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Kentucky's 4th Congressional District

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Kentucky's 4th Congressional District
Incumbent
Assumed office: November 13, 2012

Kentucky's 4th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Thomas Massie (R).

As of the 2020 Census, Kentucky representatives represented an average of 751,557 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 725,101 residents.

Elections

2024

See also: Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2024

Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2024 (May 21 Republican primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Incumbent Thomas Massie defeated Benjamin Middendorf in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie (R)
 
99.6
 
278,386
Benjamin Middendorf (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.4
 
1,131

Total votes: 279,517
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Incumbent Thomas Massie defeated Michael McGinnis and Eric Deters in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on May 21, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie
 
75.9
 
39,929
Image of Michael McGinnis
Michael McGinnis Candidate Connection
 
12.6
 
6,604
Image of Eric Deters
Eric Deters
 
11.5
 
6,060

Total votes: 52,593
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2022

See also: Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Incumbent Thomas Massie defeated Matthew Lehman and Ethan Osborne in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie (R)
 
65.0
 
167,541
Image of Matthew Lehman
Matthew Lehman (D) Candidate Connection
 
31.0
 
79,977
Image of Ethan Osborne
Ethan Osborne (Independent) Candidate Connection
 
3.9
 
10,111

Total votes: 257,629
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Matthew Lehman advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Incumbent Thomas Massie defeated Claire Wirth, Alyssa Dara McDowell, and George Washington in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie
 
75.2
 
50,301
Image of Claire Wirth
Claire Wirth Candidate Connection
 
15.7
 
10,521
Alyssa Dara McDowell
 
5.2
 
3,446
George Washington
 
3.9
 
2,606

Total votes: 66,874
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2020

See also: Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Incumbent Thomas Massie defeated Alexandra Owensby in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie (R)
 
67.1
 
256,613
Image of Alexandra Owensby
Alexandra Owensby (D) Candidate Connection
 
32.9
 
125,896

Total votes: 382,509
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Alexandra Owensby defeated Shannon Fabert in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on June 23, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Alexandra Owensby
Alexandra Owensby Candidate Connection
 
58.4
 
41,531
Image of Shannon Fabert
Shannon Fabert Candidate Connection
 
41.6
 
29,557

Total votes: 71,088
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Incumbent Thomas Massie defeated Todd McMurtry in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on June 23, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie
 
81.0
 
68,591
Image of Todd McMurtry
Todd McMurtry
 
19.0
 
16,092

Total votes: 84,683
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2018

See also: Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Incumbent Thomas Massie defeated Seth Hall and Mike Moffett in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie (R)
 
62.2
 
162,946
Image of Seth Hall
Seth Hall (D)
 
34.6
 
90,536
Image of Mike Moffett
Mike Moffett (Independent)
 
3.2
 
8,318
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
12

Total votes: 261,812
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Seth Hall defeated Patti Piatt and Christina Lord in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Seth Hall
Seth Hall
 
40.8
 
17,862
Image of Patti Piatt
Patti Piatt
 
37.5
 
16,442
Christina Lord
 
21.7
 
9,510

Total votes: 43,814
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Incumbent Thomas Massie advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Independent primary election

No Independent candidates ran in the primary.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2016

See also: Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Thomas Massie (R), the only Republican to file in the race, won re-election to his third term in 2016. He faced Calvin Sidle, the only Democrat to file, in the general election. The primary elections took place on May 17, 2016. The general election took place on November 8, 2016.[1][2]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 4 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngThomas Massie Incumbent 71.3% 233,922
     Democratic Calvin Sidle 28.7% 94,065
Total Votes 327,987
Source: Kentucky Secretary of State

2014

See also: Kentucky's 4th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 4th Congressional District of Kentucky held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Thomas Massie (R) defeated challenger Peter Newberry (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Kentucky District 4 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngThomas Massie Incumbent 67.7% 150,464
     Democratic Peter Newberry 32.3% 71,694
Total Votes 222,158
Source: Kentucky Board of Elections

General election candidates


May 20, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Failed to file

2012

See also: Kentucky's 4th Congressional District elections, 2012

Regular election

The 4th Congressional District of Kentucky held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Republican Thomas Massie won the election in the district.[5]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 4 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngThomas Massie 62.1% 186,036
     Democratic Bill Adkins 35% 104,734
     No Party Affiliation David Lewis 2.9% 8,674
Total Votes 299,444
Source: Kentucky Board of Elections

Special election

On November 6, 2012, Thomas Massie won election to the United States House. He defeated two candidates in the special general election.

