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Illinois' 16th Congressional District election, 2022
2024 →
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Illinois' 16th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 14, 2022 |
Primary: June 28, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Illinois |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th Illinois elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 16th Congressional District of Illinois, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for June 28, 2022. The filing deadline was March 14, 2022.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 38.1% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 59.6%.[1]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Illinois' 16th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary)
- Illinois' 16th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Illinois District 16
Incumbent Darin LaHood defeated Elizabeth Haderlein in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 16 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Darin LaHood (R) | 66.3 | 197,621 |
![]() | Elizabeth Haderlein (D) ![]() | 33.7 | 100,325 |
Total votes: 297,946 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Bradley Horges Jr. (Independent)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 16
Incumbent Darin LaHood defeated Walt Peters, JoAnne Guillemette, and Michael Rebresh in the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 16 on June 28, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Darin LaHood | 66.4 | 56,582 |
![]() | Walt Peters ![]() | 13.2 | 11,278 | |
![]() | JoAnne Guillemette | 12.3 | 10,476 | |
![]() | Michael Rebresh ![]() | 8.1 | 6,911 |
Total votes: 85,247 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Teresa Pfaff (R)
- James Marter (R)
- Leona Di Amore (R)
- Gene Koprowski (R)
- Adam Kinzinger (R)
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Illinois
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
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|The Nation’s natural resources, including clean air, clean water, productive farmland, and healthy natural habitats, are precious, and legacy laws that support them should be strengthened, not diminished.
The Affordable Care Act has resulted in 20 million+ individuals having insurance, some for the first time. It has saved 10’s of thousands of lives, and also kept many thousands from bankruptcy. The ACA needs to be strengthened and expanded.
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[2] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[3] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
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Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Darin LaHood | Republican Party | $3,915,557 | $3,041,439 | $3,964,689 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Elizabeth Haderlein | Democratic Party | $38,118 | $38,118 | $0 | As of December 8, 2022 |
JoAnne Guillemette | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Walt Peters | Republican Party | $21,546 | $21,546 | $0 | As of July 21, 2022 |
Michael Rebresh | Republican Party | $18,250 | $14,770 | $0 | As of September 30, 2022 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
Race ratings: Illinois' 16th Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Illinois in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Illinois, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Illinois | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | 400 | N/A | 3/14/2022 | Source |
Illinois | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 5,000 | N/A | 7/11/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
Illinois District 16
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Illinois District 16
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[8] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[9]
2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Illinois | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() |
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |
Illinois' 1st | 70.5% | 28.1% | 73.9% | 24.7% |
Illinois' 2nd | 69.3% | 29.3% | 77.5% | 21.2% |
Illinois' 3rd | 69.7% | 28.3% | 55.5% | 42.9% |
Illinois' 4th | 72.3% | 25.9% | 80.7% | 17.3% |
Illinois' 5th | 68.9% | 29.3% | 72.1% | 26.0% |
Illinois' 6th | 54.5% | 43.6% | 55.3% | 42.6% |
Illinois' 7th | 85.6% | 12.8% | 86.3% | 12.1% |
Illinois' 8th | 56.8% | 41.4% | 59.2% | 39.0% |
Illinois' 9th | 69.9% | 28.4% | 71.0% | 27.4% |
Illinois' 10th | 62.0% | 36.1% | 64.2% | 34.0% |
Illinois' 11th | 56.6% | 41.3% | 61.9% | 36.2% |
Illinois' 12th | 27.7% | 70.5% | 41.9% | 56.1% |
Illinois' 13th | 54.4% | 43.2% | 47.0% | 50.5% |
Illinois' 14th | 54.7% | 43.3% | 50.2% | 47.8% |
Illinois' 15th | 29.6% | 68.3% | 25.9% | 72.2% |
Illinois' 16th | 38.1% | 59.6% | 36.8% | 60.9% |
Illinois' 17th | 52.7% | 44.9% | 48.1% | 49.7% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Illinois.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Illinois in 2022. Information below was calculated on June 13, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Ninety-five candidates filed to run for Illinois' 17 U.S. House districts, including 47 Democrats and 48 Republicans. That's 5.59 candidates per district, more than the 4.05 candidates per district in 2020 and the 4.39 in 2018.
This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census, which resulted in Illinois losing one U.S. House district. The 95 candidates who filed to run in 2022 were the most candidates running for Illinois' U.S. House seats since at least 2014, the earliest year for which we have data.
The 2022 elections featured two districts where two incumbents ran against each other. Rep. Marie Newman (D), who represented the 3rd district, ran against incumbent Rep. Sean Casten (D) in the 6th district, and Rep. Rodney Davis (R), who represented the 13th district, ran against incumbent Rep. Mary Miller (R) in the 15th district. Four seats, including Newman's 3rd and Davis' 13th, were open, the most since at least 2014. Rep. Bobby Rush (D), who represented the 1st district, and Rep. Cheri Bustos (D), who represented the 17th district, decided to retire.
