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Election results, 2020: Incumbent win rates by state
Updated 6:30pm EST, February 11, 2021
This content is part of Ballotpedia's analysis of the 2020 elections. For comprehensive election results, click here.
Ballotpedia covered all state races on November 3, 2020, as well as local elections in America's 100 largest cities by population. In the 2020 general election, 93% of incumbents nationwide won their re-election bids. This percentage includes races in which incumbents ran unopposed but does not include recall elections.
- The incumbent win rate remained at or above 90% in all states but California, New Hampshire, Ohio, and West Virginia.
- The lowest overall incumbent win rate was in California with 85%. New Jersey was the only state to see a 100% incumbent win rate.
- Congressional incumbents had a 96% win rate. Thirty-eight states had a 100% win rate in congressional races.
- State-level incumbents had a 95% win rate. Five states had a 100% win rate in state-level races.
- Local-level incumbents had an 89% average win rate. Eight states had a 100% win rate in local-level races.
The analysis below includes data compiled by Ballotpedia on the 7,636 incumbents who ran for re-election on November 3, 2020.
The table below shows the win rate for each state and election type:
Incumbent win rate by state in the general election on November 3, 2020 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Incumbent win rate |
Congress | State executive |
State legislative |
State judicial |
Local | |
Alaska | 97% | 100% | - | 95% | 100% | 100% | |
Alabama | 94% | 83% | 100% | - | 100% | 94% | |
Arkansas | 95% | 100% | - | 95% | - | - | |
Arizona | 93% | 90% | 100% | 96% | 100% | 92% | |
California | 85% | 94% | - | 98% | - | 80% | |
Colorado | 95% | 86% | 100% | 97% | 100% | 94% | |
Connecticut | 95% | 100% | - | 95% | - | - | |
Delaware | 96% | 100% | 100% | 96% | - | - | |
Florida | 96% | 92% | - | 96% | 100% | 95% | |
Georgia | 97% | 100% | 100% | 98% | - | 93% | |
Hawaii | 97% | 100% | 50% | 100% | - | - | |
Iowa | 93% | 67% | - | 93% | 100% | - | |
Idaho | 96% | 100% | - | 98% | - | 89% | |
Illinois | 96% | 100% | - | 94% | 90% | 97% | |
Indiana | 93% | 100% | 100% | 94% | 100% | 89% | |
Kansas | 95% | 100% | 75% | 96% | 100% | 92% | |
Kentucky | 93% | 100% | - | 93% | 100% | 93% | |
Louisiana | 94% | 100% | 100% | - | 100% | 92% | |
Massachusetts | 99% | 100% | 100% | 99% | - | 100% | |
Maryland | 92% | 100% | - | - | 100% | 88% | |
Maine | 92% | 100% | - | 92% | - | - | |
Michigan | 97% | 100% | 50% | 98% | 100% | 97% | |
Minnesota | 95% | 89% | - | 95% | 100% | 98% | |
Missouri | 99% | 100% | 100% | 99% | 100% | 100% | |
Mississippi | 90% | 100% | - | - | 100% | 0% | |
Montana | 93% | 100% | 100% | 92% | 100% | - | |
North Carolina | 93% | 100% | 100% | 95% | 20% | 93% | |
North Dakota | 96% | 100% | 100% | 95% | 100% | - | |
Nebraska | 93% | 100% | 100% | 89% | 100% | 92% | |
New Hampshire | 89% | 100% | 50% | 89% | - | - | |
New Jersey | 100% | 100% | - | 100% | - | 100% | |
New Mexico | 93% | 50% | 50% | 96% | 100% | 91% | |
Nevada | 90% | 100% | 0% | 92% | 100% | 89% | |
New York | 96% | 91% | - | 97% | - | 100% | |
Ohio | 87% | 100% | 67% | 96% | 68% | 78% | |
Oklahoma | 90% | 83% | 100% | 89% | 100% | 88% | |
Oregon | 95% | 100% | 100% | 97% | 100% | 78% | |
Pennsylvania | 97% | 100% | 50% | 98% | - | - | |
Rhode Island | 97% | 100% | - | 97% | - | - | |
South Carolina | 93% | 88% | - | 97% | - | 56% | |
South Dakota | 95% | 100% | 100% | 95% | 100% | - | |
Tennessee | 98% | 100% | - | 98% | - | - | |
Texas | 90% | 100% | 100% | 98% | 73% | 86% | |
Utah | 97% | 67% | 100% | 99% | 100% | 94% | |
Virginia | 94% | 100% | - | - | - | 100% | |
Vermont | 94% | 100% | 100% | 94% | - | - | |
Washington | 96% | 100% | 88% | 95% | 100% | 100% | |
Wisconsin | 97% | 100% | - | 97% | - | 100% | |
West Virginia | 87% | 100% | 83% | 87% | - | - | |
Wyoming | 95% | 100% | - | 94% | 100% | - | |
Average | 93% | 96% | 88% | 95% | 92% | 89% |
Map
See also
- Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
- 2020 election analysis: Uncontested races by state
- Election results, 2020: State government trifectas
- Election results, 2020: State government triplexes
- State executive official elections, 2020
- State legislative elections, 2020
- State judicial elections, 2020
- United States municipal elections, 2020
Footnotes