U.S. House, Kentucky District 4 Special election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngThomas Massie 59.9% 174,092
     Democratic Bill Adkins 36.7% 106,598
     No Party Affiliation David Lewis 3.4% 9,987
Total Votes 290,677
Source: Kentucky Board of Elections

2010
On November 2, 2010, Geoff Davis won re-election to the United States House. He defeated John Waltz (D) in the general election.[6]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 4 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngGeoff Davis incumbent 69.5% 151,813
     Democratic John Waltz 30.5% 66,694
Total Votes 218,507


2008
On November 4, 2008, Geoff Davis won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Michael Kelley (D) in the general election.[7]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 4 General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngGeoff Davis incumbent 63% 190,210
     Democratic Michael Kelley 37% 111,549
Total Votes 301,759


2006
On November 7, 2006, Geoff Davis won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Ken Lucas (D) and Brian Houillion (L) in the general election.[8]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 4 General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngGeoff Davis incumbent 51.7% 105,845
     Democratic Ken Lucas 43.4% 88,822
     Libertarian Brian Houillion 4.9% 10,100
Total Votes 204,767


2004
On November 2, 2004, Geoff Davis won election to the United States House. He defeated Nick Clooney (D) and Michael E. Slider (I) in the general election.[9]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 4 General Election, 2004
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngGeoff Davis 54.4% 160,982
     Democratic Nick Clooney 43.9% 129,876
     Independent Michael E. Slider 1.7% 5,069
Total Votes 295,927


2002
On November 5, 2002, Ken Lucas won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Geoff Davis (R) and John Grote (L) in the general election.[10]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 4 General Election, 2002
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngKen Lucas incumbent 51.1% 87,776
     Republican Geoff Davis 47.5% 81,651
     Libertarian John Grote 1.3% 2,308
Total Votes 171,735


2000
On November 7, 2000, Ken Lucas won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Don Bell (R), Ken Salin (G) and Alan Handleman (L) in the general election.[11]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 4 General Election, 2000
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngKen Lucas incumbent 54.3% 125,872
     Republican Don Bell 43.5% 100,943
     Green Ken Salin 1.6% 3,662
     Libertarian Alan Handleman 0.6% 1,486
Total Votes 231,963


District map

Redistricting

2020-2021

See also: Redistricting in Kentucky after the 2020 census

Kentucky adopted new congressional district boundaries on January 20, 2022, after the general assembly overrode Gov. Andy Beshear’s (D) veto of legislation establishing the state’ new congressional map. Beshear vetoed Senate Bill 3 —the congressional redistricting legislation —on January 19, 2022. The vote to override the governor’s veto was 26-8 in the state Senate with 23 Republicans and three Democrats in favor and five Democrats and three Republicans opposed. The override vote was 64-24 in the state House, with all votes in favor by Republicans and 21 Democrats and three Republicans voting to sustain Beshear’s veto.[12][13][14]

Senate Bill 3 was introduced in the Kentucky State Senate on January 4, 2022. The Senate voted 28-4 in favor of the map on January 6 followed by the House voting 65-25 in favor on January 8.[15]

Greg Giroux of Bloomberg Government wrote that the "congressional map [is] designed to preserve a 5–1 Republican advantage in Kentucky’s U.S. House delegation." Giroux added, "The map most notably boosts Rep. Andy Barr (R), whose central 6th District in and around Lexington will become more Republican-friendly in part by transferring the state capital of Frankfort to the western 1st District of Rep. James Comer (R)."[16]

How does redistricting in Kentucky work? In Kentucky, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the state legislature. District maps may be vetoed by the governor.[17]

Guidelines adopted in 1991 stipulate that congressional districts ought to be contiguous. In addition, county lines and communities of interest should be maintained if possible. These guidelines are not statutory; consequently, they may be amended by the legislature at its discretion.[17]

The Kentucky Constitution requires that state legislative districts "be contiguous ... and preserve whole counties where possible."[17]

Kentucky District 4
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Kentucky District 4
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

2010-2011

This is the 4th Congressional District of Kentucky after the 2001 redistricting process.
See also: Redistricting in Kentucky after the 2010 census

In 2011, the Kentucky State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2026

Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+18. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 18 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 4th the 50th most Republican district nationally.[18]

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+19. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 19 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 4th the 44th most Republican district nationally.[19]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 65.4%-32.8%.[20]

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+19. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 19 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 4th the 44th most Republican district nationally.[21]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 32.8% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 65.4%.[22]

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+18. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 18 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 4th Congressional District the 51st most Republican nationally.[23]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.88. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.88 points toward that party.[24]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Kentucky Secretary of State, "Candidate Filings with the Office of the Secretary of State," accessed January 27, 2016
  2. The New York Times, "Kentucky Results," May 17, 2016
  3. Kentucky Secretary of State Elections Division, "Candidate Filings," accessed January 29, 2014
  4. Politico, "Kentucky House primaries 2014: Rep. Tom Massie may be challenged by Steve Stevens," accessed December 21, 2013
  5. Politico, "2012 Election Map, Kentucky"
  6. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  7. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  8. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  9. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  10. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  11. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  12. Louisville Courier Journal, "Kentucky Democratic Party suing over Republicans' state and Congress redistricting maps," January 21, 2022
  13. Kentucky General Assembly, "Senate Bill 3," accessed January 21, 2022
  14. Louisville Courier Journal, "Claiming 'unconstitutional gerrymandering,' Beshear vetoes Kentucky redistricting plans," January 20, 2022
  15. Kentucky General Assembly, "Senate Bill 3," accessed January 21, 2022
  16. Bloomberg Government, "Kentucky Congressional Map Enacted After GOP Overrides Governor," January 20, 2022
  17. 17.0 17.1 17.2 All About Redistricting, "Kentucky," accessed April 29, 2015
  18. Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
  19. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  20. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  21. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  22. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  23. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  24. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
Andy Barr (R)
Republican Party (7)
Democratic Party (1)