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Connecticut's 5th Congressional District election, 2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Connecticut District 5
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jahana Hayes (D) | 55.9 | 151,225 |
![]() | Manny Santos (R) | 44.1 | 119,426 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 13 |
Total votes: 270,664 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 30 (by mail), or Nov. 6 (in-person)
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 5
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Voter ID: Non-photo ID required
- Poll times: 6:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
|
Connecticut's 5th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: June 12, 2018 |
Primary: August 14, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Elizabeth Esty (Democrat) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Connecticut |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th Connecticut elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
Jahana Hayes (D) and Manny Santos (R) ran to represent Connecticut's 5th Congressional District in 2018.
On April 2, 2018, incumbent Elizabeth Esty (D) announced she would not seek re-election. The announcement came after she was criticized for her handling of sexual harassment allegations against her former chief of staff. She wrote in a Facebook post, “I have determined that it is in the best interest of my constituents and my family to end my time in Congress at the end of this year and not seek re-election. Too many women have been harmed by harassment in the workplace. In the terrible situation in my office, I could have and should have done better."[1][2]
The seat voted for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by 4.1 percentage points, making it one of Connecticut's most closely contested districts in the 2016 presidential election.[3] However, election forecasters see the race as safely Democratic.
Connecticut's 5th Congressional District is located in the northwestern portion of the state. Portions of Fairfield, Hartford, Litchfield and New Haven counties are included in the district.[4]
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Connecticut District 5
Jahana Hayes defeated Manny Santos in the general election for U.S. House Connecticut District 5 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jahana Hayes (D) | 55.9 | 151,225 |
![]() | Manny Santos (R) | 44.1 | 119,426 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 13 |
Total votes: 270,664 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 5
Jahana Hayes defeated Mary Glassman in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 5 on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jahana Hayes | 62.3 | 24,693 |
![]() | Mary Glassman | 37.7 | 14,964 |
Total votes: 39,657 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Manny Sanchez (D)
- Shannon Kula (D)
- Roy Lubit (D)
- Shaul Praver (D)
- Richard Order (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 5
Manny Santos defeated Ruby Corby O'Neill and Rich DuPont in the Republican primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 5 on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Manny Santos | 52.4 | 16,816 |
![]() | Ruby Corby O'Neill | 26.2 | 8,419 | |
![]() | Rich DuPont | 21.4 | 6,863 |
Total votes: 32,098 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Craig Diangelo (R)
- Liz Peterson (R)
Race background
Connecticut's 5th District was listed as one of the National Republican Congressional Committee's (NRCC) initial targets in 2018.[5]
Incumbent Elizabeth Esty was included as one of the initial members of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's (DCCC) Frontline Program in 2018.[6]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Race ratings: Connecticut's 5th Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
