Connecticut's 5th Congressional District election, 2024
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Connecticut's 5th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: June 11, 2024 |
Primary: August 13, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Connecticut |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Lean Democratic Inside Elections: Lean Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th Connecticut elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
Incumbent U.S. Rep. Jahana Hayes (D) defeated George Logan (R) in the Nov. 5, 2024, general election for Connecticut's 5th Congressional District.[1][2]
This was a rematch from the 2022 general election in which Hayes defeated Logan 50.4%-49.6%. Major election forecasters differed in their ratings of the election, with one rating it Likely Democratic and three rating it Lean Democratic.
Hayes was first elected to the U.S. House in 2018. Hayes received an associate degree from Connecticut State Naugatuck Valley, a bachelor's degree from Southern Connecticut State University, and a master's degree from the University of Saint Joseph. Hayes worked as a high school teacher and talent and professional development supervisor for Waterbury Public Schools.[3]
Hayes' campaign website said her priorities were "equitable access to quality education, affordable health care for everyone, food security, labor, agriculture, and the environment."[4] Hayes said she would work to increase funding for public education, for the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs, and for wider collective bargaining rights.[5]
Logan served in the Connecticut Senate from 2017-2021. Logan received a bachelor's degree from Trinity College and a master's degree from the University of Bridgeport. He was the director of community relations for Aquarion Water Company and served on the boards of BHCare, the New Haven Symphony Orchestra, the Central Connecticut Coast YMCA, and the Griffin Hospital.[6]
In a campaign advertisement, Logan said, "I'll never compromise my values, but I will compromise to put money back in your pockets, compromise to protect social security and medicare, compromise to make our communities safer."[7] Logan's campaign website said he would oppose legislation he believed would increase inflation, support domestic and renewable energy production, and work to provide essential resources for police officers, firefighters, and emergency medical services.[8]
Based on third quarter reports filed with the Federal Election Commission, Hayes raised $4 million and spent $3.3 million and Logan raised $2.6 million and spent $2.3 million. To review all the campaign finance figures in full detail, click here.
Connecticut's 5th Congressional District was one of 37 congressional districts with a Democratic incumbent or an open seat that the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) targeted in 2024. To read about NRCC targeting initiatives, click here. For a complete list of NRCC targeted districts, click here.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Connecticut's 5th Congressional District election, 2024 (August 13 Democratic primary)
- Connecticut's 5th Congressional District election, 2024 (August 13 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Connecticut District 5
Incumbent Jahana Hayes defeated George Logan in the general election for U.S. House Connecticut District 5 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jahana Hayes (D / Working Families Party) | 53.4 | 180,268 |
George Logan (R) | 46.6 | 157,258 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 79 |
Total votes: 337,605 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Jahana Hayes advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 5.
Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. George Logan advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 5.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Michelle Botelho (R)
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Connecticut
Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party, Working Families Party
Incumbent: Yes
Political Office:
- U.S. House of Representatives, Connecticut District 5 (Assumed office: 2019)
Biography: Hayes received an associate's degree from Connecticut State Naugatuck Valley, a bachelor's degree from Southern Connecticut State University, and a master's degree from the University of Saint Joseph. She worked as a high school history teacher and talent and professional development supervisor for Waterbury Public Schools.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Connecticut District 5 in 2024.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Connecticut Senate, District 17 (2017-2021)
Biography: Logan received a bachelor's degree from Trinity College and a master's degree from the University of Bridgeport. He worked as the director of community relations for Aquarion Water Company and served as a board member of BHCare, the New Haven Symphony Orchestra, the Central Connecticut Coast YMCA, and the Griffin Hospital.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Connecticut District 5 in 2024.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign ads
Jahana Hayes
August 27, 2024 |
View more ads here:
George Logan
August 23, 2024 |
August 23, 2024 |
October 2, 2023 |
View more ads here:
Election competitiveness
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[9] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[10] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
The links below show polls for this race aggregated by FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, where available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation.
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[11]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[12][13][14]
Race ratings: Connecticut's 5th Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Lean Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Endorsements
Click the links below to see official endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites for any candidates that make that information available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.
Election spending
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jahana Hayes | Democratic Party | $4,218,172 | $4,055,864 | $522,551 | As of December 31, 2024 |
George Logan | Republican Party | $3,011,060 | $3,010,026 | $13,130 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[15][16]
If available, satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. FEC links include totals from monthly, quarterly, and semi-annual reports. OpenSecrets.org compiles data from those reports as well as 24- and 48-hour reports from the FEC.[17]
Details about satellite spending of significant amounts and/or reported by media are included below those links. The amounts listed may not represent the total satellite spending in the election. To notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.
By candidate | By election |
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District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Connecticut.
Connecticut U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2022 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2020 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 20.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2018 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 20.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2016 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2014 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Connecticut in 2024. Information below was calculated on August 6, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Eleven candidates ran for Connecticut’s five U.S. House districts, including five Democrats and six Republicans. That’s an average of 2.2 candidates per district. There was an average of 2.2 candidates per district in 2022, 2.6 candidates per district in 2020, and 2.6 in 2018.
