Election results, 2025: Incumbent win rates by state

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Elections by state

Updated December 11, 2025

Ballotpedia covered all state races on November 4, 2025, as well as local elections in America's 100 largest cities by population. In the 2025 general election, an average of 89% of incumbents nationwide won their re-election bids.[1]

Comparatively, in the 2024 general election, 95% of incumbents nationwide won their re-election bids. In the 2023 November election, 94% of incumbents were successful.

  • The incumbent win rate remained at or above 90% in all but 11 states—Colorado, Florida, Idaho, Kansas, Maine, Minnesota, North Carolina, Ohio, Texas, Virginia, and Washington.
  • The lowest overall incumbent win rate was in Florida, where 63% of incumbents succeeded in their re-election bids.
  • Arizona, Iowa, Maryland, Massachusetts, Montana, South Carolina, and Utah were the only states to see a 100% incumbent win rate.
  • State-level incumbents had an 89% win rate. Two states had a 100% win rate in state-level races.
  • State legislative incumbents had a 90% average win rate. One state, Washington, had a 100% win rate in state legislative races.
  • Local-level incumbents had an 88% average win rate. Eight states had a 100% win rate in local-level races.
  • Local legislative incumbents had an 88% average win rate. Nine states had a 100% win rate in local legislative races.

The analysis below includes data compiled by Ballotpedia on the 718 incumbents who ran for re-election on November 4, 2025.

Win rates by state

The table below shows the win rate for each state and office type. Click on a header to sort the table by that column:

The map below highlights each state based on its incumbent win rate.


Comparison to previous odd-year elections

2023

The table below shows the win rate for each state and office type. Click on a header to sort the table by that column:

2023 map

The map below highlights each state based on its incumbent win rate.

2021

The table below shows the win rate for each state and office type:

2021 map


See also

Footnotes

  1. ↑ This percentage includes races in which incumbents ran unopposed and does not include recall elections.
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