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Kentucky's 4th Congressional District

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Kentucky's 4th Congressional District
Incumbent
Assumed office: November 13, 2012

Kentucky's 4th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Thomas Massie (R).

As of the 2020 Census, Kentucky representatives represented an average of 751,557 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 725,101 residents.

Elections

See also: Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2030


There are no official candidates yet for this election.


See also: Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2026

General election

The primary will occur on May 19, 2026. The general election will occur on November 3, 2026. General election candidates will be added here following the primary.

Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Jesse Brewer (D), Monica Dean (D), Elizabeth Mason-Hill (D), and Melissa Strange (D) are running in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on May 19, 2026.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Incumbent Thomas Massie (R), Nicole Lee Ethington (R), Ed Gallrein (R), and Robert Wells Jr. (R) are running in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on May 19, 2026.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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See also: Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2024

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Incumbent Thomas Massie (R) defeated Benjamin Middendorf (Independent) in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie (R)
 
99.6
 
278,386
Benjamin Middendorf (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.4
 
1,131

Total votes: 279,517
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary

The Democratic primary scheduled for May 21, 2024, was canceled.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Incumbent Thomas Massie (R) defeated Michael McGinnis (R) and Eric Deters (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on May 21, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie
 
75.9
 
39,929
Image of Michael McGinnis
Michael McGinnis  Candidate Connection
 
12.6
 
6,604
Image of Eric Deters
Eric Deters
 
11.5
 
6,060

Total votes: 52,593
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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See also: Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Incumbent Thomas Massie (R) defeated Matthew Lehman (D) and Ethan Osborne (Independent) in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie (R)
 
65.0
 
167,541
Image of Matthew Lehman
Matthew Lehman (D)  Candidate Connection
 
31.0
 
79,977
Image of Ethan Osborne
Ethan Osborne (Independent)  Candidate Connection
 
3.9
 
10,111

Total votes: 257,629
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary

The Democratic primary scheduled for May 17, 2022, was canceled. Matthew Lehman (D) advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 without appearing on the ballot.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Incumbent Thomas Massie (R) defeated Claire Wirth (R), Alyssa Dara McDowell (R), and George Washington (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie
 
75.2
 
50,301
Image of Claire Wirth
Claire Wirth  Candidate Connection
 
15.7
 
10,521
Alyssa Dara McDowell
 
5.2
 
3,446
George Washington
 
3.9
 
2,606

Total votes: 66,874
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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See also: Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Incumbent Thomas Massie (R) defeated Alexandra Owensby (D) in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie (R)
 
67.1
 
256,613
Image of Alexandra Owensby
Alexandra Owensby (D)  Candidate Connection
 
32.9
 
125,896

Total votes: 382,509
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Alexandra Owensby (D) defeated Shannon Fabert (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on June 23, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Alexandra Owensby
Alexandra Owensby  Candidate Connection
 
58.4
 
41,531
Image of Shannon Fabert
Shannon Fabert  Candidate Connection
 
41.6
 
29,557

Total votes: 71,088
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Incumbent Thomas Massie (R) defeated Todd McMurtry (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on June 23, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie
 
81.0
 
68,591
Image of Todd McMurtry
Todd McMurtry
 
19.0
 
16,092

Total votes: 84,683
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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See also: United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Incumbent Thomas Massie (R) defeated Seth Hall (D) and Mike Moffett (Independent) in the general election for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie (R)
 
62.2
 
162,946
Image of Seth Hall
Seth Hall (D)
 
34.6
 
90,536
Image of Mike Moffett
Mike Moffett (Independent)
 
3.2
 
8,318
  Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0%
 
12

Total votes: 261,8120
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Seth Hall (D) defeated Patti Piatt (D) and Christina Lord (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Seth Hall
Seth Hall
 
40.8
 
17,862
Image of Patti Piatt
Patti Piatt
 
37.5
 
16,442
Christina Lord
 
21.7
 
9,510

Total votes: 43,814
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4

Incumbent Thomas Massie (R) advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Independent primary

