Hawaii's 1st Congressional District election, 2018

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General election

General election for U.S. House Hawaii District 1

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Ed Case
Ed Case (D)
 
73.1
 
134,650
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Cam Cavasso (R)
 
23.1
 
42,498
Image of Michelle Rose Tippens
Michelle Rose Tippens (L)
 
1.9
 
3,498
Image of Zachary Burd
Zachary Burd (G)
 
1.2
 
2,214
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Calvin Griffin (Nonpartisan)
 
0.7
 
1,351

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 184,211
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Hawaii's 1st Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 5, 2018
Primary: August 11, 2018
General: November 6, 2018
Pre-election incumbent:
Colleen Hanabusa (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 6 p.m.
Voting in Hawaii
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): D+17
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
Hawaii's 1st Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd
Hawaii elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

Former U.S. Rep. Ed Case (D-Hawaii) faced former state Rep. Cam Cavasso (R) in the general election for Hawaii's 1st Congressional District on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Rep. Colleen Hanabusa (D-Hawaii) did not seek re-election.[1]

Hawaii's 1st Congressional District is located in southern Oahu and includes portions of Honolulu County.[2]


This page covered the general election in this race. Click here to read more about the Democratic Party primary election. Click here to read more about the Republican Party primary election.


Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Hawaii District 1

Ed Case defeated Cam Cavasso, Michelle Rose Tippens, Zachary Burd, and Calvin Griffin in the general election for U.S. House Hawaii District 1 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Ed Case
Ed Case (D)
 
73.1
 
134,650
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Cam Cavasso (R)
 
23.1
 
42,498
Image of Michelle Rose Tippens
Michelle Rose Tippens (L)
 
1.9
 
3,498
Image of Zachary Burd
Zachary Burd (G)
 
1.2
 
2,214
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Calvin Griffin (Nonpartisan)
 
0.7
 
1,351

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 184,211
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1 on August 11, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Ed Case
Ed Case
 
40.0
 
47,482
Image of Doug Chin
Doug Chin Candidate Connection
 
25.5
 
30,283
Image of Donna Kim
Donna Kim
 
18.2
 
21,554
Image of Kaniela Ing
Kaniela Ing
 
6.3
 
7,531
Image of Beth Fukumoto
Beth Fukumoto
 
6.3
 
7,473
Image of Ernest Y. Martin
Ernest Y. Martin
 
3.2
 
3,827
Image of Sam Puletasi
Sam Puletasi
 
0.4
 
519

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 118,669
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1

Cam Cavasso defeated Raymond Vinole in the Republican primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1 on August 11, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Cam Cavasso
 
81.8
 
10,552
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Raymond Vinole
 
18.2
 
2,340

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 12,892
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1

Calvin Griffin defeated John Cipolla in the primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1 on August 11, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Calvin Griffin
 
58.7
 
266
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
John Cipolla
 
41.3
 
187

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 453
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Green primary election

Green primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1

Zachary Burd advanced from the Green primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1 on August 11, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Zachary Burd
Zachary Burd
 
100.0
 
173

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 173
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1

Michelle Rose Tippens advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1 on August 11, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Michelle Rose Tippens
Michelle Rose Tippens
 
100.0
 
150

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 150
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+17, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 17 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Hawaii's 1st Congressional District the 76th most Democratic nationally.[3]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.05. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.05 points toward that party.[4]

Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Ed Case Democratic Party $563,845 $482,824 $81,021 As of December 31, 2018
Cam Cavasso Republican Party $156,884 $155,400 $1,483 As of December 31, 2018
Zachary Burd Green Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Michelle Rose Tippens Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Calvin Griffin Nonpartisan $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Race ratings: Hawaii's 1st Congressional District election, 2018
Race trackerRace ratings
October 30, 2018October 23, 2018October 16, 2018October 9, 2018
The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

District history

2016

See also: Hawaii's 1st Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Mark Takai (D) did not seek re-election in 2016. The seat was vacant following Takai's death from pancreatic cancer on July 20, 2016. Colleen Hanabusa (D) defeated Shirlene Ostrov (R), Alan Yim (L), and Calvin Griffin (I) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Hanabusa defeated six other Democratic candidates in the primary on August 13, 2016.[5][6][7]

U.S. House, Hawaii District 1 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngColleen Hanabusa 71.9% 145,417
     Republican Shirlene Ostrov 22.7% 45,958
     Libertarian Alan Yim 3.3% 6,601
     Independent Calvin Griffin 2.2% 4,381
Total Votes 202,357
Source: Hawaii Secretary of State


U.S. House, Hawaii District 1 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngColleen Hanabusa 80.4% 74,022
Lei Ahu Isa 12.5% 11,518
Howard Kim 3% 2,750
Javier Ocasio 1.2% 1,117
Sam Puletas 1.1% 1,036
Lei Sharsh-Davis 1% 915
Steve Tataii 0.8% 737
Total Votes 92,095
Source: Hawaii Secretary of State

