Iowa's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022
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Iowa's 2nd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 18, 2022 |
Primary: June 7, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 9 p.m. Voting in Iowa |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Lean Republican Inside Elections: Tilt Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th Iowa elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Iowa, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. The filing deadline was March 18, 2022.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 46.9% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 51.3%.[1]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Iowa's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 7 Democratic primary)
- Iowa's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 7 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Incumbent Ashley Hinson defeated Liz Mathis in the general election for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Ashley Hinson (R) | 54.1 | 172,181 |
Liz Mathis (D) | 45.8 | 145,940 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 278 |
Total votes: 318,399 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Liz Mathis advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Liz Mathis | 99.6 | 40,737 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.4 | 150 |
Total votes: 40,887 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Joseph Kerner (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Incumbent Ashley Hinson advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Ashley Hinson | 99.3 | 39,897 |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.7 | 284 |
Total votes: 40,181 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Voting information
- See also: Voting in Iowa
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[2] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[3] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
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Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ashley Hinson | Republican Party | $7,191,931 | $7,240,154 | $68,450 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Liz Mathis | Democratic Party | $4,218,655 | $4,209,079 | $9,576 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
Race ratings: Iowa's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Likely Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Iowa in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Iowa, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Iowa | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | 1,726, including at least 47 signatures from ½ of the counties in the district | N/A | 3/18/2022 | Source |
Iowa | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 1,726, including at least 47 signatures from ½ of the counties in the district | N/A | 8/19/2022[8] | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
Iowa District 2
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Iowa District 2
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[9] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[10]
2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Iowa | ||||
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District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() |
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |
Iowa's 1st | 47.6% | 50.5% | 47.1% | 51.1% |
Iowa's 2nd | 46.9% | 51.3% | 47.4% | 50.8% |
Iowa's 3rd | 48.9% | 49.3% | 49.0% | 49.1% |
Iowa's 4th | 36.2% | 62.2% | 35.7% | 62.7% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Iowa.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Iowa in 2022. Information below was calculated on May 20, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Ten candidates filed to run for Iowa’s four U.S. House districts, including four Democrats and six Republicans. That’s 2.5 candidates per district, less than the 4.5 candidates per district in 2020 and the four in 2018.
This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. Iowa was apportioned four districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census. The 10 candidates running this year were the fewest candidates running for Iowa's U.S. House seats since at least 2012, when 11 candidates filed.
All four incumbents filed to run for re-election, meaning there were no open seats this year. The Republican primary in the 3rd district was the only contested primary. That’s the fewest contested primaries since at least 2012, when three primaries were contested. There were four contested primaries each year from 2014 to 2020.
No incumbent faced a primary challenger. That’s the lowest number since 2014, when no incumbent faced a primary challenger either. One incumbent faced a primary challenger in both 2020 and 2018, and two incumbents did in 2016. Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all four districts, so no seats were guaranteed to either party this year.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+4. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 4 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Iowa's 2nd the 195th most Republican district nationally.[11]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Iowa's 2nd based on 2022 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
46.9% | 51.3% |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Iowa, 2020
Iowa presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 11 Democratic wins
- 20 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Iowa and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for Iowa | ||
---|---|---|
Iowa | United States | |
Population | 3,190,369 | 331,449,281 |
Land area (sq mi) | 55,853 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 89.1% | 70.4% |
Black/African American | 3.7% | 12.6% |
Asian | 2.5% | 5.6% |
Native American | 0.3% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Other (single race) | 1.3% | 5.1% |
Multiple | 3% | 5.2% |
Hispanic/Latino | 6.2% | 18.2% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 92.5% | 88.5% |
College graduation rate | 29.3% | 32.9% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $61,836 | $64,994 |
Persons below poverty level | 11.1% | 12.8% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Iowa's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Iowa, November 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Republican | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 4 | 6 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Iowa's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in Iowa, November 2022 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Iowa General Assembly as of November 2022.
Iowa State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 18 | |
Republican Party | 32 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 50 |
Iowa House of Representatives
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 40 | |
Republican Party | 60 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 100 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Iowa was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Iowa Party Control: 1992-2022
Four years of Democratic trifectas • Eight years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
2020
See also: Iowa's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020
Iowa's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 (June 2 Republican primary)
Iowa's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 (June 2 Democratic primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Mariannette Miller-Meeks defeated Rita Hart in the general election for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) | 49.9 | 196,964 | |
![]() | Rita Hart (D) | 49.9 | 196,958 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.2 | 703 |
Total votes: 394,625 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Rita Hart advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Rita Hart | 99.6 | 67,039 |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.4 | 271 |
Total votes: 67,310 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Newman Abuissa (D)
- Joseph Kane Baker (D)
- Veronica Tessler (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Mariannette Miller-Meeks defeated Robert T. Schilling, Steven Everly, Ricky Lee Phillips, and Tim Borchardt in the Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Mariannette Miller-Meeks | 47.6 | 23,052 | |
![]() | Robert T. Schilling | 36.3 | 17,582 | |
Steven Everly | 5.8 | 2,806 | ||
Ricky Lee Phillips | 5.0 | 2,444 | ||
Tim Borchardt | 4.9 | 2,370 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.3 | 161 |
Total votes: 48,415 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Mathew Hepker (R)
- Thomas Kedley (R)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Incumbent Dave Loebsack defeated Chris Peters, Mark Strauss, and Daniel Clark in the general election for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Dave Loebsack (D) | 54.8 | 171,446 |
![]() | Chris Peters (R) | 42.6 | 133,287 | |
![]() | Mark Strauss (L) | 2.0 | 6,181 | |
![]() | Daniel Clark (Independent) ![]() | 0.6 | 1,837 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 162 |
Total votes: 312,913 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Incumbent Dave Loebsack advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Dave Loebsack | 100.0 | 42,378 |
Total votes: 42,378 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Chris Peters defeated Ginny Caligiuri in the Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Chris Peters | 87.5 | 18,056 |
Ginny Caligiuri (Write-in) | 11.6 | 2,389 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.9 | 181 |
Total votes: 20,626 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Dave Loebsack (D) defeated Chris Peters (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Neither candidate faced a primary challenger in June.[12]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
53.7% | 198,571 | |
Republican | Christopher Peters | 46.2% | 170,933 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 528 | |
Total Votes | 370,032 | |||
Source: Iowa Secretary of State |
Primary candidates:[13] |
Democratic ![]() |
Republican ![]() |
2014
The 2nd Congressional District of Iowa held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Dave Loebsack (D) defeated Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
52.5% | 143,431 | |
Republican | Mariannette Miller-Meeks | 47.4% | 129,455 | |
Write-in | Other | 0.2% | 443 | |
Total Votes | 273,329 | |||
Source: Iowa Secretary of State Official Results |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
49.4% | 15,043 | ||
Mark Lofgren | 38.2% | 11,634 | ||
Matthew Waldren | 12.3% | 3,746 | ||
Total Votes | 30,423 | |||
Source: Iowa Secretary of State |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Ballot Access News, "Iowa Secretary of State Now Considers the Old August Petition Deadline for Independent Candidates to be in Force," April 21, 2022
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ 12.0 12.1 12.2 Iowa Secretary of State, "Candidate Listing by Office," accessed March 19, 2016
- ↑ Candidates are listed by party and alphabetically within each party.