Illinois' 10th Congressional District election, 2022
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Illinois' 10th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 14, 2022 |
Primary: June 28, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Illinois |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th Illinois elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 10th Congressional District of Illinois, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for June 28, 2022. The filing deadline was March 14, 2022.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 62.0% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 36.1%.[1]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Illinois' 10th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary)
- Illinois' 10th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Illinois District 10
Incumbent Brad Schneider defeated Joseph Severino in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 10 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Brad Schneider (D) | 63.0 | 152,566 |
Joseph Severino (R) | 37.0 | 89,599 |
Total votes: 242,165 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 10
Incumbent Brad Schneider advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 10 on June 28, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Brad Schneider | 100.0 | 52,624 |
Total votes: 52,624 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Kim Nowak (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 10
Joseph Severino advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 10 on June 28, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Joseph Severino | 100.0 | 33,708 |
Total votes: 33,708 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Voting information
- See also: Voting in Illinois
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[2] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[3] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
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Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brad Schneider | Democratic Party | $3,797,652 | $5,561,749 | $109,665 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Joseph Severino | Republican Party | $34,275 | $21,920 | $3,571 | As of October 19, 2022 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
Race ratings: Illinois' 10th Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Illinois in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Illinois, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Illinois | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | 400 | N/A | 3/14/2022 | Source |
Illinois | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 5,000 | N/A | 7/11/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
Illinois District 10
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Illinois District 10
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[8] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[9]
2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Illinois | ||||
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District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() |
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |
Illinois' 1st | 70.5% | 28.1% | 73.9% | 24.7% |
Illinois' 2nd | 69.3% | 29.3% | 77.5% | 21.2% |
Illinois' 3rd | 69.7% | 28.3% | 55.5% | 42.9% |
Illinois' 4th | 72.3% | 25.9% | 80.7% | 17.3% |
Illinois' 5th | 68.9% | 29.3% | 72.1% | 26.0% |
Illinois' 6th | 54.5% | 43.6% | 55.3% | 42.6% |
Illinois' 7th | 85.6% | 12.8% | 86.3% | 12.1% |
Illinois' 8th | 56.8% | 41.4% | 59.2% | 39.0% |
Illinois' 9th | 69.9% | 28.4% | 71.0% | 27.4% |
Illinois' 10th | 62.0% | 36.1% | 64.2% | 34.0% |
Illinois' 11th | 56.6% | 41.3% | 61.9% | 36.2% |
Illinois' 12th | 27.7% | 70.5% | 41.9% | 56.1% |
Illinois' 13th | 54.4% | 43.2% | 47.0% | 50.5% |
Illinois' 14th | 54.7% | 43.3% | 50.2% | 47.8% |
Illinois' 15th | 29.6% | 68.3% | 25.9% | 72.2% |
Illinois' 16th | 38.1% | 59.6% | 36.8% | 60.9% |
Illinois' 17th | 52.7% | 44.9% | 48.1% | 49.7% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Illinois.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Illinois in 2022. Information below was calculated on June 13, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Ninety-five candidates filed to run for Illinois' 17 U.S. House districts, including 47 Democrats and 48 Republicans. That's 5.59 candidates per district, more than the 4.05 candidates per district in 2020 and the 4.39 in 2018.
This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census, which resulted in Illinois losing one U.S. House district. The 95 candidates who filed to run in 2022 were the most candidates running for Illinois' U.S. House seats since at least 2014, the earliest year for which we have data.
The 2022 elections featured two districts where two incumbents ran against each other. Rep. Marie Newman (D), who represented the 3rd district, ran against incumbent Rep. Sean Casten (D) in the 6th district, and Rep. Rodney Davis (R), who represented the 13th district, ran against incumbent Rep. Mary Miller (R) in the 15th district. Four seats, including Newman's 3rd and Davis' 13th, were open, the most since at least 2014. Rep. Bobby Rush (D), who represented the 1st district, and Rep. Cheri Bustos (D), who represented the 17th district, decided to retire.
Twenty-one candidates filed to run in the 1st district to replace Rush, the most candidates who ran for a seat this year. There were 19 contested primaries, the fewest since 2016, when there were 14 contested primaries. Eight of the contested primaries were Democratic, and 11 were Republican. Eight incumbents — one Republican and seven Democrats — did not face any primary challengers.