Campaign themes and policy stances
Campaign themes
Jahana Hayes
“ |
Education Equity & Social Justice Environment Whether I am working to preserve the environmental treasures of the 5th District or fighting to combat the effects of climate change, I will be a strong voice and vote to preserve, protect, and enhance our environment. Immigration As a teacher, I had the privilege of working with students from all different backgrounds. This included students who were brought to this country as children, who by no fault of their own never obtained legal status. For many of these children, better known as Dreamers, the United States is the only home country they know, and in some cases, English the only language they speak. I support passing the DREAM Act to provide these young people with a path to citizenship. As your representative, I will support equal access to higher education regardless of immigration status. Immigration reform that strengthens our district’s small businesses, manufacturers, farms, and families is possible. I am committed to working with legislators on both sides of the aisle to pass comprehensive reform to our immigration system that will address the changing needs and dynamic challenges we face. Gun Violence I will fight every day in Congress to promote and pass common sense legislation that will prevent gun violence. In addition, I will work to continue to advance and improve our nation’s mental health system, while also ensuring that law enforcement has the tools to keep our streets and communities safe. For me this isn’t anti-gun or pro-gun, it’s about being anti-gun violence. We can do something about it and we have an obligation to do something about it. I support:
Economy Veterans Healthcare' |
” |
—Friends of Jahana Hayes[8] |
Manny Santos
“ |
Economy Immigration However, the southern border must be secured, before any legislation to address this issue. I will support funding for "the wall." My parents brought us to this country to escape an authoritarian regime and to leave a subsistence life behind. Indeed, they left everything they knew, so that I and my siblings could have a better life. This better life comes with responsibilities and rules that all must follow in order to live a tranquil life. Reasonable people can disagree, but only with honest discussions can good people agree to solve real problems. Many in Congress today would rather use these issues to divide us, because it justifies their existence; their reelection. Deporting 15-30 million illegals will not happen and I will not support citizenship. Legalization for a small portion (as described above) is realistic, reasonable and will be supported by most Americans. Term Limits 2nd Amendment (Gun Control) Aside from the fact that the Constitution protects our right to "keep and bear arms," this country has always had an affinity with guns. However, in the last two decades we have seen the frequency of mass shootings increase. Some norms in our society have shifted; perhaps people are less respectful of life or authority. Maybe it's a general decline in personal responsibility. Many have identified mental illness or lack of social coping skills as factors which should be considered. Resolving real problems require honest discussions, good intentions and belief in the rule of law. To that end, we must acknowledge the reason for the 2nd Amendment (and its not for hunting or sport): "No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms... The strongest reason for the people to retain the right to keep and bear arms is, as a last resort, to protect themselves against tyranny in government." -- Thomas Jefferson Mass shootings are a real problem, especially in our schools. The loss of your child to a