Illinois' 4th Congressional District election, 2024
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Illinois' 4th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: December 4, 2023 |
Primary: March 19, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Illinois |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th Illinois elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 4th Congressional District of Illinois, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was March 19, 2024. The filing deadline was December 4, 2023. The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 68.4%-28.1%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 72.3%-25.9%.[3]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Illinois' 4th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 19 Republican primary)
- Illinois' 4th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 19 Democratic primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Illinois District 4
Incumbent Jesus Garcia defeated Lupe Castillo, Ed Hershey, and Alicia Martinez in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 4 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jesus Garcia (D) | 67.5 | 139,343 |
![]() | Lupe Castillo (R) ![]() | 27.3 | 56,323 | |
![]() | Ed Hershey (Working Class Party) ![]() | 5.2 | 10,704 | |
Alicia Martinez (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 26 |
Total votes: 206,396 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 4
Incumbent Jesus Garcia defeated Raymond Lopez in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 4 on March 19, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jesus Garcia | 69.6 | 30,443 |
![]() | Raymond Lopez | 30.4 | 13,286 |
Total votes: 43,729 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: Yes
Political Office:
- U.S. House Illinois District 4 (Assumed office: 2019)
- Cook County Board of Commissioners (2011–2019)
- Illinois State Senate (1993-1998)
- Chicago City Council (1986-1993)
Biography: Garcia obtained a bachelor's degree from the University of Illinois Chicago in 1999 and a master's degree from the same school in 2002.
Show sources
Sources: Jesus Garcia campaign website, "Meet Jesús “Chuy” García," accessed February 27, 2024, Jesus Garcia campaign website, "Home page," accessed February 27, 2024, Chicago Sun-Times, "In House Democratic primary, Rep. Jesus ‘Chuy’ Garcia challenged from the right by Ald. Raymond Lopez," February 26, 2024, WBEZ, "U.S. Rep. Jesús “Chuy” García faces a Democratic primary challenge from the right," February 22, 2024; Jesus Garcia campaign website, "Meet Jesús “Chuy” García," accessed February 27, 2024, Biographical Directory of the United States Congress, "GARCÍA, Jesús," accessed February 27, 2024
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Illinois District 4 in 2024.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I am an American born citizen second generation. I am an only child born to a single female American born as a product of rape. I speak both English and Spanish, though Spanish was my first language, English is my primary. I've worked since I was able to, My first job was a newspaper route, I actually had three, morning and afternoon routes. I attended public school until I got to high school at which point I went to a Catholic school. I went to work to help pay for my tuition for 4 years. I worked in the food industry, I worked in retail industry, and I ended up in pharmacy. I have been a member of the CAPS ( Chicago Alternative Policing Strategy) and a member of the DAC (District Advisory Committee) of the 10th district Chicago Police Department. I have been living in my neighborhood for 40 years, I've been involved with my block, I've been involved with the Aldermans office and now I'm running for office."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Illinois District 4 in 2024.
Party: Working Class Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "My name is Ed Hershey, and I am running as a Working Class Party candidate for Illinois' 4th congressional district. I have been a teacher for 18 years at Lindblom High School, in West Englewood on Chicago's South Side. Working in the school system, I have seen how the city refuses to educate more and more of our youth – closing schools, starving them of funds, all while handing big payouts to companies and developers. I have been active in my school, where I've served as a union rep for a decade, with my students, in my community. I got more involved with the teachers union at Lindblom in the run-up to the 2012 strike, which back then was the biggest fight by working people in Chicago in many years. In 2015, alongside several other teachers, I ran for alderman of the 25th ward, to propose "A Working Class Fight." We know that workers in one workplace, or even one industry, cannot take on the whole system alone. That's one reason to run – as a way to say that the entire working class could and should make a fight. Over this country's history, we have seen the working class make massive fights – many of them centered in Chicago. Faced by these problems in our society, I have every confidence that the working class will move again. When we do fight, we’ll need an organization like Working Class Party to bring together the force of our entire class."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Illinois District 4 in 2024.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Illinois
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
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Lupe Castillo (R)
Energy independence, we need to get our energy independence back to its fullest capacity. There is no reason why we should be buying fuel from any country when we have more than enough within our borders.
