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Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020

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Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 2, 2020
Primary: August 8, 2020
General: November 3, 2020
Pre-election incumbent:
Tulsi Gabbard (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Hawaii
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District
1st • 2nd
Hawaii elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Hawaii, held elections in 2020.

Kaiali'i Kahele won election in the general election for U.S. House Hawaii District 2.

Watch the Candidate Conversation for this race!

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
June 2, 2020
August 8, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Tulsi Gabbard, who was first elected in 2012.

Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District includes all of the Hawaiian islands except for southern Oahu. Hawaii, Kalawao, Kauai, and Maui counties and portions of Honolulu County are included in the district.[1]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 63.6 63
Republican candidate Republican Party 34.1 30.9
Difference 29.5 32.1

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Hawaii did not modify any procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

The following candidates ran in the general election for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Kaiali'i Kahele
Kaiali'i Kahele (D)
 
63.0
 
171,517
Image of Joseph Akana
Joseph Akana (R)
 
30.9
 
84,027
Image of Michelle Rose Tippens
Michelle Rose Tippens (L)
 
2.5
 
6,785
Image of Jonathan Hoomanawanui
Jonathan Hoomanawanui (Aloha Aina Party)
 
2.4
 
6,453
Image of Ron Burrus
Ron Burrus (Nonpartisan) Candidate Connection
 
1.0
 
2,659
Image of John Giuffre
John Giuffre (American Shopping Party)
 
0.2
 
661

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 272,102
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Watch the Candidate Conversation for this race!

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

Kaiali'i Kahele defeated Brian Evans, Brenda Lee, and Noelle Famera in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 8, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Kaiali'i Kahele
Kaiali'i Kahele
 
76.5
 
100,841
Image of Brian Evans
Brian Evans Candidate Connection
 
9.4
 
12,337
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Brenda Lee
 
8.1
 
10,694
Image of Noelle Famera
Noelle Famera Candidate Connection
 
6.1
 
7,992

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 131,864
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 8, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Joseph Akana
Joseph Akana
 
44.1
 
15,107
Image of Elise Hatsuko Kaneshiro
Elise Hatsuko Kaneshiro Candidate Connection
 
15.4
 
5,294
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
David Hamman
 
10.0
 
3,430
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Robert Nagamine
 
8.4
 
2,887
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Nicholas Love
 
7.6
 
2,616
Image of Steven Bond
Steven Bond
 
6.5
 
2,218
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Felipe San Nicolas
 
4.3
 
1,465
Image of Karla Gottschalk
Karla Gottschalk
 
2.8
 
953
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Raymond Quel
 
0.9
 
305

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 34,275
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

Ron Burrus defeated Byron McCorriston in the primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 8, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Ron Burrus
Ron Burrus Candidate Connection
 
59.2
 
1,308
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Byron McCorriston
 
40.8
 
901

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 2,209
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Aloha Aina Party primary election

Aloha Aina Party primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

Jonathan Hoomanawanui advanced from the Aloha Aina Party primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 8, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Jonathan Hoomanawanui
Jonathan Hoomanawanui
 
100.0
 
3,423

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 3,423
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

American Shopping Party primary election

American Shopping Party primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

John Giuffre advanced from the American Shopping Party primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 8, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of John Giuffre
John Giuffre
 
100.0
 
134

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 134
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

Michelle Rose Tippens advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 8, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Michelle Rose Tippens
Michelle Rose Tippens
 
100.0
 
1,014

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 1,014
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Grey.png Aloha Aina Party candidates

Grey.png American Shopping Party candidates

Libertarian Party Libertarian candidates

Grey.png Nonpartisan candidates

Candidate Conversations

Moderated by journalist and political commentator Greta Van Susteren, Candidate Conversations is a virtual debate format that allows voters to easily get to know their candidates through a short video Q&A. Click below to watch the conversation for this race.