The number of candidates who ran for the U.S. House in Connecticut in 2024 was tied with 2022 for the second-fewest in the last 10 years.
No districts were open in 2024, meaning all incumbents ran for re-election. One district was open in 2018, the only election cycle in the last 10 years in which a district was open.
Three candidates—one Democrat and two Republicans—ran for the 4th Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a district in Connecticut in 2024.
The Republican primary for the 4th Congressional District was the only contested primary in 2024.
No incumbents ran in a contested primary in 2024 for the sixth consecutive election cycle.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all five districts, meaning no seats are guaranteed to either party.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+3. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 3 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Connecticut's 5th the 191st most Democratic district nationally.[18]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Connecticut's 5th based on 2024 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
54.6% | 43.9% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[19] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Baseline ![]() |
Republican Baseline ![]() |
Difference | ||
51.3 | 47.3 | D+4.0 |
Presidential voting history
Connecticut presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 15 Democratic wins
- 16 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Connecticut's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Connecticut | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Republican | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 5 | 7 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Connecticut's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Connecticut, May 2024 | |
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Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
Connecticut State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 24 | |
Republican Party | 12 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 36 |
Connecticut House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 98 | |
Republican Party | 53 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 151 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Connecticut Party Control: 1992-2024
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | I | I | I | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Election context
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Connecticut in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Connecticut, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Connecticut | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | 2% of registered party members in the district | N/A | 6/11/2024 | Source |
Connecticut | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 1% of votes cast for the office in the last election, or 7,500, whichever is less | N/A | 8/7/2024 | Source |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Connecticut District 5
Incumbent Jahana Hayes defeated George Logan in the general election for U.S. House Connecticut District 5 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jahana Hayes (D / Working Families Party) | 50.4 | 127,838 |
George Logan (R / Independent Party) | 49.6 | 125,834 |
Total votes: 253,672 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Jahana Hayes advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 5.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Marcus Furze (D)
Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. George Logan advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 5.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Michelle Botelho (R)
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Connecticut District 5
Incumbent Jahana Hayes defeated David Xavier Sullivan and Bruce Walczak in the general election for U.S. House Connecticut District 5 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jahana Hayes (D / Working Families Party) | 55.1 | 192,484 |
![]() | David Xavier Sullivan (R) | 43.5 | 151,988 | |
![]() | Bruce Walczak (Independent Party) | 1.4 | 5,052 |
Total votes: 349,524 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Jahana Hayes advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 5.
Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. David Xavier Sullivan advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 5.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Ryan Meehan (R)
- Peter Robert Barresi (R)
- Ruben Rodriguez (R)
- Robert Hyde (R)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Connecticut District 5
Jahana Hayes defeated Manny Santos in the general election for U.S. House Connecticut District 5 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jahana Hayes (D) | 55.9 | 151,225 |
![]() | Manny Santos (R) | 44.1 | 119,426 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 13 |
Total votes: 270,664 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 5
Jahana Hayes defeated Mary Glassman in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 5 on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jahana Hayes | 62.3 | 24,693 |
![]() | Mary Glassman | 37.7 | 14,964 |
Total votes: 39,657 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Manny Sanchez (D)
- Shannon Kula (D)
- Roy Lubit (D)
- Shaul Praver (D)
- Richard Order (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 5
Manny Santos defeated Ruby Corby O'Neill and Rich DuPont in the Republican primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 5 on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Manny Santos | 52.4 | 16,816 |
![]() | Ruby Corby O'Neill | 26.2 | 8,419 | |
![]() | Rich DuPont | 21.4 | 6,863 |
Total votes: 32,098 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Craig Diangelo (R)
- Liz Peterson (R)
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jahana Hayes | Working Families Party, Democratic Party | $4,218,172 | $4,055,864 | $522,551 | As of December 31, 2024 |
George Logan | Republican Party | $3,011,060 | $3,010,026 | $13,130 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
2024 battleground elections
- See also: Battlegrounds
This was a battleground election. Other 2024 battleground elections included:
- New York's 22nd Congressional District election, 2024
- Ohio's 13th Congressional District election, 2024
- Texas House of Representatives elections, 2024 (May 28 Republican primary runoffs)
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Decision Desk HQ, "2024 Connecticut General," accessed November 6, 2024
- ↑ The New York Times, "Connecticut Fifth Congressional District Election Results," accessed November 6, 2024
- ↑ Linkedin, "Jahana Hayes," accessed September 17, 2024
- ↑ Jahana Hayes 2024 campaign website, "About," accessed September 17, 2024
- ↑ Jahana Hayes 2024 campaign website, "Issues," accessed September 17, 2024
- ↑ Linkedin, "George S Logan," accessed September 17, 2024
- ↑ Youtube, "Compromise," August 23, 2024
- ↑ George Logan 2024 campaign website, "Priorities," accessed September 17, 2024
- ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
- ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ Amee LaTour, Email correspondence with the Center for Responsive Politics, August 5, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023