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Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District election, 2026

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2024
Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: January 9, 2026
Primary: May 19, 2026
General: November 3, 2026
How to vote
Poll times:

6 a.m. to 6 p.m.
Voting in Kentucky

Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
DDHQ and The Hill: Pending
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2026
See also
Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th
Kentucky elections, 2026
U.S. Congress elections, 2026
U.S. Senate elections, 2026
U.S. House elections, 2026

All U.S. House districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of Kentucky, are holding elections in 2026. The general election is November 3, 2026. The primary is May 19, 2026. The filing deadline is January 9, 2026. For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

Note: The following list includes official candidates only. Ballotpedia defines official candidates as people who:

  • Register with a federal or state campaign finance agency before the candidate filing deadline
  • Appear on candidate lists released by government election agencies

General election

The primary will occur on May 19, 2026. The general election will occur on November 3, 2026. Additional general election candidates will be added here following the primary.

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 3

Oumou Diallo is running in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on November 3, 2026.

Candidate
Oumou Diallo (Independent)

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3

Incumbent Morgan McGarvey is running in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on May 19, 2026.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Candidate profiles

There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Kentucky

Ballotpedia will publish the dates and deadlines related to this election as they are made available.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.

Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Morgan McGarvey Democratic Party $759,702 $512,442 $1,510,677 As of September 30, 2025
Oumou Diallo Independent $1,649 $426 $1,222 As of September 30, 2025

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2026. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]

Race ratings: Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District election, 2026
Race trackerRace ratings
12/23/202512/16/202512/9/202512/2/2025
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Decision Desk HQ and The HillPendingPendingPendingPending
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Kentucky in the 2026 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Kentucky, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2026
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Kentucky U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 2 500 1/9/2026 Source
Kentucky U.S. House Unaffiliated 400 500 6/2/2026 Source


District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2020.

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 3

Incumbent Morgan McGarvey (D) defeated Mike Craven (R), Daniel Cobble (Independent), and Jared Randall (D) in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Morgan McGarvey
Morgan McGarvey (D)
 
61.9
 
203,100
Image of Mike Craven
Mike Craven (R)
 
38.0
 
124,713
Image of Daniel Cobble
Daniel Cobble (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
27
Image of Jared Randall
Jared Randall (D) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
24

Total votes: 327,864
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3

Incumbent Morgan McGarvey (D) defeated Geoff M. Young (D) and Jared Randall (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on May 21, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Morgan McGarvey
Morgan McGarvey
 
84.1
 
44,275
Image of Geoff M. Young
Geoff M. Young  Candidate Connection
 
11.2
 
5,875
Image of Jared Randall
Jared Randall  Candidate Connection
 
4.7
 
2,491

Total votes: 52,641
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3

Mike Craven (R) defeated Denny Ormerod (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on May 21, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mike Craven
Mike Craven
 
75.2
 
15,397
Denny Ormerod
 
24.8
 
5,074

Total votes: 20,471
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 3

Morgan McGarvey (D) defeated Stuart Ray (R) and Daniel Cobble (Independent) in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Morgan McGarvey
Morgan McGarvey (D)
 
62.0
 
160,920
Image of Stuart Ray
Stuart Ray (R)
 
38.0
 
98,637
Image of Daniel Cobble
Daniel Cobble (Independent) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
30

Total votes: 259,587
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3

Morgan McGarvey (D) defeated Attica Scott (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Morgan McGarvey
Morgan McGarvey
 
63.3
 
52,157
Image of Attica Scott
Attica Scott
 
36.7
 
30,183

Total votes: 82,340
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Stuart Ray
Stuart Ray
 
29.5
 
9,703
Image of Rhonda Palazzo
Rhonda Palazzo
 
29.4
 
9,645
Image of Mike Craven
Mike Craven
 
19.7
 
6,488
Image of Gregory Puccetti
Gregory Puccetti  Candidate Connection
 
9.1
 
2,980
Image of Daniel Cobble
Daniel Cobble  Candidate Connection
 
4.7
 
1,539
Justin Gregory
 
3.9
 
1,293
Image of Darien Barrios Moreno
Darien Barrios Moreno  Candidate Connection
 
3.7
 
1,212

Total votes: 32,860
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 3

Incumbent John A. Yarmuth (D) defeated Rhonda Palazzo (R) in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John A. Yarmuth
John A. Yarmuth (D)
 
62.7
 
230,672
Image of Rhonda Palazzo
Rhonda Palazzo (R)
 
37.3
 
137,425

Total votes: 368,097
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary

The Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, 2020, was canceled. Incumbent John A. Yarmuth (D) advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 without appearing on the ballot.

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3

Rhonda Palazzo (R) defeated Mike Craven (R) and Waymen Eddings (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on June 23, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Rhonda Palazzo
Rhonda Palazzo
 
42.4
 
19,806
Image of Mike Craven
Mike Craven
 
42.1
 
19,676
Waymen Eddings
 
15.6
 
7,275

Total votes: 46,757
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2026 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below is the district map in place for this election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_ky_congressional_District_03.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2026
Information about competitiveness will be added here as it becomes available.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is D+10. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 10 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Kentucky's 3rd the 130th most Democratic district nationally.[5]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2024 presidential election was in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by The Downballot.

2024 presidential results in Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District
Kamala Harris Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
59.0% 40.0%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Kentucky, 2024

Kentucky presidential election results (1900-2024)

  • 16 Democratic wins
  • 16 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
Winning Party D D D D D D R R D D D D D D R R D R R D R R R D D R R R R R R R
See also: Party control of Kentucky state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Kentucky's congressional delegation as of October 2025.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Kentucky
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 1 1
Republican 2 5 7
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 6 8

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Kentucky's top four state executive offices as of October 2025.

State executive officials in Kentucky, October 2025
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Andy Beshear
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Jacqueline Coleman
Secretary of State Republican Party Michael Adams
Attorney General Republican Party Russell Coleman

State legislature

Kentucky State Senate

Party As of October 2025
     Democratic Party 5
     Republican Party 32
     Other 0
     Vacancies 1
Total 38

Kentucky House of Representatives

Party As of October 2025
     Democratic Party 20
     Republican Party 80
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 100

Trifecta control

Kentucky Party Control: 1992-2025
Eight years of Democratic trifectas  •  Three years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Governor D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D
Senate D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R

See also

Kentucky 2026 primaries 2026 U.S. Congress elections
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Kentucky congressional delegation
Voting in Kentucky
Kentucky elections:
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Democratic primary battlegrounds
Republican primary battlegrounds
U.S. Senate Democratic primaries
U.S. Senate Republican primaries
U.S. House Democratic primaries
U.S. House Republican primaries
U.S. Congress elections
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House elections
Special elections
Ballot access

External links

Footnotes

  1. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  2. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  3. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  4. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  5. Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
Andy Barr (R)
Republican Party (7)
Democratic Party (1)