2014

See also: Hawaii's 1st Congressional District elections, 2014

The 1st Congressional District of Hawaii held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Mark Takai (D) defeated Charles Djou (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, Hawaii District 1 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMark Takai 51.2% 93,390
     Republican Charles Djou 47.4% 86,454
Total Votes 179,844
Source: Hawaii Office of Elections

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

There are no Pivot Counties in Hawaii. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Hawaii with 62.2 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 30 percent. In presidential elections between 1960 and 2016, Hawaii voted Democratic 86.67 percent of the time and Republican 13.33 percent of the time. The only presidential elections from 1960 to 2016 where Hawaii voted for the Republican candidate were the elections in 1972 and 1984. Richard Nixon (R) and Ronald Reagan (R), respectively, won nearly every state in those elections.[8] Hawaii voted Democratic in every presidential election from 2000 to 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Hawaii. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[9][10]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won all 51 state House districts in Hawaii with an average margin of victory of 42.9 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won all 51 state House districts in Hawaii with an average margin of victory of 31.7 points. Six of those districts were controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Hawaii heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

State legislature

Democrats controlled both chambers of the Hawaii State Legislature. They had a 45-6 majority in the state House and a 25-0 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

2018 elections

See also: Hawaii elections, 2018

Hawaii held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for Hawaii
 HawaiiU.S.
Total population:1,425,157316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):6,4233,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:25.4%73.6%
Black/African American:2%12.6%
Asian:37.7%5.1%
Native American:0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:9.9%0.2%
Two or more:23.7%3%
Hispanic/Latino:9.9%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:91%86.7%
College graduation rate:30.8%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$69,515$53,889
Persons below poverty level:11.6%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Hawaii.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2017, Hawaii's three largest cities were Urban Honolulu (pop. est. 350,395), East Honolulu (pop. est. 47,957), and Pearl City (pop. est. 47,241).[11]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Hawaii from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Hawaii Office of Elections.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Hawaii every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Hawaii 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 61.0% Republican Party Donald Trump 29.4% 31.6%
2012 Democratic Party Barack Obama 70.1% Republican Party Mitt Romney 27.7% 42.4%
2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 71.5% Republican Party John McCain 26.4% 45.1%
2004 Democratic Party John Kerry 53.7% Republican Party George W. Bush 45.0% 8.7%
2000 Democratic Party Al Gore 55.3% Republican Party George W. Bush 37.1% 18.2%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Hawaii from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Hawaii 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Brian Schatz 70.1% Republican Party John Carroll 21.2% 48.9%
2014 Democratic Party Brian Schatz 66.8% Republican Party Cam Cavasso 26.5% 40.3%
2012 Democratic Party Mazie Hirono 61.6% Republican Party Linda Lingle 36.8% 24.8%
2010 Democratic Party Daniel Inouye 71.9% Republican Party Cam Cavasso 20.7% 51.2%
2006 Democratic Party Daniel Akaka 60.3% Republican Party Cynthia Thielen 36.1% 24.2%
2004 Democratic Party Daniel Inouye 72.7% Republican Party Cam Cavasso 20.2% 52.5%
2000 Democratic Party Daniel Akaka 67.7% Republican Party John Carroll 22.8% 44.9%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Hawaii.

Election results (Governor), Hawaii 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Democratic Party David Ige 49.0% Republican Party Duke Aiona 36.7% 12.3%
2010 Democratic Party Neil Abercrombie 57.8% Republican Party Duke Aiona 40.8% 17.0%
2006 Republican Party Linda Lingle 49.8% Democratic Party Randy Iwase 34.9% 14.9%
2002 Republican Party Linda Lingle 51.6% Democratic Party Mazie Hirono 47.0% 4.6%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Hawaii in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Hawaii 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2014 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2012 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2010 Republican Party 1 50.0% Democratic Party 1 50.0% Even
2008 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2006 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2004 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2002 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2000 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Hawaii Party Control: 1992-2025
Twenty-six years of Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Governor D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D

See also

Footnotes

  1. ↑ The Hill, "Hanabusa to primary Hawaii governor," September 2, 2017
  2. ↑ Hawaii Redistricting Map "Map" accessed September 25, 2012
  3. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  4. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  5. ↑ Hawaii Secretary of State, "2016 Candidates," accessed June 8, 2016
  6. ↑ The Hill, "Rep. Mark Takai dies at 49," July 20, 2016
  7. ↑ Politico, "Hawaii House Races Results," August 13, 2016
  8. ↑ 270towin.com, "Historical Presidential Elections," accessed August 2, 2017
  9. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  10. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  11. ↑ Hawaii Demographics, "Hawaii Cities by Population," accessed August 30, 2018
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Election information
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Hawaii's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Mazie Hirono (D)
Brian Schatz (D)
Representatives
District 1
Ed Case (D)
District 2
Democratic Party (4)

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