Help us improve in just 2 minutes—share your thoughts in our reader survey.

Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search

Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District
Incumbent
Assumed office: January 3, 2009

Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Brett Guthrie (R).

As of the 2020 Census, Kentucky representatives represented an average of 751,557 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 725,101 residents.

Elections

2024

See also: Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024

Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (May 21 Republican primary)

Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (May 21 Democratic primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Incumbent Brett Guthrie defeated Hank Linderman in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brett Guthrie
Brett Guthrie (R)
 
73.1
 
252,826
Image of Hank Linderman
Hank Linderman (D)
 
26.9
 
93,029

Total votes: 345,855
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Hank Linderman defeated William Compton in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on May 21, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Hank Linderman
Hank Linderman
 
57.3
 
12,515
Image of William Compton
William Compton
 
42.7
 
9,313

Total votes: 21,828
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Brett Guthrie advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2.

2022

See also: Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Incumbent Brett Guthrie defeated Hank Linderman in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brett Guthrie
Brett Guthrie (R)
 
71.9
 
170,487
Image of Hank Linderman
Hank Linderman (D) Candidate Connection
 
28.1
 
66,769

Total votes: 237,256
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Hank Linderman defeated William Compton in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Hank Linderman
Hank Linderman Candidate Connection
 
58.2
 
20,174
Image of William Compton
William Compton Candidate Connection
 
41.8
 
14,465

Total votes: 34,639
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Incumbent Brett Guthrie defeated Lee Watts and Brent Feher in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brett Guthrie
Brett Guthrie
 
78.1
 
52,265
Image of Lee Watts
Lee Watts Candidate Connection
 
17.9
 
11,996
Image of Brent Feher
Brent Feher Candidate Connection
 
4.0
 
2,681

Total votes: 66,942
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2020

See also: Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Incumbent Brett Guthrie defeated Hank Linderman, Robert Lee Perry, Lewis Carter, and Poet Tribble in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brett Guthrie
Brett Guthrie (R)
 
71.0
 
255,735
Image of Hank Linderman
Hank Linderman (D)
 
26.3
 
94,643
Image of Robert Lee Perry
Robert Lee Perry (L) Candidate Connection
 
2.1
 
7,588
Image of Lewis Carter
Lewis Carter (Populist Party) Candidate Connection
 
0.7
 
2,431
Poet Tribble (Unaffiliated) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
2

Total votes: 360,399
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Hank Linderman advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Incumbent Brett Guthrie defeated Kathleen Free in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on June 23, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brett Guthrie
Brett Guthrie
 
88.6
 
65,313
Kathleen Free
 
11.4
 
8,380

Total votes: 73,693
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Robert Lee Perry advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on March 7, 2020.

Candidate
Image of Robert Lee Perry
Robert Lee Perry (L) Candidate Connection

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2018

See also: Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Incumbent Brett Guthrie defeated Hank Linderman and Thomas Loecken in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brett Guthrie
Brett Guthrie (R)
 
66.7
 
171,700
Image of Hank Linderman
Hank Linderman (D) Candidate Connection
 
31.1
 
79,964
Thomas Loecken (Independent)
 
2.2
 
5,681

Total votes: 257,345
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Hank Linderman defeated Brian Pedigo, Rane Eir Olivia Sessions, and Grant Short in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Hank Linderman
Hank Linderman Candidate Connection
 
30.0
 
14,517
Image of Brian Pedigo
Brian Pedigo
 
28.7
 
13,866
Image of Rane Eir Olivia Sessions
Rane Eir Olivia Sessions
 
21.7
 
10,501
Image of Grant Short
Grant Short
 
19.6
 
9,470

Total votes: 48,354
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2

Incumbent Brett Guthrie advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 2 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Brett Guthrie
Brett Guthrie

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Brett Guthrie (R) won re-election to his fifth term in 2016. He faced no general election challenger and was unopposed in the primary as well. The primary elections took place on May 17, 2016. The general election took place on November 8, 2016.[1][2]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 2 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBrett Guthrie Incumbent 100% 251,825
Total Votes 251,825
Source: Kentucky Secretary of State

2014

See also: Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 2nd Congressional District of Kentucky held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Brett Guthrie (R) defeated challenger Ron Leach (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Kentucky District 2 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBrett Guthrie Incumbent 69.2% 156,936
     Democratic Ron Leach 30.8% 69,898
Total Votes 226,834
Source: Kentucky Secretary of State

General election candidates

May 20, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary


2012

See also: Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2012

The 2nd Congressional District of Kentucky held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Brett Guthrie won re-election in the district.[4]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 2 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBrett Guthrie Incumbent 64.3% 181,508
     Democratic David Lynn Williams 31.7% 89,541
     Libertarian Craig Astor 1.7% 4,914
     Independent Andrew R. Beacham 2.2% 6,304
Total Votes 282,267
Source: Kentucky Board of Elections "2012 General Election Official Vote Totals"

2010
On November 2, 2010, Brett Guthrie won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Ed Marksberry (D) in the general election.[5]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 2 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBrett Guthrie incumbent 67.9% 155,906
     Democratic Ed Marksberry 32.1% 73,749
Total Votes 229,655


