Everything you need to know about ranked-choice voting in one spot. Click to learn more!

Election 2016: What happened in Congress

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search

November 9, 2016
By The Federal Desk

See also: U.S. House elections, 2016 and U.S. Senate elections, 2016

Republicans put up strong results in both the Senate and the House in 2016. Republicans maintained their Senate majority by a surprisingly large margin, only losing two seats, Illinois and New Hampshire.

The Republican Party also held fast in the House, losing only a net six seats in the chamber. Two races currently remain uncalled in California, and Louisiana will hold two runoff elections in December. However, no more seats are expected to flip at this point.

Incumbents in both chambers had a very successful night. Assuming no more seats flip, incumbents will have won just over 97 percent of all races in which an incumbent sought re-election. There will be a total of 56 freshmen members of Congress sworn in in January. Forty-seven of those new members will be from open seat races, and nine will be from incumbent losses.

Senate

Democrats picked up two seats in the Senate in 2016, falling far short of the five required to gain control of the chamber. Louisiana's Senate race is not yet decided, but it is expected to be an easy Republican hold in the December runoff election.[1]

U.S. Senate Partisan Breakdown
Party As of November 2016 After the 2016 Election
     Democratic Party 44 46
     Republican Party 54 52
     Independent 2 2
Total 100 100

The following table displays the results of the nine Senate battleground races.

United States Senate Battleground Results
State Incumbent Winner Partisan switch? Margin of victory
Florida Republican Party Marco Rubio Republican Party Marco Rubio No 7.7%
Illinois Republican Party Mark Kirk Democratic Party Tammy Duckworth Yes 15.1%
Indiana Republican Party Dan Coats Republican Party Todd Young No 9.7%
Missouri Republican Party Roy Blunt Republican Party Roy Blunt No 2.8%
Nevada Democratic Party Harry Reid Democratic Party Catherine Cortez Masto No 2.4%
New Hampshire Republican Party Kelly Ayotte Democratic Party Maggie Hassan Yes 0.1%
North Carolina Republican Party Richard Burr Republican Party Richard Burr No 5.7%
Pennsylvania Republican Party Pat Toomey Republican Party Pat Toomey No 1.4%
Wisconsin Republican Party Ron Johnson Republican Party Ron Johnson No 3.4%

Presidential coattails

Republican Party Republicans

Of the states that had Republican senators up for election, the senators’ average win was 3.2 percent higher than President-elect Donald Trump’s average win, according to preliminary vote totals.[2] Trump's average win was 55.4 percent, while Republican senators' average win was 58.6 percent.

In Ballotpedia’s battleground races and races to watch, Republican Senators John McCain (Ariz.), Marco Rubio (Fla.), Richard Burr (N.C.), Pat Toomey (Pa.), and Ron Johnson (Wis.) ran ahead of Trump. Trump ran ahead of Senator-elect Todd Young (Ind.) and Senator Roy Blunt (Mo.).

Trump lost Illinois, Nevada, and New Hampshire, and the Republican candidates also lost their races in those states. Senator Mark Kirk ran ahead of Trump in Illinois, Trump ran ahead of Rep. Joe Heck in Nevada, and Sen. Kelly Ayotte ran ahead of Trump in New Hampshire.

Missouri Senator Roy Blunt saw the biggest coattails effect from Trump. Trump won 57.1 percent of the vote, while Blunt won 49.4 percent. In Ohio, Trump saw the largest reverse coattails from Senator Rob Portman, who won the state with 58.3 percent of the vote. Trump earned 52.1 percent of the vote in Ohio.

A full breakdown of the presidential and Senate races appears below.

*Ballotpedia identified the highlighted races as battleground races and races to watch. The vote percentages are from CNN and will be updated after the final results are released.

