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Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election (August 11, 2018 Republican primary)

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2020
2016
Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 5, 2018
Primary: August 11, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent:
Tulsi Gabbard (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 6 p.m.
Voting in Hawaii
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): D+19
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd
Hawaii elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

A Republican Party primary election took place on August 11, 2018, in Hawaii's 2nd District to determine which Republican would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.

This page focuses on the Republican primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.

See also: United States House elections in Hawaii (August 11, 2018 Republican primaries) and United States House Republican Party primaries, 2018



Candidates and election results

Brian Evans advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 11, 2018.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brian Evans
Brian Evans
 
100.0
 
12,331

Total votes: 12,331
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+19, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 19 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District the 70th most Democratic nationally.[1]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.09. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.09 points toward that party.[2]

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Hawaii heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

State legislature

Democrats controlled both chambers of the Hawaii State Legislature. They had a 45-6 majority in the state House and a 25-0 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

2018 elections

See also: Hawaii elections, 2018

Hawaii held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for Hawaii
 HawaiiU.S.
Total population:1,425,157316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):6,4233,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:25.4%73.6%
Black/African American:2%12.6%
Asian:37.7%5.1%
Native American:0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:9.9%0.2%
Two or more:23.7%3%
Hispanic/Latino:9.9%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:91%86.7%
College graduation rate:30.8%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$69,515$53,889
Persons below poverty level:11.6%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Hawaii.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2017, Hawaii's three largest cities were Urban Honolulu (pop. est. 350,395), East Honolulu (pop. est. 47,957), and Pearl City (pop. est. 47,241).[3]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Hawaii from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Hawaii Office of Elections.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Hawaii every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Hawaii 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 61.0% Republican Party Donald Trump 29.4% 31.6%
2012 Democratic Party Barack Obama 70.1% Republican Party Mitt Romney 27.7% 42.4%
2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 71.5% Republican Party John McCain 26.4% 45.1%
2004 Democratic Party John Kerry 53.7% Republican Party George W. Bush 45.0% 8.7%
2000 Democratic Party Al Gore 55.3% Republican Party George W. Bush 37.1% 18.2%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Hawaii from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Hawaii 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Brian Schatz 70.1% Republican Party John Carroll 21.2% 48.9%
2014 Democratic Party Brian Schatz 66.8% Republican Party Cam Cavasso 26.5% 40.3%
2012 Democratic Party Mazie Hirono 61.6% Republican Party Linda Lingle 36.8% 24.8%
2010 Democratic Party Daniel Inouye 71.9% Republican Party Cam Cavasso 20.7% 51.2%
2006 Democratic Party Daniel Akaka 60.3% Republican Party Cynthia Thielen 36.1% 24.2%
2004 Democratic Party Daniel Inouye 72.7% Republican Party Cam Cavasso 20.2% 52.5%
2000 Democratic Party Daniel Akaka 67.7% Republican Party John Carroll 22.8% 44.9%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Hawaii.

Election results (Governor), Hawaii 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Democratic Party David Ige 49.0% Republican Party Duke Aiona 36.7% 12.3%
2010 Democratic Party Neil Abercrombie 57.8% Republican Party Duke Aiona 40.8% 17.0%
2006 Republican Party Linda Lingle 49.8% Democratic Party Randy Iwase 34.9% 14.9%
2002 Republican Party Linda Lingle 51.6% Democratic Party Mazie Hirono 47.0% 4.6%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Hawaii in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Hawaii 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2014 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2012 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2010 Republican Party 1 50.0% Democratic Party 1 50.0% Even
2008 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2006 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2004 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2002 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2000 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Hawaii Party Control: 1992-2025
Twenty-six years of Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Governor D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D

See also

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
Ed Case (D)
District 2
Democratic Party (4)