California's 45th Congressional District
California's 45th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Derek Tran (D).
As of the 2020 Census, California representatives represented an average of 761,091 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 704,566 residents.
Elections
2024
See also: California's 45th Congressional District election, 2024
California's 45th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 top-two primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 45
Derek Tran defeated incumbent Michelle Steel in the general election for U.S. House California District 45 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Derek Tran (D) ![]() | 50.1 | 158,264 |
![]() | Michelle Steel (R) | 49.9 | 157,611 |
Total votes: 315,875 | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 45
Incumbent Michelle Steel and Derek Tran defeated Kim Nguyen-Penaloza, Cheyenne Hunt, and Aditya Pai in the primary for U.S. House California District 45 on March 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Michelle Steel (R) | 54.9 | 78,022 |
✔ | ![]() | Derek Tran (D) ![]() | 15.9 | 22,546 |
![]() | Kim Nguyen-Penaloza (D) | 15.6 | 22,179 | |
![]() | Cheyenne Hunt (D) | 8.4 | 11,973 | |
![]() | Aditya Pai (D) | 5.2 | 7,399 |
Total votes: 142,119 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jimmy Pham (D)
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 45
Incumbent Michelle Steel defeated Jay Chen in the general election for U.S. House California District 45 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Michelle Steel (R) | 52.4 | 113,960 |
Jay Chen (D) ![]() | 47.6 | 103,466 |
Total votes: 217,426 | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 45
Incumbent Michelle Steel and Jay Chen defeated Long Pham and Hilaire Shioura in the primary for U.S. House California District 45 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Michelle Steel (R) | 48.2 | 65,641 |
✔ | Jay Chen (D) ![]() | 43.1 | 58,721 | |
![]() | Long Pham (R) | 8.6 | 11,732 | |
Hilaire Shioura (No party preference) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 6 |
Total votes: 136,100 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Terry Dale (R)
- Shawn Collins (R)
- Jennifer Richter (R)
- Adam Hancock (R)
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 45
Incumbent Katie Porter defeated Greg Raths in the general election for U.S. House California District 45 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Katie Porter (D) | 53.5 | 221,843 |
Greg Raths (R) ![]() | 46.5 | 193,096 |
Total votes: 414,939 | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 45
The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 45 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Katie Porter (D) | 50.8 | 112,986 |
✔ | Greg Raths (R) ![]() | 17.9 | 39,942 | |
![]() | Don Sedgwick (R) ![]() | 12.8 | 28,465 | |
![]() | Peggy Huang (R) ![]() | 11.1 | 24,780 | |
![]() | Lisa Sparks (R) | 4.0 | 8,861 | |
Christopher Gonzales (R) | 2.4 | 5,443 | ||
![]() | Rhonda Furin (R) | 1.0 | 2,140 |
Total votes: 222,617 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Brian Forde (D)
- Julie Proctor (R)
- Mimi Walters (R)
- Brenton Woolworth (R)
- Ray Gennawey (R)
- Aditya Pai (D)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 45
Katie Porter defeated incumbent Mimi Walters in the general election for U.S. House California District 45 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Katie Porter (D) ![]() | 52.1 | 158,906 |
![]() | Mimi Walters (R) | 47.9 | 146,383 |
Total votes: 305,289 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 45
The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 45 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Mimi Walters (R) | 51.7 | 86,764 |
✔ | ![]() | Katie Porter (D) ![]() | 20.3 | 34,078 |
![]() | Dave Min (D) | 17.8 | 29,979 | |
![]() | Brian Forde (D) | 6.0 | 10,107 | |
John Graham (Independent) | 2.3 | 3,817 | ||
![]() | Kia Hamadanchy (D) | 1.9 | 3,212 |
Total votes: 167,957 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Greg Ramsay (D)
- Eric Rywalski (D)
- Ron Varasteh (D)
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Mimi Walters (R) defeated Ron Varasteh (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Walters and Varasteh defeated Greg Raths (R) and Max Gouron (D) in the top-two primary on June 7, 2016.[1][2]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
58.6% | 182,618 | |
Democratic | Ron Varasteh | 41.4% | 129,231 | |
Total Votes | 311,849 | |||
Source: California Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican |
![]() |
40.9% | 65,773 | |
Democratic | ![]() |
27.6% | 44,449 | |
Republican | Greg Raths | 19.2% | 30,961 | |
Democratic | Max Gouron | 12.3% | 19,716 | |
Total Votes | 160,899 | |||
Source: California Secretary of State |
2014
The 45th Congressional District of California held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Mimi Walters (R) defeated Drew Leavens (D) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
65.1% | 106,083 | |
Democratic | Drew Leavens | 34.9% | 56,819 | |
Total Votes | 162,902 | |||
Source: California Secretary of State |
2012
The 45th Congressional District of California held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. District 48 incumbent John Campbell won election in the district.[3]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
58.5% | 171,417 | |
Democratic | Sukhee Kang | 41.5% | 121,814 | |
Total Votes | 293,231 | |||
Source: California Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" |
2010
On November 2, 2010, Mary Bono Mack won re-election to the United States House. She defeated Steve Pougnet (D) and Bill Lussenheide (American Independent) in the general election.[4]
2008
On November 4, 2008, Mary Bono Mack won re-election to the United States House. She defeated Julie Bornstein (D) in the general election.[5]
U.S. House, California District 45 General Election, 2008 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | ![]() |
58.3% | 155,166 | |
Democratic | Julie Bornstein | 41.7% | 111,026 | |
Total Votes | 266,192 |
2006
On November 7, 2006, Mary Bono Mack won re-election to the United States House. She defeated David Roth (D) in the general election.[6]
U.S. House, California District 45 General Election, 2006 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | ![]() |
60.7% | 99,638 | |
Democratic | David Roth | 39.3% | 64,613 | |
Total Votes | 164,251 |
2004
On November 2, 2004, Mary Bono Mack won re-election to the United States House. She defeated Richard Meyer (D) in the general election.[7]
U.S. House, California District 45 General Election, 2004 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | ![]() |
66.6% | 153,523 | |
Democratic | Richard Meyer | 33.4% | 76,967 | |
Total Votes | 230,490 |
2002
On November 5, 2002, Mary Bono Mack won re-election to the United States House. She defeated Elle Kurpiewski (D) and Rodney Leon Miller-Boyer (L) in the general election.[8]
2000
On November 7, 2000, Dana Rohrabacher won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Ted Crisell (D), Don Hull (L) and Constance Betton (Natural Law) in the general election.[9]
