Florida's 19th Congressional District election, 2024
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| Florida's 19th Congressional District |
|---|
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| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: April 26, 2024 |
| Primary: August 20, 2024 (canceled) General: November 5, 2024 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Florida |
| Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
| See also |
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All U.S. House districts, including the 19th Congressional District of Florida, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary would have been held on August 20, 2024, but it was canceled after only one candidate qualified for each party. The filing deadline was April 26, 2024. The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 68.0%-32.0%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 60.2%-39.1%.[3]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Florida's 19th Congressional District election, 2024 (August 20 Democratic primary)
- Florida's 19th Congressional District election, 2024 (August 20 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Florida District 19
Incumbent Byron Donalds defeated Kari Lerner in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 19 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Byron Donalds (R) | 66.3 | 275,708 |
 | Kari Lerner (D)  | 33.7 | 140,038 | |
| Total votes: 415,746 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Kari Lerner advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 19.
Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Byron Donalds advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 19.
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "My story is one of faith, community service, & unwavering dedication. Born in Ohio & raised in Cape Coral, my path took me to NH to raise a family before circling back to my roots in SWFL. Throughout my life, whether as a Pop Warner Pep Squad coach, Stephen’s Minister, Sunday school teacher, educator, businesswoman, State Representative, or community leader, I have always leveraged my talents for the benefit of those around me. I share my life with my husband Alan, our three adult children, son-in-law, stepdaughter, & one dapper grandson. As a Cypress Lake High School Panther in Fort Myers, I was deeply involved in various activities, including National Honor Society, cotillion, cheerleading, band, senior class treasurer, & even initiated a Football Pep Club. I earned an AS degree in Business Administration from Edison Community College, managing my studies while working three jobs as a single mother. I later went on to graduate Summa cum Laude with a BS in Business Administration from Southern New Hampshire University. I am a Realtor with 37 years of industry experience, and am currently licensed in FL, NH, and MA. I served as a State Representative for NH Rockingham District 4, marking only the second time a Democrat had represented this traditionally Republican district in 120 years. I offer responsible, competent leadership while fighting for the freedoms that matter with transparency & integrity. This is my home, & I am here to serve."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Florida District 19 in 2024.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Florida
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
| Collapse all
Kari Lerner (D)
A member of Congress is elected to serve as your liaison to the federal government, not for them to use the position as a steppingstone to the next career move. I am running for Congress to serve the people of SWFL. As a legislator with a record of getting things done, I will make it a priority to get Ian disaster relief SWFL has been promised for over a year passed into law, not just filed. I will be focused on bringing home the resources needed to build resilience into the infrastructure of SWFL to protect all & lower risk to bring down insurance costs. As a tireless negotiator, I will deliver resources to address affordable housing, clean water, & infrastructure needs. And I pledge to fight to protect your Social Security.
Most importantly, I believe that states should have certain powers of legislation. But as Americans, we MUST have an umbrella of individual rights that cannot be violated. Access to the full range of healthcare options, including reproductive choices, healthcare directives, & contraception. needs to be codified into federal law. Freedoms of speech, religion, & a free press are essential to a free society & the security of our nation. These freedoms are being threatened by extremists like my opponent who believe in dictating to the electorate how to live, whom to love, how to worship, when & how you have a family and what that family must look like. I trust & believe in the individual.
Kari Lerner (D)
Affordable Housing: I'm deeply committed to affordable housing as a fundamental need that affects the quality of life and economic stability of our communities.
Women's Health: I champion women's reproductive rights, including safe access to abortion, as a cornerstone of women's health in Florida. No politician or judge is qualified to dictate healthcare options.
Kari Lerner (D)
Integrity Integrity refers to the moral quality of the governance process, which is crucial for the legitimacy and credibility of public power. It involves exercising political power consistently in the public interest, independently of private interests, and not using power to maintain one's wealth and position.
