Iowa's 4th Congressional District election, 2020

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2018
Iowa's 4th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 13, 2020
Primary: June 2, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Steve King (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 9 p.m.
Voting in Iowa
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Likely Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
Inside Elections: Tilt Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds (primaries)
U.S. House battlegrounds (primaries)
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Iowa's 4th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th
Iowa elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 4th Congressional District of Iowa, are holding elections in 2020.

Some 2020 election dates and procedures have changed as a result of the coronavirus. For the latest in your state, click here.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 13, 2020
June 2, 2020
November 3, 2020

Heading into the election the incumbent is Republican Steve King, who was first elected in 2002.

Iowa's 4th Congressional District covers north-central and northwest Iowa. The district includes Ames and Sioux City, as well as the counties of Lyon, Sioux, Plymouth, Woodbury, Monona, Harrison, Shelby, Crawford, Audubon, Carroll, Greene, Boone, Story, Hardin, Hamilton, Webster, Calhoun, Sac, Ida, Cherokee, Buena Vista, Pocahontas, Humboldt, Franklin, Butler, Chicksaw, Floyd, Cerro Gordo, Hancock, Winnebago, Kossuth, Emmet, Palo Alto, Dickinson, Osceola, O'Brien, Clay, Grundy and Wright.[1]

Candidates and election results

General election candidates

Democratic Party Democratic primary candidates

Republican Party Republican primary candidates

Withdrew, disqualified, or did not make ballot


June 2 Republican primary

See also: Iowa's 4th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 2 Republican primary)

Ballotpedia identified the June 2 Republican primary as a battleground primary. For more on the Republican primary, click here. For more on the Democratic primary, click here.


State Sen. Randy Feenstra (R) unseated Rep. Steve King (R) in the Republican primary for Iowa's 4th congressional district on June 2, 2020. As of 10:30 p.m. Central Time on June 2, Feenstra had received 40.7% of the vote to King's 38.7%. None of the three other candidates received more than 10% of the vote. Local and national media identified incumbent Steve King (R) and top fundraiser Randy Feenstra (R) as leading candidates. A May 2020 article in Politico described the primary as King's "toughest race since he was elected to the House almost 20 years ago."[2]

King's opponents said he was vulnerable due to what they call his underperformance in the 2018 election and his removal from committee assignments. In 2018, King won re-election 50% to 47%, while in the 2016 presidential election, President Trump (R) carried the district 61% to 34% over Hillary Clinton (D).[3] In January 2019, House Republican leadership suspended King's committee assignments following the publication of a New York Times story which quoted King as saying, "White nationalist, white supremacist, Western civilization — how did that language become offensive?". King said if he won re-election, he would regain his committee assignments.[4]

Also in the running are Steve Reeder (R), Bret Richards (R), and Jeremy Taylor (R). As of May 29, 2020, two election forecasters rated the general election Likely Republican and a third rated it Tilt Republican, meaning the winner of the primary is likely to win the general election. The last Democrat to win election to the U.S. House from the 4th district was Neal Smith (D) in 1992.

Candidate profiles

This section includes profiles of candidates who have completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Profiles are also included for candidates who have not completed a survey but lead in polling, fundraising, or noteworthy endorsements or have been identified by local media sources as being noteworthy. Ballotpedia staff compiled these profiles from candidates' campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements. Additional candidate profiles may be added up until election day. Candidates may click here to complete a survey and have their candidate profile added.

Image of Steve King

Website Facebook

Incumbent: Yes

Political Office: 

U.S. House of Representatives (Assumed office: 2003)

Iowa State Senate (1996-2002)

Biography: 

Steve King was born in Storm Lake, Iowa, and attended Denison High School and Northwest Missouri State University, where he studied math and science. In 1975, he founded King Construction, which remained in operation under the management of his oldest son as of the 2020 election.

Key messages

  • King said he had a long record of casting conservative votes during his time in office and that he considered restrictions on abortion, encouraging ethanol and biodiesel production, and repealing Obamacare to be policy priorities.

  • King said that he was recognized both in Iowa and across the country as a prominent constitutional conservative and "a frequent contributor to Fox News, national magazines, newspapers and radio."

  • King said coastal elites were backing Randy Feenstra because of King's policy stances and that the primary in the 4th district was "the epicenter of the battle against the swamp right now."


Image of Randy Feenstra

Website Facebook Twitter

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Iowa State Senate (Assumed office: 2009)

Biography: 

Randy Feenstra was born in Hull, Iowa. He obtained his bachelor's degree from Dordt College and a master's in public administration from Iowa State University. Feenstra's professional experience includes both private-sector work, including as head of sales at The Foreign Candy Sales, and public-sector work, including as Hull's city administrator and as the Sioux County Treasurer. As of the 2020 election, Feenstra was a professor of business and public administration at Dordt University.

Key messages

  • Feenstra said he had a conservative voting record in the state senate and was the only candidate to have both an endorsement from National Right to Life and an "A" rating from the National Rifle Association.

  • Feenstra said that King's removal from his committee assignments prevented him from being an effective legislator, saying that it "could literally result in the loss of thousands of jobs and countless farms, and lead to the economic ruin of families across the 4th District."

  • Feenstra said King had boasted about winning the support of the same groups supporting Feenstra in 2020 and that King's criticism of those groups was dishonest.



