanding the number of justices on the bench, implementing term limits, and creating new judgeships across the federal system. I will also support and help impose an enforceable code of conduct on the Supreme Court, including instituting accountability measures and restrictions on gifts and requiring judicial disclosures and recusal.
Please see the Modern Cities Act on our website www.drtranforcongress.com


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Tony Daysog Democratic Party $18,760 $18,299 $462 As of December 31, 2023
Glenn Kaplan Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Abdur Sikder Democratic Party $21,938 $21,946 $-8 As of April 16, 2024
Lateefah Simon Democratic Party $2,231,456 $1,945,801 $285,655 As of December 31, 2024
Andre Todd Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Jennifer Tran Democratic Party $344,452 $333,359 $11,093 As of December 31, 2024
Eric Wilson Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Ned Nuerge Republican Party $3,397 $4,720 $0 As of March 31, 2024
Stephen Slauson Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]

Race ratings: California's 12th Congressional District election, 2024
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2024October 29, 2024October 22, 2024October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Decision Desk HQ and The HillSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in California in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in California, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
California U.S. House All candidates 40-60 $1,740.00[8] 12/8/2023 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_ca_congressional_district_012.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in California.

California U.S. House primary competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested top-two primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 52 52 7 241 52 42 80.8% 36 80.0%
2022 52 52 5 272 52 52 100.0% 47 100.0%
2020 53 53 4 262 53 47 88.7% 32 64.0%
2018 53 53 2 244 53 41 77.4% 39 76.5%
2016 53 53 4 202 53 40 75.5% 36 73.5%
2014 53 53 6 209 53 38 71.7% 32 68.1%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in California in 2024. Information below was calculated on 1/16/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Two-hundred forty-one candidates filed to run for California's 52 U.S. House districts in 2024, including 125 Democrats, 88 Republicans, and 28 independent or minor party candidates. That’s 4.63 candidates per district. In 2022, the first election after the number of congressional districts in California decreased from 53 to 52 following the 2020 census, 5.2 candidates filed per district. In 2020, when the state still had 53 Congressional districts, 4.94 candidates filed per district. In 2018, 4.6 candidates filed.

The 241 candidates who ran in California in 2024 were the fewest total number of candidates since 2016, when 202 candidates ran. Forty-five incumbents—34 Democrats and 11 Republicans—ran for re-election. That was fewer than in 2022, when 47 incumbents ran. Six districts were open, one more than in 2022, and the most since 2014, when six districts were also open.

Incumbents Barbara Lee (D-12th), Adam Schiff (D-30th), and Katie Porter (D-47th) ran for the state’s open U.S. Senate seat. Incumbent Sen. Laphonza Butler (D) didn't run for re-election. Incumbents Grace Napolitano (D-31st), Tony Cárdenas (D-29th), and Anna Eshoo (D-16th) retired from public office. One incumbent—Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-20th)—left Congress before the end of his term. A special election was held to fill his seat before the general election.

Fifteen candidates—12 Democrats, two Republicans, and one nonpartisan—ran in the open 30th district, the most candidates running for a seat in 2024.

Forty-two primaries were contested, the fewest since 2018, when 41 were contested. All 52 primaries were contested in 2022, and 47 were in 2020. In California, which uses a top-two primary system, a primary is contested if more than two candidates file to run.

Incumbents ran in 35 of the 42 contested primaries. That’s lower than 2022, when 47 incumbents ran in contested primaries, but higher than every other year since 2014. In 2020, 32 incumbents faced contested primaries. Thirty-nine incumbents did so in 2018, 36 in 2016, and 32 in 2014.