Transparency Transparency is about how an election office or elected official conducts their business. It involves clear communication and the provision of information to candidates and voters, ensuring that all election business is transparent, whether it is ballot design or the procuring of voting systems.
Competence Competence involves the ability to effectively lead and manage the responsibilities of the office. It includes the ability to put people at ease, resourcefulness, straightforwardness, composure, and the ability to build and mend relationships.
The most important characteristics or principles for an elected official, include integrity, transparency, competence, fairness, and independence. These principles are essential for maintaining the trust of the electorate and ensuring that the democratic process is upheld.
Fairness Fairness in the context of elections means treating every party, candidate, voter, and participant in the election process equitably. It involves good communication to mitigate potential issues of unfairness and reaching out to stakeholders before making decisions.
Independence Independence includes avoiding conflicts of interest & treating all parties fairly by adhering to the law. It is essential for election administrators and elected officials to maintain independence to ensure that decisions affecting contributors are made impartially. The loyalty must be to the electorate, not any one individual.
These principles are not only important for election administrators, as outlined in the search results, but also apply broadly to all elected officials.
Kari Lerner (D)
"Press on. Nothing in the world can take the place of persistence. Talent will not. Nothing is more common that unsuccessful men with talent. Genius will not. Unrewarded genius is almost a proverb. Education alone will not. The world is full of educated derelicts. Persistence and determination alone are omnipotent."
As a member of Congress, there will always be others more educated, others more talented, others who might be more intelligent. But I can pledge that there will be no one who is more persistent in the fight to serve my constituents and my nation.
Kari Lerner (D)
Constituent Outreach: It's crucial to engage with those I serve. This means answering their questions and concerns, and also reaching out to understand what they need and think. By helping with issues related to federal agencies and explaining the impact of laws, I create a valuable feedback loop that guides my work in Congress.
Legislative Priorities: It's important to identify and focus on the major issues facing my constituents and the country. I put effort into writing, supporting, or changing laws to tackle these issues. My goal is to work on policies that protect individual liberty, protect voting rights, reduce economic inequality, and improve public services, aiming for the well-being and success of all Americans.
In carrying out these tasks, I am dedicated to being transparent, accountable, and actively involved. I want to address immediate problems while working on lasting solutions that strengthen our community and nation. By focusing on impactful legislation and engaging with my constituents, I work to fulfill the trust they've placed in me and positively impact their lives and strengthen our great nation.
Kari Lerner (D)
Kari Lerner (D)
Kari Lerner (D)
I spoke with a veteran who has struggled to recover from hurricane Ian as he is bounced from one agency to another without answers from his congressman almost 2 years later.
I think of the seniors who are terrified that their Social Security is at risk. Many seniors paid into private pensions that disappeared for a variety of reasons, Social Security is their entire source of income. These people struggle to stay in their homes with Social Security, without it they have nowhere to go.
I think of the college students who plan to leave the state because they are fearful that they may not be able to access the healthcare they need. If my opponent has his way, they may need to leave the country for lifesaving care.
I remember the OB/GYN who lives in constant fear of prosecution. She has taken an oath to do no harm yet is prohibited from offering needed procedures to her patients.
I think of the elderly gentleman who was despondent because his granddaughter would not visit him this year because she was pregnant & feared she would not be able to get care in the event of an emergency.
I think of how many individuals have approached me when I attended LGBTQ+ events in tears, thanking me for openly standing with them.
I think of the voters in the various Hispanic communities who have been mercilessly harassed, regardless of their status.
I think of the rage of the Black community at the attempted erasing of their history.
I am committed to being the liaison for each of these individuals and others to the federal government, to being their voice.
Kari Lerner (D)
Compromise allows lawmakers to sort out disagreements and move forward with laws that take into account different viewpoints. It's all about giving a little here and taking a little there, which is crucial for breaking deadlocks and making real progress on important issues. In today's politically divided environment, the ability to compromise is even more critical for getting things done. Adopting a compromise-friendly approach helps ensure governance works for everyone, not just a few. We cannot allow perfect to be the enemy of the good.
