Connecticut's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020
- Election date: Nov. 3
- Registration deadline(s): Oct. 27
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Recount laws
- Early voting starts: N/A
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): Nov. 3 (received)
- Processing, counting, and challenging absentee/mail-in ballots
- Voter ID: Non-photo ID
- Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m.
2022 →
← 2018
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| Connecticut's 2nd Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: June 11, 2020 |
| Primary: August 11, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: Joe Courtney (Democrat) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Connecticut |
| Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th Connecticut elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
All U.S. congressional districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Connecticut, held elections in 2020.
Incumbent Joe Courtney won election in the general election for U.S. House Connecticut District 2.
| Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
|---|---|---|
Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Joe Courtney, who was first elected in 2006.
As of the 2010 redistricting cycle, Connecticut's 2nd Congressional District covered the eastern half of the state. It included New London, Tolland, and Windham counties as well as portions of Hartford, Middlesex, and New Haven counties.[1]
Post-election analysis
The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| Presidential and congressional election results, Connecticut's 2nd Congressional District, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Presidential | U.S. House |
Democratic candidate  |
54.5 | 59.4 |
Republican candidate  |
43.5 | 38.2 |
| Difference | 11 | 21.2 |
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Connecticut modified its absentee/mail-in voting and candidate filing procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:
- Absentee/mail-in voting: Absentee/mail-in ballot applications were sent to all registered voters in the general election. Voters could cite concern over COVID-19 as a reason for voting absentee in the general election.
- Candidate filing procedures: The filing deadlines for major-party and unaffiliated candidates were extended by two days, to June 11, 2020, and August 7, 2020, respectively.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Connecticut District 2
Incumbent Joe Courtney defeated Justin Anderson, Cassandra Martineau, and Daniel Reale in the general election for U.S. House Connecticut District 2 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Joe Courtney (D / Working Families Party) | 59.4 | 217,982 |
 | Justin Anderson (R)  | 38.2 | 140,340 | |
 | Cassandra Martineau (G) | 1.3 | 4,949 | |
 | Daniel Reale (L) | 1.1 | 3,901 | |
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 9 | ||
| Total votes: 367,181 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Joe Courtney advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 2.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 2
Justin Anderson defeated Thomas Gilmer (Unofficially withdrew) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 2 on August 11, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Justin Anderson | 50.2 | 9,485 |
 | Thomas Gilmer (Unofficially withdrew) | 49.8 | 9,407 | |
| Total votes: 18,892 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