2016 Republican Presidential and Senate election results
State Presidential candidate vote % Senate candidate vote % Vote % Difference
Alabama Donald Trump Incumbent Richard Shelby
Totals 62.9% Approveda 64.2% Approveda Shelby +1.3%
Alaska Donald Trump Incumbent Lisa Murkowski
Totals 53.3% Approveda 43.8% Approveda Trump +9.5%
Arizona Donald Trump Incumbent John McCain
Totals 49.5% Approveda 53.4% Approveda McCain +3.9%
Arkansas Donald Trump Incumbent John Boozman
Totals 60.4% Approveda 59.8% Approveda Trump +0.6%
Florida Donald Trump Incumbent Marco Rubio
Totals 49.1% Approveda 52.1% Approveda Rubio +3.0%
Georgia Donald Trump Incumbent Johnny Isakson
Totals 51.4% Approveda 55.1% Approveda Isakson +3.7%
Idaho Donald Trump Incumbent Mike Crapo
Totals 59.0% Approveda 66.0% Approveda Crapo +7.0%
Indiana Donald Trump Todd Young
Totals 57.2% Approveda 52.2% Approveda Trump + 5.0%
Iowa Donald Trump Incumbent Chuck Grassley
Totals 51.7% Approveda 60.1% Approveda Grassley +8.4%
Kansas Donald Trump Incumbent Jerry Moran
Totals 57.2% Approveda 62.4% Approveda Moran +5.2%
Kentucky Donald Trump Incumbent Rand Paul
Totals 62.5% Approveda +57.3% Approveda Trump +5.2%
Louisiana Donald Trump Multiple Republican candidates
Totals 58.1% Approveda (Race not called) -
Missouri Donald Trump Incumbent Roy Blunt
Totals 57.1% Approveda 49.4% Approveda Trump +7.7%
North Carolina Donald Trump Incumbent Richard Burr
Totals 50.5% Approveda 51.1% Approveda Burr +0.6%
North Dakota Donald Trump Incumbent John Hoeven
Totals 64.1% Approveda 78.6% Approveda Hoeven +14.5%
Ohio Donald Trump Incumbent Rob Portman
Totals 52.1% Approveda 58.3% Approveda Portman +6.2%
Oklahoma Donald Trump Incumbent James Lankford
Totals 65.3% Approveda 67.7% Approveda Lankford +2.4%
Pennsylvania Donald Trump Incumbent Pat Toomey
Totals 48.8% Approveda 48.9% Approveda Toomey +0.1%
South Carolina Donald Trump Incumbent Tim Scott
Totals 55.6% Approveda 61.2% Approveda Scott +5.6%
South Dakota Donald Trump Incumbent John Thune
Totals 61.5% Approveda 71.8% Approveda Thune +10.3%
Utah Donald Trump Incumbent Mike Lee
Totals 45.5% Approveda 67.4% Approveda Lee +21.9%
Wisconsin Donald Trump Incumbent Ron Johnson
Totals 47.9% Approveda 50.2% Approveda Johnson +2.3%
California Donald Trump No Republican on the ballot
Totals 33.3% Defeatedd No Republican on the ballot -
Colorado Donald Trump Darryl Glenn
Totals 44.8% Defeatedd 45.8% Defeatedd Glenn +1.0%
Connecticut Donald Trump Dan Carter
Totals 41.6% Defeatedd 35.3% Defeatedd Trump +6.3%
Hawaii Donald Trump John Carroll
Totals 30.1% Defeatedd 22.2% Defeatedd Trump +7.9%
Illinois Donald Trump Incumbent Mark Kirk
Totals 39.4% Defeatedd 40.2% Defeatedd Kirk +0.8%
Maryland Donald Trump Kathy Szeliga
Totals 35.3% Defeatedd 36.4% Defeatedd Szeliga +1.1%
Nevada Donald Trump Joe Heck
Totals 45.5% Defeatedd 44.7% Defeatedd Trump +0.8%
New Hampshire Donald Trump Incumbent Kelly Ayotte
Totals 47.2% Defeatedd 47.9% Defeatedd Ayotte +0.7%
New York Donald Trump Wendy Long
Totals 37.5% Defeatedd 27.5% Defeatedd Trump +10.0%
Oregon Donald Trump Mark Callahan
Totals 41.3% Defeatedd 33.9% Defeatedd Trump +7.4%
Vermont Donald Trump Scott Milne
Totals 32.6% Defeatedd 33.0% Defeatedd Milne +0.4%
Washington Donald Trump Chris Vance
Totals 37.7% Defeatedd 39.2% Defeatedd Vance +1.5%
Totals Trump's average win: 55.4% Republican senators' average win: 58.6% Republican senators +3.2%

Democratic Party Democrats

Of the states that had Democratic senators up for election, the senators’ average win was 3.7 percent higher than Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton’s average win, according to preliminary vote totals.[3] Clinton's average win was 50.5 percent, while Democratic senators' average win was 54.2 percent.

