A Republican Party primary took place on August 9, 2022, in Connecticut to determine which candidate would earn the right to run as the party's nominee in the state's gubernatorial election on November 8, 2022.

Bob Stefanowski advanced from the Republican primary for Governor of Connecticut.

This page focuses on Connecticut's Republican Party gubernatorial primary. For more in-depth information on Connecticut's Democratic gubernatorial primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Bob Stefanowski advanced from the Republican primary for Governor of Connecticut.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Susan Patricelli Regan (R)
Themis Klarides (R)

Election competitiveness

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.^[1]
Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.^[2]^[3]^[4]

Race ratings: Connecticut gubernatorial election, 2022
Race tracker	Race ratings
	November 8, 2022	November 1, 2022	October 25, 2022	October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter	Solid Democratic	Solid Democratic	Likely Democratic	Likely Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales	Solid Democratic	Solid Democratic	Solid Democratic	Solid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball	Likely Democratic	Likely Democratic	Likely Democratic	Likely Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

State profile

Demographic data for Connecticut
	Connecticut	U.S.
Total population:	3,584,730	316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):	4,842	3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:	77.3%	73.6%
Black/African American:	10.3%	12.6%
Asian:	4.2%	5.1%
Native American:	0.2%	0.8%
Pacific Islander:	0%	0.2%
Two or more:	2.8%	3%
Hispanic/Latino:	14.7%	17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:	89.9%	86.7%
College graduation rate:	37.6%	29.8%
Income
Median household income:	$70,331	$53,889
Persons below poverty level:	12.2%	11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Connecticut. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

Presidential voting pattern

See also: Presidential voting trends in Connecticut

Connecticut voted for the Democratic candidate in all seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.

Pivot Counties (2016)

Ballotpedia identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012. Collectively, Trump won these Pivot Counties by more than 580,000 votes. Of these 206 counties, one is located in Connecticut, accounting for 0.5 percent of the total pivot counties.^[5]

Pivot Counties (2020)

In 2020, Ballotpedia re-examined the 206 Pivot Counties to view their voting patterns following that year's presidential election. Ballotpedia defined those won by Trump won as Retained Pivot Counties and those won by Joe Biden (D) as Boomerang Pivot Counties. Nationwide, there were 181 Retained Pivot Counties and 25 Boomerang Pivot Counties. Connecticut had one Retained Pivot County, 0.55 percent of all Retained Pivot Counties.

More Connecticut coverage on Ballotpedia

Election analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.

Presidential elections

	2026 → ← 2018
Governor of Connecticut
	Democratic primary; Republican primary; General election;
Election details
	Filing deadline: June 7, 2022
	Primary: August 9, 2022; General: November 8, 2022; Pre-election incumbent(s):; Gov. Ned Lamont (Democratic)
How to vote
	Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m.; Voting in Connecticut
Ballotpedia analysis
	Federal and state primary competitiveness; State executive elections in 2022; Impact of term limits in 2022; State government trifectas; State government triplexes; Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
Connecticut; executive elections
	Governor; Lieutenant Governor; Attorney General; Secretary of State; Treasurer; Comptroller

See also: Presidential voting trends in Connecticut and The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Cook PVI by congressional district

Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Connecticut, 2022
District	Incumbent	Party	PVI
Connecticut's 1st	John Larson	Democratic	D+12
Connecticut's 2nd	Joe Courtney	Democratic	D+3
Connecticut's 3rd	Rosa DeLauro	Democratic	D+7
Connecticut's 4th	Jim Himes	Democratic	D+13
Connecticut's 5th	Jahana Hayes	Democratic	D+3

2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines

2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Connecticut^[6]
District	Joe Biden	Donald Trump
Connecticut's 1st	63.3%	35.2%
Connecticut's 2nd	54.7%	43.3%
Connecticut's 3rd	59.2%	39.5%
Connecticut's 4th	64.8%	33.8%
Connecticut's 5th	54.6%	43.9%