See more

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Thirty-one of 99 Iowa counties—31 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Allamakee County, Iowa 24.15% 4.17% 14.25%
Boone County, Iowa 13.69% 6.64% 7.63%
Bremer County, Iowa 13.68% 2.68% 9.31%
Buchanan County, Iowa 15.02% 13.87% 18.48%
Cedar County, Iowa 17.78% 4.59% 9.64%
Cerro Gordo County, Iowa 7.66% 13.38% 20.83%
Chickasaw County, Iowa 22.94% 11.07% 20.74%
Clarke County, Iowa 28.02% 1.47% 2.25%
Clayton County, Iowa 22.78% 7.03% 17.17%
Clinton County, Iowa 5.12% 22.84% 23.03%
Des Moines County, Iowa 6.89% 18.41% 23.04%
Dubuque County, Iowa 1.23% 14.71% 20.77%
Fayette County, Iowa 19.36% 11.96% 16.60%
Floyd County, Iowa 14.84% 14.63% 21.88%
Howard County, Iowa 20.49% 20.95% 25.78%
Jackson County, Iowa 19.27% 16.89% 24.39%
Jasper County, Iowa 18.13% 7.07% 7.50%
Jefferson County, Iowa 0.47% 15.97% 20.23%
Jones County, Iowa 19.08% 7.78% 10.40%
Lee County, Iowa 16.02% 15.49% 16.01%
Louisa County, Iowa 28.37% 0.64% 4.25%
Marshall County, Iowa 8.31% 9.36% 9.35%
Mitchell County, Iowa 24.04% 3.37% 12.31%
Muscatine County, Iowa 6.26% 15.88% 15.64%
Poweshiek County, Iowa 6.53% 9.35% 11.75%
Tama County, Iowa 20.28% 7.43% 12.19%
Union County, Iowa 27.49% 3.86% 3.70%
Wapello County, Iowa 20.60% 11.88% 13.53%
Webster County, Iowa 21.52% 5.84% 8.51%
Winneshiek County, Iowa 0.79% 14.74% 22.65%
Worth County, Iowa 21.68% 14.53% 22.42%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Iowa with 51.1 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 41.7 percent. In presidential elections between 1848 and 2016, Iowa voted Republican 69.76 percent of the time and Democratic 30.23 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Iowa voted Democratic three times and Republican the other two times.[5]

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Iowa. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[6][7]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 61 out of 100 state House districts in Iowa with an average margin of victory of 19.1 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 35 out of 100 state House districts in Iowa with an average margin of victory of 18.8 points. Clinton won four districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 39 out of 100 state House districts in Iowa with an average margin of victory of 13.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 65 out of 100 state House districts in Iowa with an average margin of victory of 24.5 points. Trump won 10 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+11, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 11 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Iowa's 4th Congressional District the 124th-most Republican nationally.[8]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.06. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.06 points toward that party.[9]

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[10]
  • Tossup ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[11][12][13]

Race ratings: Iowa's 4th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
June 2, 2020May 26, 2020May 19, 2020May 12, 2020
The Cook Political ReportLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesTilt RepublicanTilt RepublicanTilt RepublicanTilt Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 4th Congressional District candidates in Iowa in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Iowa, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Iowa 4th Congressional District Democratic 1,220 1% of votes cast for the party's candidate for governor in the district in 2018 N/A N/A 3/13/2020 Source
Iowa 4th Congressional District Republican 1,874 1% of votes cast for the party's candidate for governor in the district in 2018 N/A N/A 3/13/2020 Source
Iowa 4th Congressional District Unaffiliated 375 Fixed number N/A N/A 3/13/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: Iowa's 4th Congressional District election, 2018

General election
General election for U.S. House Iowa District 4

Incumbent Steve King (R) defeated J.D. Scholten (D), Charles Aldrich (L), and Edward Peterson (Independent) in the general election for U.S. House Iowa District 4 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Steve_King__official_Congressional_photo_portrait-7_fixed.jpg

Steve King (R)
 
50.3
 
157,676

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/180510_4.jpg

J.D. Scholten (D)
 
47.0
 
147,246

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Charles_Aldrich.JPG

Charles Aldrich (L)
 
2.0
 
6,161

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Screen_Shot_2018-10-10_at_9.47.01_AM.png

Edward Peterson (Independent)
 
0.6
 
1,962
  Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
206

Total votes: 313,251
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 4

J.D. Scholten defeated Leann Jacobsen and John Paschen in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 4 on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/180510_4.jpg

J.D. Scholten (D)
 
51.3
 
14,733

Silhouette Placeholder Image.png

Leann Jacobsen (D)
 
32.0
 
9,176

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/John_Paschen.jpg

John Paschen (D)
 
16.7
 
4,806

Total votes: 28,715
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 4

Incumbent Steve King defeated Cyndi Hanson in the Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 4 on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Steve_King__official_Congressional_photo_portrait-7_fixed.jpg

Steve King (R)
 
74.8
 
28,053

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Cyndi_Hanson.JPG

Cyndi Hanson (R)
 
25.2
 
9,437

Total votes: 37,490

2016

See also: Iowa's 4th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Steve King (R) defeated Kim Weaver (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. King defeated Rick Bertrand in the Republican primary on June 7, 2016, while Weaver ran unopposed in the Democratic primary.[14][15]

U.S. House, Iowa District 4 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngSteve King Incumbent 61.2% 226,719
     Democratic Kim Weaver 38.6% 142,993
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 547
Total Votes 370,259
Source: Iowa Secretary of State

U.S. House, Iowa District 4 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngSteve King Incumbent 64.7% 29,098
Rick Bertrand 35.3% 15,872
Total Votes 44,970
Source: Iowa Secretary of State

2014

See also: Iowa's 4th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 4th Congressional District of Iowa held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Steve King (R) defeated Jim Mowrer (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Iowa District 4 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngSteve King Incumbent 61.6% 169,834
     Democratic Jim Mowrer 38.3% 105,504
     Write-in Other 0.1% 295
Total Votes 275,633
Source: Iowa Secretary of State Official Results

See also

External links

Footnotes