In Ballotpedia’s battleground races and races to watch, Illinois Senator-elect Tammy Duckworth and Nevada Senator-elect Catherine Cortez Masto both saw a slight coattails effect from Clinton. In Illinois, Clinton won with 55.4 percent of the vote, while Duckworth was a full point behind with 54.4 percent. In Nevada, Clinton won 47.9 percent of the vote, while Cortez Masto won 47.1 percent of the vote.

In New Hampshire Clinton saw a slight reverse coattails effect from Governor and Senator-elect Maggie Hassan (D). Clinton won 47.6 percent of the vote, while Hassan won 48 percent of the vote, a 0.4 percent difference.

A full breakdown of the presidential and Senate races appears below.

*Ballotpedia identified the highlighted races as battleground races and races to watch. The vote percentages are from CNN and will be updated after the final results are released.

2016 Democratic Presidential and Senate election results
State Presidential candidate vote % Senate candidate vote % Vote % Difference
California Hillary Clinton Kamala Harris (D) or Loretta Sanchez (D)
Totals 61.4% Approveda Harris (D), 62.5% Approveda/ Sanchez (D), 37.5% Defeatedd Both Senate candidates were Democrats
Colorado Hillary Clinton Incumbent Michael Bennet
Totals 47.0% Approveda 48.9% Approveda Bennet +1.9%
Connecticut Hillary Clinton Incumbent Richard Blumenthal
Totals 54.0% Approveda 62.5% Approveda Blumenthal +8.5%
Hawaii Hillary Clinton Incumbent Brian Schatz
Totals 62.3% Approveda 73.6% Approveda Schatz +11.3%
Illinois Hillary Clinton Tammy Duckworth
Totals 55.4% Approveda 54.4% Approveda Clinton +1.0%
Maryland Hillary Clinton Chris Van Hollen
Totals 60.5% Approveda 60.4% Approveda Clinton +0.1%
Nevada Hillary Clinton Catherine Cortez Masto
Totals 47.9% Approveda 47.1% Approveda Clinton +0.8%
New Hampshire Hillary Clinton Maggie Hassan
Totals 47.6% Approveda 48% Approveda Hassan +0.4%
New York Hillary Clinton Incumbent Chuck Schumer
Totals 58.8% Approveda 70.4% Approveda Schumer +11.6%
Oregon Hillary Clinton Incumbent Ron Wyden
Totals 51.8% Approveda 56.8% Approveda Wyden +5.0%
Vermont Hillary Clinton Incumbent Patrick Leahy
Totals 61.1% Approveda 61.3% Approveda Leahy +0.2%
Washington Hillary Clinton Incumbent Patty Murray
Totals 56.3% Approveda 60.8% Approveda Murray +4.5%
Alabama Hillary Clinton Ron Crumpton
Totals 34.6% Defeatedd 35.8% Defeatedd Crumpton +1.2%
Alaska Hillary Clinton Ray Metcalfe
Totals 37.6% Defeatedd 11.1% Defeatedd Clinton +26.5%
Arizona Hillary Clinton Ann Kirkpatrick
Totals 45.4% Defeatedd 41.3% Defeatedd Clinton +4.1%
Arkansas Hillary Clinton Conner Eldridge
Totals 33.8% Defeatedd 36.2% Defeatedd Eldridge +2.4%
Florida Hillary Clinton Patrick Murphy
Totals 47.4% Defeatedd 44.3% Defeatedd Clinton +3.1%
Georgia Hillary Clinton Jim Barksdale
Totals 45.5% Defeatedd 40.8% Defeatedd Clinton +4.7%
Idaho Hillary Clinton Jerry Sturgill
Totals 27.5% Defeatedd 27.7% Defeatedd Sturgill +0.2%
Indiana Hillary Clinton Evan Bayh
Totals 37.9% Defeatedd 42.4% Defeatedd Bayh +4.5%
Iowa Hillary Clinton Patty Judge
Totals 42.2% Defeatedd 35.7% Defeatedd Clinton +6.5%
Kansas Hillary Clinton Patrick Wiesner
Totals 36.1% Defeatedd 32.1% Defeatedd Clinton +4.0%
Kentucky Hillary Clinton Jim Gray
Totals 32.7% Defeatedd 42.7% Defeatedd Gray +10%
Louisiana Hillary Clinton Multiple Democratic candidates
Totals 38.4% Defeatedd (Race not called) -
Missouri Hillary Clinton Jason Kander
Totals 38% Defeatedd 46.2% Defeatedd Kander +8.2%
North Carolina Hillary Clinton Deborah Ross
Totals 46.7% Defeatedd 45.3% Defeatedd Clinton +1.4%
North Dakota Hillary Clinton Eliot Glassheim
Totals 27.8% Defeatedd 17% Defeatedd Clinton +10.8%
Ohio Hillary Clinton Ted Strickland
Totals 43.5% Defeatedd 36.9% Defeatedd Clinton +6.6%
Oklahoma Hillary Clinton Mike Workman
Totals 28.9% Defeatedd 24.6% Defeatedd Clinton +4.3%
Pennsylvania Hillary Clinton Katie McGinty
Totals 47.6% Defeatedd 47.2% Defeatedd Clinton +0.4%
South Carolina Hillary Clinton Thomas Dixon
Totals 39.9% Defeatedd 36.3% Defeatedd Clinton +3.6%
South Dakota Hillary Clinton Jay Williams
Totals 31.7% Defeatedd 28.2% Defeatedd Clinton +3.5%
Utah Hillary Clinton Misty Snow
Totals 28% Defeatedd 27.5% Defeatedd Clinton +0.5%
Wisconsin Hillary Clinton Russ Feingold
Totals 46.9% Defeatedd 46.8% Defeatedd Clinton +.01%
Totals Clinton's average win: 50.5% Democratic senators' average win: 54.2% Democratic senators: +3.7%