One of eight Connecticut counties—12.5 percent—is a Pivot County. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
| Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
| Windham County, Connecticut | 7.78% | 13.28% | 14.68% | ||||
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Connecticut with 54.6 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 40.9 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Connecticut voted Republican 53.33 percent of the time and Democratic 46.67 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Connecticut voted Democratic all five times.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Connecticut. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[2][3]
| In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 120 out of 151 state House districts in Connecticut with an average margin of victory of 30.3 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 105 out of 151 state House districts in Connecticut with an average margin of victory of 30.9 points. Clinton won 32 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
| In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 31 out of 151 state House districts in Connecticut with an average margin of victory of 8.6 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 46 out of 151 state House districts in Connecticut with an average margin of victory of 11.6 points. Trump won seven districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
| 2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
| 1 | 92.49% | 6.77% | D+85.7 | 89.51% | 7.51% | D+82 | D |
| 2 | 51.55% | 47.37% | D+4.2 | 50.60% | 44.71% | D+5.9 | R |
| 3 | 93.57% | 5.98% | D+87.6 | 90.54% | 7.47% | D+83.1 | D |
| 4 | 92.54% | 6.94% | D+85.6 | 88.06% | 9.25% | D+78.8 | D |
| 5 | 86.69% | 12.67% | D+74 | 84.70% | 12.67% | D+72 | D |
| 6 | 88.20% | 11.40% | D+76.8 | 85.82% | 11.88% | D+73.9 | D |
| 7 | 96.89% | 2.76% | D+94.1 | 94.49% | 3.74% | D+90.8 | D |
| 8 | 55.13% | 43.29% | D+11.8 | 46.51% | 47.31% | R+0.8 | R |
| 9 | 67.00% | 31.94% | D+35.1 | 62.68% | 32.97% | D+29.7 | D |
| 10 | 76.58% | 22.61% | D+54 | 69.78% | 27.16% | D+42.6 | D |
| 11 | 74.13% | 24.75% | D+49.4 | 68.65% | 27.19% | D+41.5 | D |
| 12 | 66.56% | 32.04% | D+34.5 | 61.42% | 33.32% | D+28.1 | D |
| 13 | 60.43% | 38.23% | D+22.2 | 59.26% | 35.40% | D+23.9 | R |
| 14 | 56.37% | 42.40% | D+14 | 55.67% | 39.58% | D+16.1 | R |
| 15 | 81.61% | 17.90% | D+63.7 | 81.29% | 16.01% | D+65.3 | D |
| 16 | 49.87% | 48.82% | D+1.1 | 56.13% | 38.43% | D+17.7 | D |
| 17 | 47.47% | 51.38% | R+3.9 | 52.15% | 42.98% | D+9.2 | R |
| 18 | 68.94% | 29.85% | D+39.1 | 74.69% | 20.99% | D+53.7 | D |
| 19 | 57.66% | 41.43% | D+16.2 | 66.20% | 29.38% | D+36.8 | D |
| 20 | 68.52% | 30.32% | D+38.2 | 69.47% | 26.31% | D+43.2 | D |
| 21 | 50.75% | 48.05% | D+2.7 | 53.47% | 41.89% | D+11.6 | D |
| 22 | 61.25% | 37.50% | D+23.8 | 49.25% | 46.39% | D+2.9 | R |
| 23 | 54.11% | 44.83% | D+9.3 | 52.45% | 43.51% | D+8.9 | R |
| 24 | 70.27% | 28.84% | D+41.4 | 63.41% | 32.86% | D+30.6 | D |
| 25 | 84.83% | 14.40% | D+70.4 | 78.83% | 18.44% | D+60.4 | D |
| 26 | 71.82% | 27.05% | D+44.8 | 63.33% | 32.51% | D+30.8 | D |
| 27 | 60.13% | 38.56% | D+21.6 | 54.67% | 40.90% | D+13.8 | R |
| 28 | 54.92% | 43.86% | D+11.1 | 52.42% | 43.20% | D+9.2 | D |
| 29 | 55.94% | 42.86% | D+13.1 | 53.94% | 41.63% | D+12.3 | D |
| 30 | 49.89% | 48.85% | D+1 | 42.33% | 53.52% | R+11.2 | D |