Safety. Our law enforcement is in need of our support. They cannot perform their job without funding or verbal and moral support. The Democrats want to take our right to feel secure within our own neighborhoods. If our police departments cannot take care of us and protect us, then we have a right to defend ourselves and they want to take that right away from us as well.

Ed Hershey (Working Class)
The politicians and the media tell us that the new immigrants from Venezuela and other countries are taking our jobs, that they are bringing our wages down. It's not true -- the bosses are the ones who pay us. It only serves the ruling class to divide the working class -- to pit workers who have been here a little longer against those who arrived more recently. We cannot fall into this trap -- we only have power as a class when we stand united.
We steadily see this country, and the whole world being dragged to war. There is Israel's war against the people of Gaza -- waged with American bombs, paid for by our taxes. There is the war in Ukraine, where Ukrainians soldiers confront Russian invaders. Again, this war against Russia is waged with American bombs, paid by our taxes. And there is a rising drumbeat towards a war with China. When this war expands, it will draw in young working people here, including my own students. The Working Class has no interest in any of these wars -- we stand firmly against all of them.

Lupe Castillo (R)
Israel should be allowed to protect themselves they were attacked for no reason, just for the fact they are Israel.
As for Palestine we should send them food and medical supplies for the people. Unfortunately, Hamas is hiding within these people.
Ed Hershey (Working Class)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Ed Hershey (Working Class)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Ed Hershey (Working Class)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Ed Hershey (Working Class)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Ed Hershey (Working Class)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Ed Hershey (Working Class)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Ed Hershey (Working Class)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Lupe Castillo (R)

Lupe Castillo (R)
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jesus Garcia | Democratic Party | $863,043 | $852,232 | $35,836 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Raymond Lopez | Democratic Party | $46,343 | $14,921 | $31,422 | As of December 31, 2023 |
Lupe Castillo | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Ed Hershey | Working Class Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Alicia Martinez | Independent | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
Race ratings: Illinois' 4th Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Illinois in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Illinois, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Illinois | U.S. House | Democratic | 685[8] | N/A | 12/4/2023 | Source |
Illinois | U.S. House | Republican | 536[9] | N/A | 12/4/2023 | Source |
Illinois | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 12,188[10] | N/A | 6/24/2024 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Illinois.
Illinois U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 46 | 34 | 5 | 6 | 32.4% | 5 | 29.4% | ||||
2022 | 17 | 17 | 4 | 95 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 55.9% | 7 | 46.7% | ||||
2020 | 18 | 18 | 1 | 73 | 36 | 13 | 8 | 58.3% | 10 | 58.8% | ||||
2018 | 18 | 18 | 1 | 79 | 36 | 12 | 8 | 55.6% | 7 | 41.2% | ||||
2016 | 18 | 18 | 1 | 49 | 36 | 8 | 6 | 38.9% | 7 | 41.2% | ||||
2014 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 50 | 36 | 4 | 5 | 25.0% | 3 | 16.7% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Illinois in 2024. Information below was calculated on 2/16/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time. </noinclude>
Forty-nine candidates filed to run for Illinois' 17 U.S. House districts, including 24 Democrats and 25 Republicans. That's 2.59 candidates per district. In 2022, the first election after the number of Congressional districts in Illinois decreased from 18 to 17, 5.59 candidates filed per district.
In 2020, when the state still had 18 Congressional districts, 4.1 candidates ran. In 2018, 4.4 candidates did.
The number of total candidates who ran for the U.S. House in 2024 was the fewest since at least 2014.
