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Florida's 14th Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
Florida's 14th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 24, 2020
Primary: August 18, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Kathy Castor (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Florida
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Florida's 14th Congressional District
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Florida elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 14th Congressional District of Florida, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Kathy Castor won election in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 14.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
April 24, 2020
August 18, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Kathy Castor, who was first elected in 2006.

As of the 2010 redistricting cycle, Florida's 14th Congressional District was located in the Gulf Coast region in southwestern Florida and included parts of Hillsborough County and a small portion of Pinellas County.[1]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Florida's 14th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 57.2 60.3
Republican candidate Republican Party 41.6 39.7
Difference 15.6 20.6

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Florida modified its voter registration procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Voter registration: The voter registration deadline was extended to October 6, 2020.[2]

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 14

Incumbent Kathy Castor defeated Christine Quinn in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 14 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kathy Castor
Kathy Castor (D)
 
60.3
 
224,240
Image of Christine Quinn
Christine Quinn (R)
 
39.7
 
147,896

Total votes: 372,136
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Kathy Castor advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 14.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 14

Christine Quinn defeated Paul Sidney Elliott in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 14 on August 18, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Christine Quinn
Christine Quinn
 
64.5
 
24,077
Image of Paul Sidney Elliott
Paul Sidney Elliott
 
35.5
 
13,257

Total votes: 37,334
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+7, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 7 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Florida's 14th Congressional District the 144th most Democratic nationally.[3]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.97. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.97 points toward that party.[4]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[5] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[6] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Kathy Castor Democratic Party $892,192 $1,209,194 $423,402 As of December 31, 2020
Christine Quinn Republican Party $242,249 $241,292 $958 As of December 31, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[7]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[8][9][10]

Race ratings: Florida's 14th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 14th Congressional District candidates in Florida in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Florida, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Florida 14th Congressional District Qualified party 4,718 1% of registered voters in the district $10,440.00 6% of annual salary 4/24/2020 Source
Florida 14th Congressional District Unaffiliated 4,718 1% of registered voters in the district $6,960.00 4% of annual salary 4/24/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: Florida's 14th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

The general election was canceled. Incumbent Kathy Castor won election in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 14.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 14

Incumbent Kathy Castor advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 14 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Kathy Castor
Kathy Castor

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

No Republican candidates ran in the primary.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2016

See also: Florida's 14th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Kathy Castor (D) defeated Christine Quinn (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Neither candidate faced a primary opponent in August.[11][12]

U.S. House, Florida District 14 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngKathy Castor Incumbent 61.8% 195,789
     Republican Christine Quinn 38.2% 121,088
Total Votes 316,877
Source: Florida Division of Elections

2014

See also: Florida's 14th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 14th Congressional District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Kathy Castor (D) ran unopposed in the general election.

U.S. House, Florida District 14 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngKathy Castor Incumbent 0% 0
Total Votes 0
Source: Florida Division of Elections

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
  2. This change was not due to COVID-19. This deadline was extended after the state's voter registration website crashed.
  3. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  4. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  5. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  6. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  7. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  8. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  9. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  10. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  11. Florida Department of State, "Candidate Listing for 2016 General Election," accessed June 25, 2016
  12. Politico, " Florida House Races Results," August 30, 2016


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Neal Dunn (R)
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
Anna Luna (R)
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
District 19
District 20
District 21
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
Republican Party (22)
Democratic Party (8)