Election results, 2023: Incumbent win rates by state

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2024 » « 2022
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Updated January 4, 2024

This content is part of Ballotpedia's analysis of the 2023 elections. For comprehensive election results, click here.

Ballotpedia covered all state races on November 7, 2023, as well as local elections in America's 100 largest cities by population. In the 2023 general election, an average of 94% of incumbents nationwide won their re-election bids.

Comparatively, in the 2022 general election, 94% of incumbents nationwide won their re-election bids. In the 2021 November election, 86% of incumbents were successful.

• The incumbent win rate remained at or above 90% in all but seven states—Colorado, Connecticut, Georgia, Kansas, Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Ohio.
• The lowest overall incumbent win rate was in Colorado with 70%. Eleven states had a 100% incumbent win rate.
• State-level incumbents had a 97% win rate. Three states had a 100% win rate in state-level races.
• State legislative incumbents had a 97% average win rate. No states had a 100% win rate in state legislative races.
• Local-level incumbents had a 92% average win rate. Twelve states had a 100% win rate in local-level races.
• Local legislative incumbents had a 91% average win rate. Twelve states had a 100% win rate in local legislative races.

The analysis below includes data compiled by Ballotpedia on the 862 incumbents who ran for re-election on November 7, 2023.

Win rates by state

The table below shows the win rate for each state and office type. Click on a header to sort the table by that column:

The map below highlights each state based on its incumbent win rate.

Comparison to previous odd-year elections

2021

The table below shows the win rate for each state and office type:

See also

• Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2023
• Election results, 2023: Uncontested races by state
• Election results, 2023: State government trifectas
• Election results, 2023: State government triplexes
• State executive official elections, 2023
• State legislative elections, 2023
• State judicial elections, 2023
• United States municipal elections, 2023

Footnotes

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