Democratic candidates ran in every district. Republican candidates ran in every district except one—the 37th. Two Democrats, including incumbent Sydney Kamlage-Dove, one nonpartisan candidate, and one Peace and Freedom Party member ran in that district.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+40. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 40 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 12th the most Democratic district nationally.[9]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in California's 12th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
89.3% 8.6%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[10] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
90.0 9.6 D+80.4

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in California, 2020

California presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 15 Democratic wins
  • 15 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R P[11] D R R R D D D D D R R R D R R R R R R D D D D D D D D
See also: Party control of California state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of California's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from California
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 43 45
Republican 0 9 9
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 52 54

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in California's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in California, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Gavin Newsom
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Eleni Kounalakis
Secretary of State Democratic Party Shirley Weber
Attorney General Democratic Party Rob Bonta

State legislature

California State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 32
     Republican Party 8
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 40

California State Assembly

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 62
     Republican Party 18
     Independent 1
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 80

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

California Party Control: 1992-2024
Nineteen years of Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor R R R R R R R D D D D D R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
Assembly D D D S R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.

2022

See also: California's 12th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House California District 12

Incumbent Barbara Lee defeated Stephen Slauson in the general election for U.S. House California District 12 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Barbara Lee
Barbara Lee (D)
 
90.5
 
217,110
Stephen Slauson (R)
 
9.5
 
22,859

Total votes: 239,969
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 12

Incumbent Barbara Lee and Stephen Slauson defeated Glenn Kaplan, Eric Wilson, and Ned Nuerge in the primary for U.S. House California District 12 on June 7, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Barbara Lee
Barbara Lee (D)
 
87.7
 
135,892
Stephen Slauson (R)
 
5.3
 
8,274
Image of Glenn Kaplan
Glenn Kaplan (No Party Affiliation) Candidate Connection
 
3.3
 
5,141
Image of Eric Wilson
Eric Wilson (D)
 
2.4
 
3,753
Ned Nuerge (R)
 
1.2
 
1,902

Total votes: 154,962
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2020

See also: California's 12th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House California District 12

Incumbent Nancy Pelosi defeated Shahid Buttar in the general election for U.S. House California District 12 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Nancy Pelosi
Nancy Pelosi (D)
 
77.6
 
281,776
Image of Shahid Buttar
Shahid Buttar (D) Candidate Connection
 
22.4
 
81,174

Total votes: 362,950
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 12

The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 12 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Nancy Pelosi
Nancy Pelosi (D)
 
74.0
 
190,590
Image of Shahid Buttar
Shahid Buttar (D) Candidate Connection
 
13.0
 
33,344
Image of John Dennis
John Dennis (R)
 
7.7
 
19,883
Image of Tom Gallagher
Tom Gallagher (D) Candidate Connection
 
2.0
 
5,094
Image of DeAnna Lorraine
DeAnna Lorraine (R)
 
1.8
 
4,635
Image of Agatha Bacelar
Agatha Bacelar (D) Candidate Connection
 
1.5
 
3,890

Total votes: 257,436
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2018

See also: California's 12th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House California District 12

Incumbent Nancy Pelosi defeated Lisa Remmer in the general election for U.S. House California District 12 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Nancy Pelosi
Nancy Pelosi (D)
 
86.8
 
275,292
Image of Lisa Remmer
Lisa Remmer (R)
 
13.2
 
41,780

Total votes: 317,072
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 12

The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 12 on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Nancy Pelosi
Nancy Pelosi (D)
 
68.5
 
141,365
Image of Lisa Remmer
Lisa Remmer (R)
 
9.1
 
18,771
Image of Shahid Buttar
Shahid Buttar (D)
 
8.5
 
17,597
Image of Stephen Jaffe
Stephen Jaffe (D)
 
5.9
 
12,114
Image of Ryan Khojasteh
Ryan Khojasteh (D)
 
4.6
 
9,498
Image of Barry Hermanson
Barry Hermanson (G)
 
2.0
 
4,217
Michael Goldstein (Independent)
 
1.4
 
2,820

Total votes: 206,382
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates



See also

California 2024 primaries 2024 U.S. Congress elections
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Footnotes

  1. A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
  2. These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
  3. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  4. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  8. 2,000 signatures can be provided in lieu of the filing fee
  9. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  10. Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
  11. Progressive Party


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Adam Gray (D)
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