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Daily Brew: June 14, 2019

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June 14, 2019

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Today's Brew highlights a different kind of 5-4 Supreme Court decision + Oregon becomes fourth state to join the NPVIC in 2019  
The Daily Brew
Welcome to the Friday, July 14, Brew. Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day:
  1. Some cases cause unpredictable partisan splits at U.S. Supreme Court
  2. Oregon governor signs National Popular Vote Interstate Compact legislation
  3. San Francisco mayor draws five challengers

Some cases cause unpredictable partisan splits at U.S. Supreme Court

Most people can describe an ideological division on the Supreme Court. Five justices on one side, four justices on the other  How presidential candidates will address the Supreme Court, and who they might nominate, has been a regular campaign topic for decades. But not all 5-4 cases are decided by the 5-4 divide you might think.

One recent example is Mont v. United States—a case heard in the current term concerning a pause in an inmate’s supervised release from prison. The court affirmed the ruling of the 6th Circuit in holding that a "term of supervised release does not run during any period in which the person is imprisoned in connection with a conviction for a . . . crime unless the imprisonment is for a period of less than 30 consecutive days."

The court issued its opinion in the case last week by a 5-4 vote. Justice Thomas authored the decision and was joined by Chief Justice Roberts and Justices Ginsburg, Alito, and Kavanaugh. Justice Sotomayor filed a dissenting opinion, joined by Justices Breyer, Kagan, and Gorsuch.

Jonathan Adler, writing at Reason.com, described the alignment of justices in the Mont decision as "unprecedented." He wrote, “The resulting division is thus neither one we expect to see ideologically, nor is it readily explained on the basis of other common jurisprudential divisions, such as the formalist-pragmatist split we've often seen in other criminal justice contexts. Further, while we've seen Justice Gorsuch cross over to vote with the liberal justices in other cases, we have not seen this in a case in which one of the more liberal justices also 'switched sides.'"

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Oregon governor signs National Popular Vote Interstate Compact legislation

The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPVIC) is 74 electoral votes away from going into effect. Oregon became the 16th jurisdiction to join the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact after Gov. Kate Brown (D) signed legislation joining the state to it Wednesday. With Oregon joining the NPVIC, the compact’s members now account for 196 electoral votes.

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The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPVIC) is an interstate agreement to award each member state's presidential electors to the winner of the national popular vote. It would go into effect if states representing at least 270 electoral college vote to adopt it.

The Oregon state Senate passed the legislation, 17-12. Fifteen Democrats joined two Republicans in supporting the bill, while three Democrats and nine Republicans were opposed. The state House passed the measure by a vote of 37-22 with all votes in favor coming from Democrats and all 22 Republicans opposed.

Oregon becomes the fourth state—after New Mexico, Colorado, and Delaware—to join the NPVIC in 2019. Nevada Gov. Steve Sisolak (D) vetoed a bill last month which would have entered Nevada into the compact. 

Maine’s state Senate passed legislation last month to join the NPVIC. The state House voted down the measure on May 30 but voted to reconsider that action on Wednesday.

Most states currently use a winner-take-all system for awarding their electoral votes in the Electoral College. Under this method, the presidential candidate that receives a plurality of the popular vote in a state receives all of that state's electoral votes. In five of 58 presidential elections, the winner of the electoral college did not receive the most popular votes. This occurred most recently in the 2016 presidential election as Donald Trump received 304 electoral votes and Hillary Clinton had more total votes nationwide.

San Francisco mayor draws five challengers

Incumbent mayor London Breed and five other candidates filed to run Tuesday for mayor of San Francisco. Breed is seeking her first full term after succeeding former mayor Ed Lee, who died in office in December 2017.

Breed won a special mayoral election in June 2018, receiving 36.6% of the vote in an eight-candidate field. Prior to being elected mayor, she served as a member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors since 2013 and was the board’s president since 2015.

San Francisco has used ranked-choice voting for municipal elections since 2004. Beginning this year, the city will use a new system that allows voters to rank up to 10 candidates while voting, instead of the three choices permitted previously. The general election takes place on November 5.

In addition to the mayoral election, voters in San Francisco will also elect the offices of city attorney, district attorney, public defender, sheriff, and treasurer. A special election will also be held for District 5, the seat previously held by Breed.


See also