Iowa's 4th Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
Iowa's 4th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 13, 2020
Primary: June 2, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Steve King (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 9 p.m.
Voting in Iowa
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Iowa's 4th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th
Iowa elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 4th Congressional District of Iowa, held elections in 2020.

Randy Feenstra won election in the general election for U.S. House Iowa District 4.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 13, 2020
June 2, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican Steve King, who was first elected in 2002.

Iowa's 4th Congressional District covers north-central and northwest Iowa. The district includes Ames and Sioux City, as well as the counties of Lyon, Sioux, Plymouth, Woodbury, Monona, Harrison, Shelby, Crawford, Audubon, Carroll, Greene, Boone, Story, Hardin, Hamilton, Webster, Calhoun, Sac, Ida, Cherokee, Buena Vista, Pocahontas, Humboldt, Franklin, Butler, Chicksaw, Floyd, Cerro Gordo, Hancock, Winnebago, Kossuth, Emmet, Palo Alto, Dickinson, Osceola, O'Brien, Clay, Grundy and Wright.[1]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Iowa's 4th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 35.7 37.8
Republican candidate Republican Party 62.7 62
Difference 27 24.2

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Iowa modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Absentee ballot application forms were sent to all registered voters in the general election.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Iowa District 4

Randy Feenstra defeated J.D. Scholten in the general election for U.S. House Iowa District 4 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Randy Feenstra
Randy Feenstra (R)
 
62.0
 
237,369
Image of J.D. Scholten
J.D. Scholten (D)
 
37.8
 
144,761
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.2
 
892

Total votes: 383,022
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 4

J.D. Scholten advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 4 on June 2, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of J.D. Scholten
J.D. Scholten
 
99.6
 
46,370
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.4
 
166

Total votes: 46,536
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 4

Randy Feenstra defeated incumbent Steve King, Jeremy Taylor, Bret Richards, and Steve Reeder in the Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 4 on June 2, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Randy Feenstra
Randy Feenstra
 
45.5
 
37,329
Image of Steve King
Steve King
 
35.8
 
29,366
Image of Jeremy Taylor
Jeremy Taylor
 
7.8
 
6,418
Image of Bret Richards
Bret Richards Candidate Connection
 
7.5
 
6,140
Image of Steve Reeder
Steve Reeder Candidate Connection
 
3.1
 
2,528
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.2
 
176

Total votes: 81,957
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Thirty-one of 99 Iowa counties—31 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Allamakee County, Iowa 24.15% 4.17% 14.25%
Boone County, Iowa 13.69% 6.64% 7.63%
Bremer County, Iowa 13.68% 2.68% 9.31%
Buchanan County, Iowa 15.02% 13.87% 18.48%
Cedar County, Iowa 17.78% 4.59% 9.64%
Cerro Gordo County, Iowa 7.66% 13.38% 20.83%
Chickasaw County, Iowa 22.94% 11.07% 20.74%
Clarke County, Iowa 28.02% 1.47% 2.25%
Clayton County, Iowa 22.78% 7.03% 17.17%
Clinton County, Iowa 5.12% 22.84% 23.03%
Des Moines County, Iowa 6.89% 18.41% 23.04%
Dubuque County, Iowa 1.23% 14.71% 20.77%
Fayette County, Iowa 19.36% 11.96% 16.60%
Floyd County, Iowa 14.84% 14.63% 21.88%
Howard County, Iowa 20.49% 20.95% 25.78%
Jackson County, Iowa 19.27% 16.89% 24.39%
Jasper County, Iowa 18.13% 7.07% 7.50%
Jefferson County, Iowa 0.47% 15.97% 20.23%
Jones County, Iowa 19.08% 7.78% 10.40%
Lee County, Iowa 16.02% 15.49% 16.01%
Louisa County, Iowa 28.37% 0.64% 4.25%
Marshall County, Iowa 8.31% 9.36% 9.35%
Mitchell County, Iowa 24.04% 3.37% 12.31%
Muscatine County, Iowa 6.26% 15.88% 15.64%
Poweshiek County, Iowa 6.53% 9.35% 11.75%
Tama County, Iowa 20.28% 7.43% 12.19%
Union County, Iowa 27.49% 3.86% 3.70%
Wapello County, Iowa 20.60% 11.88% 13.53%
Webster County, Iowa 21.52% 5.84% 8.51%
Winneshiek County, Iowa 0.79% 14.74% 22.65%
Worth County, Iowa 21.68% 14.53% 22.42%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Iowa with 51.1 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 41.7 percent. In presidential elections between 1848 and 2016, Iowa voted Republican 69.76 percent of the time and Democratic 30.23 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Iowa voted Democratic three times and Republican the other two times.[2]