No candidates for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 appeared on the ballot for the Independent primary scheduled for May 22, 2018.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Previous election results


District map

2023_01_03_ky_congressional_District_04.jpg

Redistricting

2020-2021

See also: Redistricting in Kentucky after the 2020 census

Kentucky adopted new congressional district boundaries on January 20, 2022, after the general assembly overrode Gov. Andy Beshear’s (D) veto of legislation establishing the state’ new congressional map. Beshear vetoed Senate Bill 3 —the congressional redistricting legislation —on January 19, 2022. The vote to override the governor’s veto was 26-8 in the state Senate with 23 Republicans and three Democrats in favor and five Democrats and three Republicans opposed. The override vote was 64-24 in the state House, with all votes in favor by Republicans and 21 Democrats and three Republicans voting to sustain Beshear’s veto.[12][13][14]

Senate Bill 3 was introduced in the Kentucky State Senate on January 4, 2022. The Senate voted 28-4 in favor of the map on January 6 followed by the House voting 65-25 in favor on January 8.[15]

Greg Giroux of Bloomberg Government wrote that the "congressional map [is] designed to preserve a 5–1 Republican advantage in Kentucky’s U.S. House delegation." Giroux added, "The map most notably boosts Rep. Andy Barr (R), whose central 6th District in and around Lexington will become more Republican-friendly in part by transferring the state capital of Frankfort to the western 1st District of Rep. James Comer (R)."[16]

How does redistricting in Kentucky work? In Kentucky, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the state legislature. District maps may be vetoed by the governor.[17]

Guidelines adopted in 1991 stipulate that congressional districts ought to be contiguous. In addition, county lines and communities of interest should be maintained if possible. These guidelines are not statutory; consequently, they may be amended by the legislature at its discretion.[17]

The Kentucky Constitution requires that state legislative districts "be contiguous ... and preserve whole counties where possible."[17]

2020

2019_05_02_ky_congressional_district_04.jpg

2024

2023_01_03_ky_congressional_District_04.jpg

2010-2011

This is the 4th Congressional District of Kentucky after the 2001 redistricting process.
See also: Redistricting in Kentucky after the 2010 census

In 2011, the Kentucky State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2026

Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+18. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 18 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 4th the 50th most Republican district nationally.[18]

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+19. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 19 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 4th the 44th most Republican district nationally.[19]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 65.4%-32.8%.[20]

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+19. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 19 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 4th the 44th most Republican district nationally.[21]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 32.8% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 65.4%.[22]

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+18. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 18 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 4th Congressional District the 51st most Republican nationally.[23]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.88. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.88 points toward that party.[24]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Kentucky Secretary of State, "Candidate Filings with the Office of the Secretary of State," accessed January 27, 2016
  2. The New York Times, "Kentucky Results," May 17, 2016
  3. Kentucky Secretary of State Elections Division, "Candidate Filings," accessed January 29, 2014
  4. Politico, "Kentucky House primaries 2014: Rep. Tom Massie may be challenged by Steve Stevens," accessed December 21, 2013
  5. Politico, "2012 Election Map, Kentucky"
  6. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  7. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  8. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  9. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  10. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  11. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  12. Louisville Courier Journal, "Kentucky Democratic Party suing over Republicans' state and Congress redistricting maps," January 21, 2022
  13. Kentucky General Assembly, "Senate Bill 3," accessed January 21, 2022
  14. Louisville Courier Journal, "Claiming 'unconstitutional gerrymandering,' Beshear vetoes Kentucky redistricting plans," January 20, 2022
  15. Kentucky General Assembly, "Senate Bill 3," accessed January 21, 2022
  16. Bloomberg Government, "Kentucky Congressional Map Enacted After GOP Overrides Governor," January 20, 2022
  17. 17.0 17.1 17.2 All About Redistricting, "Kentucky," accessed April 29, 2015
  18. Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
  19. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  20. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  21. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  22. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  23. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  24. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
Andy Barr (R)
Republican Party (7)
Democratic Party (1)