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Iowa's 2nd Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Republican primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 27
- Early voting: Oct. 8 - Nov. 5
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Voter ID: ID required
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 9:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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| Iowa's 2nd Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 16, 2018 |
| Primary: June 5, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Dave Loebsack (Democrat) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 9 p.m. Voting in Iowa |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th Iowa elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
A Republican Party primary election took place on June 5, 2018, in Iowa's 2nd District to determine which Republican would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.
This page focuses on the Republican primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
|---|---|---|
Candidates and election results
Chris Peters defeated Ginny Caligiuri in the Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2 on June 5, 2018.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 2
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Chris Peters | 87.5 | 18,056 |
| Ginny Caligiuri (Write-in) | 11.6 | 2,389 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.9 | 181 | ||
| Total votes: 20,626 | |||
 = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+1, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 1 percentage point more Democratic than the national average. This made Iowa's 2nd Congressional District the 193rd most Democratic nationally.[1]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.17. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.17 points toward that party.[2]
Campaign finance
The table below contains data from FEC Quarterly October 2017 reports. It includes only candidates who reported at least $10,000 in campaign contributions as of September 30, 2017.[3]
Republicans
Democratic district won by Donald Trump
This district was one of 13 Democratic-held U.S. House districts that Donald Trump (R) won in the 2016 presidential election.[4] Some were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2018.
| 2018 election results in Democratic-held U.S. House districts won by Donald Trump in 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | 2018 winner | 2018 margin | 2016 presidential margin | 2012 presidential margin |
| Arizona's 1st |  Tom O'Halleran |
Tom O'Halleran |
D+7.7 | Trump+1.1 | Romney+2.5 |
| Iowa's 2nd | Dave Loebsack |
Dave Loebsack |
D+12.2 | Trump+4.1 | Obama+13.1 |
| Illinois' 17th | Cheri Bustos |
Cheri Bustos |
D+23.6 | Trump+0.7 | Obama+17.0 |
| Minnesota's 1st | Tim Walz |
Jim Hagedorn |
R+0.4 | Trump+14.9 | Obama+1.4 |
| Minnesota's 7th | Collin Peterson |
Collin Peterson |
D+4.3 | Trump+30.8 | Romney+9.8 |
| Minnesota's 8th | Rick Nolan |
Pete Stauber |
R+5.5 | Trump+15.6 | Obama+5.5 |
| New Hampshire's 1st | Carol Shea-Porter |
Chris Pappas |
D+11.7 | Trump+1.6 | Obama+1.6 |
| New Jersey's 5th | Josh Gottheimer |
Josh Gottheimer |
D+11.7 | Trump+1.1 | Romney+3.1 |
| Nevada's 3rd | Jacky Rosen |
Susie Lee |
D+9.1 | Trump+1.0 | Obama+0.8 |
| New York's 18th | Sean Patrick Maloney |
Sean Patrick Maloney |
D+10.2 | Trump+1.9 | Obama+4.3 |
| Pennsylvania's 8th | Matt Cartwright[5] |
Matt Cartwright |
D+9.2 | Trump+9.6 | Obama+11.9 |
| Pennsylvania's 14th | Conor Lamb[6] |
Guy Reschenthaler |
R+15.9 | Trump+29.0 | Romney+17.7 |
| Wisconsin's 3rd | Ron Kind |
Ron Kind |
D+19.4 | Trump+4.5 | Obama+11.0 |
Click here to see the 25 Republican-held U.S. House districts that Hillary Clinton (D) won.
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Iowa heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Republicans held both U.S. Senate seats in Iowa.
- Republicans held three U.S. House seats in Iowa and a Democrat held the fourth.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Republicans held five of 12 state executive positions, Democrats held two, and the remaining positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Iowa was Republican Kim Reynolds. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Iowa General Assembly. They had a 58-41 majority in the state House and a 29-20 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Iowa had a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled both chambers of the state legislature and the governorship. Kim Reynolds (R) served as governor; she succeeded Terry E. Branstad, who resigned on May 24, 2017, to take the position of U.S. Ambassador to China.
