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Gubernatorial elections, 2015

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The governor, or chief executive officer of the state, is the only state executive office other than the attorney general that exists in every state in the country. But unlike the attorney general, which is the state's chief legal officer and is elected in only 43 states, the governor is directly elected in all 50. This makes the governor truly unique among state executives from an electoral perspective.

Three states, Kentucky, Louisiana and Mississippi, were scheduled to hold gubernatorial elections in 2015. The last regularly scheduled gubernatorial elections for all three states were in 2011.

The three gubernatorial seats up for election in 2015 were rated as follows*:

Kentucky rating - Toss-up
Louisiana rating - Likely Republican
Mississippi rating - Safe Republican

*Note: Ratings are based on projections found in Governing, Larry Sabato, The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report and The Cook Political Report; they were updated periodically throughout the election season.

Fresh off the 2014 general election in which a handful of governor seats—including Arkansas, Illinois, Massachusetts and Maryland—flipped from blue to red, the scales were tipped against the Democrats for the relatively small three-seat 2015 gubernatorial election cycle. Crushing Democratic losses—or Republican triumphs, alternatively—on November 4, 2014, pushed the Republicans into a double-digit lead over Democrats for control of the 50 governor's offices.

Of the 36 states that held gubernatorial elections in 2014, the GOP won 24, the Democrats won 11 and one, in Alaska, flipped from Republican to independent, yielding a net gain of two for Republicans and net loss of three for Democrats. After the various turnovers, the partisan balance heading into the 2015 elections was 31 to 18 in favor of Republicans.

Partisan Breakdown: Governors
Party As of November 2015 After 2015 Election
     Democratic Party 18 18
     Republican Party 31 31
     Independent 1 1
Total 50 50

Democrats hoped to make gains in the 2015 elections. However, Republicans held two of the three gubernatorial seats up for election in 2015, while the sole Democratic incumbent, Kentucky Governor Steve Beshear, was barred by term limits from running for re-election. Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal (R) was also term-limited. First-term Mississippi Governor Phil Bryant (R) was seeking re-election.[1][2]

Election information

Gubernatorial Election Information, 2015
State Trifecta Status (before) Incumbent Incumbent Party Incumbent Running? 2015 Winner Partisan Switch? Trifecta Status (after)?
Kentucky Divided government Steve Beshear.jpg
Steve Beshear
Democratic Party Democratic No
(termed-out)
Matt Bevin Yes Divided government
Louisiana Current trifecta for Republicans Bobby Jindal.jpg
Bobby Jindal
Republican Party Republican No
(termed-out)
John Edwards Yes Divided government
Mississippi Current trifecta for Republicans Philbryant.jpg
Phil Bryant
Republican Party Republican Yes[1][2] Phil Bryant No Current trifecta for Republicans

Kentucky

See also: Kentucky gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2015

Democrat Steve Beshear was ineligible to run for re-election because of term limits.[3] Beshear was first elected in 2007 and defeated Republican challenger David Williams by 20.4 percent in 2011.

Race tracking

Race Rankings - Governor of Kentucky (Open seat)
Race Tracker Race Rating
The Cook Political Report Toss-up
Governing Toss-up
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball Lean Republican
The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report Toss-up
Overall call Toss-up
Note: Ratings were based on projections found in Governing, Larry Sabato, The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report, and The Cook Political Report where available. They were updated periodically throughout the election season.


General election

Democratic Party Jack Conway/Sannie Overly[4][5]
Republican Party Matt Bevin/Jenean M. Hampton[6]
Independent Drew Curtis/Heather Curtis[7]
Independent (Write-in) Blackii Whyte/Philip Jacobs[8]

Lost in primary

Democratic Party Geoff Young/Johnathan Masters[9][10]
Republican Party Will T. Scott/Rodney Coffey[11]
Republican Party Hal Heiner/K.C. Crosbie[12][13]
Republican Party James Comer Jr./Chris McDaniel[14][15]

Incumbents

Democratic Party Steve Beshear/Crit Luallen

Note: Beshear was unable to run for re-election due to term limits, while Luallen indicated that she would not seek election in 2015.

