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Kentucky's 4th Congressional District
Kentucky's 4th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Thomas Massie (R).
As of the 2020 Census, Kentucky representatives represented an average of 751,557 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 725,101 residents.
Elections
2024
See also: Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2024
Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2024 (May 21 Republican primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4
Incumbent Thomas Massie defeated Benjamin Middendorf in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Thomas Massie (R) | 99.6 | 278,386 |
Benjamin Middendorf (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.4 | 1,131 |
Total votes: 279,517 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Matthew Lehman (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4
Incumbent Thomas Massie defeated Michael McGinnis and Eric Deters in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on May 21, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Thomas Massie | 75.9 | 39,929 |
![]() | Michael McGinnis ![]() | 12.6 | 6,604 | |
![]() | Eric Deters | 11.5 | 6,060 |
Total votes: 52,593 | ||||
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2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4
Incumbent Thomas Massie defeated Matthew Lehman and Ethan Osborne in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Thomas Massie (R) | 65.0 | 167,541 |
![]() | Matthew Lehman (D) ![]() | 31.0 | 79,977 | |
![]() | Ethan Osborne (Independent) ![]() | 3.9 | 10,111 |
Total votes: 257,629 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Matthew Lehman advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4
Incumbent Thomas Massie defeated Claire Wirth, Alyssa Dara McDowell, and George Washington in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Thomas Massie | 75.2 | 50,301 |
![]() | Claire Wirth ![]() | 15.7 | 10,521 | |
Alyssa Dara McDowell | 5.2 | 3,446 | ||
George Washington | 3.9 | 2,606 |
Total votes: 66,874 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4
Incumbent Thomas Massie defeated Alexandra Owensby in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Thomas Massie (R) | 67.1 | 256,613 |
![]() | Alexandra Owensby (D) ![]() | 32.9 | 125,896 |
Total votes: 382,509 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4
Alexandra Owensby defeated Shannon Fabert in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on June 23, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Alexandra Owensby ![]() | 58.4 | 41,531 |
![]() | Shannon Fabert ![]() | 41.6 | 29,557 |
Total votes: 71,088 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4
Incumbent Thomas Massie defeated Todd McMurtry in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on June 23, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Thomas Massie | 81.0 | 68,591 |
![]() | Todd McMurtry | 19.0 | 16,092 |
Total votes: 84,683 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4
Incumbent Thomas Massie defeated Seth Hall and Mike Moffett in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Thomas Massie (R) | 62.2 | 162,946 |
![]() | Seth Hall (D) | 34.6 | 90,536 | |
![]() | Mike Moffett (Independent) | 3.2 | 8,318 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 12 |
Total votes: 261,812 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4
Seth Hall defeated Patti Piatt and Christina Lord in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on May 22, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Seth Hall | 40.8 | 17,862 |
![]() | Patti Piatt | 37.5 | 16,442 | |
Christina Lord | 21.7 | 9,510 |
Total votes: 43,814 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Sayre O'Cull (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4
Incumbent Thomas Massie advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on May 22, 2018.
Candidate | ||
✔ | ![]() | Thomas Massie |
![]() | ||||
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Independent primary election
No Independent candidates ran in the primary.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Joshua Neace (Independent)
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Thomas Massie (R), the only Republican to file in the race, won re-election to his third term in 2016. He faced Calvin Sidle, the only Democrat to file, in the general election. The primary elections took place on May 17, 2016. The general election took place on November 8, 2016.[1][2]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
71.3% | 233,922 | |
Democratic | Calvin Sidle | 28.7% | 94,065 | |
Total Votes | 327,987 | |||
Source: Kentucky Secretary of State |
2014
The 4th Congressional District of Kentucky held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Thomas Massie (R) defeated challenger Peter Newberry (D) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
67.7% | 150,464 | |
Democratic | Peter Newberry | 32.3% | 71,694 | |
Total Votes | 222,158 | |||
Source: Kentucky Board of Elections |
General election candidates
Thomas Massie - Incumbent
Peter Newberry
May 20, 2014, primary results
|
Failed to file
Steve Stevens: Northern Kentucky Chamber of Commerce President[4]
2012
Regular election
The 4th Congressional District of Kentucky held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Republican Thomas Massie won the election in the district.[5]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
62.1% | 186,036 | |
Democratic | Bill Adkins | 35% | 104,734 | |
No Party Affiliation | David Lewis | 2.9% | 8,674 | |
Total Votes | 299,444 | |||
Source: Kentucky Board of Elections |
Special election
On November 6, 2012, Thomas Massie won election to the United States House. He defeated two candidates in the special general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
59.9% | 174,092 | |
Democratic | Bill Adkins | 36.7% | 106,598 | |
No Party Affiliation | David Lewis | 3.4% | 9,987 | |
Total Votes | 290,677 | |||
Source: Kentucky Board of Elections |
2010
On November 2, 2010, Geoff Davis won re-election to the United States House. He defeated John Waltz (D) in the general election.[6]