2018 elections
- See also: Iowa elections, 2018
Iowa held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- 4 U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- 5 lower state executive positions
- 25 of 50 state Senate seats
- 100 state House seats
- 2 state legislative seats in special elections
Demographics
| Demographic data for Iowa | ||
|---|---|---|
| Iowa | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 3,121,997 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 55,857 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 91.2% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 3.2% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 2% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 0.3% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 2% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 5.4% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 91.5% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 26.7% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $53,183 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 13.8% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Iowa. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
As of July 2016, Iowa's three largest cities were Des Moines (pop. est. 220,000), Cedar Rapids (pop. est. 130,000), and Davenport (pop. est. 100,000).[7]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Iowa from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Iowa Secretary of State website.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Iowa every year from 2000 to 2016.
| Election results (President of the United States), Iowa 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | Donald Trump |
50.7% | Hillary Clinton |
41.3% | 9.4% |
| 2012 | Barack Obama |
51.7% | Mitt Romney |
46.0% | 5.7% |
| 2008 | Barack Obama |
53.7% | John McCain |
44.2% | 9.5% |
| 2004 | George W. Bush |
49.9% | John Kerry |
49.2% | 0.7% |
| 2000 | Al Gore |
48.5% | George W. Bush |
48.2% | 0.3% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Iowa from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
| Election results (U.S. Senator), Iowa 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | Chuck Grassley |
60.1% | Patty Judge |
35.7% | 24.4% |
| 2014 | Joni Ernst |
51.5% | Bruce Braley |
43.3% | 8.2% |
| 2010 | Chuck Grassley |
63.4% | Roxanne Conlin |
32.8% | 30.6% |
| 2008 | Tom Harkin |
61.4% | Christopher Reed |
36.5% | 24.9% |
| 2004 | Chuck Grassley |
70.2% | Arthur Small |
27.9% | 42.3% |
| 2002 | Tom Harkin |
54.2% | Greg Ganske |
43.8% | 10.4% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Iowa.
| Election results (Governor), Iowa 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2014 | Terry Branstad |
58.4% | Jack Hatch |
36.9% | 21.5% |
| 2010 | Terry Branstad |
52.3% | Chet Culver |
42.8% | 9.5% |
| 2006 | Chet Culver |
53.7% | Jim Nussle |
44.1% | 9.6% |
| 2002 | Tom Vilsack |
52.7% | Doug Gross |
44.5% | 8.2% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Iowa in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
| Congressional delegation, Iowa 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Republicans | Republicans (%) | Democrats | Democrats (%) | Balance of power |
| 2016 | 3 |
75.0% | 1 |
25.0% | R+2 |
| 2014 | 3 |
75.0% | 1 |
25.0% | R+2 |
| 2012[8] | 2 |
50.0% | 2 |
50.0% | Split |
| 2010 | 2 |
40.0% | 3 |
60.0% | D+1 |
| 2008 | 2 |
40.0% | 3 |
60.0% | D+1 |
| 2006 | 2 |
40.0% | 3 |
60.0% | D+1 |
| 2004 | 4 |
80.0% | 1 |
20.0% | R+3 |
| 2002 | 4 |
80.0% | 1 |
20.0% | R+3 |
| 2000 | 4 |
80.0% | 1 |
20.0% | R+3 |
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Iowa Party Control: 1992-2025
Four years of Democratic trifectas • Eleven years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa, 2018
- United States House elections in Iowa (June 5, 2018 Republican primaries)
- Iowa's 2nd Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Democratic primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ FEC, "Federal Election Commission," accessed November 5, 2017
- ↑ This figure includes Pennsylvania districts that were redrawn by the state Supreme Court in early 2018 and districts that flipped in special elections.
- ↑ The new 8th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 17th District held by Cartwright. Click here to read more.
- ↑ The new 14th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 18th District Lamb won in a March 2018 special election. Tim Murphy (R) won the old 18th District in the 2016 election. Click here to read more.
- ↑ Iowa Demographics, "Iowa Cities by Population," accessed September 4, 2018
- ↑ Iowa lost one U.S. House seat following the 2010 census.
