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Illinois' 15th Congressional District election, 2026
← 2024
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Illinois' 15th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: November 3, 2025 |
Primary: March 17, 2026 General: November 3, 2026 |
How to vote |
Poll times:
6 a.m. to 7 p.m. |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Pending Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2026 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th Illinois elections, 2026 U.S. Congress elections, 2026 U.S. Senate elections, 2026 U.S. House elections, 2026 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 15th Congressional District of Illinois, are holding elections in 2026. The general election is November 3, 2026. The primary is March 17, 2026. The filing deadline is November 3, 2025. For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Illinois' 15th Congressional District election, 2026 (March 17 Democratic primary)
- Illinois' 15th Congressional District election, 2026 (March 17 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
Note: The following list includes official candidates only. Ballotpedia defines official candidates as people who:
- Register with a federal or state campaign finance agency before the candidate filing deadline
- Appear on candidate lists released by government election agencies
General election
The primary will occur on March 17, 2026. The general election will occur on November 3, 2026. General election candidates will be added here following the primary.
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15
Paul Davis, Randy Raley, and Jennifer Todd are running in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15 on March 17, 2026.
Candidate | ||
![]() | Paul Davis ![]() | |
![]() | Randy Raley ![]() | |
![]() | Jennifer Todd ![]() |
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15
Incumbent Mary Miller is running in the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15 on March 17, 2026.
Candidate | ||
![]() | Mary Miller |
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Candidate profiles
There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Illinois
Ballotpedia will publish the dates and deadlines related to this election as they are made available.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mary Miller | Republican Party | $363,227 | $305,192 | $704,292 | As of June 30, 2025 |
Paul Davis | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Randy Raley | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Jennifer Todd | Democratic Party | $17,168 | $11,288 | $5,749 | As of June 30, 2025 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2026. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
Race ratings: Illinois' 15th Congressional District election, 2026 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
9/2/2025 | 8/26/2025 | 8/19/2025 | 8/12/2025 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
This section will contain information on ballot access related to this state's elections when it is available.
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2020.
2024
See also: Illinois' 15th Congressional District election, 2024
Illinois' 15th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 19 Republican primary)
Illinois' 15th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 19 Democratic primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Illinois District 15
Incumbent Mary Miller won election in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 15 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Mary Miller (R) | 99.5 | 308,825 |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.5 | 1,409 |
Total votes: 310,234 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15
No candidate advanced from the primary.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
![]() | Kevin Gaither (Write-in) | 100.0 | 259 |
Vote totals may be incomplete for this race. | ||||
Total votes: 259 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15
Incumbent Mary Miller advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15 on March 19, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Mary Miller | 100.0 | 65,205 |
Total votes: 65,205 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Illinois District 15
Incumbent Mary Miller defeated Paul Lange in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 15 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Mary Miller (R) | 71.1 | 213,007 |
![]() | Paul Lange (D) ![]() | 28.9 | 86,396 |
Total votes: 299,403 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15
Paul Lange advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15 on June 28, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Paul Lange ![]() | 100.0 | 21,433 |
Total votes: 21,433 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15
Incumbent Mary Miller defeated incumbent Rodney Davis in the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15 on June 28, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Mary Miller | 57.4 | 64,549 |
![]() | Rodney Davis | 42.6 | 47,852 |
Total votes: 112,401 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Illinois District 15
Mary Miller defeated Erika Weaver in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 15 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Mary Miller (R) | 73.4 | 244,947 |
![]() | Erika Weaver (D) ![]() | 26.6 | 88,559 |
Total votes: 333,506 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15
Erika Weaver defeated Kevin Gaither, Craig Morton, and John Hursey Jr. in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15 on March 17, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Erika Weaver ![]() | 51.9 | 17,778 |
![]() | Kevin Gaither | 22.3 | 7,653 | |
![]() | Craig Morton | 19.2 | 6,576 | |
John Hursey Jr. ![]() | 6.6 | 2,244 |
Total votes: 34,251 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15
Mary Miller defeated Darren Duncan, Kerry Wolff, and Charles Ellington in the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 15 on March 17, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Mary Miller | 57.4 | 48,129 |
![]() | Darren Duncan | 21.8 | 18,309 | |
Kerry Wolff | 13.4 | 11,208 | ||
![]() | Charles Ellington ![]() | 7.4 | 6,200 |
Total votes: 83,846 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Kimberly Wade (R)
- Lori Fuller (R)
- Ron McCuan (R)
- Jacob Lane (R)
- Alex Walker (R)
- John Christian Bambenek (R)
- Kent Gray (R)
District analysis
This section will contain facts and figures related to this district's elections when those are available.
See also
Illinois | 2026 primaries | 2026 U.S. Congress elections |
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Voting in Illinois Illinois elections: 2026 • 2025 • 2024 • 2023 • 2022 • 2021 • 2020 • 2019 • 2018 |
Republican primary battlegrounds U.S. Senate Democratic primaries U.S. Senate Republican primaries U.S. House Democratic primaries U.S. House Republican primaries |
U.S. Senate elections U.S. House elections Special elections Ballot access |
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018