Twenty-one candidates filed to run in the 1st district to replace Rush, the most candidates who ran for a seat this year. There were 19 contested primaries, the fewest since 2016, when there were 14 contested primaries. Eight of the contested primaries were Democratic, and 11 were Republican. Eight incumbents — one Republican and seven Democrats — did not face any primary challengers.
The 7th district was guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed, and the 16th district was guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+13. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 13 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Illinois' 16th the 105th most Republican district nationally.[10]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Illinois' 16th based on 2022 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
38.1% | 59.6% |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Illinois, 2020
Illinois presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 16 Democratic wins
- 15 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Illinois and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for Illinois | ||
---|---|---|
Illinois | United States | |
Population | 12,812,508 | 331,449,281 |
Land area (sq mi) | 55,512 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 69.8% | 70.4% |
Black/African American | 14.1% | 12.6% |
Asian | 5.6% | 5.6% |
Native American | 0.3% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0% | 0.2% |
Other (single race) | 6% | 5.1% |
Multiple | 4.2% | 5.2% |
Hispanic/Latino | 17.2% | 18.2% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 89.7% | 88.5% |
College graduation rate | 35.5% | 32.9% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $68,428 | $64,994 |
Persons below poverty level | 12% | 12.8% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Illinois' congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Illinois, November 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 2 | 13 | 15 |
Republican | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 18 | 20 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Illinois' top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in Illinois, November 2022 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Illinois State Legislature as of November 2022.
Illinois State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 41 | |
Republican Party | 18 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 59 |
Illinois House of Representatives
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 73 | |
Republican Party | 45 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 118 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Illinois was a Democratic trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Illinois Party Control: 1992-2022
Sixteen years of Democratic trifectas • Two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
House | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
District history
2020
See also: Illinois' 16th Congressional District election, 2020
Illinois' 16th Congressional District election, 2020 (March 17 Republican primary)
Illinois' 16th Congressional District election, 2020 (March 17 Democratic primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Illinois District 16
Incumbent Adam Kinzinger defeated Dani Brzozowski, Branden McCullough, and Roy Jones in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 16 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Adam Kinzinger (R) | 64.7 | 218,839 |
![]() | Dani Brzozowski (D) ![]() | 35.3 | 119,313 | |
Branden McCullough (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 4 | ||
Roy Jones (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 3 |
Total votes: 338,159 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 16
Dani Brzozowski advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 16 on March 17, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Dani Brzozowski ![]() | 100.0 | 50,811 |
Total votes: 50,811 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Benjamin Baer (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 16
Incumbent Adam Kinzinger advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 16 on March 17, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Adam Kinzinger | 100.0 | 45,296 |
Total votes: 45,296 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Illinois District 16
Incumbent Adam Kinzinger defeated Sara Dady in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 16 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Adam Kinzinger (R) | 59.1 | 151,254 |
![]() | Sara Dady (D) | 40.9 | 104,569 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 2 |
Total votes: 255,825 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 16
Sara Dady defeated Neill Mohammad, Amy Murri Briel, and Beth Vercolio-Osmund in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 16 on March 20, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Sara Dady | 40.3 | 17,173 |
![]() | Neill Mohammad | 27.2 | 11,599 | |
![]() | Amy Murri Briel | 19.5 | 8,291 | |
![]() | Beth Vercolio-Osmund | 13.0 | 5,526 |
Total votes: 42,589 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 16
Incumbent Adam Kinzinger defeated James Marter in the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 16 on March 20, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Adam Kinzinger | 67.9 | 44,878 |
![]() | James Marter | 32.1 | 21,242 |
Total votes: 66,120 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jaye DeBates (R)
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Adam Kinzinger (R) faced no opposition in the general election on November 8, 2016, as no Democrats filed. Kinzinger was also unopposed in the Republican primary on March 15, 2016.[11][12]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
99.9% | 259,722 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 131 | |
Total Votes | 259,853 | |||
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections |
Primary candidates:[13] |
Democratic |
Republican ![]() |
2014
The 16th Congressional District of Illinois held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Adam Kinzinger (R) defeated Randall Olsen (D) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
70.6% | 153,388 | |
Democratic | Randall Olsen | 29.4% | 63,810 | |
Total Votes | 217,198 | |||
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections Official Results |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
78.4% | 56,593 | ||
David Hale | 21.6% | 15,558 | ||
Total Votes | 72,151 | |||
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ Illinois State Board of Elections, "Candidate List," accessed November 30, 2015
- ↑ The New York Times, "Illinois Primary Results," March 15, 2016
- ↑ Candidates are listed by party and alphabetically within each party.
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
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