Help us improve in just 2 minutes—share your thoughts in our reader survey.

Florida's 2nd Congressional District

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search

Florida's 2nd Congressional District
Incumbent
Assumed office: January 3, 2017

Florida's 2nd Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Neal Dunn (R).

As of the 2020 Census, Florida representatives represented an average of 770,376 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 700,029 residents.

Elections

2024

See also: Florida's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024

Florida's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (August 20 Republican primary)

Florida's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (August 20 Democratic primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 2

Incumbent Neal Dunn defeated Yen Bailey in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 2 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Neal Dunn
Neal Dunn (R)
 
61.6
 
247,957
Image of Yen Bailey
Yen Bailey (D) Candidate Connection
 
38.4
 
154,323

Total votes: 402,280
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Yen Bailey advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 2.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 2

Incumbent Neal Dunn defeated Rhonda Woodward in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 2 on August 20, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Neal Dunn
Neal Dunn
 
82.7
 
69,113
Rhonda Woodward Candidate Connection
 
17.3
 
14,456

Total votes: 83,569
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2022

See also: Florida's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 2

Incumbent Neal Dunn defeated incumbent Alfred Lawson in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 2 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Neal Dunn
Neal Dunn (R)
 
59.8
 
180,236
Image of Alfred Lawson
Alfred Lawson (D)
 
40.2
 
121,153

Total votes: 301,389
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Alfred Lawson advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 2.

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Neal Dunn advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 2.

2020

See also: Florida's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 2

Incumbent Neal Dunn defeated Kim O'Connor in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 2 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Neal Dunn
Neal Dunn (R)
 
97.9
 
305,337
Image of Kim O'Connor
Kim O'Connor (No Party Affiliation) (Write-in)
 
2.1
 
6,662

Total votes: 311,999
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Neal Dunn advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 2.

2018

See also: Florida's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 2

Incumbent Neal Dunn defeated Bob Rackleff in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 2 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Neal Dunn
Neal Dunn (R)
 
67.4
 
199,335
Image of Bob Rackleff
Bob Rackleff (D) Candidate Connection
 
32.6
 
96,233

Total votes: 295,568
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 2

Bob Rackleff defeated Brandon Scott Peters in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 2 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Bob Rackleff
Bob Rackleff Candidate Connection
 
50.8
 
29,395
Image of Brandon Scott Peters
Brandon Scott Peters
 
49.2
 
28,483

Total votes: 57,878
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 2

Incumbent Neal Dunn advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 2 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Neal Dunn
Neal Dunn

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2016

See also: Florida's 2nd Congressional District election, 2016

Due to redistricting, this district flipped from safely Democratic to safely Republican. Incumbent Gwen Graham (D) did not seek re-election in 2016. Neal Dunn (R) defeated Walter Dartland (D), Rob Lapham (L), and Antoine Edward Roberts (Write-in) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Dunn defeated Mary Thomas and Ken Sukhia to win the Republican nomination, while Dartland defeated Steve Crapps in the Democratic primary. The primary elections took place on August 30, 2016.[1][2]

U.S. House, Florida District 2 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngNeal Dunn 67.3% 231,163
     Democratic Walter Dartland 29.9% 102,801
     Libertarian Rob Lapham 2.7% 9,395
     N/A Write-in 0% 3
Total Votes 343,362
Source: Florida Division of Elections


U.S. House, Florida District 2 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngNeal Dunn 41.4% 33,886
Mary Thomas 39.3% 32,178
Ken Sukhia 19.3% 15,826
Total Votes 81,890
Source: Florida Division of Elections
U.S. House, Florida District 2 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngWalter Dartland 50.1% 30,115
Steve Crapps 49.9% 29,982
Total Votes 60,097
Source: Florida Division of Elections

2014

SimmeringRace.jpg
See also: Florida's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 2nd Congressional District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Gwen Graham (D) defeated incumbent Steve Southerland (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, Florida District 2 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngGwen Graham 50.5% 126,096
     Republican Steve Southerland Incumbent 49.3% 123,262
     Write-in Luther Lee 0.2% 422
Total Votes 249,780
Source: Florida Division of Elections

2012

See also: Florida's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2012

The 2nd Congressional District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Steve Southerland II won re-election in the district.[3] The primary took place on August 14.[4]