Research on what people think shows that voters from all political backgrounds value respect and a readiness to compromise. They expect this not just from the other side but from all politicians. Being able to compromise is not a sign of giving up on your values or a weakness; it actually shows strength, maturity, and a dedication to the greater good.
As an elected official, I take my duty to serve the public seriously. This means being transparent with money, ethical in governance, and always ready to seek and encourage compromise. When making policies, I remember that lasting, effective solutions usually come from finding a common ground and working together, despite our differences.
Kari Lerner (D)
Kari Lerner (D)
In my campaign, I prioritize transparency in our finances, making it clear who contributes and how funds are utilized. This approach is crucial to prevent undue influence and ensure our political process remains fair and democratic. Organizations advocating for transparent campaign finance, like Common Cause and the Campaign Legal Center, highlight the importance of disclosing financial sources to combat corruption and uphold the integrity of elections.
Similarly, in government, financial transparency is vital. It allows citizens to see how their taxes are used, promoting efficiency and reducing waste. The Government Accountability Office (GAO) and initiatives like the Global Initiative for Fiscal Transparency (GIFT) work tirelessly to enhance fiscal transparency, demonstrating its role in improving governance.
Transparency extends beyond financial disclosures to include political spending and lobbying activities. Agencies like the Office of Government Ethics (OGE) and the Federal Election Commission (FEC) ensure that public officials and candidates disclose their financial interests, to safeguard against conflicts of interest.
As a public servant, I will be committed to being a responsible steward of the financial trust placed in me. This means not only managing public funds prudently but also advocating for policies that enhance transparency and accountability. By doing so, we can foster a more trustworthy, efficient, and democratic government that serves the public interest with integrity.
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Donalds | Republican Party | $6,600,932 | $5,598,912 | $1,740,010 | As of December 31, 2024 |
| Kari Lerner | Democratic Party | $184,066 | $178,546 | $5,521 | As of December 31, 2024 |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
| Race ratings: Florida's 19th Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Noteworthy ballot measures
- See also: Florida 2024 ballot measures
Two notable ballot measures were on the November 5, 2024, ballot in Florida. One would legalize marijuana possession under three ounces (Amendment 3), and the other would establish a constitutional right to abortion before fetal viability (Amendment 4). A 60% supermajority vote is required for the approval of both amendments.
Observers and officials commented on whether the amendments would increase turnout statewide.
- Wendy Sartory Link, the Supervisor of Elections for Palm Beach County, said: “A presidential election gets people excited and brings people out. But you might have folks who may not have cared as much or been as motivated to get out to vote for a president or all of the other races. Now, these amendments might just drive them out.”[8]
- Brad Coker, the CEO of the Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy firm, said of Amendment 4: "It'll bring out younger voters of all kinds and more white, female voters, both groups which lean heavy Democratic... It’ll definitely help turn out voters in what for many was looking like a lackluster choice in the presidential race between Biden and Trump.”[9]
- Florida House Minority Leader Fentrice Driskell (D) said: “With voters paying more attention to down-ballot races, I’m optimistic we can have a reverse coattails effect where we start to drive turnout and help improve the numbers at the presidential level.”[10]
- Republican pollster Ryan Tyson disputed the idea that the amendments would increase turnout for Democrats, saying of Amendment 4: "Nobody is trying to say that abortion doesn’t animate their base to turn out — we’ve seen that everywhere... However, we haven’t seen them turn out voters that wouldn’t have already turned out, like in a presidential year."[11]
- Sen. Marco Rubio (R) said of Amendment 4: “People are going to vote, they’re going to come out and vote and I don’t think [the abortion rights measure] is going to change any turnout patterns.”[12]
Amendment 3
A "yes" vote supported legalizing marijuana for adults 21 years old and older and allowing individuals to possess up to three ounces of marijuana. |
A "no" vote opposed legalizing marijuana for adult use in Florida. |
To read more about supporters and opponents of Amendment 3, along with their arguments, click on the box below.