Withdrawn

Lieutenant governor

Democratic Party Cherokee Schill[16]

Election results

Primary election

Democratic

Attorney General Jack Conway and running mate Sannie Overly won the Democratic nomination against Geoff Young and Jonathan Masters in the Democratic primary on May 19, 2015.

Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky Democratic Primary, 2015
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJack Conway/Sannie Overly 78.8% 140,627
Geoff Young/Johnathan Masters 21.2% 37,887
Total Votes 178,514
Election results via Kentucky State Board of Elections.
Republican

Matt Bevin and running mate Jenean M. Hampton won the Republican nomination in a narrow 83 vote victory over James Comer Jr. and Chris McDaniel in the Republican primary on May 19, 2015.

Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky Republican Primary, 2015
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngMatt Bevin/Jenean Hampton 32.9% 70,479
James Comer Jr./Chris McDaniel 32.9% 70,396
Hal Heiner/K.C. Crosbie 27.1% 57,948
Will T. Scott/Rodney Coffey 7.2% 15,364
Total Votes 214,187
Election results via Kentucky State Board of Elections.

General election

Republican Matt Bevin and his running mate, Jenean M. Hampton, defeated Attorney General Jack Conway and independent Drew Curtis.[17]

Governor and Lieutenant Governor, 2015
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMatt Bevin/Jenean M. Hampton 52.5% 511,771
     Democrat Jack Conway/Sannie Overly 43.8% 426,827
     Independent Drew Curtis/Heather Curtis 3.7% 35,627
Total Votes 974,225
Election results via Kentucky Secretary of State

Margin of victory

Margin of victory analysis (top four offices), 2003-2011
Office 2011 margin of victory (%) Party of winning candidate, 2011 2007 margin of victory (%) Party of winning candidate, 2007 2003 margin of victory (%) Party of winning candidate, 2003
Kenucky Governor/Lieutenant Governor 20.4 Democratic Party 17.4 Democratic Party 10 Republican Party
Kentucky Attorney General 10.1 Democratic Party 21 Democratic Party 0.6 Democratic Party
Kentucky Secretary of State 21.3 Democratic Party 14.2 Republican Party 5 Republican Party

Louisiana

See also: Louisiana gubernatorial election, 2015

Republican Bobby Jindal was ineligible to run for re-election because of term limits.[18] Jindal was first elected in 2007 and won re-election in 2011 by 47.9 percent over Democratic challenger Tara Hollis and eight other challengers.

Race tracking

Race Rankings - Governor of Louisiana (Open seat)
Race Tracker Race Rating
The Cook Political Report Likely Republican
Governing Likely Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball Likely Republican
The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report Likely Republican
Overall call Likely Republican
Note: Ratings were based on projections found in Governing, Larry Sabato, The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report, and The Cook Political Report where available. They were updated periodically throughout the election season.


General election

Democratic Party John Edwards - Louisiana State Representative
Republican Party David Vitter - United States Senator

Defeated in primary

Democratic Party Cary Deaton
Democratic Party S L Simpson
Republican Party Scott Angelle
Republican Party Jay Dardenne
Grey.png Eric Paul Orgeron
Grey.png Beryl Billiot
Grey.png Jeremy "JW" Odom

Withdrawn

Grey.png Gregory Taylor[19][20]

Declined to run

Republican Party John Neely Kennedy - Ran for re-election as state treasurer[21][22]
Republican Party Jason Williams[23]

Note: Governor Bobby Jindal was not eligible for re-election in 2015 due to term limits.

