Geoff Pallay/2012 state executive officials elections review
From Ballotpedia
Geoff Pallay
Contact:
geoff.pallay@ballotpedia.org
Biography:
Geoff Pallay
Overview
- 94 total seats up for election in 22 states
- 11 Governors
- 9 Lt. Governors
- 10 Attorneys General
- 7 Secretaries of State
- 57 down ballot seats
Notable results
- Notable seats that flipped
- Other notables
Projections
| Democrats Before election: 23 Projected after election: 16 (9 Toss-ups) Actual Results: 19 (5 too close to call) |
Republicans Before election: 14 Projected after election: 12 (9 Toss-ups) Actual Results: 13 (5 too close to call) |
|---|
| Month | Safe D | Likely D | Lean D | Toss Up | Lean R | Likely R | Safe R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 1, 2012 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| September 1, 2012 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| October 1, 2012 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| November 1, 2012 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| August changes: MO LtGov to Lean R; WV SoS to Likely D; OR SoS to Safe D; OR AttyGen to Lean D September changes: NC Gov to Safe R; Vt. LtGov to Safe R; OR SOS to toss-up; PA AG to lean D October changes: IN Gov to Safe R, MO Gov to Lean D; MO Lt. Gov to Likely R, MT Lt. Gov to Toss-up; Oregon SOS to Lean D; Oregon and VT AG to Safe D; MO AG to Likely D; WV AG to Lean D; IN and MT AG to Likely R |
Overall Partisan Breakdown
| 2012 State Executive Election Partisan Breakdown | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Before 2012 Election | After 2012 Election | Net Change | ||||||||
| Democratic | 51 | 50 | -1 | ||||||||
| Republican | 38 | 43 | +5 | ||||||||
| Independent (Nonpartisan) | 4 | 1 | -3 | ||||||||
| TOTALS | 931 vacant | 94 | |||||||||
| 2012 State Executive Election Analysis | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Open Seat Winners | Defeated Incumbents | New State Executives | ||||||||
| Democratic | 13 | 6 | 15 | ||||||||
| Republican | 11 | 1 | 18 | ||||||||
| Independent (Nonpartisan) | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||
| TOTALS | 25 | 7 | 34 | ||||||||
- Pending unfinished races
Results by Top Level Offices
| 2012 State Executive Election Results | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Governors pre-election | Governors post-election | Change | |
| Democratic | 20 | 19 | -1 | |
| Republican | 29 | 30 | +1 | |
| Independent | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| TOTALS | 50 | 50 | 1* | |
| 2012 State Executive Election Results | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Lieutenant Governors pre-election | Lieutenant Governors post-election | Change | |
| Democratic | 14 | 14 | 0 | |
| Republican | 30 | 30 | 0 | |
| TOTALS | 44 | 44 | 0 | |
| 2012 State Executive Election Results | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Secretaries of State pre-election | Secretaries of State post-election | Change | |
| Democratic | 18 | 18 | 0 | |
| Republican | 28 | 28 | 0 | |
| Nonpartisan | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Races too close to call | n/a | n/a | 1 (MT) | |
| TOTALS | 47 | 47 | 0* | |
| 2012 State Executive Election Results | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Attorneys General pre-election | Attorneys General post-election | Change | |
| Democratic | 24 | 24 | 0 | |
| Republican | 26 | 26 | 0 | |
| TOTALS | 50 | 50 | 0 | |
Still too close to call
A total of seven races are still too close to call.
- Montana Secretary of State
- Montana Superintendent
- NC Lieutenant Governor
- Washington Governor
- Washington Secretary of State
- Washington Auditor
Additionally
- There will be 36 governors up for election in 2014
- Trifectas will play a major role in state politics in 2013