- Amendment 3 Support & Opposition (click to expand)
Supporters
Smart & Safe Florida led the campaign in support of the initiative.
Supporters
Officials
- State Sen. Joe Gruters (R)
- State Rep. Ashley Gantt (D)
- Democratic Party of Florida
- Florida Democratic Party Chair Nikki Fried (D)
Candidates
- Donald Trump (Conservative Party, Republican Party) - Presidential Candidate and Former President
Corporations
Organizations
Individuals
- Howard Bellamy - Musical artist
- David Bellamy (Nonpartisan) - Musical artist
- John Morgan - Florida lawyer
Arguments
Opposition
Opponents
Officials
- U.S. Sen. Rick Scott (R)
- U.S. Rep. Matt Gaetz (R)
- Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R)
- State Sen. Ben Albritton (R)
- State Rep. Sam Garrison (R)
- State Rep. Daniel Anthony Perez (R)
- Florida Attorney General Ashley B. Moody (R)
Political Parties
Corporations
Organizations
- Drug Free America Foundation
- Florida Chamber of Commerce
- Florida Sheriffs Association
- Smart Approaches to Marijuana
Arguments
Amendment 4
A "yes" vote supported adding the following language to the Florida Constitution’s Declaration of Rights: “… no law shall prohibit, penalize, delay, or restrict abortion before viability or when necessary to protect the patient’s health, as determined by the patient’s healthcare provider.” Amendment 4 maintained the existing constitutional provision that permitted a law requiring parents to be notified before a minor can receive an abortion. |
A "no" vote opposed amending the Florida Constitution's Declaration of Rights to provide that the state cannot "... prohibit, penalize, delay, or restrict abortion before viability or when necessary to protect the patient’s health, as determined by the patient’s healthcare provider." |
To read more about supporters and opponents of Amendment 4, along with their arguments, click on the box below.
- Amendment 4 Support & Opposition (click to expand)
Support
Floridians Protecting Freedom is leading the campaign in support of the initiative.[13]
Supporters
Officials
- President of the United States Joe Biden (D)
- U.S. Rep. Kathy Castor (D)
- U.S. Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D)
- U.S. Rep. Lois Frankel (D)
- U.S. Rep. Maxwell Alejandro Frost (D)
- U.S. Rep. Jared Evan Moskowitz (D)
- U.S. Rep. Darren Soto (D)
- U.S. Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)
- U.S. Rep. Frederica S. Wilson (D)
- State Sen. Lori Berman (D)
- State Sen. Lauren Book (D)
- State Sen. Tracie Davis (D)
- State Sen. Shevrin Jones (D)
- State Sen. Jason Pizzo (No Party Affiliation)
- State Sen. Tina Polsky (D)
- State Sen. Linda Stewart (D)
- State Rep. Robin Bartleman (D)
- State Rep. Lindsay Cross (D)
- State Rep. Dan Daley (D)
- State Rep. Fentrice Driskell (D)
- State Rep. Anna Eskamani (D)
- State Rep. Ashley Gantt (D)
- State Rep. Sherita Harris (Nonpartisan)
- State Rep. Dianne Hart (D)
- State Rep. Christine Hunschofsky (D)
- State Rep. Tom Keen (D)
- State Rep. Angela Nixon (D)
- State Rep. Susan Valdes (D)
- Democratic Party of Florida
- Chair of the Florida Democratic Party Nikki Fried (D)
Unions
Organizations
- ACLU of Florida
- Faith in Public Life Action
- Florida Rising
- Florida Women's Freedom Coalition
- League of Women Voters of Florida
- Men4Choice
- Planned Parenthood of Southwest and Central Florida
- The Fairness Project
- Think Big America
- Women's Voices of Southwest Florida
Arguments
Opposition
Florida Voters Against Extremism is leading the campaign in opposition to the initiative.[14]
Opponents
Officials
- U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio (R)
- U.S. Sen. Rick Scott (R)
- U.S. Rep. Aaron Bean (R)
- U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds (R)
- U.S. Rep. Neal Dunn (R)
- U.S. Rep. Matt Gaetz (R)
- U.S. Rep. Cory Mills (R)
- U.S. Rep. Greg Steube (R)
- Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R)
- State Sen. Daniel Burgess (R)
- State Sen. Jay Collins (R)
- State Rep. Jenna Persons-Mulicka (R)
- State Rep. Paul Renner (R)
- Attorney General Ashley B. Moody (R)
Candidates
- Donald Trump (Conservative Party, Republican Party) - Former U.S. President
Political Parties
Organizations
- Democrats for Life of Florida
- Florida Conference of Catholic Bishops
- Florida Family Action, Inc.