Election results

Primary election

No candidate received an outright majority in the blanket primary election. The two candidates with the most votes, who qualified for the November runoff election, were John Bel Edwards (D) and David Vitter (R).[24]

Governor of Louisiana, Blanket Primary, 2015
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Bel Edwards 39.9% 444,061
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDavid Vitter 23% 256,105
     Republican Scott Angelle 19.3% 214,907
     Republican Jay Dardenne 15% 166,553
     Democratic Cary Deaton 1.1% 11,750
     Democratic S L Simpson 0.7% 7,411
     Independent Beryl Billiot 0.5% 5,690
     Independent Jeremy "JW" Odom 0.4% 4,755
     Independent Eric Paul Orgeron 0.2% 2,244
Total Votes 1,113,476
Election Results Louisiana Secretary of State.

General election

The general election for Louisiana governor between David Vitter (R) and John Bel Edwards (D) was held on November 21, 2015. Edwards defeated his Republican opponent.

Governor of Louisiana, Run-off election, 2015
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Bel Edwards 56.1% 646,860
     Republican David Vitter 43.9% 505,929
Total Votes 1,152,789
Election Results via the Louisiana Secretary of State.

Margin of victory

Margin of victory analysis (top four offices), 2003-2011
Office 2011 margin of victory (%) Party of winning candidate, 2011 2007 margin of victory (%) Party of winning candidate, 2007 2003 margin of victory (%) Party of winning candidate, 2003
Louisiana Governor 47.9 Republican Party 36.4 Republican Party 3.9 Democratic Party
Louisiana Lieutenant Governor 6.5 Republican Party 26.3 Democratic Party 33.1 Democratic Party
Louisiana Attorney General - Republican Party 33.2 Democratic Party 7.1 Democratic Party
Louisiana Secretary of State 0.9 Republican Party 32.1 Republican Party 49.9 Republican Party

Note: A "-" indicates a race where only one candidate contested the seat.

Mississippi

See also: Mississippi gubernatorial election, 2015

Republican Phil Bryant was eligible for re-election in 2015. Bryant was first elected in 2011, when he defeated Democratic challenger Johnny DuPree by 22 percent.

Race tracking

Race Rankings - Governor of Mississippi
Race Tracker Race Rating
The Cook Political Report Safe Republican
Governing Safe Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe Republican
The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report Safe Republican
Overall call Safe Republican
Note: Ratings were based on projections found in Governing, Larry Sabato, The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report, and The Cook Political Report where available. They were updated periodically throughout the election season.


General election

Republican Party Phil Bryant (Incumbent) Approveda[25][1][2][26]
Democratic Party Robert Gray[25][26]
Reform Party Shawn O'Hara[25][26]

Lost in the primary

Republican Party Mitch Young[25][26]
Democratic Party Valerie Short[25][26]
Democratic Party Vicki Slater[25][26]


Election results

Primary election

Democratic

Gray defeated Slater and Short in the Democratic primary election; he faced incumbent Phil Bryant (R) and challenger Shawn O'Hara (I) in the general election.[26][27]

Governor of Mississippi Democratic Primary, 2015
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngRobert Gray 50.8% 152,087
Vicki Slater 30.4% 91,104
Valerie Short 18.8% 56,177
Total Votes 299,368
Election results via Mississippi Secretary of State.
Republican

Incumbent Bryant defeated Young in the Republican primary. Bryant defeated challengers Robert Gray (D) and Shawn O'Hara (I) in the general election.[26]

Governor of Mississippi Republican Primary, 2015
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngPhil Bryant 91.8% 254,779
Mitch Young 8.2% 22,628
Total Votes 277,407
Election results via Mississippi Secretary of State.

General election

Governor of Mississippi, 2015
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Robert Gray 32.4% 234,858
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPhil Bryant Incumbent 66.2% 480,399
     Reform Shawn O'Hara 1.4% 9,950
Total Votes 725,207
Election results via Mississippi Secretary of State

Margin of victory

Margin of victory analysis (top four offices), 2003-2011
Office 2011 margin of victory (%) Party of winning candidate, 2011 2007 margin of victory (%) Party of winning candidate, 2007 2003 margin of victory (%) Party of winning candidate, 2003
Mississippi Governor 22 Republican Party 15.8 Republican Party 6.7 Republican Party
Mississippi Lieutenant Governor 60.7 Republican Party 17.1 Republican Party 23.9 Republican Party
Mississippi Attorney General - Democratic Party 19.7 Democratic Party 35.5 Democratic Party
Mississippi Secretary of State 22.1 Republican Party 16.5 Republican Party 47.6 Democratic Party

Note: A "-" indicates a race where only one candidate contested the seat.

