Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022

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2024
2020
Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: January 25, 2022
Primary: May 17, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 6 p.m.
Voting in Kentucky
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+21
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th
Kentucky elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Kentucky, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for May 17, 2022. The filing deadline was January 25, 2022.

The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 30.8% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 67.5%.[1]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Incumbent Brett Guthrie defeated Hank Linderman in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brett Guthrie
Brett Guthrie (R)
 
71.9
 
170,487
Image of Hank Linderman
Hank Linderman (D) Candidate Connection
 
28.1
 
66,769

Total votes: 237,256
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Hank Linderman defeated William Compton in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Hank Linderman
Hank Linderman Candidate Connection
 
58.2
 
20,174
Image of William Compton
William Compton Candidate Connection
 
41.8
 
14,465

Total votes: 34,639
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Incumbent Brett Guthrie defeated Lee Watts and Brent Feher in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brett Guthrie
Brett Guthrie
 
78.1
 
52,265
Image of Lee Watts
Lee Watts Candidate Connection
 
17.9
 
11,996
Image of Brent Feher
Brent Feher Candidate Connection
 
4.0
 
2,681

Total votes: 66,942
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Voting information

See also: Voting in Kentucky

Election information in Kentucky: Nov. 8, 2022, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 11, 2022
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 11, 2022
  • Online: Oct. 11, 2022

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

No

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 25, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 25, 2022
  • Online: Oct. 25, 2022

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 8, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 8, 2022

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Nov. 3, 2022 to Nov. 5, 2022

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

N/A


Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

Neither of our parties is doing a very good job for the people.

I am running to encourage needed changes inside the Democratic Party: to reconnect with people who work, and to come back to rural and small-town America.

I'm a pragmatic populist progressive, willing to collaborate to solve problems.
Health care, governmental corruption, environment, inequality (social and economic)
To be willing to work for the good of the community at large.
Reconnecting our government to the people.
Rebalancing the power of massive corporations and wealthy individuals vs the people.



Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[2] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[3] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report Close of books Filing deadline
Year-end 2021 12/31/2021 1/31/2022
April quarterly 3/31/2022 4/15/2022
July quarterly 6/30/2022 7/15/2022
October quarterly 9/30/2022 10/15/2022
Pre-general 10/19/2022 10/27/2022
Post-general 11/28/2022 12/08/2022
Year-end 2022 12/31/2022 1/31/2023


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Brett Guthrie Republican Party $2,259,393 $2,251,947 $1,864,120 As of December 31, 2022
William Compton Democratic Party $2,377 $854 $722 As of December 31, 2022
Hank Linderman Democratic Party $87,461 $100,206 $25,288 As of December 31, 2022
Brent Feher Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Lee Watts Republican Party $56,221 $56,221 $0 As of December 31, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]

Race ratings: Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Kentucky in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Kentucky, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Kentucky U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 2 $500.00 1/25/2022 Source
Kentucky U.S. House Unaffiliated 400 $500.00 6/7/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Kentucky District 2
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Kentucky District 2
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Kentucky after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[8] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[9]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Kentucky
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Kentucky's 1st 27.9% 70.6% 25.5% 73.1%
Kentucky's 2nd 30.8% 67.5% 30.6% 67.6%
Kentucky's 3rd 60.2% 37.9% 60.0% 38.1%
Kentucky's 4th 32.8% 65.4% 33.4% 64.7%
Kentucky's 5th 19.7% 79.1% 18.6% 80.1%
Kentucky's 6th 43.5% 54.5% 44.5% 53.6%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Kentucky.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Kentucky in 2022. Information below was calculated on Feb. 22, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Thirty-one candidates filed to run for Kentucky's six U.S. House districts in 2022, including nine Democrats and 22 Republicans. This equals 5.2 candidates per district, the most candidates per district since 2014.

This was the first candidate filing deadline under new district lines adopted during the state's decennial redistricting process. Kentucky was apportioned six districts, the same number it received after the 2010 census.

One district—Kentucky's 3rd—was left open with Rep. John Yarmuth (D) retiring from politics. Yarmuth first won election in 2006 after defeating Rep. Anne Northup (R). The 2022 filing deadline marked the first time since 1994 that the district had been left open. The 3rd District drew the largest number of major party candidate filings overall: two Democrats and seven Republicans.

The remaining five incumbents—all Republicans—filed for re-election. Of those five, four drew primary challengers, the same number as 2020.