The 7th district was guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed, and the 16th district was guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+11. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 11 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Illinois' 10th the 123rd most Democratic district nationally.[10]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Illinois' 10th based on 2022 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
62.0% | 36.1% |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Illinois, 2020
Illinois presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 16 Democratic wins
- 15 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Illinois and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for Illinois | ||
---|---|---|
Illinois | United States | |
Population | 12,812,508 | 331,449,281 |
Land area (sq mi) | 55,512 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 69.8% | 70.4% |
Black/African American | 14.1% | 12.6% |
Asian | 5.6% | 5.6% |
Native American | 0.3% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0% | 0.2% |
Other (single race) | 6% | 5.1% |
Multiple | 4.2% | 5.2% |
Hispanic/Latino | 17.2% | 18.2% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 89.7% | 88.5% |
College graduation rate | 35.5% | 32.9% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $68,428 | $64,994 |
Persons below poverty level | 12% | 12.8% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Illinois' congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Illinois, November 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 2 | 13 | 15 |
Republican | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 18 | 20 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Illinois' top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in Illinois, November 2022 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Illinois State Legislature as of November 2022.
Illinois State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 41 | |
Republican Party | 18 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 59 |
Illinois House of Representatives
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 73 | |
Republican Party | 45 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 118 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Illinois was a Democratic trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Illinois Party Control: 1992-2022
Sixteen years of Democratic trifectas • Two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
House | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
District history
2020
See also: Illinois' 10th Congressional District election, 2020
Illinois' 10th Congressional District election, 2020 (March 17 Republican primary)
Illinois' 10th Congressional District election, 2020 (March 17 Democratic primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Illinois District 10
Incumbent Brad Schneider defeated Valerie Ramirez Mukherjee, Joseph Kopsick, and David Rych in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 10 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Brad Schneider (D) | 63.9 | 202,402 |
![]() | Valerie Ramirez Mukherjee (R) | 36.1 | 114,442 | |
![]() | Joseph Kopsick (Independent) (Write-in) ![]() | 0.0 | 18 | |
David Rych (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 12 |
Total votes: 316,874 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Bradley Heinz (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 10
Incumbent Brad Schneider defeated Adam Broad in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 10 on March 17, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Brad Schneider | 99.9 | 79,126 |
![]() | Adam Broad (Write-in) ![]() | 0.1 | 115 |
Total votes: 79,241 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Andrew Wang (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 10
Valerie Ramirez Mukherjee advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 10 on March 17, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Valerie Ramirez Mukherjee | 100.0 | 14,877 |
Total votes: 14,877 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Illinois District 10
Incumbent Brad Schneider defeated Doug Bennett in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 10 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Brad Schneider (D) | 65.4 | 151,860 |
![]() | Doug Bennett (R) | 34.6 | 80,361 |
Total votes: 232,221 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 10
Incumbent Brad Schneider advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 10 on March 20, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Brad Schneider | 100.0 | 58,195 |
Total votes: 58,195 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 10
Doug Bennett defeated Jeremy Wynes and Sapan Shah in the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 10 on March 20, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Doug Bennett | 36.2 | 11,026 |
Jeremy Wynes | 34.7 | 10,556 | ||
![]() | Sapan Shah | 29.1 | 8,841 |
Total votes: 30,423 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2016
Illinois' 10th Congressional District was a battleground district in 2016. Incumbent Robert Dold (R) sought re-election to his second term and was defeated by former Rep. Brad Schneider (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Dold faced no opposition in the Republican primary on March 15, 2016, while Schneider defeated Nancy Rotering to win the Democratic nomination. Schneider served one term in the House but was ousted by Dold in 2014.[11][12]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
52.6% | 150,435 | |
Republican | Robert Dold Incumbent | 47.4% | 135,535 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0% | 26 | |
Total Votes | 285,996 | |||
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
53.7% | 50,916 | ||
Nancy Rotering | 46.3% | 43,842 | ||
Total Votes | 94,758 | |||
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections |
2014
The 10th Congressional District of Illinois held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Brad Schneider (D) was defeated by Robert J. Dold (R) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
51.3% | 95,992 | |
Democratic | Brad Schneider Incumbent | 48.7% | 91,136 | |
Total Votes | 187,128 | |||
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections Official Results |
March 18, 2014, primary results
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See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ Illinois State Board of Elections, "Candidate List," accessed November 30, 2015
- ↑ The New York Times, "Illinois Primary Results," March 15, 2016
- ↑ Daily Herald "Dold being recruited by top GOP to run again in 10th" accessed May 2, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos "Comments--Dold" accessed May 9, 2013