1998
On November 3, 1998, Dana Rohrabacher won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Patricia Neal (D), Don Hull (L) and Willaim Verkamp, Jr. (Natural Law) in the general election.[10]
1996
On November 5, 1996, Dana Rohrabacher won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Sally Alexander (D), Mark Murphy (L) and Rand McDevitt (Natural Law) in the general election.[11]
1994
On November 8, 1994, Dana Rohrabacher won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Brett Williamson (D) in the general election.[12]
U.S. House, California District 45 General Election, 1994 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | ![]() |
69.1% | 124,875 | |
Democratic | Brett Williamson | 30.9% | 55,849 | |
Total Votes | 180,724 |
1992
On November 3, 1992, Dana Rohrabacher won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Patricia McCabe (D) and Gary Copeland (L) in the general election.[13]
1990
On November 6, 1990, Duncan Hunter won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Joe Shea (L) in the general election.[14]
U.S. House, California District 45 General Election, 1990 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | ![]() |
72.8% | 123,591 | |
Libertarian | Joe Shea | 27.2% | 46,068 | |
Total Votes | 169,659 |
District map
Redistricting
2020-2021
The California Citizens Redistricting Commission voted 14-0 in favor of a new congressional district map on December 20, 2021, and delivered those maps to the secretary of state on December 27, 2021.[15][16] California was apportioned 52 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives after the 2020 census, a net loss of one seat compared to apportionment after the 2010 census. This map took effect for California's 2022 congressional elections.
How does redistricting in California work? In California, a non-politician commission draws both congressional and state legislative district lines. Established in 2008 by ballot initiative, the commission comprises 14 members: five Democrats, five Republicans, and four belonging to neither party. A panel of state auditors selects the pool of nominees from which the commissioners are appointed. This pool comprises 20 Democrats, 20 Republicans, and 20 belonging to neither party. The majority and minority leaders of both chambers of the state legislature may each remove two members from each of the aforementioned groups. The first eight commission members are selected at random from the remaining nominees. These first eight comprise three Democrats, three Republicans, and two belonging to neither party. The first eight commissioners appoint the remaining six, which must include two Democrats, two Republicans, and two belonging to neither party.[17]
Commissioners must meet the following requirements in order to serve:[17]
- Members must have voted in at least two of the last three statewide elections.
- Members cannot have switched party affiliation for at least five years.
- "Neither commissioners nor immediate family may have been, within 10 years of appointment, a candidate for federal or state office or member of a party central committee; an officer, employee, or paid consultant to a federal or state candidate or party; a registered lobbyist or paid legislative staff; or a donor of more than $2,000 to an elected candidate."
- Members cannot be "staff, consultants or contractors for state or federal government" while serving as commissioners. The same prohibition applies to the family of commission members.
In order to approve a redistricting plan, nine of the commission's 14 members must vote for it. These nine must include three Democrats, three Republicans, and three belonging to neither party. Maps drawn by the commission may be overturned by public referendum. In the event that a map is overturned by the public, the California Supreme Court must appoint a group to draw a new map.[17]
The California Constitution requires that districts be contiguous. Further, the state constitution mandates that "to the extent possible, [districts] must ... preserve the geographic integrity of cities, counties, neighborhoods and communities of interest." Districts must also "encourage compactness." State Senate and Assembly districts should be nested within each other where possible.[17]
California District 45
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
California District 45
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
2010-2011
In 2011, the California State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
2026
Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is D+1. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 1 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 45th the 202nd most Democratic district nationally.[18]
2024
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+2. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 2 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 45th the 195th most Democratic district nationally.[19]
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 52.1%-46.0%.[20]
2022
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+2. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 2 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 45th the 193rd most Democratic district nationally.[21]
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 52.1% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 46.0%.[22]
2018
Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+3. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 3 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made California's 45th Congressional District the 211th most Republican nationally.[23]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.95. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.95 points toward that party.[24]
See also
- Redistricting in California
- California's 45th Congressional District election, 2024
- California's 45th Congressional District election, 2022
- California's 45th Congressional District election, 2020
- California's 45th Congressional District election, 2018
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ California Secretary of State, "Certified List of Candidates for Voter-Nominated Offices June 7, 2016, Presidential Primary Election," accessed April 4, 2016
- ↑ The New York Times, "California Primary Results," June 7, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, California," accessed August 15, 2012
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1998," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 1996," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 8, 1994," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1992," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 1990," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ Politico, "California’s new congressional map boosts Democrats," Dec. 21, 2021
- ↑ Lake County News, "California Citizens Redistricting Commission delivers maps to California Secretary of State," Dec. 28, 2021
- ↑ 17.0 17.1 17.2 17.3 All About Redistricting, "California," accessed April 21, 2015
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018