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Illinois' 2nd Congressional District election, 2022

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2024
2020
Illinois' 2nd Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 14, 2022
Primary: June 28, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Illinois
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): D+19
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Illinois' 2nd Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th
Illinois elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Illinois, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for June 28, 2022. The filing deadline was March 14, 2022.

The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 69.3% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 29.3%.[1]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Illinois District 2

Incumbent Robin Kelly defeated Thomas Lynch in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 2 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Robin Kelly
Robin Kelly (D)
 
65.0
 
127,650
Image of Thomas Lynch
Thomas Lynch (R)
 
35.0
 
68,761

Total votes: 196,411
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 2

Incumbent Robin Kelly advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 2 on June 28, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Robin Kelly
Robin Kelly
 
100.0
 
56,606

Total votes: 56,606
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 2

Thomas Lynch defeated Shane Cultra and Ashley Ramos in the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 2 on June 28, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Thomas Lynch
Thomas Lynch
 
37.2
 
10,289
Image of Shane Cultra
Shane Cultra
 
35.7
 
9,869
Image of Ashley Ramos
Ashley Ramos Candidate Connection
 
27.2
 
7,524

Total votes: 27,682
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Illinois

Election information in Illinois: Nov. 8, 2022, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 11, 2022
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 11, 2022
  • Online: Oct. 23, 2022

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 7, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 3, 2022
  • Online: N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 8, 2022
  • By mail: Postmarked by Nov. 8, 2022

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Sep. 29, 2022 to Nov. 7, 2022

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

N/A


Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.


Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[2] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[3] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report Close of books Filing deadline
Year-end 2021 12/31/2021 1/31/2022
April quarterly 3/31/2022 4/15/2022
July quarterly 6/30/2022 7/15/2022
October quarterly 9/30/2022 10/15/2022
Pre-general 10/19/2022 10/27/2022
Post-general 11/28/2022 12/08/2022
Year-end 2022 12/31/2022 1/31/2023


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Robin Kelly Democratic Party $1,746,109 $1,313,358 $1,447,165 As of December 31, 2022
Shane Cultra Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Thomas Lynch Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Ashley Ramos Republican Party $4,403 $4,403 $0 As of June 30, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]

Race ratings: Illinois' 2nd Congressional District election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Illinois in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Illinois, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Illinois U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 400 N/A 3/14/2022 Source
Illinois U.S. House Unaffiliated 5,000 N/A 7/11/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Illinois District 2
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Illinois District 2
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Illinois after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[8] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[9]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Illinois
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Illinois' 1st 70.5% 28.1% 73.9% 24.7%
Illinois' 2nd 69.3% 29.3% 77.5% 21.2%
Illinois' 3rd 69.7% 28.3% 55.5% 42.9%
Illinois' 4th 72.3% 25.9% 80.7% 17.3%
Illinois' 5th 68.9% 29.3% 72.1% 26.0%
Illinois' 6th 54.5% 43.6% 55.3% 42.6%
Illinois' 7th 85.6% 12.8% 86.3% 12.1%
Illinois' 8th 56.8% 41.4% 59.2% 39.0%
Illinois' 9th 69.9% 28.4% 71.0% 27.4%
Illinois' 10th 62.0% 36.1% 64.2% 34.0%
Illinois' 11th 56.6% 41.3% 61.9% 36.2%
Illinois' 12th 27.7% 70.5% 41.9% 56.1%
Illinois' 13th 54.4% 43.2% 47.0% 50.5%
Illinois' 14th 54.7% 43.3% 50.2% 47.8%
Illinois' 15th 29.6% 68.3% 25.9% 72.2%
Illinois' 16th 38.1% 59.6% 36.8% 60.9%
Illinois' 17th 52.7% 44.9% 48.1% 49.7%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Illinois.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Illinois in 2022. Information below was calculated on June 13, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Ninety-five candidates filed to run for Illinois' 17 U.S. House districts, including 47 Democrats and 48 Republicans. That's 5.59 candidates per district, more than the 4.05 candidates per district in 2020 and the 4.39 in 2018.

This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census, which resulted in Illinois losing one U.S. House district. The 95 candidates who filed to run in 2022 were the most candidates running for Illinois' U.S. House seats since at least 2014, the earliest year for which we have data.

The 2022 elections featured two districts where two incumbents ran against each other. Rep. Marie Newman (D), who represented the 3rd district, ran against incumbent Rep. Sean Casten (D) in the 6th district, and Rep. Rodney Davis (R), who represented the 13th district, ran against incumbent Rep. Mary Miller (R) in the 15th district. Four seats, including Newman's 3rd and Davis' 13th, were open, the most since at least 2014. Rep. Bobby Rush (D), who represented the 1st district, and Rep. Cheri Bustos (D), who represented the 17th district, decided to retire.

Twenty-one candidates filed to run in the 1st district to replace Rush, the most candidates who ran for a seat this year. There were 19 contested primaries, the fewest since 2016, when there were 14 contested primaries. Eight of the contested primaries were Democratic, and 11 were Republican. Eight incumbents — one Republican and seven Democrats — did not face any primary challengers.

