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Illinois' 15th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Republican primary)

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Illinois' 15th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 14, 2022
Primary: June 28, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Illinois
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+22
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Illinois' 15th Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th
Illinois elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022


U.S. Rep. Mary Miller defeated U.S. Rep. Rodney Davis in the Republican primary for Illinois' 15th Congressional District on June 28, 2022. This race was one of six U.S. House incumbent-vs.-incumbent primaries occurring in 2022 as a result of congressional redistricting.

Heading into the election, Davis had represented Illinois' 13th Congressional District since 2013, and Miller had represented the 15th Congressional District since 2021. According to data from Daily Kos, 28% of the new 15th District's population came from the old 13th District (represented by Davis), and 31% came from the old 15th District (represented by Miller).[1] Illinois lost one congressional district following the 2020 census.

The Herald & Review's Brenden Moore wrote that the race was "among the most contentious incumbent-versus-incumbent primaries in the country" and said the candidates "traded barbs over who [was] the true conservative candidate in the race."[2] As of election day, the primary had the second most satellite spending of all 2022 U.S. House races.[3]

Miller said she was the "only Republican member of Congress from Illinois who's fighting every aspect of the Biden agenda and putting America first," saying on her campaign website that she opposed "the disgraceful January 6th 'witch hunt' Commission, President Biden’s 'red-flag' gun confiscation measures, COVID vaccine mandates and databases, and taxpayer-funded chemical abortion."[4][5] Miller criticized Davis for a bill he cosponsored in 2019 that would have provided grants for states to enact extreme risk protection order laws, or red flag laws.[6][7][8] Miller said, "I am the only candidate with an A rating from the NRA and Gun Owners of America because I support our Second Amendment! Everyone is tired of Red Flag Rodney Davis, who stabbed conservatives in the back by supporting federal gun confiscation."[9]

Former President Donald Trump (R) endorsed Miller on January 1, 2022.[10] U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas), Club for Growth, the Conservative Political Action Coalition, and the House Freedom Fund also endorsed Miller.

Davis said, "I stick with my core values and principles. I have always been pro-life and will continue to stick by those values and principles. I've always stood up for the Second Amendment. I will continue to do that. But what separates me from my opponent is I have a record of actually governing. When people put Republicans in charge, at any level of government, they actually expect them to do the job."[11] Davis criticized Miller for voting against the 2022 National Defense Authorization Act, saying, "All Mary Miller has to show for her time in Congress is quoting Hitler and voting with Democrats like [Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez] and the far left squad to defund our military and block a pay raise for our troops. That's shameful. It's clear that Mary Miller is all talk, no action."[12][13]

The U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Illinois Farm Bureau, and Illinois Fraternal Order of Police State Lodge endorsed Davis, along with U.S. Reps. Mike Bost (R-Ill.) and Darin LaHood (R-Ill.).

As of June 2022, major independent observers rated the general election as solid Republican or safe Republican.

This page focuses on Illinois' 15th Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

HOTP-GOP-Ad-1-Small.png

Election news

Click below to view a timeline of noteworthy events leading up to the election.

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15

Incumbent Mary Miller defeated incumbent Rodney Davis in the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15 on June 28, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Mary Miller
Mary Miller
 
57.4
 
64,549
Image of Rodney Davis
Rodney Davis
 
42.6
 
47,852

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 112,401
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Rodney Davis

Image of Rodney Davis

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: Yes

Political Office: 

Biography:  Davis received a bachelor’s degree in political science from Millikin University. He then worked as a staff assistant to Illinois Secretary of State George Ryan (R) for four years. In 1997, Davis joined U.S. Rep. John Shimkus' 1998 re-election campaign. Davis worked for Shimkus as a projects director until 2012.


Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Davis said, "I stick with my core values and principles. I have always been pro-life and will continue to stick by those values and principles. I've always stood up for the Second Amendment. I will continue to do that. But what separates me from my opponent is I have a record of actually governing. When people put Republicans in charge, at any level of government, they actually expect them to do the job."

Davis wrote, "As long as I am in Congress, I will never allow our military to be defunded. Unfortunately Mary Miller can’t say the same. She needs to stop hiding from her record of voting with the Socialist Squad to defund our military and come clean to voters. I will always stand with our troops and veterans. America’s safety is my top priority."

A statement from Davis' campaign said, "Mary Miller is only an outsider in the sense that she doesn’t live in the 15th District. She’s a carpetbagger and Chicagoland native. Miller is so desperate to stay in Congress she’s running in a district she doesn’t live in, just like her husband. The Millers are taking a page out of the Springfield political insider playbook. Politics is their family business."