senseless horror like that is unimaginable, but one too many are living it… and remind us that evil does exist in this world. Let’s do what it takes to ensure that our children remain safe in school… and that responsible gun owners can continue to exercise their constitutional rights. I am supportive of severe punishment for individuals who commit a crime with a firearm. I will not support the various proposed bans or further restrictions on our Second Amendment. Education Healthcare Instead of bailing out and propping up a failed system, I'll support the Trump Administration and Republican efforts to provide block grants to the state to give them resources and greater regulatory flexibility to revive their individual and small group health insurance markets. I'll further support efforts to allow the purchase of insurance across state lines, injecting more competition to pressure premiums downward. If ACA cannot be repealed, significant changes must be made. The Medicaid expansion funds should be block-granted to states and the need should be based on assets (as well as income). Enrollment in plans outside "open enrollment period" should be allowed for those without any pre-existing conditions. This "healthier" population will help fund the "less healthier" people on the plan. A minor aspect, but cumbersome for subscribers, is how eligibility for subsidies is determined. Eligibility for ACA subsidies should be based on IRS filing, not on projected (guessed) income. This will help especially self-employed and small business owners. President Trump can unilaterally undo Obama’s unconstitutional exemption, requiring members of Congress to live under the laws they pass. Facing the reality of double digit premium increases, like millions of Americans on the individual market, Congress may feel pressure to come back to the negotiating table and follow through on years of promises to finally repeal Obamacare. Welfare Reform Military, Defense & Border Security After their service, our veterans also deserve better than what this country has provided them. We must buildup the support system for veterans, including making the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) much more accountable and focused on providing the help these men and women deserve.[7] |
” |
—Santos for Congress[9] |
Noteworthy events
DCCC adds Hayes to Red-to-Blue List
On August 16, 2018, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) announced that it had added Jahana Hayes (D) to its Red-to-Blue List. Candidates on the list receive organizational and financial support from the committee.[10]
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jahana Hayes | Democratic Party | $1,862,958 | $1,306,412 | $556,467 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Manny Santos | Republican Party | $76,038 | $75,953 | $84 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
District history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Elizabeth Esty (D) defeated Clay Cope (R), Stephanie Piddock (I), and John Pistone (I) in the general election on November 8, 2016. No candidate faced a primary election in August. Cope defeated John Pistone and Matt Maxwell at the Republican convention. Esty won re-election in the November 8 election.[11][12][13]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
58% | 179,252 | |
Republican | Clay Cope | 42% | 129,801 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0% | 29 | |
Total Votes | 309,082 | |||
Source: Connecticut Secretary of State |
2014
The 5th Congressional District of Connecticut held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Elizabeth Esty (D) defeated Mark Greenberg (R) and John Pistone (I) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
53.2% | 113,564 | |
Republican | Mark Greenberg | 45.8% | 97,767 | |
