Kentucky election preview, 2024

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search
Ballotpedia-Elections-Portal-Masthead-Image-icons.png
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Election Analysis Hub, 2024
Election analysis
Top 15 elections to watch
Municipal partisanship
Uncontested elections
Competitiveness reports:
Congress
State executives
State legislatures
Elections coverage
Election results, 2024
Election previews
Congressional elections
State government trifectas
State legislatures
State executives
Governors
Municipal elections
Mayoral elections
Previews by state

Last updated: Oct. 23, 2024

Thousands of general elections are taking place across the United States on Nov. 5, 2024. Those elections include offices at the federal, state, and local levels. This is one of 50 pages in which Ballotpedia previews the elections happening in each state as part of the Daily Brew’s 50 states in 25 days series.

This page provides an overview of all elections happening in Kentucky within our coverage scope on Nov. 5, 2024. Those elections include offices for six U.S. Representatives, 100 state Representatives, 19 state Senators, one state Supreme Court justice, one intermediate appellate court judge. There are also two statewide ballot measures on the ballot in Kentucky. On this page, you will also find information regarding:

Voting information

See also: Voting in Kentucky

Election information in Kentucky: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 7, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 7, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 7, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

No

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: N/A
  • By mail: N/A by N/A
  • Online: Oct. 22, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 31, 2024 to Nov. 2, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6:00 a.m. - 6:00 p.m. (EST/CST)


What's on the ballot?

2024 elections

See also: Kentucky elections, 2024

Kentucky voters will elect will elect six U.S. Representatives. There are no open districts.

There are no state executive offices up for elections.

All 100 seats in the state House and 19 seats in the state Senate are up for election. There are 12 open seats in the House and four open seats in the Senate.

One Kentucky Supreme Court seat and oneintermediate appellate court seat are up for election.

Three Fayette County Public Schools school board seats and four Jefferson County Public Schools school board seats are up for election. These are among 475 school districts included in Ballotpedia's coverage of school board elections. This includes all school districts in the 100 largest cities by population and the 200 largest school districts by student enrollment.

Municipal elections will be held in the cities of Frankfort, Lexington, and Louisville.

Kentucky is one of 26 states where we are expanding our local election coverage beyond the nation's biggest cities, school districts, and state capitals. Including those mentioned above, Ballotpedia is covering 1,050 races featuring 3,237 candidates for offices such as local councils and other county-level positions.

Your ballot

See also: Sample Ballot Lookup

Noteworthy elections

As of Sept. 26, 2024, Ballotpedia has identified one election as a battleground race. Battleground races are those that we expect to have a meaningful effect on the balance of power in governments or to be particularly competitive or compelling.

Ballot measures

See also: Kentucky 2024 ballot measures

There are two statewide ballot measure on the ballot in Kentucky.

Type Title Description Result Yes Votes No Votes

LRCA

Constitutional Amendment 1 Prohibit the state and local governments from allowing noncitizens to vote

Approveda

1,208,898 (62%)

727,515 (38%)

LRCA

Constitutional Amendment 2 Allow the state to provide funding for non-public education

Defeated

706,942 (35%)

1,298,967 (65%)


In Kentucky, a total of 26 ballot measures appeared on statewide ballots between 1985 to 2022. Seventeen ballot measures were approved, and nine ballot measures were defeated.

State analysis

Partisan balance

Five Republicans and one Democrat represent Kentucky's six U.S. House districts. In the U.S. House, Republicans have a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.

Both of Kentucky's senators — Mitch McConnell and Rand Paul — are Republicans. Democrats have a majority in the U.S. Senate. There are 47 Democrats, 49 Republicans, and four independents. Three independents caucus with the Democratic Party, and one other counts towards the Democratic majority for committee purposes.

Republicans have a 31-7 majority in the state Senate and an 80-20 majority in the state House. The governor is a Democrat. This makes Kentucky one of 10 states with a divided government. It has had this status since 2019 when Gov. Andy Beshear (D) assumed office, breaking the state's Republican trifecta.

Kentucky's attorney general and secretary of state are both Republicans. This makes Kentucky one of five states 5 where neither party holds triplex control.

Past presidential election results in Kentucky

See also: Presidential election in Kentucky, 2024

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:


Following the 2020 presidential election, 74.2% of Kentuckians lived in one of the state's 116 Solid Republican counties, which voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 24.5% lived in one of two Solid Democratic counties: Fayette and Jefferson. Overall, Kentucky was Solid Republican, having voted for Mitt Romney (R) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Donald Trump (R) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Kentucky following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

State legislative competitiveness

See also: Annual State Legislative Competitiveness Report: Vol. 14, 2024

According to Ballotpedia's annual state legislative competitiveness report, Kentucky had a Competitiveness Index of 27.4, ranking it 30th of the 44 states that held elections.

