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Colorado's 5th Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
Colorado's 5th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 17, 2020
Primary: June 30, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Doug Lamborn (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Colorado
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Colorado's 5th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th
Colorado elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 5th Congressional District of Colorado, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Doug Lamborn won election in the general election for U.S. House Colorado District 5.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 17, 2020
June 30, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican Doug Lamborn, who was first elected in 2006.

Colorado's 5th Congressional District is located in central Colorado and includes Chaffee, El Paso, Fremont, and Teller counties. Portions of Park County are also located within the district.[4]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Colorado's 5th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 41.8 37.4
Republican candidate Republican Party 54.7 57.6
Difference 12.9 20.2

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Colorado did not modify any procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Colorado District 5

Incumbent Doug Lamborn defeated Jillian Freeland, Ed Duffett, Marcus Murphy, and Rebecca Keltie in the general election for U.S. House Colorado District 5 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Doug Lamborn
Doug Lamborn (R)
 
57.6
 
249,013
Image of Jillian Freeland
Jillian Freeland (D) Candidate Connection
 
37.4
 
161,600
Image of Ed Duffett
Ed Duffett (L) Candidate Connection
 
3.4
 
14,777
Image of Marcus Murphy
Marcus Murphy (Independent)
 
0.9
 
3,708
Image of Rebecca Keltie
Rebecca Keltie (Unity Party) Candidate Connection
 
0.8
 
3,309

Total votes: 432,407
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Colorado District 5

Jillian Freeland advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Colorado District 5 on June 30, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jillian Freeland
Jillian Freeland Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
76,033

Total votes: 76,033
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Colorado District 5

Incumbent Doug Lamborn advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Colorado District 5 on June 30, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Doug Lamborn
Doug Lamborn
 
100.0
 
104,302

Total votes: 104,302
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Colorado District 5

Doug Lunde advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Colorado District 5 on April 13, 2020.

Candidate
Doug Lunde (L)

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Unity Party convention

Unity Party convention for U.S. House Colorado District 5

Rebecca Keltie advanced from the Unity Party convention for U.S. House Colorado District 5 on April 4, 2020.

Candidate
Image of Rebecca Keltie
Rebecca Keltie (Unity Party) Candidate Connection

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Four of 64 Colorado counties—6 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Conejos County, Colorado 3.56% 9.22% 12.93%
Huerfano County, Colorado 6.61% 8.27% 11.23%
Las Animas County, Colorado 15.60% 2.65% 7.04%
Pueblo County, Colorado 0.50% 13.99% 14.97%

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Colorado with 48.2 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 43.3 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Colorado voted Republican 63.3 percent of the time and Democratic 36.7 percent of the time. Colorado voted Republican in the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections, but voted Democratic in the 2008, 2012, and 2016 elections.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Colorado. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[5][6]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 37 out of 65 state House districts in Colorado with an average margin of victory of 27.3 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 40 out of 65 state House districts in Colorado with an average margin of victory of 24.8 points. Clinton won four districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 28 out of 65 state House districts in Colorado with an average margin of victory of 21.2 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 25 out of 65 state House districts in Colorado with an average margin of victory of 25.8 points. Trump won one district controlled by a Democrat heading into the 2018 elections.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+14, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 14 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Colorado's 5th Congressional District the 95th most Republican nationally.[7]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.11. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.11 points toward that party.[8]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[9] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[10] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Doug Lamborn Republican Party $601,762 $390,061 $428,777 As of December 31, 2020
Jillian Freeland Democratic Party $191,001 $181,294 $553 As of December 31, 2020
Ed Duffett Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Rebecca Keltie Unity Party $2,552 $1,495 $2,596 As of September 11, 2020
Marcus Murphy Independent $895 $10,921 $0 As of December 31, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[11]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[12][13][14]

Race ratings: Colorado's 5th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 5th Congressional District candidates in Colorado in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Colorado, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Colorado 5th Congressional District Major party 1,500 1,500 or 10% of votes cast in last primary (whichever is less) N/A N/A 3/17/2020 Source
Colorado 5th Congressional District Unaffiliated 1,500 1,500, or 2.5% of votes cast for office in last election (whichever is less) N/A N/A 7/9/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: Colorado's 5th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Colorado District 5

Incumbent Doug Lamborn defeated Stephany Rose Spaulding and Douglas Randall in the general election for U.S. House Colorado District 5 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Doug Lamborn
Doug Lamborn (R)
 
57.0
 
184,002
Image of Stephany Rose Spaulding
Stephany Rose Spaulding (D)
 
39.3
 
126,848
Douglas Randall (L)
 
3.7
 
11,795
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
71

Total votes: 322,716
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Colorado District 5

Stephany Rose Spaulding advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Colorado District 5 on June 26, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Stephany Rose Spaulding
Stephany Rose Spaulding
 
100.0
 
45,466

Total votes: 45,466
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Colorado District 5

Incumbent Doug Lamborn defeated Darryl Glenn, Owen Hill, Bill Rhea, and Tyler Stevens in the Republican primary for U.S. House Colorado District 5 on June 26, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Doug Lamborn
Doug Lamborn
 
52.2
 
54,974
Image of Darryl Glenn
Darryl Glenn
 
20.4
 
21,479
Image of Owen Hill
Owen Hill
 
18.2
 
19,141
Image of Bill Rhea
Bill Rhea
 
5.9
 
6,167
Tyler Stevens
 
3.5
 
3,643

Total votes: 105,404
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2016

See also: Colorado's 5th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Doug Lamborn (R) defeated Misty Plowright (D), Mike McRedmond (L), and Curtis Imrie (Write-in) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Lamborn defeated Calandra Vargas in the Republican primary, while Plowright defeated Donald Martinez to win the Democratic nomination. The primary elections took place on June 28, 2016.[15][16][17]

U.S. House, Colorado District 5 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDoug Lamborn Incumbent 62.3% 225,445
     Democratic Misty Plowright 30.9% 111,676
     Libertarian Mike McRedmond 6.9% 24,872
Total Votes 361,993
Source: Colorado Secretary of State


U.S. House, Colorado, District 5 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngDoug Lamborn Incumbent 68% 51,018
Calandra Vargas 32% 23,968
Total Votes 74,986
Source: Colorado Secretary of State


U.S. House, Colorado, District 5 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngMisty Plowright 58.1% 13,419
Donald Martinez 41.9% 9,658
Total Votes 23,077
Source: Colorado Secretary of State

2014

See also: Colorado's 5th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 5th Congressional District of Colorado held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Doug Lamborn (R) defeated Irv Halter (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Colorado District 5 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDoug Lamborn Incumbent 59.8% 157,182
     Democratic Irv Halter 40.2% 105,673
Total Votes 262,855
Source: Colorado Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Colorado is a vote-by-mail state. In order to vote by mail, registration must be completed at least eight days prior to the election. If voting in person on Election Day, a voter can register at the polls.
  2. Colorado is a vote-by-mail state. In order to vote by mail, registration must be completed at least eight days prior to the election. If voting in person on Election Day, a voter can register at the polls.
  3. 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 Colorado is a vote-by-mail state. Early voting dates and polling hours apply to vote centers where individuals can instead vote in person.
  4. United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
  5. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  6. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  7. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  8. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  9. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  10. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  11. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  12. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  13. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  14. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  15. Colorado Secretary of State, "2016 Primary Election Candidate List," accessed May 2, 2016
  16. Politico, "Colorado House Primaries Results," June 28, 2016
  17. Colorado Secretary of State, "2016 General Election Candidate List," accessed September 5, 2016


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
Jeff Hurd (R)
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
Democratic Party (6)
Republican Party (4)