Independent | John Pistone | 0.9% | 1,970 | |
Total Votes | 213,301 | |||
Source: Connecticut Secretary of the State |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+2, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 2 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Connecticut's 5th Congressional District the 186th most Democratic nationally.[14]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.03. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.03 points toward that party.[15]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Race ratings: Connecticut's 5th Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
One of eight Connecticut counties—12.5 percent—is a Pivot County. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Windham County, Connecticut | 7.78% | 13.28% | 14.68% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Connecticut with 54.6 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 40.9 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Connecticut voted Republican 53.33 percent of the time and Democratic 46.67 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Connecticut voted Democratic all five times.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Connecticut. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[16][17]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 120 out of 151 state House districts in Connecticut with an average margin of victory of 30.3 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 105 out of 151 state House districts in Connecticut with an average margin of victory of 30.9 points. Clinton won 32 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 31 out of 151 state House districts in Connecticut with an average margin of victory of 8.6 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 46 out of 151 state House districts in Connecticut with an average margin of victory of 11.6 points. Trump won seven districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 92.49% | 6.77% | D+85.7 | 89.51% | 7.51% | D+82 | D |
2 | 51.55% | 47.37% | D+4.2 | 50.60% | 44.71% | D+5.9 | R |
3 | 93.57% | 5.98% | D+87.6 | 90.54% | 7.47% | D+83.1 | D |
4 | 92.54% | 6.94% | D+85.6 | 88.06% | 9.25% | D+78.8 | D |
5 | 86.69% | 12.67% | D+74 | 84.70% | 12.67% | D+72 | D |
6 | 88.20% | 11.40% | D+76.8 | 85.82% | 11.88% | D+73.9 | D |
7 | 96.89% | 2.76% | D+94.1 | 94.49% | 3.74% | D+90.8 | D |
8 | 55.13% | 43.29% | D+11.8 | 46.51% | 47.31% | R+0.8 | R |
9 | 67.00% | 31.94% | D+35.1 | 62.68% | 32.97% | D+29.7 | D |
10 | 76.58% | 22.61% | D+54 | 69.78% | 27.16% | D+42.6 | D |
11 | 74.13% | 24.75% | D+49.4 | 68.65% | 27.19% | D+41.5 | D |
12 | 66.56% | 32.04% | D+34.5 | 61.42% | 33.32% | D+28.1 | D |
13 | 60.43% | 38.23% | D+22.2 | 59.26% | 35.40% | D+23.9 | R |
14 | 56.37% | 42.40% | D+14 | 55.67% | 39.58% | D+16.1 | R |
15 | 81.61% | 17.90% | D+63.7 | 81.29% | 16.01% | D+65.3 | D |
16 | 49.87% | 48.82% | D+1.1 | 56.13% | 38.43% | D+17.7 | D |
17 | 47.47% | 51.38% | R+3.9 | 52.15% | 42.98% | D+9.2 | R |
18 | 68.94% | 29.85% | D+39.1 | 74.69% | 20.99% | D+53.7 | D |
19 | 57.66% | 41.43% | D+16.2 | 66.20% | 29.38% | D+36.8 | D |
20 | 68.52% | 30.32% | D+38.2 | 69.47% | 26.31% | D+43.2 | D |
21 | 50.75% | 48.05% | D+2.7 | 53.47% | 41.89% | D+11.6 | D |
22 | 61.25% | 37.50% | D+23.8 | 49.25% | 46.39% | D+2.9 | R |
23 | 54.11% | 44.83% | D+9.3 | 52.45% | 43.51% | D+8.9 | R |
24 | 70.27% | 28.84% | D+41.4 | 63.41% | 32.86% | D+30.6 | D |
25 | 84.83% | 14.40% | D+70.4 | 78.83% | 18.44% | D+60.4 | D |
26 | 71.82% | 27.05% | D+44.8 | 63.33% | 32.51% | D+30.8 | D |
27 | 60.13% | 38.56% | D+21.6 | 54.67% | 40.90% | D+13.8 | R |
28 | 54.92% | 43.86% | D+11.1 | 52.42% | 43.20% | D+9.2 | D |
29 | 55.94% | 42.86% | D+13.1 | 53.94% | 41.63% | D+12.3 | D |
30 | 49.89% | 48.85% | D+1 | 42.33% | 53.52% | R+11.2 | D |
