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Georgia's 9th Congressional District election, 2020

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Georgia's 9th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
Republican primary runoff
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 6, 2020
Primary: June 9, 2020
Primary runoff: August 11, 2020
General: November 3, 2020
General runoff: January 5, 2021
Pre-election incumbent:
Doug Collins (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Georgia
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Georgia's 9th Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th
Georgia elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 9th Congressional District of Georgia, held elections in 2020.

Andrew Clyde won election in the general election for U.S. House Georgia District 9.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 6, 2020
June 9, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican Doug Collins, who was first elected in 2012.


Andrew Clyde won the Republican primary runoff on August 11 with 56% of the vote to Matt Gurtler's 44%. Devin Pandy won the Democratic primary runoff with 68.5% of the vote to Brooke Siskin's 31.5%.

Georgia's 9th Congressional District is located in the northeastern portion of the state and includes Banks, Dawson, Elbert, Fannin, Franklin, Gilmer, Habersham, Hall, Hart, Jackson, Lumpkin, Madison, Rabun, Stephens, Towns, Union, and White counties. Parts of Clarke, Forsyth, and Pickens counties also lie within the district.[1]

Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary runoff, click here.
Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Georgia's 9th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 22.4 21.4
Republican candidate Republican Party 76.4 78.6
Difference 54 57.2

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Georgia modified its absentee/mail-in voting and candidate filing procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Candidate filing procedures: The petitioning deadline for minor-party and unaffiliated candidates was extended to August 14, 2020. The petition signature requirement for independent and minor-party candidates was reduced to 70 percent of their original numbers.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Georgia District 9

Andrew Clyde defeated Devin Pandy in the general election for U.S. House Georgia District 9 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Andrew Clyde
Andrew Clyde (R)
 
78.6
 
292,750
Image of Devin Pandy
Devin Pandy (D) Candidate Connection
 
21.4
 
79,797

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 372,547
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary runoff election

Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Georgia District 9

Devin Pandy defeated Brooke Siskin in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Georgia District 9 on August 11, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Devin Pandy
Devin Pandy Candidate Connection
 
68.5
 
8,019
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Brooke Siskin
 
31.5
 
3,692

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 11,711
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary runoff election

Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Georgia District 9

Andrew Clyde defeated Matt Gurtler in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Georgia District 9 on August 11, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Andrew Clyde
Andrew Clyde
 
56.3
 
50,095
Image of Matt Gurtler
Matt Gurtler
 
43.7
 
38,866

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 88,961
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Georgia District 9

Brooke Siskin and Devin Pandy advanced to a runoff. They defeated Dan Wilson in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Georgia District 9 on June 9, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Brooke Siskin
 
41.2
 
12,861
✔
Image of Devin Pandy
Devin Pandy Candidate Connection
 
33.6
 
10,476
Image of Dan Wilson
Dan Wilson Candidate Connection
 
25.2
 
7,874

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 31,211
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Watch the Candidate Conversation for this race!

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Georgia District 9

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Georgia District 9 on June 9, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Matt Gurtler
Matt Gurtler
 
21.0
 
29,426
✔
Image of Andrew Clyde
Andrew Clyde
 
18.5
 
25,914
Image of Kevin Tanner
Kevin Tanner
 
15.8
 
22,187
Image of Paul C. Broun
Paul C. Broun
 
13.3
 
18,627
Image of John Wilkinson
John Wilkinson
 
11.6
 
16,314
Image of Ethan Underwood
Ethan Underwood Candidate Connection
 
8.6
 
12,117
Image of Kellie Weeks
Kellie Weeks
 
4.6
 
6,422
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Maria Strickland Candidate Connection
 
3.5
 
4,871
Image of Michael Boggus
Michael Boggus Candidate Connection
 
3.2
 
4,497

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 140,375
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Five of 159 Georgia counties—3.14 percent—are pivot counties. These are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 pivot counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Baker County, Georgia 8.68% 0.57% 1.07%
Dooly County, Georgia 2.05% 6.98% 3.53%
Peach County, Georgia 2.91% 7.48% 6.75%
Quitman County, Georgia 10.92% 9.04% 7.90%
Twiggs County, Georgia 1.58% 8.64% 6.97%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Georgia with 50.8 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 45.6 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Georgia voted Democratic 63.33 percent of the time and Republican 36.67 percent of the time. Georgia voted Republican in every presidential election from 2000 to 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Georgia. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[2][3]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 64 out of 180 state House districts in Georgia with an average margin of victory of 45.5 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 74 out of 180 state House districts in Georgia with an average margin of victory of 42.3 points. Clinton won 14 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 116 out of 180 state House districts in Georgia with an average margin of victory of 36.6 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 106 out of 180 state House districts in Georgia with an average margin of victory of 36.8 points. Trump won four districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.


District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+31, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 31 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Georgia's 9th Congressional District the third most Republican nationally.[4]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.90. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.90 points toward that party.[5]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[6] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[7] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Devin Pandy Democratic Party $84,431 $84,782 $-1,279 As of December 31, 2020
Andrew Clyde Republican Party $1,933,971 $1,925,863 $8,108 As of December 31, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[8]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[9][10][11]

Race ratings: Georgia's 9th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

District election history

2018

See also: Georgia's 9th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Georgia District 9

Incumbent Doug Collins defeated Josh McCall in the general election for U.S. House Georgia District 9 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Doug Collins
Doug Collins (R)
 
79.5
 
224,661
Image of Josh McCall
Josh McCall (D)
 
20.5
 
57,912
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
9

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source 1 Source 2

Total votes: 282,582
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Georgia District 9

Josh McCall defeated Dave Cooper in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Georgia District 9 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Josh McCall
Josh McCall
 
52.7
 
6,949
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Dave Cooper
 
47.3
 
6,230

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 13,179
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Georgia District 9

Incumbent Doug Collins advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Georgia District 9 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Doug Collins
Doug Collins
 
100.0
 
63,646

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 63,646
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Georgia's 9th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Doug Collins (R) faced no opponent in the general election. Collins defeated Paul Broun, Bernie Fontaine, Mike Scupin, and Roger Fitzpatrick in the Republican primary on May 24, 2016.[12][13]

U.S. House, Georgia District 9 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDoug Collins Incumbent 100% 256,535
Total Votes 256,535
Source: Georgia Secretary of State


U.S. House, Georgia District 9 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngDoug Collins Incumbent 61.3% 52,080
Paul Broun 22.1% 18,772
Roger Fitzpatrick 10.5% 8,945
Mike Scupin 3.4% 2,856
Bernie Fontaine 2.8% 2,342
Total Votes 84,995
Source: Georgia Secretary of State

2014

See also: Georgia's 9th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 9th Congressional District of Georgia held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Doug Collins (R) defeated challenger David Vogel (Georgia) (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Georgia District 9 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDoug Collins Incumbent 80.67% 146,059
     Democratic David Vogel 19.33% 34,988
Total Votes 181,047
Source: Georgia Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
  2. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  3. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  4. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  5. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  6. ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  7. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  8. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  9. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  10. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  11. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  12. ↑ Georgia Secretary of State, "Qualifying Candidate Information," accessed March 12, 2016
  13. ↑ The New York Times, "Georgia Primary Results," May 24, 2016


Georgia's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Jon Ossoff (D)
Raphael Warnock (D)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
Republican Party (9)
Democratic Party (7)


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