Eight of the 12 possible major party primaries (67%) drew more than one candidate leaving them contested. This represents more contested primaries than in 2020 and the same number as 2018.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+21. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 21 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 2nd the 35th most Republican district nationally.[10]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Kentucky's 2nd based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
30.8% 67.5%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Kentucky, 2020

Kentucky presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 16 Democratic wins
  • 15 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D R R D D D D D D R R D R R D R R R D D R R R R R R


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Kentucky and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Kentucky
Kentucky United States
Population 4,505,836 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 39,491 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 86.2% 70.4%
Black/African American 8.1% 12.6%
Asian 1.5% 5.6%
Native American 0.2% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.1% 0.2%
Other (single race) 1.1% 5.1%
Multiple 2.8% 5.2%
Hispanic/Latino 3.8% 18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate 87.2% 88.5%
College graduation rate 25% 32.9%
Income
Median household income $52,238 $64,994
Persons below poverty level 16.6% 12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Kentucky's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Kentucky, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 1 1
Republican 2 5 7
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 6 8

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Kentucky's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Kentucky, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Andy Beshear
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Jacqueline Coleman
Secretary of State Republican Party Michael Adams
Attorney General Republican Party Daniel Cameron

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Kentucky General Assembly as of November 2022.

Kentucky State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 8
     Republican Party 29
     Vacancies 1
Total 38

Kentucky House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 25
     Republican Party 75
     Vacancies 0
Total 100

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Kentucky was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Kentucky Party Control: 1992-2022
Eight years of Democratic trifectas  •  Three years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D
Senate D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R

District history

2020

See also: Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020

Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 (June 23 Democratic primary)

Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 (June 23 Republican primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Incumbent Brett Guthrie defeated Hank Linderman, Robert Lee Perry, Lewis Carter, and Poet Tribble in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brett Guthrie
Brett Guthrie (R)
 
71.0
 
255,735
Image of Hank Linderman
Hank Linderman (D)
 
26.3
 
94,643
Image of Robert Lee Perry
Robert Lee Perry (L) Candidate Connection
 
2.1
 
7,588
Image of Lewis Carter
Lewis Carter (Populist Party) Candidate Connection
 
0.7
 
2,431
Poet Tribble (Unaffiliated) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
2

Total votes: 360,399
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Hank Linderman advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Incumbent Brett Guthrie defeated Kathleen Free in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on June 23, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brett Guthrie
Brett Guthrie
 
88.6
 
65,313
Kathleen Free
 
11.4
 
8,380

Total votes: 73,693
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Robert Lee Perry advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on March 7, 2020.

Candidate
Image of Robert Lee Perry
Robert Lee Perry (L) Candidate Connection

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2018

See also: Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Incumbent Brett Guthrie defeated Hank Linderman and Thomas Loecken in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brett Guthrie
Brett Guthrie (R)
 
66.7
 
171,700
Image of Hank Linderman
Hank Linderman (D) Candidate Connection
 
31.1
 
79,964
Thomas Loecken (Independent)
 
2.2
 
5,681

Total votes: 257,345
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Hank Linderman defeated Brian Pedigo, Rane Eir Olivia Sessions, and Grant Short in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Hank Linderman
Hank Linderman Candidate Connection
 
30.0
 
14,517
Image of Brian Pedigo
Brian Pedigo
 
28.7
 
13,866
Image of Rane Eir Olivia Sessions
Rane Eir Olivia Sessions
 
21.7
 
10,501
Image of Grant Short
Grant Short
 
19.6
 
9,470

Total votes: 48,354
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Incumbent Brett Guthrie advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Brett Guthrie
Brett Guthrie

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2016

See also: Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Brett Guthrie (R) won re-election to his fifth term in 2016. He faced no general election challenger and was unopposed in the primary as well. The primary elections took place on May 17, 2016. The general election took place on November 8, 2016.[11][12]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 2 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBrett Guthrie Incumbent 100% 251,825
Total Votes 251,825
Source: Kentucky Secretary of State

Primary candidates:[13]

Democratic

No Democratic candidates filed to run.

Republican

Brett Guthrie - Incumbent[11] Approveda

2014

See also: Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 2nd Congressional District of Kentucky held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Brett Guthrie (R) defeated Ron Leach (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Kentucky District 2 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBrett Guthrie Incumbent 69.2% 156,936
     Democratic Ron Leach 30.8% 69,898
Total Votes 226,834
Source: Kentucky Secretary of State

May 20, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary


See also

Kentucky 2022 primaries 2022 U.S. Congress elections
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Kentucky congressional delegation
Voting in Kentucky
Kentucky elections:
20222021202020192018
Democratic primary battlegrounds
Republican primary battlegrounds
U.S. Senate Democratic primaries
U.S. Senate Republican primaries
U.S. House Democratic primaries
U.S. House Republican primaries
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U.S. Senate elections
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Ballot access

External links

Footnotes

  1. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  2. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  3. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  4. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  8. Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  9. Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 17, 2022
  10. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  11. 11.0 11.1 Kentucky Secretary of State, "Candidate Filings with the Office of the Secretary of State," accessed January 27, 2016
  12. The New York Times, "Kentucky Results," May 17, 2016
  13. Candidates are listed by party and alphabetically within each party.
  14. Kentucky Secretary of State Election, "Candidate Filings," accessed January 28, 2014


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
Andy Barr (R)
Republican Party (7)
Democratic Party (1)