House

Although there was never much expectation of a Democratic victory in the House, it was still a disappointing night for House Democrats. The Democratic Party only picked up a net six seats in the chamber, falling short of the anticipated double-digit gains. Democrats were most successful in Nevada, where they managed to flip two districts. They also gained a seat in Florida, Illinois, New Hampshire, New Jersey, and Virginia while losing only one in Nebraska.[4]

U.S. House Partisan Breakdown
Party As of November 2016 After the 2016 Election
     Democratic Party 186 194
     Republican Party 246 241
     Vacant 3 0
Total 435 435


The following table displays the results of the 23 House battleground races.

United States House Battleground Results
District Incumbent Winner Partisan switch? Margin of victory
Arizona's 1st Democratic Party Ann Kirkpatrick Democratic Party Tom O'Halleran No 7.3%
California's 7th Democratic Party Ami Bera Democratic Party Ami Bera No 2.3%
California's 25th Republican Party Stephen Knight Republican Party Stephen Knight No 6.3%
California's 49th Republican Party Darrell Issa Republican Party Darrell Issa No 0.5%
Colorado's 6th Republican Party Mike Coffman Republican Party Mike Coffman No 8.3%
Florida's 7th Republican Party John Mica Democratic Party Stephanie Murphy Yes 3%
Florida's 18th Democratic Party Patrick Murphy Republican Party Brian Mast Yes 10.5%
Florida's 26th Republican Party Carlos Curbelo Republican Party Carlos Curbelo No 11.8%
Illinois' 10th Republican Party Robert Dold Democratic Party Brad Schneider Yes 5.2%
Iowa's 1st Republican Party Rod Blum Republican Party Rod Blum No 7.7%
Maine's 2nd Republican Party Bruce Poliquin Republican Party Bruce Poliquin No 9.6%
Michigan's 1st Republican Party Dan Benishek Republican Party Jack Bergman No 14.8%
Minnesota's 2nd Republican Party John Kline Republican Party Jason Lewis No 1.8%
Nebraska's 2nd Democratic Party Brad Ashford Republican Party Don Bacon Yes 1.2%
Nevada's 3rd Republican Party Joe Heck Democratic Party Jacky Rosen Yes 1.3%
Nevada's 4th Republican Party Cresent Hardy Democratic Party Ruben Kihuen Yes 4%
New Hampshire's 1st Republican Party Frank Guinta Democratic Party Carol Shea-Porter Yes 1.3%
New Jersey's 5th Republican Party Scott Garrett Democratic Party Josh Gottheimer Yes 4.4%
New York's 19th Republican Party Chris Gibson Republican Party John Faso No 8.6%
New York's 22nd Republican Party Richard Hanna Republican Party Claudia Tenney No 5.5%
Pennsylvania's 8th Republican Party Michael G. Fitzpatrick Republican Party Brian Fitzpatrick No 8.9%
Texas' 23rd Republican Party Will Hurd Republican Party Will Hurd No 1.3%
Virginia's 10th Republican Party Barbara Comstock Republican Party Barbara Comstock No 5.8%

See also

Ballotpedia's election coverage Federal elections State elections Local elections
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Presidential Elections-2016-badge.png
SLP badge.png
Municipal Government Final.png

Footnotes