The 7th district was guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed, and the 16th district was guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+19. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 19 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Illinois' 2nd the 71st most Democratic district nationally.[10]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Illinois' 2nd based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
69.3% 29.3%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Illinois, 2020

Illinois presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 16 Democratic wins
  • 15 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R D R R R R D D D D D R R D D R R R R R R D D D D D D D D


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Illinois and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Illinois
Illinois United States
Population 12,812,508 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 55,512 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 69.8% 70.4%
Black/African American 14.1% 12.6%
Asian 5.6% 5.6%
Native American 0.3% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0% 0.2%
Other (single race) 6% 5.1%
Multiple 4.2% 5.2%
Hispanic/Latino 17.2% 18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate 89.7% 88.5%
College graduation rate 35.5% 32.9%
Income
Median household income $68,428 $64,994
Persons below poverty level 12% 12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Illinois' congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Illinois, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 13 15
Republican 0 5 5
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 18 20

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Illinois' top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Illinois, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party J.B. Pritzker
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Juliana Stratton
Secretary of State Democratic Party Jesse White
Attorney General Democratic Party Kwame Raoul

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Illinois State Legislature as of November 2022.

Illinois State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 41
     Republican Party 18
     Vacancies 0
Total 59

Illinois House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 73
     Republican Party 45
     Vacancies 0
Total 118

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Illinois was a Democratic trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Illinois Party Control: 1992-2022
Sixteen years of Democratic trifectas  •  Two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D
Senate D R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
House D D D R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D

District history

2020

See also: Illinois' 2nd Congressional District election, 2020

Illinois' 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 (March 17 Democratic primary)

Illinois' 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 (March 17 Republican primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Illinois District 2

Incumbent Robin Kelly defeated Theresa Raborn in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 2 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Robin Kelly
Robin Kelly (D)
 
78.8
 
234,896
Image of Theresa Raborn
Theresa Raborn (R) Candidate Connection
 
21.2
 
63,142

Total votes: 298,038
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 2

Incumbent Robin Kelly defeated Marcus Lewis in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 2 on March 17, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Robin Kelly
Robin Kelly
 
84.8
 
94,767
Image of Marcus Lewis
Marcus Lewis
 
15.2
 
16,942

Total votes: 111,709
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 2

Theresa Raborn advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 2 on March 17, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Theresa Raborn
Theresa Raborn Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
12,181

Total votes: 12,181
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2018

See also: Illinois' 2nd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Illinois District 2

Incumbent Robin Kelly defeated David Merkle in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 2 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Robin Kelly
Robin Kelly (D)
 
80.7
 
183,816
Image of David Merkle
David Merkle (R)
 
19.3
 
43,875

Total votes: 227,691
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 2

Incumbent Robin Kelly defeated Marcus Lewis in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 2 on March 20, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Robin Kelly
Robin Kelly
 
82.1
 
80,659
Image of Marcus Lewis
Marcus Lewis
 
17.9
 
17,640

Total votes: 98,299
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 2

David Merkle defeated Patrick Harmon and John Morrow in the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 2 on March 20, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of David Merkle
David Merkle
 
36.6
 
4,963
Patrick Harmon
 
35.5
 
4,810
Image of John Morrow
John Morrow
 
27.9
 
3,790

Total votes: 13,563
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Illinois' 2nd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Robin Kelly (D) defeated John Morrow (R), the only Republican to file, in the general election on November 8, 2016. Kelly defeated Marcus Lewis, Dorian Myrickes and Charles Rayburn in the Democratic primary on March 15, 2016.[11][12]

U.S. House, Illinois District 2 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRobin Kelly Incumbent 79.8% 235,051
     Republican John Morrow 20.2% 59,471
Total Votes 294,522
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections


U.S. House, Illinois District 2 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngRobin Kelly Incumbent 73.9% 115,752
Marcus Lewis 16.1% 25,280
Charles Rayburn 6.1% 9,559
Dorian Myrickes 3.8% 6,002
Total Votes 156,593
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections

2014

See also: Illinois' 2nd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 2nd Congressional District of Illinois held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Robin Kelly (D) defeated Eric Wallace (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, Illinois District 2 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRobin Kelly Incumbent 78.5% 160,337
     Republican Eric Wallace 21.4% 43,799
     Independent Marcus Lewis (Write-in) 0.1% 130
Total Votes 204,266
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections Official Results

March 18, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary


See also

Illinois 2022 primaries 2022 U.S. Congress elections
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Illinois congressional delegation
Voting in Illinois
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External links

Footnotes

  1. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  2. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  3. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  4. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  8. Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  9. Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  10. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  11. Illinois State Board of Elections, "Candidate List," accessed November 30, 2015
  12. The New York Times, "Illinois Primary Results," March 15, 2016
  13. Illinois Election Division, "Candidate Details," accessed December 2, 2013


Senators
Representatives
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Mike Bost (R)
District 13
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