Become part of the movement for unbiased, accessible election information. Donate today.

Election results, 2020: Incumbent win rates by state

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search
Ballotpedia-Elections-Portal-Masthead-Image-icons.png
2021
2019



Ballotpedia Analysis: 2020 elections
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png

Updated 6:30pm EST, February 11, 2021

This content is part of Ballotpedia's analysis of the 2020 elections. For comprehensive election results, click here.

Ballotpedia covered all state races on November 3, 2020, as well as local elections in America's 100 largest cities by population. In the 2020 general election, 93% of incumbents nationwide won their re-election bids. This percentage includes races in which incumbents ran unopposed but does not include recall elections.

  • The incumbent win rate remained at or above 90% in all states but California, New Hampshire, Ohio, and West Virginia.
  • The lowest overall incumbent win rate was in California with 85%. New Jersey was the only state to see a 100% incumbent win rate.
  • Congressional incumbents had a 96% win rate. Thirty-eight states had a 100% win rate in congressional races.
  • State-level incumbents had a 95% win rate. Five states had a 100% win rate in state-level races.
  • Local-level incumbents had an 89% average win rate. Eight states had a 100% win rate in local-level races.

The analysis below includes data compiled by Ballotpedia on the 7,636 incumbents who ran for re-election on November 3, 2020.

The table below shows the win rate for each state and election type:

Incumbent win rate by state in the general election on November 3, 2020
State Incumbent
win rate
Congress State
executive
State
legislative
State
judicial
Local
Alaska 97% 100% - 95% 100% 100%
Alabama 94% 83% 100% - 100% 94%
Arkansas 95% 100% - 95% - -
Arizona 93% 90% 100% 96% 100% 92%
California 85% 94% - 98% - 80%
Colorado 95% 86% 100% 97% 100% 94%
Connecticut 95% 100% - 95% - -
Delaware 96% 100% 100% 96% - -
Florida 96% 92% - 96% 100% 95%
Georgia 97% 100% 100% 98% - 93%
Hawaii 97% 100% 50% 100% - -
Iowa 93% 67% - 93% 100% -
Idaho 96% 100% - 98% - 89%
Illinois 96% 100% - 94% 90% 97%
Indiana 93% 100% 100% 94% 100% 89%
Kansas 95% 100% 75% 96% 100% 92%
Kentucky 93% 100% - 93% 100% 93%
Louisiana 94% 100% 100% - 100% 92%
Massachusetts 99% 100% 100% 99% - 100%
Maryland 92% 100% - - 100% 88%
Maine 92% 100% - 92% - -
Michigan 97% 100% 50% 98% 100% 97%
Minnesota 95% 89% - 95% 100% 98%
Missouri 99% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100%
Mississippi 90% 100% - - 100% 0%
Montana 93% 100% 100% 92% 100% -
North Carolina 93% 100% 100% 95% 20% 93%
North Dakota 96% 100% 100% 95% 100% -
Nebraska 93% 100% 100% 89% 100% 92%
New Hampshire 89% 100% 50% 89% - -
New Jersey 100% 100% - 100% - 100%
New Mexico 93% 50% 50% 96% 100% 91%
Nevada 90% 100% 0% 92% 100% 89%
New York 96% 91% - 97% - 100%
Ohio 87% 100% 67% 96% 68% 78%
Oklahoma 90% 83% 100% 89% 100% 88%
Oregon 95% 100% 100% 97% 100% 78%
Pennsylvania 97% 100% 50% 98% - -
Rhode Island 97% 100% - 97% - -
South Carolina 93% 88% - 97% - 56%
South Dakota 95% 100% 100% 95% 100% -
Tennessee 98% 100% - 98% - -
Texas 90% 100% 100% 98% 73% 86%
Utah 97% 67% 100% 99% 100% 94%
Virginia 94% 100% - - - 100%
Vermont 94% 100% 100% 94% - -
Washington 96% 100% 88% 95% 100% 100%
Wisconsin 97% 100% - 97% - 100%
West Virginia 87% 100% 83% 87% - -
Wyoming 95% 100% - 94% 100% -
Average 93% 96% 88% 95% 92% 89%


Map


See also

Footnotes