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Hawaii's 1st Congressional District election, 2020

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Hawaii's 1st Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 2, 2020
Primary: August 8, 2020
General: November 3, 2020
Pre-election incumbent:
Ed Case (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Hawaii
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Hawaii's 1st Congressional District
1st • 2nd
Hawaii elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 1st Congressional District of Hawaii, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Ed Case won election in the general election for U.S. House Hawaii District 1.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
June 2, 2020
August 8, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Ed Case, who was first elected in 2018.

Hawaii's 1st Congressional District is located in southern Oahu and includes portions of Honolulu County.[1]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Hawaii's 1st Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 63.8 72
Republican candidate Republican Party 34.5 28
Difference 29.3 44

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Hawaii did not modify any procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Hawaii District 1

Incumbent Ed Case defeated Ron Curtis in the general election for U.S. House Hawaii District 1 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Ed Case
Ed Case (D)
 
72.0
 
183,245
Image of Ron Curtis
Ron Curtis (R)
 
28.0
 
71,188

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 254,433
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1

Incumbent Ed Case advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1 on August 8, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Ed Case
Ed Case
 
100.0
 
131,802

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 131,802
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1

Ron Curtis defeated James Dickens, Nancy Olson, Arturo Reyes, and Taylor Smith in the Republican primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1 on August 8, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Ron Curtis
Ron Curtis
 
41.1
 
13,909
Image of James Dickens
James Dickens
 
21.0
 
7,120
Image of Nancy Olson
Nancy Olson Candidate Connection
 
19.7
 
6,665
Image of Arturo Reyes
Arturo Reyes
 
12.7
 
4,301
Image of Taylor Smith
Taylor Smith
 
5.4
 
1,839

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 33,834
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1

No candidate advanced from the primary.

Candidate
%
Votes
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Calvin Griffin
 
100.0
 
2,324

Vote totals may be incomplete for this race.

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 2,324
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Grey.png Nonpartisan candidates

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

There are no Pivot Counties in Hawaii. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Hawaii with 62.2 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 30 percent. In presidential elections between 1960 and 2016, Hawaii voted Democratic 86.67 percent of the time and Republican 13.33 percent of the time. The only presidential elections from 1960 to 2016 where Hawaii voted for the Republican candidate were the elections in 1972 and 1984. Richard Nixon (R) and Ronald Reagan (R), respectively, won nearly every state in those elections.[2] Hawaii voted Democratic in every presidential election from 2000 to 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Hawaii. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[3][4]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won all 51 state House districts in Hawaii with an average margin of victory of 42.9 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won all 51 state House districts in Hawaii with an average margin of victory of 31.7 points. Six of those districts were controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+17, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 17 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Hawaii's 1st Congressional District the 76th most Democratic nationally.[5]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.05. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.05 points toward that party.[6]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[7] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[8] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Ed Case Democratic Party $606,356 $570,675 $116,701 As of December 31, 2020
Ron Curtis Republican Party $15,500 $15,609 $-109 As of December 31, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[9]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[10][11][12]

Race ratings: Hawaii's 1st Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 1st Congressional District candidates in Hawaii in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Hawaii, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Hawaii 1st Congressional District All parties 25 Fixed number $75.00 Fixed number 6/2/2020 Source
Hawaii 1st Congressional District Unaffiliated 25 Fixed number $75.00 Fixed number 6/2/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: Hawaii's 1st Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Hawaii District 1

Ed Case defeated Cam Cavasso, Michelle Rose Tippens, Zachary Burd, and Calvin Griffin in the general election for U.S. House Hawaii District 1 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Ed Case
Ed Case (D)
 
73.1
 
134,650
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Cam Cavasso (R)
 
23.1
 
42,498
Image of Michelle Rose Tippens
Michelle Rose Tippens (L)
 
1.9
 
3,498
Image of Zachary Burd
Zachary Burd (G)
 
1.2
 
2,214
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Calvin Griffin (Nonpartisan)
 
0.7
 
1,351

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 184,211
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1 on August 11, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Ed Case
Ed Case
 
40.0
 
47,482
Image of Doug Chin
Doug Chin Candidate Connection
 
25.5
 
30,283
Image of Donna Kim
Donna Kim
 
18.2
 
21,554
Image of Kaniela Ing
Kaniela Ing
 
6.3
 
7,531
Image of Beth Fukumoto
Beth Fukumoto
 
6.3
 
7,473
Image of Ernest Y. Martin
Ernest Y. Martin
 
3.2
 
3,827
Image of Sam Puletasi
Sam Puletasi
 
0.4
 
519

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 118,669
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1

Cam Cavasso defeated Raymond Vinole in the Republican primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1 on August 11, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Cam Cavasso
 
81.8
 
10,552
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Raymond Vinole
 
18.2
 
2,340

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 12,892
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1

Calvin Griffin defeated John Cipolla in the primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1 on August 11, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Calvin Griffin
 
58.7
 
266
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
John Cipolla
 
41.3
 
187

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 453
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Green primary election

Green primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1

Zachary Burd advanced from the Green primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1 on August 11, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Zachary Burd
Zachary Burd
 
100.0
 
173

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 173
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1

Michelle Rose Tippens advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 1 on August 11, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Michelle Rose Tippens
Michelle Rose Tippens
 
100.0
 
150

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 150
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Hawaii's 1st Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Mark Takai (D) did not seek re-election in 2016. The seat was vacant following Takai's death from pancreatic cancer on July 20, 2016. Colleen Hanabusa (D) defeated Shirlene Ostrov (R), Alan Yim (L), and Calvin Griffin (I) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Hanabusa defeated six other Democratic candidates in the primary on August 13, 2016.[13][14][15]

U.S. House, Hawaii District 1 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngColleen Hanabusa 71.9% 145,417
     Republican Shirlene Ostrov 22.7% 45,958
     Libertarian Alan Yim 3.3% 6,601
     Independent Calvin Griffin 2.2% 4,381
Total Votes 202,357
Source: Hawaii Secretary of State


U.S. House, Hawaii District 1 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngColleen Hanabusa 80.4% 74,022
Lei Ahu Isa 12.5% 11,518
Howard Kim 3% 2,750
Javier Ocasio 1.2% 1,117
Sam Puletas 1.1% 1,036
Lei Sharsh-Davis 1% 915
Steve Tataii 0.8% 737
Total Votes 92,095
Source: Hawaii Secretary of State

2014

See also: Hawaii's 1st Congressional District elections, 2014

The 1st Congressional District of Hawaii held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Mark Takai (D) defeated Charles Djou (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, Hawaii District 1 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMark Takai 51.2% 93,390
     Republican Charles Djou 47.4% 86,454
Total Votes 179,844
Source: Hawaii Office of Elections

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ Hawaii Redistricting Map "Map" accessed September 25, 2012
  2. ↑ 270towin.com, "Historical Presidential Elections," accessed August 2, 2017
  3. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  4. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  5. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  6. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  7. ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  8. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  9. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  10. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  11. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  12. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  13. ↑ Hawaii Secretary of State, "2016 Candidates," accessed June 8, 2016
  14. ↑ The Hill, "Rep. Mark Takai dies at 49," July 20, 2016
  15. ↑ Politico, "Hawaii House Races Results," August 13, 2016


Hawaii's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Mazie Hirono (D)
Brian Schatz (D)
Representatives
District 1
Ed Case (D)
District 2
Democratic Party (4)


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