Geoff Pallay/2012 state executive officials elections review

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search

Geoff Pallay

Geoff Pallay






Geoff Pallay, Special Projects Director
State Executives Team
Ballotpedia






Contact:
geoff.pallay@ballotpedia.org
Biography:
Geoff Pallay


Overview

States with 2012 executive elections
  • 94 total seats up for election in 22 states
    • 11 Governors
    • 9 Lt. Governors
    • 10 Attorneys General
    • 7 Secretaries of State
    • 57 down ballot seats

Notable results

  • Notable seats that flipped
    • North Carolina Governor from Democratic Party to Republican Party
    • Indiana Superintendent from Republican Party to Democratic Party
    • West Virginia Attorney General from Democratic Party to Republican Party
    • Alabama Public Service Commissioner from Democratic Party to Republican Party
  • Other notables
    • New Hampshire Governor Democratic Party winner -- only Female Democratic governor
    • Montana Public Service Commission -- Two incumbent Democrats defeated

Projections

StateExecLogo.png
Democrats

Before election: 23

Projected after election: 16 (9 Toss-ups)

Actual Results: 19 (5 too close to call)
Republicans

Before election: 14

Projected after election: 12 (9 Toss-ups)

Actual Results: 13 (5 too close to call)
MonthSafe DLikely DLean DToss UpLean RLikely RSafe R
August 1, 201254314254
September 1, 201263413344
October 1, 201263413245
November 1, 20127369048
August changes: MO LtGov to Lean R; WV SoS to Likely D; OR SoS to Safe D; OR AttyGen to Lean D
September changes: NC Gov to Safe R; Vt. LtGov to Safe R; OR SOS to toss-up; PA AG to lean D
October changes: IN Gov to Safe R, MO Gov to Lean D; MO Lt. Gov to Likely R, MT Lt. Gov to Toss-up; Oregon SOS to Lean D; Oregon and VT AG to Safe D; MO AG to Likely D; WV AG to Lean D; IN and MT AG to Likely R


Overall Partisan Breakdown

2012 State Executive Election Partisan Breakdown
Party Before 2012 Election After 2012 Election Net Change
Democratic 51 50 -1
Republican 38 43 +5
Independent (Nonpartisan) 4 1 -3
TOTALS 931 vacant 94
2012 State Executive Election Analysis
Party Open Seat Winners Defeated Incumbents New State Executives
Democratic 13 6 15
Republican 11 1 18
Independent (Nonpartisan) 1 0 1
TOTALS 25 7 34
    • Pending unfinished races

Results by Top Level Offices

2012 State Executive Election Results
Party Governors pre-election Governors post-election Change
Democratic 20 19 -1
Republican 29 30 +1
Independent 1 1 0
TOTALS 50 50 1*
2012 State Executive Election Results
Party Lieutenant Governors pre-election Lieutenant Governors post-election Change
Democratic 14 14 0
Republican 30 30 0
TOTALS 44 44 0
2012 State Executive Election Results
Party Secretaries of State pre-election Secretaries of State post-election Change
Democratic 18 18 0
Republican 28 28 0
Nonpartisan 1 1 0
Races too close to call n/a n/a 1 (MT)
TOTALS 47 47 0*
2012 State Executive Election Results
Party Attorneys General pre-election Attorneys General post-election Change
Democratic 24 24 0
Republican 26 26 0
TOTALS 50 50 0


Still too close to call

A total of seven races are still too close to call.

  • Montana Secretary of State
  • Montana Superintendent
  • NC Lieutenant Governor
  • Washington Governor
  • Washington Secretary of State
  • Washington Auditor

Additionally

  • There will be 36 governors up for election in 2014
  • Trifectas will play a major role in state politics in 2013