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Iowa. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[3][4]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 61 out of 100 state House districts in Iowa with an average margin of victory of 19.1 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 35 out of 100 state House districts in Iowa with an average margin of victory of 18.8 points. Clinton won four districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 39 out of 100 state House districts in Iowa with an average margin of victory of 13.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 65 out of 100 state House districts in Iowa with an average margin of victory of 24.5 points. Trump won 10 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+11, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 11 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Iowa's 4th Congressional District the 125th most Republican nationally.[5]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.06. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.06 points toward that party.[6]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[7] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[8] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
J.D. Scholten Democratic Party $2,913,539 $2,929,626 $53,112 As of December 31, 2020
Randy Feenstra Republican Party $1,907,336 $1,895,390 $11,946 As of December 31, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[9]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[10][11][12]

Race ratings: Iowa's 4th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 4th Congressional District candidates in Iowa in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Iowa, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Iowa 4th Congressional District Democratic 1,220 1% of votes cast for the party's candidate for governor in the district in 2018 N/A N/A 3/13/2020 Source
Iowa 4th Congressional District Republican 1,874 1% of votes cast for the party's candidate for governor in the district in 2018 N/A N/A 3/13/2020 Source
Iowa 4th Congressional District Unaffiliated 375 Fixed number N/A N/A 3/13/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: Iowa's 4th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Iowa District 4

Incumbent Steve King defeated J.D. Scholten, Charles Aldrich, and Edward Peterson in the general election for U.S. House Iowa District 4 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Steve King
Steve King (R)
 
50.3
 
157,676
Image of J.D. Scholten
J.D. Scholten (D)
 
47.0
 
147,246
Image of Charles Aldrich
Charles Aldrich (L)
 
2.0
 
6,161
Image of Edward Peterson
Edward Peterson (Independent)
 
0.6
 
1,962
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
206

Total votes: 313,251
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 4

J.D. Scholten defeated Leann Jacobsen and John Paschen in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Iowa District 4 on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of J.D. Scholten
J.D. Scholten
 
51.3
 
14,733
Leann Jacobsen
 
32.0
 
9,176
Image of John Paschen
John Paschen
 
16.7
 
4,806

Total votes: 28,715
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 4

Incumbent Steve King defeated Cyndi Hanson in the Republican primary for U.S. House Iowa District 4 on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Steve King
Steve King
 
74.8
 
28,053
Image of Cyndi Hanson
Cyndi Hanson
 
25.2
 
9,437

Total votes: 37,490
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2016

See also: Iowa's 4th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Steve King (R) defeated Kim Weaver (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. King defeated Rick Bertrand in the Republican primary on June 7, 2016, while Weaver ran unopposed in the Democratic primary.[13][14]

U.S. House, Iowa District 4 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngSteve King Incumbent 61.2% 226,719
     Democratic Kim Weaver 38.6% 142,993
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 547
Total Votes 370,259
Source: Iowa Secretary of State


U.S. House, Iowa District 4 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngSteve King Incumbent 64.7% 29,098
Rick Bertrand 35.3% 15,872
Total Votes 44,970
Source: Iowa Secretary of State

2014

See also: Iowa's 4th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 4th Congressional District of Iowa held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Steve King (R) defeated Jim Mowrer (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Iowa District 4 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngSteve King Incumbent 61.6% 169,834
     Democratic Jim Mowrer 38.3% 105,504
     Write-in Other 0.1% 295
Total Votes 275,633
Source: Iowa Secretary of State Official Results

See also

External links

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
Zach Nunn (R)
District 4
Republican Party (6)