2008
On November 4, 2008, Brett Guthrie won election to the United States House. He defeated David E. Boswell (D) in the general election.[6]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 2 General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBrett Guthrie 52.6% 158,936
     Democratic David E. Boswell 47.4% 143,379
Total Votes 302,315


2006
On November 7, 2006, Ron Lewis won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Mike Weaver (D) in the general election.[7]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 2 General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRon Lewis incumbent 55.4% 118,548
     Democratic Mike Weaver 44.6% 95,415
Total Votes 213,963


2004
On November 2, 2004, Ron Lewis won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Adam Smith (D) in the general election.[8]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 2 General Election, 2004
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRon Lewis incumbent 67.9% 185,394
     Democratic Adam Smith 32.1% 87,585
Total Votes 272,979


2002
On November 5, 2002, Ron Lewis won re-election to the United States House. He defeated David Williams (D) and Robert Guy Dyer (L) in the general election.[9]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 2 General Election, 2002
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRon Lewis incumbent 69.6% 122,773
     Democratic David Williams 29.2% 51,431
     Libertarian Robert Guy Dyer 1.2% 2,084
Total Votes 176,288


2000
On November 7, 2000, Ron Lewis won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Brian Pedigo (D) and Michael A. Kirkman (L) in the general election.[10]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 2 General Election, 2000
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRon Lewis incumbent 67.7% 160,800
     Democratic Brian Pedigo 31.4% 74,537
     Libertarian Michael A. Kirkman 0.9% 2,125
Total Votes 237,462


District map

Redistricting

2020-2021

See also: Redistricting in Kentucky after the 2020 census

Kentucky adopted new congressional district boundaries on January 20, 2022, after the general assembly overrode Gov. Andy Beshear’s (D) veto of legislation establishing the state’ new congressional map. Beshear vetoed Senate Bill 3 —the congressional redistricting legislation —on January 19, 2022. The vote to override the governor’s veto was 26-8 in the state Senate with 23 Republicans and three Democrats in favor and five Democrats and three Republicans opposed. The override vote was 64-24 in the state House, with all votes in favor by Republicans and 21 Democrats and three Republicans voting to sustain Beshear’s veto.[11][12][13]

Senate Bill 3 was introduced in the Kentucky State Senate on January 4, 2022. The Senate voted 28-4 in favor of the map on January 6 followed by the House voting 65-25 in favor on January 8.[14]

Greg Giroux of Bloomberg Government wrote that the "congressional map [is] designed to preserve a 5–1 Republican advantage in Kentucky’s U.S. House delegation." Giroux added, "The map most notably boosts Rep. Andy Barr (R), whose central 6th District in and around Lexington will become more Republican-friendly in part by transferring the state capital of Frankfort to the western 1st District of Rep. James Comer (R)."[15]

How does redistricting in Kentucky work? In Kentucky, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the state legislature. District maps may be vetoed by the governor.[16]

Guidelines adopted in 1991 stipulate that congressional districts ought to be contiguous. In addition, county lines and communities of interest should be maintained if possible. These guidelines are not statutory; consequently, they may be amended by the legislature at its discretion.[16]

The Kentucky Constitution requires that state legislative districts "be contiguous ... and preserve whole counties where possible."[16]

Kentucky District 2
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Kentucky District 2
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

2010-2011

This is the 2nd Congressional District of Kentucky after the 2001 redistricting process.
See also: Redistricting in Kentucky after the 2010 census

In 2011, the Kentucky State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2026

Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+20. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 20 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 2nd the 31st most Republican district nationally.[17]

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+21. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 21 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 2nd the 37th most Republican district nationally.[18]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 67.5%-30.8%.[19]

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+21. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 21 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 2nd the 35th most Republican district nationally.[20]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 30.8% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 67.5%.[21]

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+19. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 19 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District the 43rd most Republican nationally.[22]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.91. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.91 points toward that party.[23]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Kentucky Secretary of State, "Candidate Filings with the Office of the Secretary of State," accessed January 27, 2016
  2. The New York Times, "Kentucky Results," May 17, 2016
  3. Kentucky Secretary of State Election, "Candidate Filings," accessed January 28, 2014
  4. Politico, "2012 Election Map, Kentucky"
  5. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  6. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  7. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  8. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  9. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  10. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  11. Louisville Courier Journal, "Kentucky Democratic Party suing over Republicans' state and Congress redistricting maps," January 21, 2022
  12. Kentucky General Assembly, "Senate Bill 3," accessed January 21, 2022
  13. Louisville Courier Journal, "Claiming 'unconstitutional gerrymandering,' Beshear vetoes Kentucky redistricting plans," January 20, 2022
  14. Kentucky General Assembly, "Senate Bill 3," accessed January 21, 2022
  15. Bloomberg Government, "Kentucky Congressional Map Enacted After GOP Overrides Governor," January 20, 2022
  16. 16.0 16.1 16.2 All About Redistricting, "Kentucky," accessed April 29, 2015
  17. Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
  18. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  19. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  20. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  21. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  22. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  23. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
Andy Barr (R)
Republican Party (7)
Democratic Party (1)