All incumbents ran for re-election this year, meaning no seats were open for the first time since 2014. In 2022, four seats were open, and one seat was open in 2020, 2028, and 2016.
Six candidates—five Democrats and one Republican—ran in the 7th district, including incumbent Danny K. Davis (D). That was the most candidates who ran for a single district in 2024.
Eleven primaries were contested in 2024—five Democratic and six Republican. That was the fewest contested primaries since 2014, when nine were.
Five incumbents faced primary challengers—four Democrats and one Republican. That was also the fewest since 2014, when three incumbents faced primary challengers.
The 4th District was guaranteed to Democrats because no Republican candidates filed. The 15th and Illinois' 16th Congressional District were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+22. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 22 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Illinois' 4th the 51st most Democratic district nationally.[11]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Illinois' 4th based on 2024 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
72.3% | 25.9% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[12] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
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Democratic Baseline ![]() |
Republican Baseline ![]() |
Difference | ||
70.2 | 26.0 | D+44.2 |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Illinois, 2020
Illinois presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 16 Democratic wins
- 15 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Illinois' congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Illinois | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 2 | 14 | 16 |
Republican | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 17 | 19 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Illinois' top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Illinois, May 2024 | |
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Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
Illinois State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 40 | |
Republican Party | 19 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 59 |
Illinois House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 78 | |
Republican Party | 40 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 118 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Illinois Party Control: 1992-2024
Eighteen years of Democratic trifectas • Two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
House | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Illinois District 4
Incumbent Jesus Garcia defeated James Falakos, Ed Hershey, and Alicia Martinez in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 4 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jesus Garcia (D) | 68.4 | 91,036 |
![]() | James Falakos (R) ![]() | 28.1 | 37,352 | |
![]() | Ed Hershey (Working Class Party) ![]() | 3.5 | 4,605 | |
Alicia Martinez (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 54 |
Total votes: 133,047 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 4
Incumbent Jesus Garcia advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 4 on June 28, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jesus Garcia | 100.0 | 37,499 |
Total votes: 37,499 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 4
James Falakos advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 4 on June 28, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | James Falakos ![]() | 100.0 | 12,192 |
Total votes: 12,192 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Illinois District 4
Incumbent Jesus Garcia defeated Jesus Solorio in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 4 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jesus Garcia (D) | 84.1 | 187,219 |
![]() | Jesus Solorio (R) ![]() | 15.9 | 35,518 |
Total votes: 222,737 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Ruben Sosa (Independent)
- Christopher Lasky (R)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 4
Incumbent Jesus Garcia advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 4 on March 17, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jesus Garcia | 100.0 | 88,874 |
Total votes: 88,874 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 4
Christopher Lasky advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 4 on March 17, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Christopher Lasky | 100.0 | 4,059 |
Total votes: 4,059 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Illinois District 4
Jesus Garcia defeated Mark Wayne Lorch in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 4 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jesus Garcia (D) | 86.6 | 143,895 |
![]() | Mark Wayne Lorch (R) | 13.4 | 22,294 |
Total votes: 166,189 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 4
Jesus Garcia defeated Sol Flores and Richard Gonzalez in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 4 on March 20, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jesus Garcia | 66.2 | 49,631 |
![]() | Sol Flores | 21.9 | 16,398 | |
![]() | Richard Gonzalez | 11.9 | 8,921 |
Total votes: 74,950 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Carlos Ramirez-Rosa (D)
- Raymond Lopez (D)
- Neli Vazquez Rowland (D)
- Joe Moreno (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 4
Mark Wayne Lorch advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 4 on March 20, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Mark Wayne Lorch | 100.0 | 5,805 |
Total votes: 5,805 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Ann Melichar (R)
- Jay Reyes (R)
- Ruben Sanchez, Jr. (R)
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Average of all congressional districts.
- ↑ Average of all congressional districts.
- ↑ Average of all congressional districts.
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023