Florida's 10th Congressional District elections, 2012
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November 6, 2012 |
August 14, 2012 |
Daniel Webster  |
C. W. Bill Young |
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The 10th Congressional District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
Daniel Webster was re-elected on November 6, 2012.[1]
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
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Primary: Florida is one of 21 states to use a closed primary system.
Voter registration: Voters were required to register to vote in the primary by July 16, 2012, which was 29 days before the primary took place.[2] (Information about registering to vote)
- See also: Florida elections, 2012
Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was C. W. Bill Young (R), who was first elected in 1970. Young ran in the new 13th District.[3]
This was the first election which used new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Florida's 10th Congressional District is located in central Florida and includes portions of Lake, Orange, and Polk counties.[4]
Candidates
General election candidates
August 14, 2012, primary results
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Election results
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican |  Daniel Webster Incumbent |
51.7% | 164,649 | |
| Democratic | Val Demings | 48.3% | 153,574 | |
| Independent | Naipaul Seegolam | 0% | 46 | |
| Total Votes | 318,269 | |||
| Source: Florida Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" | ||||
Race background
Florida's 10th District was included in the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's "Red to Blue List," which identified districts that the organization specifically targeted to flip from Republican to Democratic control.[7]
Blue vs. Red
Possible race ratings are:
Solid Democratic
Likely Democratic
Lean DemocraticTossup
Lean Republican
Likely Republican
Solid Republican
Florida's 10th District is a likely Republican district.
In June 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball rated Florida's 10th as a likely Republican district.[8]
Florida's 10th was considered to be Leaning Republican according to the New York Times race ratings.[9]
Impact of redistricting
- See also: Redistricting in Florida
In redistricting, the 8th District was renumbered as the 10th District. Incumbent Daniel Webster, who had represented the 8th District since January 2011, sought re-election in the 10th District.[10]
Prior to redistricting the 10th District was the only Florida district entirely within a single county, Pinellas County, Florida.
The 10th District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district was composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[11][12]
- 2 percent from the 3rd Congressional District
- 23 percent from the 5th Congressional District
- 5 percent from the 6th Congressional District
- 57 percent from the 8th Congressional District
- 10 percent from the 12th Congressional District
- 3 percent from the 15th Congressional District
District partisanship
FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study
- See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012
In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Florida's 10th District became more Republican because of redistricting.[13]
- 2012: 44D / 56R
- 2010: 49D / 51R
Cook Political Report's PVI
In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Florida's 10th Congressional District has a PVI of R+7, which is the 152nd most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 53-47 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 58-42 percent over John Kerry (D).[14]
District history
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2010
On November 2, 2010, C. W. Bill Young won re-election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Charlie Justice (D) in the general election.[15]
| U.S. House, Florida District 10 General Election, 2010 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | C.W. Bill Young Incumbent |
65.9% | 137,943 | |
| Democratic | Charlie Justice | 34.1% | 71,313 | |
| Total Votes | 209,256 | |||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2012
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2012
- United States Senate elections in Florida, 2012
External links
- Daniel Webster's Campaign Website
- Val Demings' Campaign Website
- Updated Florida Congressional Districts List
- Florida 2012 Redistricting Map
Footnotes
- ↑ ABC News, "2012 General Election Results," accessed November 6, 2012
- ↑ Florida Department of State, "Register to Vote," accessed April 25, 2012
- ↑ The Hill, "Democrat Jessica Ehrlich to challenge Rep. Young" accessed February 29, 2012
- ↑ Florida 2012 Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed July 5, 2012
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 Washington Post "Breaking down the Florida GOP’s redistricting map" accessed February 13, 2012
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 Florida Secretary of State Elections Board "Candidate List" accessed March 23, 2012
- ↑ DCCC, "Red to Blue 2012"
- ↑ Center for Politics, "2012 House Ratings," Updated June 27, 2012
- ↑ New York Times, "House Race Ratings," accessed August 7, 2012
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Breaking down the Florida GOP’s redistricting map" accessed February 29, 2012
- ↑ Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer, "Florida's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
- ↑ Labels & Lists, "VoterMapping software voter counts"
- ↑ "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Florida," September 2012
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