Show sources

Sources: Illinois Times, "Rodney Davis and Mary Miller both tout support of Trump," June 2, 2022; Facebook, "Rodney Davis on May 11, 2022," accessed June 13, 2022; Rodney Davis 2022 campaign website, "Davis Campaign Statement on Mary Miller Announcement," January 1, 2022; National Journal, "Illinois, 13th House District," archived November 12, 2012; Biographical Directory of the United States Congress, "DAVIS, Rodney 1970 –," accessed June 8, 2022

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Illinois District 15 in 2022.

Mary Miller

Image of Mary Miller

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: Yes

Political Office: 

Biography:  Miller graduated from Eastern Illinois University with a bachelor's degree in business management and, later, a second bachelor's degree in elementary education. Her career experience includes working as a farmer, business manager, and teacher.


Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Miller's campaign website said, "Mary has distinguished herself in Washington as a conservative fighter who is not afraid to take on the Biden Administration and Speaker Pelosi, even when it leads to intense media criticism. Mary is the only member of Congress from Illinois to oppose every aspect of the Biden-Pelosi agenda, including the disgraceful January 6th 'witch hunt' Commission, President Biden’s 'red-flag' gun confiscation measures, COVID vaccine mandates and databases, and taxpayer-funded chemical abortion."

One of Miller's campaign ads said, "Rodney Davis sided with Joe Biden, voting for red flag gun confiscation that allows the government to seize your guns. … That’s why President Trump endorsed Mary Miller for Congress. Mary is ‘A’ rated by the NRA, unlike Rodney Davis."

Miller wrote, "Rodney Davis voted to send $40 billion to Ukraine while our southern border is wide open. Rodney pushes the Biden Agenda ... I put AMERICA FIRST!" She later said, "I don't want to be political, but I was the only person in Illinois to vote against sending another $40 billion to Ukraine. But, we're diminishing the value of our dollar, number one. And we're not taking care of the immediate needs, the things that Americans care about, like funding our EMT or our police or our schools. Those would be my priorities."

Show sources

Sources: Mary Miller 2022 campaign website, "Congresswoman Mary Miller," accessed June 13, 2022; YouTube, "Red Flag Rodney Davis," June 6, 2022; Facebook, "Mary Miller for Congress on May 23, 2022," accessed June 13, 2022; Herald & Review, "Incumbents Rodney Davis, Mary Miller battle it out in 15th Congressional District GOP primary," June 11, 2022; Chicago Tribune, "Who is Mary Miller, Republican representative for Illinois’ 15th Congressional District?" January 7, 2021; Mary Miller 2020 campaign website, "Meet Mary," archived April 10, 2020

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Illinois District 15 in 2022.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.


Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Republican Party Rodney Davis

June 8, 2022
April 20, 2022
April 20, 2022

View more ads here:


Republican Party Mary Miller

June 27, 2022
June 6, 2022
April 20, 2022

View more ads here:


Satellite ads

This section includes a selection of campaign advertisements released by satellite groups. If you are aware of other satellite ads that should be included, please email us.

American Dream Federal Action

As of June 26, 2022, American Dream Federal Action had spent almost $2.4 million supporting Davis.[22]

June 17, 2022
June 7, 2022
June 3, 2022

View more ads here:

Club for Growth Action

As of June 26, 2022, Club for Growth Action had spent more than $1.6 million supporting Miller and more than $900,000 opposing Davis.[23]

April 7, 2022
Conservative Outsider PAC

As of June 26, 2022, the Conservative Outsider PAC had spent more than $2.5 million opposing Davis.[24]

June 2, 2022
June 2, 2022
Illinois Values PAC

As of June 26, 2022, the Illinois Values PAC had spent almost $1.5 million opposing Miller.[25]

June 4, 2022
May 20, 2022
United Association of Plumbers and Pipefitters

As of June 26, 2022, the United Association of Plumbers and Pipefitters had spent more than $500,000 opposing Miller.[26]

May 23, 2022

Debates and forums

This section includes links to debates, forums, and other similar events where multiple candidates in this race participated. If you are aware of any debates or forums that should be included, please email us.

News and conflicts in this primary

This race was featured in The Heart of the Primaries, a newsletter capturing stories related to conflicts within each major party. Click here to read more about conflict in this and other 2022 Republican U.S. House primaries. Click here to subscribe to the newsletter.

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.