U.S. House, Kentucky District 4 General Election, 2010 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | ![]() |
69.5% | 151,813 | |
Democratic | John Waltz | 30.5% | 66,694 | |
Total Votes | 218,507 |
2008
On November 4, 2008, Geoff Davis won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Michael Kelley (D) in the general election.[7]
U.S. House, Kentucky District 4 General Election, 2008 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | ![]() |
63% | 190,210 | |
Democratic | Michael Kelley | 37% | 111,549 | |
Total Votes | 301,759 |
2006
On November 7, 2006, Geoff Davis won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Ken Lucas (D) and Brian Houillion (L) in the general election.[8]
2004
On November 2, 2004, Geoff Davis won election to the United States House. He defeated Nick Clooney (D) and Michael E. Slider (I) in the general election.[9]
2002
On November 5, 2002, Ken Lucas won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Geoff Davis (R) and John Grote (L) in the general election.[10]
2000
On November 7, 2000, Ken Lucas won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Don Bell (R), Ken Salin (G) and Alan Handleman (L) in the general election.[11]
District map
Redistricting
2020-2021
Kentucky adopted new congressional district boundaries on January 20, 2022, after the general assembly overrode Gov. Andy Beshear’s (D) veto of legislation establishing the state’ new congressional map. Beshear vetoed Senate Bill 3 —the congressional redistricting legislation —on January 19, 2022. The vote to override the governor’s veto was 26-8 in the state Senate with 23 Republicans and three Democrats in favor and five Democrats and three Republicans opposed. The override vote was 64-24 in the state House, with all votes in favor by Republicans and 21 Democrats and three Republicans voting to sustain Beshear’s veto.[12][13][14]
Senate Bill 3 was introduced in the Kentucky State Senate on January 4, 2022. The Senate voted 28-4 in favor of the map on January 6 followed by the House voting 65-25 in favor on January 8.[15]
Greg Giroux of Bloomberg Government wrote that the "congressional map [is] designed to preserve a 5–1 Republican advantage in Kentucky’s U.S. House delegation." Giroux added, "The map most notably boosts Rep. Andy Barr (R), whose central 6th District in and around Lexington will become more Republican-friendly in part by transferring the state capital of Frankfort to the western 1st District of Rep. James Comer (R)."[16]
How does redistricting in Kentucky work? In Kentucky, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the state legislature. District maps may be vetoed by the governor.[17]
Guidelines adopted in 1991 stipulate that congressional districts ought to be contiguous. In addition, county lines and communities of interest should be maintained if possible. These guidelines are not statutory; consequently, they may be amended by the legislature at its discretion.[17]
The Kentucky Constitution requires that state legislative districts "be contiguous ... and preserve whole counties where possible."[17]
Kentucky District 4
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Kentucky District 4
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
2010-2011
In 2011, the Kentucky State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
2026
Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+18. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 18 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 4th the 50th most Republican district nationally.[18]
2024
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+19. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 19 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 4th the 44th most Republican district nationally.[19]
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 65.4%-32.8%.[20]
2022
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+19. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 19 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 4th the 44th most Republican district nationally.[21]
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 32.8% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 65.4%.[22]
2018
Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+18. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 18 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 4th Congressional District the 51st most Republican nationally.[23]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.88. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.88 points toward that party.[24]
See also
- Redistricting in Kentucky
- Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2024
- Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2022
- Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2020
- Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2018
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Kentucky Secretary of State, "Candidate Filings with the Office of the Secretary of State," accessed January 27, 2016
- ↑ The New York Times, "Kentucky Results," May 17, 2016
- ↑ Kentucky Secretary of State Elections Division, "Candidate Filings," accessed January 29, 2014
- ↑ Politico, "Kentucky House primaries 2014: Rep. Tom Massie may be challenged by Steve Stevens," accessed December 21, 2013
- ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, Kentucky"
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ Louisville Courier Journal, "Kentucky Democratic Party suing over Republicans' state and Congress redistricting maps," January 21, 2022
- ↑ Kentucky General Assembly, "Senate Bill 3," accessed January 21, 2022
- ↑ Louisville Courier Journal, "Claiming 'unconstitutional gerrymandering,' Beshear vetoes Kentucky redistricting plans," January 20, 2022
- ↑ Kentucky General Assembly, "Senate Bill 3," accessed January 21, 2022
- ↑ Bloomberg Government, "Kentucky Congressional Map Enacted After GOP Overrides Governor," January 20, 2022
- ↑ 17.0 17.1 17.2 All About Redistricting, "Kentucky," accessed April 29, 2015
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018