U.S. House, Florida District 2 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngSteve Southerland II Incumbent 52.7% 175,856
     Democratic Al Lawson 47.2% 157,634
     Independent Floyd Patrick Miller 0.1% 228
Total Votes 333,718
Source: Florida Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"
U.S. House, Florida District 2 Democratic Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngAlfred Lawson 54.6% 46,900
Leonard Bembry 26% 22,357
Alvin Peters 13.9% 11,919
Mark Schlakman 5.4% 4,653
Total Votes 85,829

2010
On November 2, 2010, Steve Southerland II won election to the United States House. He defeated Allen Boyd (D), Paul C. McKain (I), Dianne Berryhill (I) and Ray Netherwood (I) in the general election.[5]

U.S. House, Florida District 2 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngSteve Southerland II 53.6% 136,371
     Democratic Allen Boyd incumbent 41.4% 105,211
     Independent Paul C. McKain 2.8% 7,135
     Independent Dianne Berryhill 2.2% 5,705
     Independent Ray Netherwood 0% 16
Total Votes 254,438


2008
On November 4, 2008, Allen Boyd won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Mark Mulligan (R) and Robert Ortiz (Write-in) in the general election.[6]

U.S. House, Florida District 2 General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngAllen Boyd incumbent 61.9% 216,804
     Republican Mark Mulligan 38.1% 133,404
     Write-in Robert Ortiz 0% 159
Total Votes 350,367


2006
Allen Boyd (D) ran unopposed for re-election in 2006.

2004
On November 2, 2004, Allen Boyd won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Bev Kilmer (R) and T.A. Frederick (Write-in) in the general election.[7]

U.S. House, Florida District 2 General Election, 2004
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngAllen Boyd incumbent 61.6% 201,577
     Republican Bev Kilmer 38.3% 125,399
     Write-in T.A. Frederick 0% 11
Total Votes 326,987


2002
On November 5, 2002, Allen Boyd won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Tom McGurk (R) in the general election.[8]

U.S. House, Florida District 2 General Election, 2002
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngAllen Boyd incumbent 66.9% 152,164
     Republican Tom McGurk 33.1% 75,275
Total Votes 227,439


2000
On November 7, 2000, Allen Boyd won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Doug Dodd (R) in the general election.[9]

U.S. House, Florida District 2 General Election, 2000
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngAllen Boyd incumbent 72.1% 185,579
     Republican Doug Dodd 27.9% 71,754
     N/A Write-in 0% 70
Total Votes 257,403


District map

Redistricting

2020-2024

See also: Redistricting in Florida after the 2020 census

On March 27, 2024, the U.S. District Court for Northern Florida upheld the state's congressional map after it was struck down by a lower court on Sep. 2, 2023. As a result, this map was used for Florida's 2024 congressional elections. According to the U.S. District Court for Northern Florida's order:

This case involves constitutional challenges to the congressional districting map proposed by Governor Ron DeSantis and enacted by the Florida Legislature in 2022 ... Plaintiffs had to prove both discriminatory effects and a discriminatory purpose. They proved neither. Thus, [we] concur in the decision to grant judgment in the Secretary’s favor.[10][11]

On December 1, 2023, the Florida First District Court of Appeal ruled 8-2 that the redistricting plan did not unconstitutionally limit Black voting power.[12] The plaintiffs appealed to the Florida Supreme Court, which heard arguments on September 12, 2024.[13]

On September 2, 2023, Leon County Circuit Court Judge J. Lee Marsh struck down enacted North Florida congressional districts and ordered the Legislature to redraw district boundaries.[14] On June 2, 2022, the Florida Supreme Court had declined to block Florida's enacted congressional map, which Governor Ron DeSantis (R) signed into law on April 22.[15]

The Florida First District Court of Appeal had reinstated the congressional district boundaries on May 20, overruling Leon County Circuit Court Judge Layne Smith's temporary hold on the map.[16][17] On May 11, Smith issued an order declaring Florida's enacted congressional map unconstitutional, saying, "The enacted map is unconstitutional under the Fair District amendment. It diminishes African-Americans’ ability to elect the representative of their choice." Smith also said a map drawn by a court-appointed special master should be substituted for the enacted map in the 2022 elections.[18] The plaintiffs in the case filed an emergency appeal with the Florida Supreme Court on May 23, 2022, seeking a hold on the enacted congressional map.[19]

DeSantis signed the original congressional map into law on April 22, 2022.[20] The map bill was proposed and approved by the Florida State Legislature during a special session called for the purposes of redistricting. The Florida State Senate voted 24-15 to approve the map on April 20, and the Florida House of Representatives voted 68-34 to approve the map on April 21.[21][22]