Republican Party primary endorsements
Endorser Republican Party Rodney Davis Republican Party Mary Miller
Government officials
U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R)  source   ✔
U.S. Rep. Mike Bost (R)  source ✔  
U.S. Rep. Darin LaHood (R)  source ✔  
State Sen. Neil Anderson (R)  source ✔  
State Sen. Darren Bailey (R)  source   ✔
State Sen. Steve McClure (R)  source ✔  
State Sen. Jason Plummer (R)  source ✔  
State Sen. Jil Tracy (R)  source ✔  
State Sen. Sally Turner (R)  source ✔  
State Rep. Avery Bourne (R)  source ✔  
State Rep. Tim Butler (R)  source ✔  
State Rep. Dan Caulkins (R)  source   ✔
State Rep. C.D. Davidsmeyer (R)  source ✔  
State Rep. Amy Elik (R)  source ✔  
State Rep. Randy Frese (R)  source ✔  
State Rep. Norine Hammond (R)  source ✔  
State Rep. Mark Luft (R)  source ✔  
State Rep. Mike Marron (R)  source ✔  
State Rep. Charles E. Meier (R)  source ✔  
Individuals
Frmr. Rep. John Shimkus  source ✔  
Frmr. President Donald Trump  source   ✔
Organizations
Club For Growth PAC  source   ✔
Conservative Political Action Coalition  source   ✔
Family Research Council  source   ✔
FreedomWorks for America  source   ✔
Gun Owners of America  source   ✔
House Freedom Fund  source   ✔
Illinois AFL-CIO  source ✔  
Illinois Chamber of Commerce  source ✔  
Illinois Farm Bureau  source ✔  
Illinois Fraternal Order of Police State Lodge  source ✔  
Maggie's List  source   ✔
Pro-Israel America PAC  source ✔  
Turning Point Action  source   ✔
U.S. Chamber of Commerce  source ✔  

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

We provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. No polls were available for this election. To notify us of polls published in this election, please email us.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[27]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[28][29][30]

Race ratings: Illinois' 15th Congressional District election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Election spending

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[31] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[32] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report Close of books Filing deadline
Year-end 2021 12/31/2021 1/31/2022
April quarterly 3/31/2022 4/15/2022
July quarterly 6/30/2022 7/15/2022
October quarterly 9/30/2022 10/15/2022
Pre-general 10/19/2022 10/27/2022
Post-general 11/28/2022 12/08/2022
Year-end 2022 12/31/2022 1/31/2023


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Rodney Davis Republican Party $4,006,545 $4,139,770 $7,211 As of December 31, 2022
Mary Miller Republican Party $2,019,931 $1,828,645 $309,986 As of December 31, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[33][34][35]

If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.

By candidate By election
Satellite spending in Illinois' 15th Congressional District Republican Primary, 2022
Organization Amount Date Purpose
American Dream Federal Action[36][37]$2,395,065As of June 26, 2022Supporting Davis
Club for Growth Action[38][39]$1,655,784.As of June 26, 2022Supporting Miller
Club for Growth Action[38][40]$944,007As of June 26, 2022Opposing Davis
Conservative Outsider PAC[41][42]$2,509,666As of June 26, 2022Opposing Davis
Illinois Values PAC[36][43]$1,499,625As of June 26, 2022Opposing Miller
United Association of Plumbers and Pipefitters[44][45]$522,417As of June 26, 2022Opposing Miller

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Illinois District 15
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Illinois District 15
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Illinois after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[46] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[47]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Illinois
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Illinois' 1st 70.5% 28.1% 73.9% 24.7%
Illinois' 2nd 69.3% 29.3% 77.5% 21.2%
Illinois' 3rd 69.7% 28.3% 55.5% 42.9%
Illinois' 4th 72.3% 25.9% 80.7% 17.3%
Illinois' 5th 68.9% 29.3% 72.1% 26.0%
Illinois' 6th 54.5% 43.6% 55.3% 42.6%
Illinois' 7th 85.6% 12.8% 86.3% 12.1%
Illinois' 8th 56.8% 41.4% 59.2% 39.0%
Illinois' 9th 69.9% 28.4% 71.0% 27.4%
Illinois' 10th 62.0% 36.1% 64.2% 34.0%
Illinois' 11th 56.6% 41.3% 61.9% 36.2%
Illinois' 12th 27.7% 70.5% 41.9% 56.1%
Illinois' 13th 54.4% 43.2% 47.0% 50.5%
Illinois' 14th 54.7% 43.3% 50.2% 47.8%
Illinois' 15th 29.6% 68.3% 25.9% 72.2%
Illinois' 16th 38.1% 59.6% 36.8% 60.9%
Illinois' 17th 52.7% 44.9% 48.1% 49.7%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Illinois.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Illinois in 2022. Information below was calculated on June 13, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Ninety-five candidates filed to run for Illinois' 17 U.S. House districts, including 47 Democrats and 48 Republicans. That's 5.59 candidates per district, more than the 4.05 candidates per district in 2020 and the 4.39 in 2018.