  • 16 of the 119 seats up for election were open (13%).
  • 26 of the 103 incumbents who ran for re-election faced contested primaries (25%).
  • 52 of the 119 seats up for election were contested by both major parties (44%).

2010-2024

Hover over column headings to learn more about their contents.

State Legislative Competitiveness Index in Kentucky, 2010-2024
Year Open seats Incs. in contested primaries Major party competition Competitiveness Index Rank
2010 5.9% 18.8% 56.3% 27.0 33 / 44
2012 10.9% 20.8% 44.5% 25.4 39 / 44
2014 9.2% 13.9% 49.6% 24.2 32 / 44
2016 8.4% 14.7% 58.8% 27.3 31 / 44
2018 17.6% 19.4% 84.9% 40.6 14 / 44
2020 14.3% 12.7% 57.1% 28.0 35 / 44
2022 17.6% 31.0% 45.4% 31.3 31 / 44
2024 13.4% 25.2% 43.7% 27.4 30 / 44

In 2024

Hover over column headings to learn more about their contents. Click on headings for more state-specific information.

State Legislative Competitiveness Index in Kentucky, 2024
Chamber Open seats Incs. in contested primaries Major party competition Competitiveness Index
House 12.0% 23.9% 45.0% 27.0
Senate 21.1% 33.3% 36.8% 30.4
Total 13.4% 25.2% 43.7% 27.4

List of candidates

Federal Candidates
candidateofficepartystatus
James Comer Jr.
James Comer Jr. Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Brett Guthrie
Brett Guthrie Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost General
Morgan McGarvey
Morgan McGarvey Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Republican
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost (Write-in) General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Independent
Lost (Write-in) General
Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Republican
Lost Primary
Independent
Lost (Write-in) General
Hal Rogers
Hal Rogers Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Republican
Lost Primary
Republican
Lost Primary
Andy Barr
Andy Barr Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.

State Candidates
candidateofficepartystatus
Jason Howell
Jason Howell Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Republican
Won General
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Republican
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost General
David Givens
David Givens Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Reggie Thomas
Reggie Thomas Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Rick Girdler
Rick Girdler Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Won General
Brandon Storm
Brandon Storm Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Chris McDaniel
Chris McDaniel Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Robert Stivers
Robert Stivers Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Steve West
Steve West Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Independent
Won (Write-in) General
Republican
Lost Primary
Republican
Lost Primary
Independent
Lost (Write-in) General
Independent
Lost (Write-in) General
Independent
Lost (Write-in) General
Independent
Lost (Write-in) General
Independent
Lost (Write-in) General
Independent
Lost (Write-in) General
Independent
Lost (Write-in) General
Independent
Lost (Write-in) General
Independent
Lost (Write-in) General
Independent
Lost (Write-in) General
Johnnie Turner
Johnnie Turner Incumbent
Republican
Withdrew (unofficially withdrew) General
Phillip Wheeler
Phillip Wheeler Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Gerald Neal
Gerald Neal Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Won General
David Yates
David Yates Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Steven Rudy
Steven Rudy Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Richard Heath
Richard Heath Incumbent
Republican
Lost Primary
Randy Bridges
Randy BridgesCandidate Connection Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Mary Imes
Mary Imes Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Chris Freeland
Chris Freeland Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Suzanne Miles
Suzanne Miles Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Walker Thomas
Walker Thomas Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Myron Dossett
Myron Dossett Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Josh Calloway
Josh Calloway Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Jim Gooch Jr.
Jim Gooch Jr. Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
D.J. Johnson
D.J. Johnson Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Scott Lewis
Scott Lewis Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Rebecca Raymer
Rebecca Raymer Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Jason Petrie
Jason Petrie Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Robert Duvall
Robert Duvall Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Samara Heavrin Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Kevin Jackson
Kevin Jackson Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Amy Neighbors
Amy Neighbors Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Shawn McPherson
Shawn McPherson Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Steve Riley
Steve Riley Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Independent
Lost (Write-in) General
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost General
Steve Bratcher
Steve Bratcher Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Independent
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Peyton Griffee
Peyton Griffee Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Nancy Tate
Nancy Tate Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Jared Bauman
Jared Bauman Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Republican
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Tina Bojanowski
Tina Bojanowski Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Sarah Stalker
Sarah Stalker Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Lisa Willner
Lisa Willner Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
John Hodgson
John Hodgson Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost General
Emily Callaway
Emily Callaway Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Rachel Roarx
Rachel RoarxCandidate Connection Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Matt Lockett
Matt Lockett Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Nima Kulkarni
Nima Kulkarni Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Killian Timoney
Killian Timoney Incumbent
Republican
Lost Primary
Alan Gentry
Alan Gentry Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Felicia Rabourn
Felicia Rabourn Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost General
Ken Fleming
Ken Fleming Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Thomas Huff
Thomas Huff Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Candy Massaroni
Candy Massaroni Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Michael Pollock
Michael Pollock Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Ken Upchurch
Ken Upchurch Incumbent
Republican
Won General
James A. Tipton
James A. Tipton Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Daniel Elliott
Daniel Elliott Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Kim King
Kim King Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Daniel Fister
Daniel Fister Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Jennifer Decker
Jennifer Decker Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Disqualified General
David Osborne
David Osborne Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost General
Savannah Maddox
Savannah Maddox Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost General
Kimberly Banta
Kimberly Banta Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Kimberly Moser
Kimberly Moser Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Republican
Lost Primary
Mike Clines
Mike Clines Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Steven Doan
Steven Doan Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Josh Bray
Josh Bray Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Matthew Koch
Matthew Koch Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Ryan Dotson
Ryan Dotson Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
David Hale
David Hale Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Lindsey Burke
Lindsey Burke Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Mark Hart
Mark Hart Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Independent
Lost General
Chad Aull
Chad Aull Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
David Meade
David Meade Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Won General
Nick Wilson
Nick Wilson Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Joshua Branscum
Joshua Branscum Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Chris Fugate
Chris Fugate Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Shane Baker
Shane Baker Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Tom Smith
Tom Smith Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Adam Bowling
Adam Bowling Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Timmy Truett
Timmy Truett Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Derek Lewis
Derek Lewis Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Billy Wesley
Billy Wesley Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
John Blanton
John Blanton Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Adrielle Camuel
Adrielle Camuel Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Republican
Won General
Ashley Laferty
Ashley Laferty Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Republican
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Bobby McCool
Bobby McCool Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost General
Richard White
Richard White Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Scott Sharp
Scott Sharp Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Lost General