- Florida Family Policy Council
- Florida Right to Life
- Liberty Counsel
- National Center for Life and Liberty
- Priests for Life
- Students for Life Action
- Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America
Individuals
Arguments
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Florida in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Florida, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Florida | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | 5,181[15] | $10,440.00 | 4/26/2024 | Source |
| Florida | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 5,181[16] | $6,960.00 | 4/26/2024 | Source |
==District analysis==
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Florida.
| Florida U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
| 2024 | 28 | 28 | 1 | 101 | 56 | 9 | 21 | 53.6% | 15 | 55.6% | ||||
| 2022 | 28 | 28 | 6 | 151 | 56 | 14 | 24 | 67.9% | 17 | 73.9% | ||||
| 2020 | 27 | 27 | 2 | 114 | 54 | 10 | 19 | 53.7% | 10 | 40.0% | ||||
| 2018 | 27 | 27 | 4 | 104 | 54 | 19 | 12 | 57.4% | 11 | 47.8% | ||||
| 2016 | 27 | 27 | 7 | 100 | 54 | 11 | 13 | 44.4% | 9 | 47.4% | ||||
| 2014 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 75 | 54 | 5 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 | 29.6% | ||||
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Florida in 2024. Information below was calculated on May 7, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
One hundred three candidates ran for Florida’s 28 U.S. House districts, including 42 Democrats and 61 Republicans. That’s 3.68 candidates per district, less than in the previous three election cycles. There were 5.43 candidates per district in 2022, 4.22 candidates per district in 2020, and 3.86 in 2018.
The 8th Congressional District was the only open district, meaning no incumbents filed to run. That’s the fewest open seats in Florida since 2014 when no seats were open. Incumbent Rep. Bill Posey (R-8th) did not run for re-election because he is retired from public office.
Seven candidates—incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D-23rd) and six Republicans—ran for the 23rd Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in 2024.
Thirty primaries—nine Democratic and 21 Republican—were contested in 2024. Thirty-eight primaries were contested in 2022, 29 primaries were contested in 2020, and 31 primaries were contested in 2018.
Fifteen incumbents—two Democrats and 13 Republicans—were in contested primaries in Florida in 2024. That’s less than the 17 incumbents in contested primaries in 2022 but more than the 10 incumbents in contested primaries in 2020.