This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census, which resulted in Illinois losing one U.S. House district. The 95 candidates who filed to run in 2022 were the most candidates running for Illinois' U.S. House seats since at least 2014, the earliest year for which we have data.

The 2022 elections featured two districts where two incumbents ran against each other. Rep. Marie Newman (D), who represented the 3rd district, ran against incumbent Rep. Sean Casten (D) in the 6th district, and Rep. Rodney Davis (R), who represented the 13th district, ran against incumbent Rep. Mary Miller (R) in the 15th district. Four seats, including Newman's 3rd and Davis' 13th, were open, the most since at least 2014. Rep. Bobby Rush (D), who represented the 1st district, and Rep. Cheri Bustos (D), who represented the 17th district, decided to retire.

Twenty-one candidates filed to run in the 1st district to replace Rush, the most candidates who ran for a seat this year. There were 19 contested primaries, the fewest since 2016, when there were 14 contested primaries. Eight of the contested primaries were Democratic, and 11 were Republican. Eight incumbents — one Republican and seven Democrats — did not face any primary challengers.

The 7th district was guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed, and the 16th district was guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+22. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 22 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Illinois' 15th the 26th most Republican district nationally.[48]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Illinois' 15th based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
29.6% 68.3%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Illinois, 2020

Illinois presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 16 Democratic wins
  • 15 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R D R R R R D D D D D R R D D R R R R R R D D D D D D D D


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Illinois and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019. {{{Demo widget}}}

State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Illinois' congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Illinois, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 13 15
Republican 0 5 5
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 18 20

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Illinois' top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Illinois, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party J.B. Pritzker
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Juliana Stratton
Secretary of State Democratic Party Jesse White
Attorney General Democratic Party Kwame Raoul

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Illinois State Legislature as of November 2022.

Illinois State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 41
     Republican Party 18
     Vacancies 0
Total 59

Illinois House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 73
     Republican Party 45
     Vacancies 0
Total 118

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Illinois was a Democratic trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Illinois Party Control: 1992-2022
Sixteen years of Democratic trifectas  •  Two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D
Senate D R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
House D D D R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D

Election context

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Illinois in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Illinois, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Illinois U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 400 N/A 3/14/2022 Source
Illinois U.S. House Unaffiliated 5,000 N/A 7/11/2022 Source

District history

2020

See also: Illinois' 15th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Illinois District 15

Mary Miller defeated Erika Weaver in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 15 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Mary Miller
Mary Miller (R)
 
73.4
 
244,947
Image of Erika Weaver
Erika Weaver (D) Candidate Connection
 
26.6
 
88,559

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 333,506
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15

Erika Weaver defeated Kevin Gaither, Craig Morton, and John Hursey Jr. in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15 on March 17, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Erika Weaver
Erika Weaver Candidate Connection
 
51.9
 
17,778
Image of Kevin Gaither
Kevin Gaither
 
22.3
 
7,653
Image of Craig Morton
Craig Morton
 
19.2
 
6,576
Image of John Hursey Jr.
John Hursey Jr. Candidate Connection
 
6.6
 
2,244

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 34,251
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15

Mary Miller defeated Darren Duncan, Kerry Wolff, and Charles Ellington in the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15 on March 17, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Mary Miller
Mary Miller
 
57.4
 
48,129
Image of Darren Duncan
Darren Duncan
 
21.8
 
18,309
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Kerry Wolff
 
13.4
 
11,208
Image of Charles Ellington
Charles Ellington Candidate Connection
 
7.4
 
6,200

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 83,846
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

See also: Illinois' 15th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Illinois District 15

Incumbent John Shimkus defeated Kevin Gaither in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 15 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of John Shimkus
John Shimkus (R)
 
70.9
 
181,294
Image of Kevin Gaither
Kevin Gaither (D)
 
29.1
 
74,309
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
5

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 255,608
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15

Kevin Gaither defeated Carl Spoerer in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15 on March 20, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Kevin Gaither
Kevin Gaither
 
62.1
 
17,300
Image of Carl Spoerer
Carl Spoerer
 
37.9
 
10,573

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 27,873
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15

Incumbent John Shimkus advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15 on March 20, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of John Shimkus
John Shimkus
 