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

There are no Pivot Counties in Hawaii. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Hawaii with 62.2 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 30 percent. In presidential elections between 1960 and 2016, Hawaii voted Democratic 86.67 percent of the time and Republican 13.33 percent of the time. The only presidential elections from 1960 to 2016 where Hawaii voted for the Republican candidate were the elections in 1972 and 1984. Richard Nixon (R) and Ronald Reagan (R), respectively, won nearly every state in those elections.[2] Hawaii voted Democratic in every presidential election from 2000 to 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Hawaii. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[3][4]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won all 51 state House districts in Hawaii with an average margin of victory of 42.9 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won all 51 state House districts in Hawaii with an average margin of victory of 31.7 points. Six of those districts were controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+19, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 19 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District the 70th most Democratic nationally.[5]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.09. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.09 points toward that party.[6]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[7] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[8] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Kaiali'i Kahele Democratic Party $1,253,139 $1,059,753 $193,386 As of December 31, 2020
Joseph Akana Republican Party $66,898 $80,194 $-810 As of December 31, 2020
Jonathan Hoomanawanui Aloha Aina Party $1,883 $1,522 $585 As of October 14, 2020
John Giuffre American Shopping Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Michelle Rose Tippens Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Ron Burrus Nonpartisan $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[9]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[10][11][12]

Race ratings: Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 2nd Congressional District candidates in Hawaii in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Hawaii, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Hawaii 2nd Congressional District All parties 25 Fixed number $75.00 Fixed number 6/2/2020 Source
Hawaii 2nd Congressional District Unaffiliated 25 Fixed number $75.00 Fixed number 6/2/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

Incumbent Tulsi Gabbard defeated Brian Evans in the general election for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Tulsi Gabbard
Tulsi Gabbard (D)
 
77.4
 
153,271
Image of Brian Evans
Brian Evans (R)
 
22.6
 
44,850

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 198,121
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

Incumbent Tulsi Gabbard defeated Sherry Alu Campagna and Anthony Tony Austin in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 11, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Tulsi Gabbard
Tulsi Gabbard
 
83.5
 
94,629
Image of Sherry Alu Campagna
Sherry Alu Campagna
 
12.3
 
13,947
Image of Anthony Tony Austin
Anthony Tony Austin Candidate Connection
 
4.1
 
4,688

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 113,264
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

Brian Evans advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 11, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Brian Evans
Brian Evans
 
100.0
 
12,331

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 12,331
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Tulsi Gabbard (D) defeated Angela Aulani Kaaihue (R) and Richard Turner (Independent) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Gabbard defeated Shay Chan Hodges in the Democratic primary, while Kaaihue defeated Eric Hafner to win the Republican nomination. The primary elections took place on August 13, 2016.[13][14]

U.S. House, Hawaii District 2 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngTulsi Gabbard Incumbent 81.2% 170,848
     Republican Angela Aulani Kaaihue 18.8% 39,668
Total Votes 210,516
Source: Hawaii Secretary of State


U.S. House, Hawaii District 2 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngTulsi Gabbard Incumbent 84.5% 80,026
Shay Chan Hodges 15.5% 14,643
Total Votes 94,669
Source: Hawaii Secretary of State
U.S. House, Hawaii District 2 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngAngela Aulani Kaaihue 55.9% 7,449
Eric Hafner 44.1% 5,876
Total Votes 13,325
Source: Hawaii Secretary of State

2014

See also: Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 2nd Congressional District of Hawaii held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Tulsi Gabbard (D) defeated Kawika Crowley (R) and Joe Kent (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, Hawaii District 2 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngTulsi Gabbard Incumbent 75.8% 141,996
     Republican Kawika Crowley 17.9% 33,624
     Libertarian Joe Kent 2.5% 4,692
Total Votes 180,312
Source: Hawaii Office of Elections

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ Hawaii Redistricting Map "Map" accessed September 25, 2012
  2. ↑ 270towin.com, "Historical Presidential Elections," accessed August 2, 2017
  3. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  4. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  5. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  6. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  7. ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  8. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  9. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  10. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  11. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  12. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  13. ↑ Hawaii Secretary of State, "2016 Candidates," accessed June 8, 2016
  14. ↑ Politico, "Hawaii House Races Results," August 13, 2016


Hawaii's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Mazie Hirono (D)
Brian Schatz (D)
Representatives
District 1
Ed Case (D)
District 2
Democratic Party (4)


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