The 20th Congressional District is guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans will appear on the ballot. Democrats filed to run in every congressional district, meaning none are guaranteed to Republicans.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+13. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 13 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Florida's 19th the 110th most Republican district nationally.[17]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| 2020 presidential results in Florida's 19th based on 2024 district lines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden 
|
Donald Trump 
| |||
| 39.1% | 60.2% | |||
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[18] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
| Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Baseline
|
Republican Baseline
|
Difference | ||
| 33.9 | 65.2 | R+31.3 | ||
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Florida, 2020
Florida presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 17 Democratic wins
- 14 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | D | D | R | R |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Florida's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Florida | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 8 | 8 |
| Republican | 2 | 20 | 22 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 28 | 30 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Florida's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
| State executive officials in Florida, May 2024 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Ron DeSantis
|
| Lieutenant Governor | Jeanette Nuñez
|
| Secretary of State | Cord Byrd
|
| Attorney General | Ashley B. Moody
|
State legislature
Florida State Senate
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 12 | |
| Republican Party | 28 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 40 | |
Florida House of Representatives
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 36 | |
| Republican Party | 84 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 120 | |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Florida Party Control: 1992-2024
One year of a Democratic trifecta • Twenty-five years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | I | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Florida District 19
Incumbent Byron Donalds defeated Cindy Banyai and Patrick Post in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 19 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Byron Donalds (R) | 68.0 | 213,035 |
 | Cindy Banyai (D) | 32.0 | 100,226 | |
 | Patrick Post (No Party Affiliation) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 13 | |
| Total votes: 313,274 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Cindy Banyai advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 19.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 19
Incumbent Byron Donalds defeated Jim Huff in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 19 on August 23, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Byron Donalds | 83.7 | 76,192 |
 | Jim Huff | 16.3 | 14,795 | |
| Total votes: 90,987 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Florida District 19
Byron Donalds defeated Cindy Banyai and Patrick Post in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 19 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Byron Donalds (R) | 61.3 | 272,440 |
| Cindy Banyai (D) | 38.7 | 172,146 | |
| Patrick Post (D) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 3 | |
| Total votes: 444,589 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Antonio Dumornay (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 19
Cindy Banyai defeated David Holden in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 19 on August 18, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Cindy Banyai | 57.6 | 28,765 |
 | David Holden | 42.4 | 21,212 | |
| Total votes: 49,977 (100.00% precincts reporting) | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 19
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 19 on August 18, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Byron Donalds | 22.6 | 23,492 |
 | Dane Eagle | 21.9 | 22,715 | |
 | Casey Askar | 20.0 | 20,774 | |
 | William Figlesthaler | 18.3 | 19,075 | |
 | Randy Henderson | 7.6 | 7,858 | |
 | Christy McLaughlin | 4.1 | 4,245 | |
 | Dan Severson | 3.1 | 3,197 | |
 | Darren Dione Aquino | 1.4 | 1,466 | |
 | Daniel Kowal | 1.1 | 1,135 | |
| Total votes: 103,957 (100.00% precincts reporting) | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Francis Rooney (R)
- Ford O’Connell (R)
- Heather Fitzenhagen (R)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Florida District 19
Incumbent Francis Rooney defeated David Holden in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 19 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Francis Rooney (R) | 62.3 | 211,465 |
| David Holden (D) | 37.7 | 128,106 | |
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 36 | ||
| Total votes: 339,607 (100.00% precincts reporting) | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 19
David Holden defeated Todd James Truax in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 19 on August 28, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | David Holden | 67.9 | 24,405 |
 | Todd James Truax | 32.1 | 11,517 | |
| Total votes: 35,922 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 19
Incumbent Francis Rooney advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 19 on August 28, 2018.
Candidate | ||
| ✔ | | Francis Rooney |
| ||||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ ABC 33/40, "Abortion, marijuana ballot measures may boost Florida voter turnout" accessed June 17, 2024
- ↑ USA Today, "Abortion, marijuana measures raise hope for Democrats in Trump's home state" accessed June 17, 2024
- ↑ WCJB, "Florida Democrats optimistic about election with abortion measure on November ballot" accessed June 17, 2024
- ↑ The New York Times, "Democrats See Glimmers of Hope in Florida. Are They Seeing Things?" accessed June 17, 2024
- ↑ NOTUS, "Republicans Think Abortion Rights Supporters Will Vote for Them Too" accessed June 21, 2024
- ↑ Floridians Protecting Freedom, "Home," accessed May 17, 2023
- ↑ Florida Voice for the Unborn, "Home," accessed December 21, 2023
- ↑ Average number of signatures required for all congressional districts. Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
- ↑ Average number of signatures required for all congressional districts. Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