Recent news

Kentucky gubernatorial election

The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for the terms Kentucky Governor Election 2015. These results are automatically generated from Google. Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles.

Louisiana gubernatorial election

The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for the terms Louisiana Governor Election 2015. These results are automatically generated from Google. Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles.

Mississippi gubernatorial election

The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for the terms Mississippi Governor Election 2015. These results are automatically generated from Google. Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles.

Additional reading

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 The Clarion Ledger, "Gov. Bryant outlines priorities in State of the State," January 20, 2015
  2. 2.0 2.1 2.2 Gulflive.com, "Q&A with Phil Bryant: Mississippi governor discusses 2015 agenda in AP interview," January 3, 2015
  3. Huffington Post, "Gov. Steve Beshear Urges Fellow Democrats To Take Obamacare 'And Run With It'," June 24, 2014
  4. Lexington Herald-Leader, "Jack Conway announces bid for governor, with state Rep. Sannie Overly as running mate," May 6, 2014
  5. Kentucky Secretary of State, "Information for Jack Conway, Candidate for Governor," January 12, 2015
  6. Kentucky Secretary of State, "Information for Matt Bevin, Candidate for Governor," January 27, 2015
  7. Kentucky Secretary of State, "Information for Drew Curtis, Candidate for Governor," August 10, 2015
  8. Kentucky Secretary of State, "Information for Blackii Effing Whyte, Candidate for Governor," May 15, 2015
  9. Associated Press, "Primary election results," accessed May 20, 2014
  10. Kentucky Secretary of State, "Information for Johnathan D. Masters, Candidate for Lieutenant Governor," January 27, 2015
  11. Kentucky Secretary of State, "Information for Will T. Scott, Candidate for Governor," January 13, 2015
  12. Kentucky Secretary of State, "Information for Hal Heiner, Candidate for Governor," January 26, 2015
  13. Lexington Herald-Leader, "Republican Hal Heiner enters gubernatorial race; Lexington running mate won't resign from RNC," March 4, 2014
  14. Cincinnati.com, "Election in 2015 shaping up to be big for NKY," November 11, 2014
  15. Kentucky Secretary of State, "Information for James R. Comer, Candidate for Governor," January 22, 2015
  16. Kentucky Secretary of State, "Information for Cherokee Schill, Candidate for Lieutenant Governor," January 27, 2015
  17. Kentucky Secretary of State, "Governor and Lieutenant Governor," accessed November 4, 2014
  18. The Times-Picayune, "Term limits have Louisiana politicians searching for new elections," October 20, 2013
  19. Taylor did not appear on the list of qualified candidates following the filing deadline.
  20. Louisiana Secretary of State, "Candidate Inquiry," accessed September 14, 2015
  21. The Advocate, "Treasurer John Kennedy Looks at AG Race," December 10, 2014
  22. The Times-Picayune, "State Treasurer John Kennedy will seek reelection, not run for governor or attorney general," April 9, 2015
  23. Danny Monteverde, 4WWL, "N.O. Councilman Jason Williams will not run for governor," August 20, 2015
  24. The Lens, "Elections 2015," accessed October 25, 2015
  25. 25.0 25.1 25.2 25.3 25.4 25.5 Mississippi Secretary of State, "2015 Candidate Qualifying List," accessed July 24, 2015
  26. 26.0 26.1 26.2 26.3 26.4 26.5 26.6 26.7 Associated Press, "Mississippi - Summary Vote Results," August 04, 2015
  27. Yahoo! News, "Truck driver wins Dem nomination for Mississippi governor," November 5, 2015