| 31 | 50.61% | 48.25% | D+2.4 | 55.31% | 39.59% | D+15.7 | R |
| 32 | 55.04% | 43.64% | D+11.4 | 48.68% | 46.17% | D+2.5 | R |
| 33 | 68.45% | 30.17% | D+38.3 | 62.44% | 32.43% | D+30 | D |
| 34 | 52.37% | 46.13% | D+6.2 | 45.22% | 49.75% | R+4.5 | R |
| 35 | 53.54% | 45.30% | D+8.2 | 47.56% | 48.30% | R+0.7 | R |
| 36 | 56.48% | 42.32% | D+14.2 | 51.77% | 43.33% | D+8.4 | R |
| 37 | 56.45% | 42.30% | D+14.2 | 52.15% | 43.02% | D+9.1 | R |
| 38 | 56.59% | 42.00% | D+14.6 | 48.17% | 46.43% | D+1.7 | R |
| 39 | 81.86% | 16.53% | D+65.3 | 74.88% | 19.98% | D+54.9 | D |
| 40 | 57.78% | 40.50% | D+17.3 | 50.42% | 42.21% | D+8.2 | D |
| 41 | 62.63% | 35.97% | D+26.7 | 59.86% | 35.06% | D+24.8 | D |
| 42 | 51.47% | 46.82% | D+4.7 | 43.33% | 50.62% | R+7.3 | R |
| 43 | 56.83% | 41.64% | D+15.2 | 52.51% | 42.78% | D+9.7 | D |
| 44 | 54.23% | 43.73% | D+10.5 | 36.16% | 57.01% | R+20.9 | R |
| 45 | 52.33% | 45.60% | D+6.7 | 34.94% | 58.76% | R+23.8 | R |
| 46 | 68.64% | 29.50% | D+39.1 | 58.38% | 35.58% | D+22.8 | D |
| 47 | 52.23% | 46.02% | D+6.2 | 38.68% | 54.73% | R+16.1 | R |
| 48 | 56.08% | 42.14% | D+13.9 | 47.81% | 45.96% | D+1.9 | D |
| 49 | 73.67% | 24.87% | D+48.8 | 63.83% | 30.75% | D+33.1 | D |
| 50 | 49.83% | 48.43% | D+1.4 | 42.53% | 51.72% | R+9.2 | D |
| 51 | 51.10% | 46.82% | D+4.3 | 37.72% | 55.77% | R+18.1 | D |
| 52 | 47.99% | 50.41% | R+2.4 | 37.65% | 57.14% | R+19.5 | R |
| 53 | 53.61% | 44.77% | D+8.8 | 47.47% | 45.79% | D+1.7 | R |
| 54 | 74.44% | 22.99% | D+51.5 | 73.43% | 20.23% | D+53.2 | D |
| 55 | 51.04% | 47.60% | D+3.4 | 47.12% | 47.50% | R+0.4 | R |
| 56 | 60.67% | 37.75% | D+22.9 | 53.61% | 40.46% | D+13.2 | D |
| 57 | 50.28% | 48.34% | D+1.9 | 43.86% | 51.08% | R+7.2 | R |
| 58 | 58.16% | 40.10% | D+18.1 | 48.03% | 46.50% | D+1.5 | R |
| 59 | 54.00% | 44.54% | D+9.5 | 43.77% | 50.61% | R+6.8 | R |
| 60 | 60.09% | 38.49% | D+21.6 | 54.41% | 40.52% | D+13.9 | R |
| 61 | 47.86% | 50.91% | R+3.1 | 46.44% | 48.03% | R+1.6 | R |
| 62 | 46.32% | 52.24% | R+5.9 | 42.91% | 51.10% | R+8.2 | R |
| 63 | 45.24% | 53.11% | R+7.9 | 35.91% | 59.22% | R+23.3 | R |
| 64 | 58.49% | 40.18% | D+18.3 | 55.25% | 39.96% | D+15.3 | R |
| 65 | 50.51% | 47.54% | D+3 | 39.91% | 54.86% | R+15 | D |
| 66 | 44.89% | 53.81% | R+8.9 | 42.18% | 53.32% | R+11.1 | R |
| 67 | 50.13% | 48.38% | D+1.8 | 44.87% | 50.51% | R+5.6 | R |
| 68 | 38.36% | 60.44% | R+22.1 | 31.77% | 64.70% | R+32.9 | R |
| 69 | 47.56% | 51.44% | R+3.9 | 47.18% | 48.90% | R+1.7 | R |
| 70 | 49.43% | 48.89% | D+0.5 | 39.65% | 55.54% | R+15.9 | R |
| 71 | 44.04% | 54.99% | R+11 | 41.39% | 54.93% | R+13.5 | R |
| 72 | 78.99% | 20.44% | D+58.6 | 71.22% | 26.33% | D+44.9 | D |
| 73 | 59.14% | 40.12% | D+19 | 53.73% | 43.11% | D+10.6 | D |
| 74 | 60.54% | 38.37% | D+22.2 | 55.35% | 41.21% | D+14.1 | R |
| 75 | 82.13% | 17.29% | D+64.8 | 75.49% | 22.22% | D+53.3 | D |
| 76 | 42.30% | 56.16% | R+13.9 | 35.72% | 59.35% | R+23.6 | R |
| 77 | 57.96% | 40.82% | D+17.1 | 47.28% | 48.37% | R+1.1 | R |
| 78 | 49.31% | 49.34% | R+0 | 37.09% | 59.43% | R+22.3 | R |
| 79 | 62.13% | 36.79% | D+25.3 | 50.65% | 44.76% | D+5.9 | D |
| 80 | 39.96% | 59.03% | R+19.1 | 31.66% | 64.81% | R+33.2 | R |
| 81 | 52.24% | 46.34% | D+5.9 | 43.60% | 51.71% | R+8.1 | R |
| 82 | 61.74% | 37.01% | D+24.7 | 51.60% | 43.65% | D+8 | D |
| 83 | 57.43% | 41.64% | D+15.8 | 48.30% | 47.77% | D+0.5 | D |
| 84 | 78.63% | 20.21% | D+58.4 | 68.42% | 27.38% | D+41 | D |
| 85 | 58.63% | 40.00% | D+18.6 | 49.49% | 45.95% | D+3.5 | D |