This was the second congressional map bill approved by the state legislature. DeSantis vetoed the first on March 29. Republican leaders in the legislature said on April 11 that they would wait to receive a map from DeSantis to support.[23] DeSantis submitted a map to the legislature on April 13, which became the enacted map.[24]

How does redistricting in Florida work? In Florida, both congressional and state legislative district lines are drawn by the state legislature. Congressional lines are adopted as regular legislation and are subject to gubernatorial veto. State legislative lines are passed via joint resolution and are not subject to gubernatorial veto. State legislative district maps are automatically submitted to the Florida Supreme Court for approval. In the event that the court rejects the lines, the legislature is given a second chance to draft a plan. If the legislature cannot approve a state legislative redistricting plan, the state attorney general must ask the state supreme court to draft a plan. There are no similar procedures in place for congressional districts.[25]

The Florida Constitution requires that all districts, whether congressional or state legislative, be contiguous. Also, "where doing so does not conflict with minority rights, [districts] must be compact and utilize existing political and geographical boundaries where feasible." Districts cannot be drawn in such a way as to "favor or disfavor a political party or incumbent."[25][26]

Florida District 2
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Florida District 2
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


2010-2011

This is the 2nd Congressional District of Florida after the 2001 redistricting process.
See also: Redistricting in Florida after the 2010 census

In 2011, the Florida State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census. Prior to redistricting the 2nd District consisted of the eastern part of the Florida Panhandle along with much of the Big Bend region along the Emerald Coast, and was anchored in the state capital of Tallahassee and included Panama City.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2026

Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+8. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Florida's 2nd the 153rd most Republican district nationally.[27]

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+8. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Florida's 2nd the 170th most Republican district nationally.[28]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 55.0%-44.0%.[29]

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+8. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Florida's 2nd the 168th most Republican district nationally.[30]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 44.0% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 55.0%.[31]

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+18. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 18 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Florida's 2nd Congressional District the 48th most Republican nationally.[32]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.02. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.02 points toward that party.[33]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Florida Department of State, "Candidate Listing for 2016 General Election," accessed June 25, 2016
  2. Politico, " Florida House Races Results," August 30, 2016
  3. Politico, "2012 Election Map, Florida," November 6, 2012
  4. Florida Secretary of State, "August 2012 Primary Election," accessed September 4, 2012
  5. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  6. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  7. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  8. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  9. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  10. United States District Court for the Northern District of Florida, "Common Cause Florida v. Byrd," March 27, 2024
  11. Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  12. CBS News, "Florida appeals court upholds congressional redistricting plan backed by Gov. Ron DeSantis," December 1, 2023
  13. Politico, "Florida’s high court poised to protect DeSantis’ congressional map that helps GOP," September 12, 2024
  14. Tampa Bay Times, "Judge rules against DeSantis in challenge to congressional map," September 2, 2023
  15. Florida Politics, "Florida Supreme Court declines to hear challenge to congressional map ahead of Midterms," June 2, 2022
  16. Orlando Sentinel, "Florida appeals court reinstates DeSantis’ congressional map," May 20, 2022
  17. Florida District Court of Appeal, First District, "Secretary of State Laurel Lee v. Black Voters Matter, et al.," May 20, 2022
  18. NBC News, "Florida judge says he’ll block DeSantis' congressional redistricting map," May 11, 2022
  19. Florida Supreme Court, "Black Voters Matter, et al. v. Cord Byrd, Florida Secretary of State," May 23, 2022
  20. Florida Politics, "Gov. DeSantis signs his congressional map into law," April 22, 2022
  21. Florida Politics, "Florida Senate passes Gov. DeSantis’ congressional map," April 20, 2022
  22. Florida Politics, "Legislature approves Gov. DeSantis’ controversial congressional redistricting map," April 21, 2022
  23. Tampa Bay Times, "Florida Legislature won’t draft new redistricting map, deferring to DeSantis," April 11, 2022
  24. Florida Politics, "Gov. DeSantis submits congressional redistristing plan critics contend is ‘partisan gerrymandering’," April 14, 2022
  25. 25.0 25.1 All About Redistricting, "Florida," accessed April 22, 2015
  26. Florida Constitution, "Article III, Sections 20-21," accessed April 22, 2015
  27. Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
  28. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  29. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  30. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  31. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  32. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  33. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Neal Dunn (R)
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
Anna Luna (R)
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
District 19
District 20
District 21
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
Republican Party (22)
Democratic Party (8)