31 | 50.61% | 48.25% | D+2.4 | 55.31% | 39.59% | D+15.7 | R |
32 | 55.04% | 43.64% | D+11.4 | 48.68% | 46.17% | D+2.5 | R |
33 | 68.45% | 30.17% | D+38.3 | 62.44% | 32.43% | D+30 | D |
34 | 52.37% | 46.13% | D+6.2 | 45.22% | 49.75% | R+4.5 | R |
35 | 53.54% | 45.30% | D+8.2 | 47.56% | 48.30% | R+0.7 | R |
36 | 56.48% | 42.32% | D+14.2 | 51.77% | 43.33% | D+8.4 | R |
37 | 56.45% | 42.30% | D+14.2 | 52.15% | 43.02% | D+9.1 | R |
38 | 56.59% | 42.00% | D+14.6 | 48.17% | 46.43% | D+1.7 | R |
39 | 81.86% | 16.53% | D+65.3 | 74.88% | 19.98% | D+54.9 | D |
40 | 57.78% | 40.50% | D+17.3 | 50.42% | 42.21% | D+8.2 | D |
41 | 62.63% | 35.97% | D+26.7 | 59.86% | 35.06% | D+24.8 | D |
42 | 51.47% | 46.82% | D+4.7 | 43.33% | 50.62% | R+7.3 | R |
43 | 56.83% | 41.64% | D+15.2 | 52.51% | 42.78% | D+9.7 | D |
44 | 54.23% | 43.73% | D+10.5 | 36.16% | 57.01% | R+20.9 | R |
45 | 52.33% | 45.60% | D+6.7 | 34.94% | 58.76% | R+23.8 | R |
46 | 68.64% | 29.50% | D+39.1 | 58.38% | 35.58% | D+22.8 | D |
47 | 52.23% | 46.02% | D+6.2 | 38.68% | 54.73% | R+16.1 | R |
48 | 56.08% | 42.14% | D+13.9 | 47.81% | 45.96% | D+1.9 | D |
49 | 73.67% | 24.87% | D+48.8 | 63.83% | 30.75% | D+33.1 | D |
50 | 49.83% | 48.43% | D+1.4 | 42.53% | 51.72% | R+9.2 | D |
51 | 51.10% | 46.82% | D+4.3 | 37.72% | 55.77% | R+18.1 | D |
52 | 47.99% | 50.41% | R+2.4 | 37.65% | 57.14% | R+19.5 | R |
53 | 53.61% | 44.77% | D+8.8 | 47.47% | 45.79% | D+1.7 | R |
54 | 74.44% | 22.99% | D+51.5 | 73.43% | 20.23% | D+53.2 | D |
55 | 51.04% | 47.60% | D+3.4 | 47.12% | 47.50% | R+0.4 | R |
56 | 60.67% | 37.75% | D+22.9 | 53.61% | 40.46% | D+13.2 | D |
57 | 50.28% | 48.34% | D+1.9 | 43.86% | 51.08% | R+7.2 | R |
58 | 58.16% | 40.10% | D+18.1 | 48.03% | 46.50% | D+1.5 | R |
59 | 54.00% | 44.54% | D+9.5 | 43.77% | 50.61% | R+6.8 | R |
60 | 60.09% | 38.49% | D+21.6 | 54.41% | 40.52% | D+13.9 | R |
61 | 47.86% | 50.91% | R+3.1 | 46.44% | 48.03% | R+1.6 | R |
62 | 46.32% | 52.24% | R+5.9 | 42.91% | 51.10% | R+8.2 | R |
63 | 45.24% | 53.11% | R+7.9 | 35.91% | 59.22% | R+23.3 | R |
64 | 58.49% | 40.18% | D+18.3 | 55.25% | 39.96% | D+15.3 | R |
65 | 50.51% | 47.54% | D+3 | 39.91% | 54.86% | R+15 | D |
66 | 44.89% | 53.81% | R+8.9 | 42.18% | 53.32% | R+11.1 | R |
67 | 50.13% | 48.38% | D+1.8 | 44.87% | 50.51% | R+5.6 | R |
68 | 38.36% | 60.44% | R+22.1 | 31.77% | 64.70% | R+32.9 | R |
69 | 47.56% | 51.44% | R+3.9 | 47.18% | 48.90% | R+1.7 | R |
70 | 49.43% | 48.89% | D+0.5 | 39.65% | 55.54% | R+15.9 | R |
71 | 44.04% | 54.99% | R+11 | 41.39% | 54.93% | R+13.5 | R |
72 | 78.99% | 20.44% | D+58.6 | 71.22% | 26.33% | D+44.9 | D |
73 | 59.14% | 40.12% | D+19 | 53.73% | 43.11% | D+10.6 | D |
74 | 60.54% | 38.37% | D+22.2 | 55.35% | 41.21% | D+14.1 | R |
75 | 82.13% | 17.29% | D+64.8 | 75.49% | 22.22% | D+53.3 | D |
76 | 42.30% | 56.16% | R+13.9 | 35.72% | 59.35% | R+23.6 | R |
77 | 57.96% | 40.82% | D+17.1 | 47.28% | 48.37% | R+1.1 | R |
78 | 49.31% | 49.34% | R+0 | 37.09% | 59.43% | R+22.3 | R |
79 | 62.13% | 36.79% | D+25.3 | 50.65% | 44.76% | D+5.9 | D |
80 | 39.96% | 59.03% | R+19.1 | 31.66% | 64.81% | R+33.2 | R |
81 | 52.24% | 46.34% | D+5.9 | 43.60% | 51.71% | R+8.1 | R |
82 | 61.74% | 37.01% | D+24.7 | 51.60% | 43.65% | D+8 | D |
83 | 57.43% | 41.64% | D+15.8 | 48.30% | 47.77% | D+0.5 | D |
84 | 78.63% | 20.21% | D+58.4 | 68.42% | 27.38% | D+41 | D |
85 | 58.63% | 40.00% | D+18.6 | 49.49% | 45.95% | D+3.5 | D |
86 | 50.94% | 47.93% | D+3 | 41.45% | 55.07% | R+13.6 | R |
87 | 51.00% | 47.91% | D+3.1 | 43.00% | 53.54% | R+10.5 | R |
88 | 64.84% | 34.33% | D+30.5 | 63.09% | 33.50% | D+29.6 | D |
89 | 45.88% | 52.83% | R+7 | 41.73% | 53.94% | R+12.2 | R |
90 | 49.50% | 49.27% | D+0.2 | 44.92% | 50.42% | R+5.5 | R |
91 | 71.02% | 28.05% | D+43 | 68.79% | 28.01% | D+40.8 | D |
92 | 90.04% | 9.26% | D+80.8 | 88.23% | 8.87% | D+79.4 | D |
93 | 94.04% | 5.26% | D+88.8 | 92.21% | 5.63% | D+86.6 | D |