| 86 | 50.94% | 47.93% | D+3 | 41.45% | 55.07% | R+13.6 | R |
| 87 | 51.00% | 47.91% | D+3.1 | 43.00% | 53.54% | R+10.5 | R |
| 88 | 64.84% | 34.33% | D+30.5 | 63.09% | 33.50% | D+29.6 | D |
| 89 | 45.88% | 52.83% | R+7 | 41.73% | 53.94% | R+12.2 | R |
| 90 | 49.50% | 49.27% | D+0.2 | 44.92% | 50.42% | R+5.5 | R |
| 91 | 71.02% | 28.05% | D+43 | 68.79% | 28.01% | D+40.8 | D |
| 92 | 90.04% | 9.26% | D+80.8 | 88.23% | 8.87% | D+79.4 | D |
| 93 | 94.04% | 5.26% | D+88.8 | 92.21% | 5.63% | D+86.6 | D |
| 94 | 89.09% | 10.11% | D+79 | 86.85% | 10.34% | D+76.5 | D |
| 95 | 93.24% | 6.45% | D+86.8 | 87.85% | 10.25% | D+77.6 | D |
| 96 | 80.44% | 18.19% | D+62.3 | 77.99% | 18.82% | D+59.2 | D |
| 97 | 79.86% | 19.36% | D+60.5 | 71.03% | 26.02% | D+45 | D |
| 98 | 58.10% | 41.10% | D+17 | 59.59% | 36.92% | D+22.7 | D |
| 99 | 58.20% | 40.74% | D+17.5 | 43.42% | 53.68% | R+10.3 | D |
| 100 | 68.37% | 30.20% | D+38.2 | 59.83% | 34.70% | D+25.1 | D |
| 101 | 50.24% | 49.15% | D+1.1 | 52.73% | 42.75% | D+10 | R |
| 102 | 59.07% | 39.83% | D+19.2 | 54.29% | 42.07% | D+12.2 | D |
| 103 | 49.87% | 48.93% | D+0.9 | 47.42% | 48.09% | R+0.7 | D |
| 104 | 61.67% | 37.00% | D+24.7 | 48.24% | 47.64% | D+0.6 | D |
| 105 | 47.47% | 50.85% | R+3.4 | 36.71% | 58.78% | R+22.1 | R |
| 106 | 46.91% | 51.93% | R+5 | 49.00% | 46.32% | D+2.7 | R |
| 107 | 46.14% | 52.69% | R+6.6 | 45.69% | 50.22% | R+4.5 | R |
| 108 | 46.63% | 52.18% | R+5.6 | 43.14% | 52.59% | R+9.5 | R |
| 109 | 59.30% | 39.85% | D+19.5 | 54.64% | 41.59% | D+13.1 | D |
| 110 | 69.46% | 29.43% | D+40 | 66.40% | 29.93% | D+36.5 | D |
| 111 | 46.72% | 52.32% | R+5.6 | 55.72% | 39.70% | D+16 | R |
| 112 | 43.53% | 55.23% | R+11.7 | 42.08% | 53.69% | R+11.6 | R |
| 113 | 45.59% | 53.06% | R+7.5 | 38.93% | 56.85% | R+17.9 | R |
| 114 | 52.24% | 46.77% | D+5.5 | 51.57% | 44.86% | D+6.7 | R |
| 115 | 69.14% | 29.79% | D+39.4 | 57.47% | 38.78% | D+18.7 | D |
| 116 | 82.99% | 16.24% | D+66.8 | 75.09% | 22.25% | D+52.8 | D |
| 117 | 54.80% | 44.05% | D+10.8 | 46.58% | 49.79% | R+3.2 | R |
| 118 | 56.74% | 41.72% | D+15 | 50.06% | 45.44% | D+4.6 | D |
| 119 | 49.33% | 49.44% | R+0.1 | 46.15% | 50.19% | R+4 | R |
| 120 | 52.66% | 46.17% | D+6.5 | 49.00% | 46.86% | D+2.1 | D |
| 121 | 69.58% | 29.53% | D+40.1 | 63.75% | 32.86% | D+30.9 | D |
| 122 | 43.71% | 55.48% | R+11.8 | 40.56% | 56.27% | R+15.7 | R |
| 123 | 46.02% | 53.07% | R+7.1 | 47.40% | 48.87% | R+1.5 | R |
| 124 | 92.91% | 6.85% | D+86.1 | 88.21% | 10.08% | D+78.1 | D |
| 125 | 38.12% | 60.99% | R+22.9 | 54.45% | 40.22% | D+14.2 | R |
| 126 | 87.89% | 11.69% | D+76.2 | 82.05% | 15.49% | D+66.6 | D |
| 127 | 73.75% | 25.71% | D+48 | 70.48% | 26.91% | D+43.6 | D |
| 128 | 93.61% | 5.92% | D+87.7 | 88.85% | 9.56% | D+79.3 | D |
| 129 | 77.69% | 21.51% | D+56.2 | 74.21% | 22.70% | D+51.5 | D |
| 130 | 92.36% | 7.37% | D+85 | 87.37% | 10.56% | D+76.8 | D |
| 131 | 43.13% | 55.42% | R+12.3 | 35.63% | 60.28% | R+24.7 | R |
| 132 | 49.34% | 49.72% | R+0.4 | 56.65% | 39.38% | D+17.3 | R |
| 133 | 57.75% | 41.06% | D+16.7 | 59.87% | 35.88% | D+24 | D |
| 134 | 45.32% | 53.75% | R+8.4 | 50.73% | 45.11% | D+5.6 | R |
| 135 | 49.88% | 49.04% | D+0.8 | 58.64% | 36.95% | D+21.7 | R |
| 136 | 56.68% | 42.57% | D+14.1 | 69.50% | 26.62% | D+42.9 | D |
| 137 | 66.76% | 31.99% | D+34.8 | 66.51% | 29.67% | D+36.8 | D |
| 138 | 51.38% | 47.42% | D+4 | 50.31% | 45.50% | D+4.8 | R |
| 139 | 58.71% | 39.40% | D+19.3 | 46.27% | 47.70% | R+1.4 | D |
| 140 | 80.35% | 18.77% | D+61.6 | 76.93% | 19.96% | D+57 | D |
