Florida's 21st Congressional District elections, 2012
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November 6, 2012 |
August 14, 2012 |
Theodore E. Deutch  |
Mario Diaz-Balart  |
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The 21st Congressional District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
Theodore E. Deutch won re-election on November 6, 2012.[1]
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
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Primary: Florida is one of 21 states to use a closed primary system.
Voter registration: Voters were required to register to vote in the primary by July 16, 2012, which was 29 days before the primary took place.[2] (Information about registering to vote)
- See also: Florida elections, 2012
Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Mario Diaz-Balart (R), who was first elected in 2010. Diaz-Balart ran in the 25th District in 2012.[3]
This was the first election which used new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Florida's 21st Congressional District is located in southeastern Florida and includes portions of Palm Beach and Broward counties.[4]
Candidates
General election candidates
- Theodore E. Deutch
- No candidates filed to run
Cesear Henao- W. Michael Trout
August 14, 2012, primary results
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Election results
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Theodore E. Deutch Incumbent |
77.8% | 221,263 | |
| Independent | Cesear Henao | 8.9% | 25,361 | |
| Independent | W. Michael Trout | 13.3% | 37,776 | |
| Total Votes | 284,400 | |||
| Source: Florida Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" | ||||
Race background
Blue vs. Red
Possible race ratings are:
Solid Democratic
Likely Democratic
Lean DemocraticTossup
Lean Republican
Likely Republican
Solid Republican
Florida's 21st District is a solidly Democratic district.
In June 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball rated Florida's 21st District as a solidly Democratic district.[6]
Impact of redistricting
- See also: Redistricting in Florida
Prior to redistricting, the 21st District was located in Miami-Dade County. The district included many of the western suburbs of Miami such as Hialeah, Olympia Heights, and Cutler.
The 21st District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district was composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[7][8]
- 5 percent from the 16th Congressional District
- 77 percent from the 19th Congressional District
- 15 percent from the 22nd Congressional District
- 2 percent from the 23rd Congressional District
District partisanship
FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study
- See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012
In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Florida's 21st District became more Republican because of redistricting.[9]
- 2012: 60D / 40R
- 2010: 62D / 38R
Cook Political Report's PVI
In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Florida's 21st Congressional District has a PVI of D+12, which is the 86th most Democratic district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 64-36 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, John Kerry (D) won the district 63-37 percent over George W. Bush (R).[10]
District history
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2010
In 2010, Mario Diaz-Balart decided to run for the 21st District his brother, Lincoln Diaz-Balart, was vacating . He ran unopposed.[11]
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2012
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2012
- United States Senate elections in Florida, 2012
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ ABC News, "2012 General Election Results," accessed November 6, 2012
- ↑ Florida Department of State, "Register to Vote," accessed April 25, 2012
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Breaking down the Florida GOP’s redistricting map" accessed February 14, 2012
- ↑ Florida 2012 Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed July 5, 2012
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 5.2 Florida Secretary of State Elections Division "Candidate List" accessed March 28, 2012
- ↑ Center for Politics, "2012 House Ratings," Updated June 27, 2012
- ↑ Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer, "Florida's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
- ↑ Labels & Lists, "VoterMapping software voter counts"
- ↑ "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Florida," September 2012
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
- ↑ Florida Division of Elections--Department of State, "Candidate Listing for 2010 General Election" accessed October 20, 2011