94 | 89.09% | 10.11% | D+79 | 86.85% | 10.34% | D+76.5 | D |
95 | 93.24% | 6.45% | D+86.8 | 87.85% | 10.25% | D+77.6 | D |
96 | 80.44% | 18.19% | D+62.3 | 77.99% | 18.82% | D+59.2 | D |
97 | 79.86% | 19.36% | D+60.5 | 71.03% | 26.02% | D+45 | D |
98 | 58.10% | 41.10% | D+17 | 59.59% | 36.92% | D+22.7 | D |
99 | 58.20% | 40.74% | D+17.5 | 43.42% | 53.68% | R+10.3 | D |
100 | 68.37% | 30.20% | D+38.2 | 59.83% | 34.70% | D+25.1 | D |
101 | 50.24% | 49.15% | D+1.1 | 52.73% | 42.75% | D+10 | R |
102 | 59.07% | 39.83% | D+19.2 | 54.29% | 42.07% | D+12.2 | D |
103 | 49.87% | 48.93% | D+0.9 | 47.42% | 48.09% | R+0.7 | D |
104 | 61.67% | 37.00% | D+24.7 | 48.24% | 47.64% | D+0.6 | D |
105 | 47.47% | 50.85% | R+3.4 | 36.71% | 58.78% | R+22.1 | R |
106 | 46.91% | 51.93% | R+5 | 49.00% | 46.32% | D+2.7 | R |
107 | 46.14% | 52.69% | R+6.6 | 45.69% | 50.22% | R+4.5 | R |
108 | 46.63% | 52.18% | R+5.6 | 43.14% | 52.59% | R+9.5 | R |
109 | 59.30% | 39.85% | D+19.5 | 54.64% | 41.59% | D+13.1 | D |
110 | 69.46% | 29.43% | D+40 | 66.40% | 29.93% | D+36.5 | D |
111 | 46.72% | 52.32% | R+5.6 | 55.72% | 39.70% | D+16 | R |
112 | 43.53% | 55.23% | R+11.7 | 42.08% | 53.69% | R+11.6 | R |
113 | 45.59% | 53.06% | R+7.5 | 38.93% | 56.85% | R+17.9 | R |
114 | 52.24% | 46.77% | D+5.5 | 51.57% | 44.86% | D+6.7 | R |
115 | 69.14% | 29.79% | D+39.4 | 57.47% | 38.78% | D+18.7 | D |
116 | 82.99% | 16.24% | D+66.8 | 75.09% | 22.25% | D+52.8 | D |
117 | 54.80% | 44.05% | D+10.8 | 46.58% | 49.79% | R+3.2 | R |
118 | 56.74% | 41.72% | D+15 | 50.06% | 45.44% | D+4.6 | D |
119 | 49.33% | 49.44% | R+0.1 | 46.15% | 50.19% | R+4 | R |
120 | 52.66% | 46.17% | D+6.5 | 49.00% | 46.86% | D+2.1 | D |
121 | 69.58% | 29.53% | D+40.1 | 63.75% | 32.86% | D+30.9 | D |
122 | 43.71% | 55.48% | R+11.8 | 40.56% | 56.27% | R+15.7 | R |
123 | 46.02% | 53.07% | R+7.1 | 47.40% | 48.87% | R+1.5 | R |
124 | 92.91% | 6.85% | D+86.1 | 88.21% | 10.08% | D+78.1 | D |
125 | 38.12% | 60.99% | R+22.9 | 54.45% | 40.22% | D+14.2 | R |
126 | 87.89% | 11.69% | D+76.2 | 82.05% | 15.49% | D+66.6 | D |
127 | 73.75% | 25.71% | D+48 | 70.48% | 26.91% | D+43.6 | D |
128 | 93.61% | 5.92% | D+87.7 | 88.85% | 9.56% | D+79.3 | D |
129 | 77.69% | 21.51% | D+56.2 | 74.21% | 22.70% | D+51.5 | D |
130 | 92.36% | 7.37% | D+85 | 87.37% | 10.56% | D+76.8 | D |
131 | 43.13% | 55.42% | R+12.3 | 35.63% | 60.28% | R+24.7 | R |
132 | 49.34% | 49.72% | R+0.4 | 56.65% | 39.38% | D+17.3 | R |
133 | 57.75% | 41.06% | D+16.7 | 59.87% | 35.88% | D+24 | D |
134 | 45.32% | 53.75% | R+8.4 | 50.73% | 45.11% | D+5.6 | R |
135 | 49.88% | 49.04% | D+0.8 | 58.64% | 36.95% | D+21.7 | R |
136 | 56.68% | 42.57% | D+14.1 | 69.50% | 26.62% | D+42.9 | D |
137 | 66.76% | 31.99% | D+34.8 | 66.51% | 29.67% | D+36.8 | D |
138 | 51.38% | 47.42% | D+4 | 50.31% | 45.50% | D+4.8 | R |
139 | 58.71% | 39.40% | D+19.3 | 46.27% | 47.70% | R+1.4 | D |
140 | 80.35% | 18.77% | D+61.6 | 76.93% | 19.96% | D+57 | D |
141 | 39.54% | 59.82% | R+20.3 | 56.05% | 38.27% | D+17.8 | R |
142 | 52.46% | 46.56% | D+5.9 | 56.93% | 39.06% | D+17.9 | R |
143 | 49.54% | 49.41% | D+0.1 | 57.08% | 38.35% | D+18.7 | R |
144 | 55.71% | 43.34% | D+12.4 | 57.85% | 38.43% | D+19.4 | D |
145 | 82.37% | 17.09% | D+65.3 | 80.19% | 17.15% | D+63 | D |
146 | 66.49% | 32.45% | D+34 | 70.69% | 25.77% | D+44.9 | D |
147 | 50.78% | 48.18% | D+2.6 | 57.96% | 38.09% | D+19.9 | D |
148 | 69.33% | 29.79% | D+39.5 | 68.87% | 27.90% | D+41 | D |
149 | 42.34% | 56.81% | R+14.5 | 54.38% | 41.72% | D+12.7 | R |
150 | 48.35% | 50.82% | R+2.5 | 61.39% | 34.60% | D+26.8 | R |
151 | 43.49% | 55.63% | R+12.1 | 55.81% | 39.53% | D+16.3 | R |
Total | 58.08% | 40.75% | D+17.3 | 54.65% | 40.99% | D+13.7 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Connecticut heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in Connecticut.