100.0
 
73,825

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 73,825
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2022 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ Daily Kos, "Our new data shows exactly how new House districts are made up of old ones for every state," January 6, 2022
  2. ↑ Herald & Review, "Incumbents Rodney Davis, Mary Miller battle it out in 15th Congressional District GOP primary," June 11, 2022
  3. ↑ OpenSecrets, "2022 Outside Spending, by Race," accessed June 28, 2022
  4. ↑ YouTube, "President Trump Endorses Congresswoman Mary Miller for Re-Election!" January 1, 2022
  5. ↑ Mary Miller 2022 campaign website, "Congresswoman Mary Miller," accessed June 13, 2022
  6. ↑ YouTube, "Red Flag Rodney Davis," June 6, 2022
  7. ↑ Facebook, "Mary Miller for Congress on June 12, 2022," accessed June 13, 2022
  8. ↑ Congress.gov, "H.R.744 - Protecting Our Communities and Rights Act of 2019," accessed June 13, 2022
  9. ↑ Facebook, "Mary Miller for Congress on June 11, 2022," accessed June 13, 2022
  10. ↑ 10.0 10.1 Save America, "Endorsement of Congresswoman Mary Miller," January 1, 2022
  11. ↑ Illinois Times, "Rodney Davis and Mary Miller both tout support of Trump," June 2, 2022
  12. ↑ Rodney Davis 2022 campaign website, "Davis Campaign Statement on Mary Miller Announcement," January 1, 2022
  13. ↑ Congress.gov, "S.1605 - National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2022," accessed June 13, 2022
  14. ↑ U.S. Chamber of Commerce, "U.S. Chamber Endorses Rep. Rodney Davis for Illinois’ 15th Congressional District," June 20, 2022
  15. ↑ Gun Owners of America, "Mary Miller Endorsement," June 15, 2022
  16. ↑ MyRadioLink.com, "Illinois FOP State Lodge Endorses Rodney Davis for Congress in 2022 Election," May 12, 2022
  17. ↑ Breitbart, "Exclusive: Ted Cruz endorses Rep. Mary Miller for reelection in Illinois," March 21, 2022
  18. ↑ Rodney Davis 2022 campaign website, "Illinois Farm Bureau ACTIVATOR Endorses Rodney Davis for Congress in 2022 Election," February 17, 2022
  19. ↑ Club for Growth, "Club for Growth PAC Endorses Mary Miller (IL-15)," January 18, 2022
  20. ↑ The Hill, "GOP Rep. Mary Miller announces reelection bid with Trump endorsement," January 1, 2022
  21. ↑ The Telegraph, "Davis launches campaign for 15th District," November 30, 2021
  22. ↑ OpenSecrets, "American Dream Federal Action Independent Expenditures," accessed June 26, 2022
  23. ↑ OpenSecrets, "Club for Growth Action Independent Expenditures," accessed June 26, 2022
  24. ↑ OpenSecrets, "Conservative Outsider PAC Independent Expenditures," accessed June 26, 2022
  25. ↑ OpenSecrets, "Illinois Values PAC Independent Expenditures," accessed June 26, 2022
  26. ↑ OpenSecrets, "Plumbers/Pipefitters Union Independent Expenditures," accessed June 26, 2022
  27. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  28. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  29. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  30. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  31. ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  32. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  33. ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
  34. ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
  35. ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
  36. ↑ 36.0 36.1 Politico, "Weekly Score: The June primaries already ballooning with big money," May 31, 2022
  37. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Browse independent expenditures," accessed June 26, 2022
  38. ↑ 38.0 38.1 Politico, "Illinois Playbook: Raymond Lopez launches bid for Chicago mayor," April 6, 2022
  39. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Browse independent expenditures," accessed June 26, 2022
  40. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Browse independent expenditures," accessed June 26, 2022
  41. ↑ Daily Kos, "Morning Digest: Leading Republican in Michigan governor's race arrested in connection with Jan. 6," June 10, 2022
  42. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Browse independent expenditures," accessed June 26, 2022
  43. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Independent expenditures," accessed June 26, 2022
  44. ↑ Daily Kos, "Morning Digest: Two South Carolina Republicans who crossed Trump will learn their futures tonight," June 14, 2022
  45. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Schedule 5-E," accessed June 26, 2022
  46. ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  47. ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  48. ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  49. ↑ Illinois State Board of Elections, "Candidate List," accessed November 30, 2015
  50. ↑ The New York Times, "Illinois Primary Results," March 15, 2016
  51. ↑ News Gazette, "Thorsland acknowledges challenges in bid for Congress," accessed October 4, 2013
  52. ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, Illinois"
  53. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  54. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  55. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  56. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  57. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  58. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013


Illinois' current delegation to the United States Congress
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Mike Bost (R)
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