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.

Local Candidates
candidateofficepartystatus
Vincent Riggs Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Kimberly Baird Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Barbara Bentley Incumbent
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Won (Write-in) General
Nonpartisan
Won (Write-in) General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Allen Carter
Allen Carter Incumbent
Nonpartisan
Lost (Write-in) General
Nonpartisan
Lost (Write-in) General
Nonpartisan
Lost (Write-in) General
David Nicholson Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Gerina Whethers Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Elihu Levine Incumbent
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Larry Cleveland Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Layne Wilkerson
Layne Wilkerson Incumbent
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Democratic
Won General
Kathleen Parks Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Tayna Fogle Incumbent
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Nonpartisan
Lost Primary
Shayla Lynch
Shayla LynchCandidate Connection Incumbent
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Hannah LeGris Incumbent
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Lost Primary
Brenda Monarrez
Brenda Monarrez Incumbent
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Liz Sheehan
Liz SheehanCandidate Connection Incumbent
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Denise Gray
Denise Gray Incumbent
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Lost (Write-in) General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Lost Primary
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Nonpartisan
Lost Primary
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Dave Sevigny
Dave Sevigny Incumbent
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Won General
Phil Baker
Phil Baker Incumbent
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary
Ben Reno-Weber Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Won General
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Republican
Lost Primary
Rick Blackwell
Rick BlackwellCandidate Connection Incumbent
Democratic
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Cindi Fowler
Cindi Fowler Incumbent
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost Primary
Scott Reed
Scott ReedCandidate Connection Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Marilyn Parker
Marilyn Parker Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost General
Stuart Benson
Stuart Benson Incumbent
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Republican
Lost Primary
Democratic
Lost General
Republican
Won General
Democratic
Lost General
Democratic
Lost Primary
Brent Ackerson
Brent Ackerson Incumbent
Democratic
Won General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Marilyn Clark
Marilyn Clark Incumbent
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Amanda Green
Amanda Green Incumbent
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Lost (Write-in) General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Kelly May Incumbent
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Leesa Unger Incumbent
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Nonpartisan
Lost (unofficially withdrew) Primary
Nonpartisan
Lost (unofficially withdrew) Primary
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Nonpartisan
Won General
Nonpartisan
Lost General
Nonpartisan
Lost General

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.

See also

Footnotes