- Democrats held all five U.S. House seats in Connecticut.
State executives
- As of August 2018, Democrats held six of 12 state executive positions, the remaining six positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Connecticut was Democrat Dan Malloy. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Democrats controlled both chambers of the Connecticut General Assembly. They had a 80-71 majority in the state House and a 18-18 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Connecticut was one of eight Democratic trifectas, meaning that Democrats controlled the office of the governor, the state House, and the state Senate.
2018 elections
- See also: Connecticut elections, 2018
Connecticut held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One U.S. Senate seat
- Five U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Four lower state executive positions
- 36 state Senate seats
- 151 state House seats
Demographics
Demographic data for Connecticut | ||
---|---|---|
Connecticut | U.S. | |
Total population: | 3,584,730 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 4,842 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 77.3% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 10.3% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 4.2% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.2% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.8% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 14.7% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 89.9% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 37.6% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $70,331 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 12.2% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Connecticut. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, Connecticut's three largest cities were Bridgeport (pop. est. 146,579), New Haven (pop. est. 131,014), and Stamford (pop. est. 130,824).[18][19]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Connecticut from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Connecticut Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Connecticut every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Connecticut 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
54.6% | ![]() |
40.9% | 13.7% |
2012 | ![]() |
58.1% | ![]() |
40.8% | 17.3% |
2008 | ![]() |
60.6% | ![]() |
38.2% | 22.4% |
2004 | ![]() |
54.3% | ![]() |
43.9% | 10.4% |
2000 | ![]() |
55.9% | ![]() |
38.4% | 17.5% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Connecticut from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Connecticut 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
63.2% | ![]() |
34.6% | 28.6% |
2012 | ![]() |
54.8% | ![]() |
43.1% | 11.7% |
2010 | ![]() |
55.2% | ![]() |
43.2% | 12% |
2006 | ![]() |
49.7% | ![]() |
39.7% | 12.2% |
2004 | ![]() |
66.4% | ![]() |
32.1% | 34.3% |
2002 | ![]() |
63.2% | ![]() |
34.2% | 29% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Connecticut.
Election results (Governor), Connecticut 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
50.7% | ![]() |
48.2% | 2.5% |
2010 | ![]() |
49.5% | ![]() |
49% | .5% |
2006 | ![]() |
63.2% | ![]() |
35.5% | 27.7% |
2002 | ![]() |
56.1% | ![]() |
43.9% | 12.2% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Connecticut in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Connecticut Party Control: 1992-2025
Fifteen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | I | I | I | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
See also
- Connecticut's 5th Congressional District election (August 14, 2018 Democratic primary)
- Connecticut's 5th Congressional District election (August 14, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Hartford Courant, "Elizabeth Esty Not Running For Re-Election," April 2, 2018
- ↑ Politico, "Rep. Esty won’t run for reelection after mishandling harassment allegations," April 2, 2018
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2016, 2012, and 2008," November 19, 2018
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "House Republicans name Democratic targets for 2018," February 8, 2017
- ↑ Roll Call, "Democrats Identify Vulnerable Members for 2018," March 6, 2017
- ↑ 7.0 7.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Jahana Hayes for Congress, "Platform," accessed August 21, 2018
- ↑ Santos for Congress, "Issues," accessed August 21, 2018
- ↑ The CT Post, "DCCC adds Hayes to Red to Blue," August 16, 2018
- ↑ The CT Mirror, "Clay Cope wins landslide in 5th, Daria Novak a squeaker in 2nd," May 9, 2016
- ↑ The CT Mirror, "CT GOP backs Carter for Senate, denies Wolf primary margin," May 9, 2016
- ↑ CNN, "Connecticut House 05 Results," November 8, 2016
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Cubit, "Connecticut by Population," accessed August 30, 2018
- ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts Connecticut," accessed August 30, 2018