2012-2020

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:

County-level voting pattern categories
Democratic
Status	2012	2016	2020
Solid Democratic	D	D	D
Trending Democratic	R	D	D
Battleground Democratic	D	R	D
New Democratic	R	R	D
Republican
Status	2012	2016	2020
Solid Republican	R	R	R
Trending Republican	D	R	R
Battleground Republican	R	D	R
New Republican	D	D	R

Following the 2020 presidential election, 91.6% of Connecticuters lived in one of the state's six Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 5.1% lived in Litchfield County, the state's one Solid Republican county. Overall, Connecticut was Solid Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Hillary Clinton (D) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Connecticut following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Connecticut county-level statistics, 2020
Solid Democratic	6	91.6%
Solid Republican	1	5.1%
Trending Republican	1	3.2%
Total voted Democratic	6	91.6%
Total voted Republican	2	8.4%

Historical voting trends

Connecticut presidential election results (1900-2020)

15 Democratic wins
16 Republican wins

Year	1900	1904	1908	1912	1916	1920	1924	1928	1932	1936	1940	1944	1948	1952	1956	1960	1964	1968	1972	1976	1980	1984	1988	1992	1996	2000	2004	2008	2012	2016	2020
Winning Party	R	R	R	D	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	R	R	R	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D

Statewide elections

This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

U.S. Senate elections

See also: List of United States Senators from Connecticut

The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Connecticut.

U.S. Senate election results in Connecticut
Race	Winner	Runner up
2018	59.5%	39.4%
2016	63.2%	34.6%
2012	54.8%	43.1%
2010	55.1%	43.3%
2006	49.7% (Independent)	39.7%
Average	56.5	40.0

Gubernatorial elections

See also: Governor of Connecticut

The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Connecticut.

Gubernatorial election results in Connecticut
Race	Winner	Runner up
2018	49.4%	46.2%
2014	50.7%	48.2%
2010	49.5%	49.0%
2006	63.2%	35.5%
2002	56.1%	43.9%
Average	53.8	44.6

State partisanship

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Connecticut's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Connecticut, November 2022
Party	U.S. Senate	U.S. House	Total
Democratic	2	5	7
Republican	0	0	0
Independent	0	0	0
Vacancies	0	0	0
Total	2	5	7

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Connecticut's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Connecticut, November 2022
Office	Officeholder
Governor	Ned Lamont
Lieutenant Governor	Susan Bysiewicz
Secretary of State	Mark Kohler
Attorney General	William Tong

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Connecticut General Assembly as of November 2022.

Connecticut State Senate

Party		As of November 2022
	Democratic Party	23
	Republican Party	13
	Vacancies	0
Total		36

Connecticut House of Representatives

Party		As of November 2022
	Democratic Party	97
	Republican Party	54
	Vacancies	0
Total		151

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Connecticut was a Democratic trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Connecticut Party Control: 1992-2022
Twelve years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year	92	93	94	95	96	97	98	99	00	01	02	03	04	05	06	07	08	09	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
Governor	I	I	I	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D
Senate	D	D	D	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D
House	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D

Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Connecticut and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Connecticut
	Connecticut	United States
Population	3,605,944	331,449,281
Land area (sq mi)	4,842	3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White	74.2%	70.4%
Black/African American	10.7%	12.6%
Asian	4.6%	5.6%
Native American	0.3%	0.8%
Pacific Islander	0%	0.2%
Other (single race)	5.4%	5.1%
Multiple	4.8%	5.2%
Hispanic/Latino	16.4%	18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate	90.9%	88.5%
College graduation rate	40%	32.9%
Income
Median household income	$79,855	$64,994
Persons below poverty level	9.8%	12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

External links

Suggest a link

Footnotes

↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
↑ The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022

[1] Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.

[2] Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018

[3] Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018

[4] Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018

[5] The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.

[6] Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022

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[6]

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Connecticut gubernatorial election, 2022 (August 9 Republican primary)