| 141 | 39.54% | 59.82% | R+20.3 | 56.05% | 38.27% | D+17.8 | R |
| 142 | 52.46% | 46.56% | D+5.9 | 56.93% | 39.06% | D+17.9 | R |
| 143 | 49.54% | 49.41% | D+0.1 | 57.08% | 38.35% | D+18.7 | R |
| 144 | 55.71% | 43.34% | D+12.4 | 57.85% | 38.43% | D+19.4 | D |
| 145 | 82.37% | 17.09% | D+65.3 | 80.19% | 17.15% | D+63 | D |
| 146 | 66.49% | 32.45% | D+34 | 70.69% | 25.77% | D+44.9 | D |
| 147 | 50.78% | 48.18% | D+2.6 | 57.96% | 38.09% | D+19.9 | D |
| 148 | 69.33% | 29.79% | D+39.5 | 68.87% | 27.90% | D+41 | D |
| 149 | 42.34% | 56.81% | R+14.5 | 54.38% | 41.72% | D+12.7 | R |
| 150 | 48.35% | 50.82% | R+2.5 | 61.39% | 34.60% | D+26.8 | R |
| 151 | 43.49% | 55.63% | R+12.1 | 55.81% | 39.53% | D+16.3 | R |
| Total | 58.08% | 40.75% | D+17.3 | 54.65% | 40.99% | D+13.7 | - |
| Source: Daily Kos | |||||||
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+3, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 3 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Connecticut's 2nd Congressional District the 179th most Democratic nationally.[4]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.95. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.95 points toward that party.[5]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[6]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[7][8][9]
| Race ratings: Connecticut's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. | |||||||||
District election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Connecticut District 2
Incumbent Joe Courtney defeated Dan Postemski, Michelle Louise Bicking, and Daniel Reale in the general election for U.S. House Connecticut District 2 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Joe Courtney (D) | 62.2 | 179,731 |
| Dan Postemski (R) | 35.4 | 102,483 | ||
 | Michelle Louise Bicking (G) | 1.2 | 3,595 | |
| Daniel Reale (L) | 1.1 | 3,305 | |
| Total votes: 289,114 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Clay Slawson (R)
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Joe Courtney (D) defeated Daria Novak (R), Daniel Reale (L), and Jonathan Pelto (G) in the general election on November 8, 2016. No candidate faced a primary election in August. Courtnet won re-election in the November 8 election.[10][11][12]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic |  Joe Courtney Incumbent |
63.2% | 208,818 | |
| Republican | Daria Novak | 33.7% | 111,149 | |
| Green | Jonathan Pelto | 1.6% | 5,332 | |
| Libertarian | Daniel Reale | 1.5% | 4,949 | |
| N/A | Write-in | 0% | 9 | |
| Total Votes | 330,257 | |||
| Source: Connecticut Secretary of State | ||||
2014
The 2nd Congressional District of Connecticut held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Joe Courtney (D) defeated Lori Hopkins-Cavanagh (R), Daniel Reale (L) and William Clyde (G) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joe Courtney Incumbent |
61.6% | 141,948 | |
| Republican | Lori Hopkins-Cavanagh | 36.2% | 83,386 | |
| Green | William Clyde | 1.1% | 2,602 | |
| Libertarian | Daniel Reale | 1.1% | 2,543 | |
| Total Votes | 230,479 | |||
| Source: Connecticut Secretary of the State | ||||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut, 2020
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ The CT Mirror, "Clay Cope wins landslide in 5th, Daria Novak a squeaker in 2nd," May 9, 2016
- ↑ The CT Mirror, "CT GOP backs Carter for Senate, denies Wolf primary margin," May 9, 2016
- ↑ CNN, "Connecticut House 02 Results," November 8, 2016
